20 八月 2018

Daily Market View

   

Daily Market View

Monday, August 20, 2018
          U.S Stock Market

 

DJIA S & P 500 NASDAQ
25678 2852.75 7388.25
+0.43% +0.33% +0.13%

The U.S stock market is well on its way to better-than-average gains this year, but a quick glance at overseas markets reveals a more sobering story. Global stock markets are having a tough 2018. While the S&P 500 is up more than 6 percent and less than 1 percent away from new highs. Although some have speculated that fears of slower economic growth in China may be partly responsible for feeble stock performance there, Hong Kong and Shanghai are by no means alone. Ever since the Federal Reserve began unwinding its massive balance sheet and hiking interest rates, the U.S. dollar has gradually climbed against a basket of other currencies. All else equal, higher interest rates in a country increase the value of that country’s currency as foreigners flock to take advantage of better yields. A weak dollar tends to juice emerging markets as debt denominated in U.S. dollars becomes easier to repay with local-currency revenue. A stronger greenback, on the other hand, can drive investors back to the dollar.

 

 

Major Economic Releases for Today
Period Event GMT Forecast Previous

        aug

New Zealand Dairy Auction Whole Milk Powder MT     $2958

jul

German Producer Price Index (YoY) 06:00   3.0%

jul

Japan Convenience Store Sales (YoY) 07:00   1.1%

aug

Switzerland Domestic Sight Deposits CHF 08:00    

jun

Euro-Zone Construction Output w.d.a. (YoY) 09:00   1.8%

 

Fed’s Bostic Speaks on U.S. Economic Outlook in Tennessee 15:00    

 

U.S. to Sell 3-Month Bills 15:30    

jul

New Zealand Net Migration s.a. (JUL) 22:45   4840

aug

ANZ Roy Morgan Weekly Consumer Confidence Index 23:30    
Dow Jones Industrial Average

The Dow Jones Industrial Average added 0.43% to hit a new 3-month high. The best performers of the session on the Dow Jones Industrial Average were Caterpillar Inc., which rose 2.25% or 3.06 points to trade at 139.32 at the close. Meanwhile, Apple Inc. added 2.00% or 4.26 points to end at 217.58 and Pfizer Inc. was up 1.59% or 0.66 points to 42.08 in late trade. The worst performers of the session were Walmart Inc., which fell 0.80% or 0.79 points to trade at 97.85 at the close. Nike Inc. declined 0.39% or 0.31 points to end at 79.74 and McDonald’s Corporation was down 0.35% or 0.57 points to 161.16.

 

NASDAQ 100

The tech heavy NASDAQ index gained 0.13% on Friday. The top performers on the NASDAQ Composite were Izea Inc. which rose 33.33% to 1.4600, Sigma Designs Inc. which was up 24.24% to settle at 0.25 and Bellerophon Therapeutics Inc. which gained 22.81% to close at 0.798. The worst performers were Zion Oil & Gas Inc. which was down 27.13% to 1.840 in late trade, Boxlight Corp Class A which lost 18.78% to settle at 3.98 and US Energy Corp which was down 15.69% to 0.8600 at the close.

Oil

Crude prices rose on Friday, but declined on the week on worries that oversupply would weigh on the U.S market while trade disputes and slowing global economic growth would dampen demand for oil. U.S crude declined for the seventh consecutive week, and global benchmark Brent was dropped for a third week. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures (WTI) rose 45 cents, or 0.7 percent, to $65.91, after touching a session high of $66.39. For the week, Brent was down 1.4 percent, and U.S crude fell 2.6 percent. Falling prices have weighed on funds with oil exposure. Money managers cut their net long U.S crude futures and options positions to the lowest in nearly two months in the week to Aug. 14, the U.S Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) said. U.S government data this week showed a large buildup in crude inventories, with production also increased. Investors remain cautious as Wednesday’s surprise gain in U.S. stockpiles remained fresh in their minds.

 

 

Precious and Base Metals

Gold recovered some ground on Friday as a weakening U.S Dollar relieved pressure on prices, but the precious metal remained near 19-month lows and looked poised for its biggest weekly drop since May 2017. Spot gold added 0.31 percent to $1,177.21 ounce but was down 2.7 percent this week in its sixth consecutive weekly loss. On Thursday, it touched $1,159.96, the lowest since January 2017. U.S. gold futures for December delivery settled up 20 cents, or 0.02 percent, at $1,184.20 per ounce. The markets are much oversold and the dollar is overbought. From a 13-month high on Wednesday against a basket of six major currencies, the dollar has weakened against the currencies of key gold markets, the eurozone and China, helping gold regain its footing.  I expect the dollar to peak in the coming weeks … Gold should bottom out here. Gold has tumbled 14 percent from its April high as a rally in the greenback made dollar-priced bullion more expensive for buyers using other currencies. Investors seeking a safe place to store assets amid trade disputes and a Turkish currency crisis have preferred the dollar to gold, undermining the reputation of bullion as a safe haven. But news of planned U.S.-China trade talks and a partial recovery of Turkey’s lira have steadied investors’ nerves slightly. Bets on lower prices on the Comex exchange continue to build and now outweigh bets on higher prices by the largest quantity ever recorded. Meanwhile, silver gained 0.3 percent to $14.66 an ounce, but was down more than 4 percent on the week, the biggest weekly loss since February. On Thursday it touched its lowest since February 2016. Platinum increased 0.2 percent to $778.40 an ounce and was set for its biggest weekly drop since November 2015 of about 6 percent. It hit a 10-year low on Thursday. Palladium gained 1.1 percent to $898.90 per ounce but was down 1.4 percent this week having struck a one-year low.

 

 

Traditional Agriculture

Wheat futures jumped to their highest prices in more than a week on Friday on concerns that top-exporter Russia may curb grain exports. Russia will consider restricting 2018-19 shipments once they reach 30 million tonnes, following a request from the meat-producing region.

 

 

Futures Settlement Price Friday, August 17, 2018
Instrument Contract Open High Low Settlement Net Change
DJIA DJM18 25575 25729 25504 25678 86
S & P 500 SPM18 2843.25 2857 2835 2852.75 7.75
NASDAQ 100 NDM18 7382 7406.5 7321.5 7388.25 -2
Hang Seng HSH18 27210 27328 27001 27141 103
Nikkei 225 NKH18 22250 22325 22220 22270 120
FTSE 100 FTH18 7550 7572.5 7504 7555 17.5
Gold GCJ18 1180.4 1187.1 1178.5 1184.4 3.7
Silver SIK18 1462.5 1474 1456.5 1464.5 2
Copper HGK18 260.55 263.85 259.85 263.35 2.6
Crude Oil CLK18 65.43 66.35 65.27 66.01 0.58
Wheat WK18 541.75 562.5 534.75 559.75 18.5
Soybeans SK18 885.75 886.25 870.5 883.25 -2
Corn CK18 364.5 367.5 361.5 365 0

 

 

Daily Swings  (The Pivot Levels)
  Trading Range  
Contract S3 S2 S1 Pivot R1 R2 R3
DJM18 25320 25412 25545 25637 25770 25862 25995
SPM18 2817.50 2826.25 2839.50 2848.25 2861.50 2870.25 2883.50
NDM18 7252.67 7287.08 7337.67 7372.08 7422.67 7457.08 7507.67
HSH18 26658 26830 26985 27157 27312 27484 27639
NKH18 22113 22167 22218 22272 22323 22377 22428
FTH18 7446.67 7475.33 7515.17 7543.83 7583.67 7612.33 7652.17
GCJ18 1170.97 1174.73 1179.57 1183.33 1188.17 1191.93 1196.77
SIK18 1438.50 1447.50 1456.00 1465.00 1473.50 1482.50 1491.00
HGK18 256.85 258.35 260.85 262.35 264.85 266.35 268.85
CLK18 64.32 64.80 65.40 65.88 66.48 66.96 67.56
WK18 514.42 524.58 542.17 552.33 569.92 580.08 597.67
SK18 858.00 864.25 873.75 880.00 889.50 895.75 905.25
CK18 355.83 358.67 361.83 364.67 367.83 370.67 373.83

 

 

 Source: – News & Quotes (Courtesy:  Reuters)                                                                    

Disclaimer

This information has been prepared for information only and does not constitute an offer or commitment. This information does not constitute investment advice as defined by the rules of the FCA.

The firm or its staff members may trade on their own account and may from time to time hold or act as market makers in investments mentioned in this document. Please note that the firm makes no warranty, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions herein. All parties are advised to seek independent professional advice as to the suitability of any products and to their tax, accounting, legal or regulatory implications. City Credit Capital (UK) Ltd is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, reg 232015.

 

 

 

 

 

 

市場報告                     2018-08-20

     
Market Summary
週五(8月17日)美元指數繼續保持低迷態勢。因受到日內公佈的美加數據悲喜雙重天,加拿大7月CPI飆升至2011年以來最高水平,使得加元受到提振急漲近百點,此數據公佈後使得美元指數下挫至96.28。加上隨後出爐的美國密歇根大學指數不及預期與前值,為95.3,並創下去年9月以來最低水準,導緻美元指數進一步承壓,而美國7月諮商會領先指標月率為0.6%,高於前值0.5%和預期0.4%。美元指數最終收於96.09。

現貨黃金週五(8月17日)上漲,亞市早盤開於1173.80美元/金衡盎司後小幅震盪下行,錄得日內低點1171.75美元/金衡盎司後反彈。因受到黃金正在亞洲吸引“強勁”的實物買盤,幫助金價在1172.00美元/金衡盎司附近的支撐位,吸引了支撐位的買單,在盤整之後大幅逆轉並上破1180.00美元/金衡盎司。最終收在1184.00美元/金衡盎司。

國際原油週五收漲0.45美元,或0.69%,報65.93美元/桶。因市場風險情緒改善為原油等風險資產帶來支撐,同時美元承壓重挫更是加大了油價的反彈動能。

美國股市在週五收高,因受到美國解決與中國和墨西哥之間的貿易糾紛並且取得進展。道瓊工業指數上漲110.59點,或0.43%,至25,669.32點;標準普爾500指數上漲9.44點,或0.33%,至2,850.13點;納斯達克指數上漲9.81點,或0.13%,至7,816.33點。

個股方面,在發布疲弱的財測後,英偉達 NVDA.O 跌4.9%,應用材料 AMAT.O 下跌7.7%,拖累費城半導體指數 .SOX 下滑0.7%。而Nordstrom Inc JWN.N 則暴漲13.2%,此前該公司公佈同店銷售好於預期並上調盈利預估,逆百貨店財測疲弱的趨勢。

日本股市週五收高,因中美貿易戰露出轉機,使得日經225指數走揚,但漲幅有限,主要受美國半導體設備廠應材展望不佳、相關晶片設備廠走跌影響,指數終場僅收漲0.35%,或78.34點,收22,270.38點。

個股方面,景氣循環股如造船、金屬加工與金融股表現優於大盤,日本海運業者商船三井收高2.5%、住友金屬礦山與三菱日聯金融集團均收漲1.9%。而芯片設備製造類股遭遇賣壓,東京電子下跌1.4%,思可林下跌2.9%。此前全球最大的晶片製造設備供應商–美國應用材料對該公司當前季度的獲利及營收預測均遜於分析師預期。

 

Technical  Analysis
USDJPY

從日線圖上看,美元/日元隔夜回落收跌,最低觸及110.302一線後有所收窄。技術指標上,MACD看跌動能柱微增,RSI指標向下。後市看來,價格支撐位於110.500一線。上行方面,價格初步阻力目標考驗111關口,突破才有望進一步指向111.700一線。

 

EURUSD

從日線圖上看,歐元/美元隔夜延續反彈,最高探至1.14434一線。技術指標上,MACD看跌動能柱縮減,RSI指標向上延伸。後市看來,價格支撐考驗1.14000一線。上行方面,價格初步阻力看向1.16500一線。

 

GBPUSD

從日線圖上看,英鎊/美元隔夜小幅收漲,交投於1.27300一線附近。技術指標上,MACD看跌動能柱縮減,RSI指標依舊超賣。後市看來,價格考驗1.27000一線支撐力度。上行方面,價格阻力位於1.28200一線。

 

XAUUSD

從日線圖上看,金價隔夜反彈收漲,最高探至1184一線。技術指標上,MACD看跌動能柱縮減,RSI指標向上延伸。後市來看,金價初步阻力考驗1197一線。下行方面,金價支撐目標下看1167一線。

 

CL_

從日線圖上看,油價隔夜小幅收漲,最高觸及66.37一線後有所收窄。技術指標上,MACD看跌動能柱微縮,RSI指標小幅向上。後市來看,油價初步支撐位於64.40一線。上行方面,油價阻力位於68.60一線。

 

DJ_

從日線圖上看,價格隔夜震蕩收高,一度刷新新高至25728一線。技術指標上,MACD看跌動能柱縮減,RSI指標小幅向上。後市來看,價格阻力目標指向25800一線。下行方面,價格初步支撐看向25440一線。

 

NK_

從日線圖上看,價格隔夜震蕩收平,一度探低至22070一線後反彈。技術指標上,MACD看跌動能柱縮減,RSI指標小幅向下。後市來看,價格初步支撐位考驗22000關口,上方阻力位看向22400一線。

 

 

17 八月 2018

Daily Market View

       

Daily Market View

Friday, August 17, 2018
          U.S Stock Market

 

DJIA S & P 500 NASDAQ
25292 2841.00 7458.00
+1.61% +0.82% +0.45%

U.S stocks rose in a broad-based rally yesterday, helped by robust earnings from Wal-Mart and Cisco and easing trade worries after China and the United States said they would hold talks later this month. Wal-Mart shares surged 9.5 percent, the most on the S&P 500, after the retailer said U.S comparable sales grew the most in a decade and posted strong e-commerce sales. The S&P retailers’ index gained 0.63 percent. All of the 11 major S&P sectors were higher, with technology stocks up 0.79 percent. Cisco rose 4.6 percent after posting quarterly results and first-quarter sales forecast that topped Wall Street expectations. Second-quarter earnings have been stronger than expected, with 79.3 percent of the 463 S&P 500 that have reported so far beating analyst expectations. Department store chains were largely sitting out the rally, stung by Macy’s warning on margins on Wednesday and JC Penney’s weak results and lowered forecast.

 

 

Major Economic Releases for Today
Period Event GMT Forecast Previous

        jul

Euro-Zone Consumer Price Index Core (YoY) 09:00 1.1% 1.1%

jul

Euro-Zone Consumer Price Index (YoY) 09:00 2.1% 2.0%

jul

Canada Consumer Price Index (YoY) 12:30 2.5% 2.5%

jul

U.S Leading Index 14:00 0.4% 0.5%

aug

U.S U. of Mich. Sentiment 14:00 98 97.9

aug

U.S U. of Mich. Current Conditions 14:00   114.4

aug

U.S U. of Mich. Expectations 14:00   87.3

aug

U.S U. of Mich. 1 Yr Inflation 14:00   2.9%

aug

Baker Hughes U.S Rig Count 17:00    
Dow Jones Industrial Average

The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 1.58%. The best performers of the session on the Dow Jones Industrial Average were Walmart Inc., which rose 9.33% or 8.42 points to trade at 98.64 at the close. Meanwhile, Boeing Co added 4.28% or 14.21 points to end at 345.97 and Caterpillar Inc was up 3.23% or 4.26 points to 136.28 in late trade. The worst performers of the session were Intel Corporation, which fell 0.61% or 0.29 points to trade at 47.17 at the close. Walt Disney Company declined 0.31% or 0.35 points to end at 112.50 and Microsoft Corporation was down 0.02% or 0.02 points to 107.64.

 

NASDAQ 100

The tech heavy NASDAQ index added 0.42%. The top performers on the NASDAQ Composite were JMU Ltd which rose 46.83% to 1.850, Sphere 3D Corp which was up 34.38% to settle at 0.311 and SAExploration Holdings Inc. which gained 28.89% to close at 0.580. The worst performers were Pain Therapeutics Inc. which was down 47.45% to 1.030 in late trade, Helios and Matheson Analytics Inc. which lost 37.50% to settle at 0.030 and ParkerVision Inc. which was down 32.11% to 0.2600 at the close.

Oil

Oil rose slightly as global markets steadied yesterday, recovering some of the previous day’s 2 percent slide, though a weakening outlook for crude demand kept prices in check. The oil market slid on Wednesday as data showing a large build in U.S. inventories fed concern about the fuel demand outlook, while crude was also pressured by broader selling of industrial commodities such as copper. China and the United States have implemented several rounds of tariffs and threatened further duties on exports worth hundreds of billions of dollars, which could knock global economic growth. The crisis gripping the Turkish lira has rattled emerging markets and reverberated across equities, bonds and raw materials. On the supply front, U.S data on Wednesday showed crude output rose by 100,000 barrels per day (bpd) to 10.9 million bpd in the week ending Aug. 10. Crude inventories increased by 6.8 million barrels, representing the largest weekly rise since March last year.

 

 

Precious and Base Metals

Gold prices bounced from 19-month lows yesterday, as the U.S Dollar slipped on news that China and the United States will hold trade talks this month, although sentiment remained negative. Gold futures settled slightly down as the U.S Dollar came off its lows later in the trading session, yet remained negative. Spot gold gained 0.3 percent at $1,177.80 an ounce, from an earlier low of $1,159.96, its weakest since January last year. U.S gold futures for December delivery settled down $1, or 0.1 percent, at $1,184 per ounce. The lower dollar index is helping gold and the fact that the Chinese sent a delegation over. There was heavy gold selling out of China last night. Once the selling was done, a short-covering rally ensued. The meeting between a Chinese delegation and U.S representative’s offers hope for progress in resolving the trade conflict that has unnerved financial and commodity markets in recent weeks. Political and economic uncertainty has seen investors opt for the safety of U.S. Treasuries and the U.S. currency, which when it rises makes dollar-denominated gold more expensive for holders of other currencies, potentially subduing demand. The underlying narratives of a strong dollar and relatively high U.S. interest rates still seem to be the predominant headwinds for gold. Higher interest rates raise the cost of holding gold, which earns nothing and needs money to store and insure. Meanwhile, silver gained 1.7 percent at $14.67 an ounce after earlier hitting the lowest since February 2016 at $14.30. Palladium added 6 percent at $893.30 an ounce, earlier hitting a more than 13-month low at $832. Platinum climbed 2.6 percent at $782.98 an ounce, after earlier sinking to its lowest since October 2008 at $751.25. A lower rand cuts cost for South African miners when expressed in dollars, which means they can keep producing and delaying the process of rebalancing the market.

 

 

Traditional Agricultures

Wheat and corn firm yesterday on soy rally and easing dollar. Soybean futures rebounded sharply yesterday as news that Beijing and Washington will hold fresh trade talks raised hopes that U.S soybean sales to top importer China will revive after being stalled by a tariff dispute.

 

 

Futures Settlement Price Thursday, August 16, 2018
Instrument Contract Open High Low Settlement Net Change
DJIA DJM18 25197 25605 25144 25592 395
S & P 500 SPM18 2822 2851.5 2817.25 2845 22.75
NASDAQ 100 NDM18 7378.5 7433.75 7363 7390.25 14.75
Hang Seng HSH18 26805 27360 26786 27038 -196
Nikkei 225 NKH18 22000 22225 21860 22150 -45
FTSE 100 FTH18 7514.5 7565 7496 7537.5 51.5
Gold GCJ18 1182.3 1188.8 1166.9 1180.7 -1.3
Silver SIK18 1443.5 1481.5 1430 1462.5 18.5
Copper HGK18 258.35 264.25 256.35 260.75 1.85
Crude Oil CLK18 64.9 65.48 64.39 65.43 0.46
Wheat WK18 531.25 547.25 530.5 541.25 8.25
Soybeans SK18 858.75 887.75 854.25 885.25 27.25
Corn CK18 360.75 367 360.25 365 2.75

 

 

Daily Swings  (The Pivot Levels)
  Trading Range  
Contract S3 S2 S1 Pivot R1 R2 R3
DJM18 24828 24986 25289 25447 25750 25908 26211
SPM18 2790.08 2803.67 2824.33 2837.92 2858.58 2872.17 2892.83
NDM18 7286.83 7324.92 7357.58 7395.67 7428.33 7466.42 7499.08
HSH18 26189 26487 26763 27061 27337 27635 27911
NKH18 21567 21713 21932 22078 22297 22443 22662
FTH18 7431.67 7463.83 7500.67 7532.83 7569.67 7601.83 7638.67
GCJ18 1146.90 1156.90 1168.80 1178.80 1190.70 1200.70 1212.60
SIK18 1383.00 1406.50 1434.50 1458.00 1486.00 1509.50 1537.50
HGK18 248.75 252.55 256.65 260.45 264.55 268.35 272.45
CLK18 63.63 64.01 64.72 65.10 65.81 66.19 66.90
WK18 515.33 522.92 532.08 539.67 548.83 556.42 565.58
SK18 830.25 842.25 863.75 875.75 897.25 909.25 930.75
CK18 354.42 357.33 361.17 364.08 367.92 370.83 374.67

 

 

 Source: – News & Quotes (Courtesy:  Reuters)                                                                    

Disclaimer

This information has been prepared for information only and does not constitute an offer or commitment. This information does not constitute investment advice as defined by the rules of the FCA.

The firm or its staff members may trade on their own account and may from time to time hold or act as market makers in investments mentioned in this document. Please note that the firm makes no warranty, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions herein. All parties are advised to seek independent professional advice as to the suitability of any products and to their tax, accounting, legal or regulatory implications. City Credit Capital (UK) Ltd is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, reg 232015.

 

 

 

 

 

 

市場報告                     2018-08-17

     
Market Summary
週四(8月16日)美元指數下跌,亞市盤中美元指數位於96.5震盪,美市開盤,日內公佈的美國上周初請失業救濟金人數為21萬2千人,低於前值21萬3千人,也低於市場預期21萬5千人,另一個重要數據美國8月費城聯儲製造業指數為11.9,遠低於前值25.7和市場預期22.0,數據顯示雖然美國失業率降低,但製造業前景更令投資者擔心,數據公佈完後美元指數下跌,最低來到96.31,美市盤中美國財政部長努欽警告,華盛頓準備對土耳其實施更多制裁,土耳其里拉暴跌,資金開始逃竄並流入美元,美元指數上漲,最高來到96.7,隨後美元指數轉盤整,最終收在96.59。

現貨黃金週四(8月16日)走勢震盪,亞市早盤黃金突然暴跌,從開盤1174.60美元/金衡盎司,一路下跌至盤中最低1160.05美元/金衡盎司,但未能突破1160.00美元/金衡盎司,黃金隨後開始反彈,日內最高觸及1181.80美元/金衡盎司,美元於美市盤中走高後,黃金受承壓最終收在1173.80美元/金衡盎司。

國際原油週四收漲0.6美元,或0.92%,報65.48美元/桶。應美方邀請,中國商務部副部長兼國際貿易談判副代表王受文擬於8月下旬率團訪美,與美國財政部副部長瑪律帕斯率領的美方代表團就雙方各自關注的中美經貿問題進行磋商,這有效改善了市場的風險情緒,幫助原油等風險類資產獲得支撐,同時美元走弱也為油價反彈創造條件。

美國股市在週四上漲,因企業發佈樂觀業績,貿易不安情緒減弱提振投資者信心。道瓊工業指數上漲396.32點,或1.58%,至25,558.73點;標準普爾500指數上漲22.32點,或0.79%,至2,840.69點;納斯達克指數上漲32.41點,或0.42%,至7,806.52點。

個股方面,思科 CSCO.O 上揚3.0%,之前該公司公佈的季度營收和獲利均超過華爾街的目標。網路安全公司賽門鐵克 SYMC.O 結束五連跌,急升4.6%,之前對沖基金Starboard Value LP購買了該公司5.8%的股份。J.C. Penney Co Inc JCP.N 觸及紀錄收盤低位元,暴跌27.0%,之前該公司公佈令人失望的營收,並預計全年虧損超預期。

日本股市週四下跌,因中國商務部副部長兼國際貿易談判副代表王受文應美方邀請、擬於8月下旬率團訪美,減緩美中貿易摩擦加劇疑慮,提振日經指數跌幅狂縮且數度翻紅,終場小跌0.05%或12.18點,收22,192.04點。

個股方面,Panasonic重挫2.12%,特斯拉冷落太陽能,Panasonic美國工廠生產傳陷入停滯,將中止和特斯拉之間的獨家供應契約。日本雅虎大跌2.48%,軟銀重挫1.82%,蘋果疑似對日本雅虎的遊戲下載事業施加壓力、妨礙交易,日本當局展開調查,而傳出雅虎最大股東軟銀居中調解、導致日本當局的調查不順。資生堂慘跌5.35%,Kose暴跌8.11%,Pola Orbis Holdings重挫2.27%,美容健康機器廠商YA-MAN狂瀉10.03%。

Technical  Analysis
USDJPY

從日線圖上看,美元/日元隔夜小幅收漲,一度突破111關口后收窄。技術指標上,MACD看跌動能柱縮減,RSI指標小幅向上。後市看來,價格初步支撐位於110.500一線。上行方面,價格阻力目標考驗111關口,突破則進一步指向111.700一線。

 

EURUSD

從日線圖上看,歐元/美元隔夜小幅反彈,一度觸及1.14一線后收窄。技術指標上,MACD看跌動能柱縮減,RSI指標向上脫離超賣區。後市看來,價格支撐依舊考驗1.13000一線。上行方面,價格初步阻力看向1.14700一線。

 

GBPUSD

從日線圖上看,英鎊/美元隔夜低位震蕩,交投于1.27100一線附近。技術指標上,MACD看跌動能柱縮減,RSI指標超賣。後市看來,價格考驗1.26300一線支撐力度。上行方面,價格阻力位於1.28200一線。

 

XAUUSD

從日線圖上看,金價隔夜震蕩收平,最低觸及1160一線后反彈。技術指標上,MACD看跌動能柱擴張,RSI指標超賣。後市來看,金價初步阻力考驗1190一線。下行方面,金價支撐目標依舊下看1130一線。

 

CL_

從日線圖上看,油價隔夜小幅收漲,一度從日低64.41一線反彈。技術指標上,MACD看跌動能柱溫和,RSI指標小幅向上。後市來看,油價初步支撐位於64.00關口。上行方面,油價阻力位於67.20一線。

 

DJ_

從日線圖上看,價格隔夜大幅收漲,飆升至25605一線。技術指標上,MACD看跌動能柱縮減,RSI指標向上。後市來看,價格阻力目標指向25700一線。下行方面,價格初步支撐看向25400一線。

 

NK_

從日線圖上看,價格隔夜反彈收漲,一度從日低21860一線反彈。技術指標上,MACD看跌動能柱縮減,RSI指標向上。後市來看,價格初步支撐位考驗22000關口,上方阻力位看向22500一線。

 

 

16 八月 2018

Daily Market View

   

Daily Market View

Thursday, August 16, 2018
          U.S Stock Market

 

DJIA S & P 500 NASDAQ
25197 2822.25 7375.50
-0.54% -0.81% -1.27%

U.S stock index futures dropped yesterday, with investors weighing the impact of Turkey’s currency crisis as well as the escalating tariff tensions between the United States and its trading partners. While the lira continues to pull back from record lows against the dollar, Turkey doubled tariffs on some U.S imports including alcohol, cars and tobacco in retaliation to U.S moves. Meanwhile, Beijing has lodged a complaint to the World Trade Organization to help determine the legality of U.S. tariff and subsidy policies. Adding to the downbeat sentiment was a slide in oil prices due to a gloomier global economic outlook and a report of rising U.S. crude inventories, even as U.S sanctions on Tehran threatened to curb Iranian crude oil supplies. Shares of oil producers Exxon and Chevron, both members of the Dow Jones Industrial Average, slipped. Retail stock will continue to be in focus as a report is expected to show U.S. retail sales rose 0.1 percent in July, lower than a 0.5 percent increase in June.

 

 

Major Economic Releases for Today
Period Event GMT Forecast Previous

        jul

Australia Employment Change 01:30 15.0k 50.9k

jul

Australia Unemployment Rate 01:30 5.4% 5.4%

jul

U.K Retail Sales Ex Auto Fuel (YoY) 08:30 2.7% 3.0%

jun

Euro-Zone Trade Balance (euros) 09:00   16.5b

aug

U.S Initial Jobless Claims 12:30 215k  

aug

U.S Continuing Claims 12:30 1741k  

jul

U.S Housing Starts (MoM) 12:30 7.4% -12.3%

jul

U.S Building Permits (MoM) 12:30 1.4% -2.2%

aug

U.S Philadelphia Fed Business Outlook 12:30 22 25.7
Dow Jones Industrial Average

The Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 0.54% yesterday. The best performers of the session on the Dow Jones Industrial Average were Merck & Company Inc., which rose 1.35% or 0.90 points to trade at 67.36 at the close. Meanwhile, Procter & Gamble Company added 1.21% or 0.98 points to end at 82.29 and Pfizer Inc. was up 1.11% or 0.45 points to 41.16 in late trade. The worst performers of the session were Chevron Corp, which fell 3.79% or 4.64 points to trade at 117.94 at the close. Boeing Co declined 2.18% or 7.40 points to end at 331.74 and Caterpillar Inc. was down 2.15% or 2.90 points to 132.02.

 

NASDAQ 100

The tech heavy NASDAQ index fell 1.23% yesterday. The top performers on the NASDAQ Composite were Pain Therapeutics Inc. which rose 76.58% to 1.960, GWG Holdings Inc. which was up 36.54% to settle at 10.09 and Citius Pharmaceuticals Inc. which gained 24.06% to close at 1.650. The worst performers were Yogaworks Inc. which was down 41.40% to 1.09 in late trade, ParkerVision Inc. which lost 33.97% to settle at 0.3830 and ReShape Lifesciences Inc. which was down 33.41% to 0.0815 at the close.

Oil

Oil prices plunged in yesterday’s trading session after government data showed a big, unexpected jump in stockpiles of U.S crude, compounding pressure as the outlook for global economic growth darkened and the stock market slumped. U.S light crude ended Wednesday’s session down $2.03 a barrel, or 3 percent, at $65.01, its lowest closing prices since June 6. The contract hit an eight-week intraday low at $64.51. U.S commercial crude inventories rose by 6.8 million barrels in the week through Aug. 10, the Energy Information Administration reported. Analysts in a Reuters’ poll had forecast stockpiles would fall by 2.5 million barrels. The jump in stocks occurred as the nation’s crude imports surged by 1 million barrels a day, while its exports fell by more than 250,000 bpd. That offset record activity at American refineries, which ran at 98 percent capacity. Stocks at the closely watched U.S delivery hub at Cushing, Oklahoma rose by 1.6 million barrels.

 

 

Precious and Base Metals

Gold prices slipped to their lowest since January 2017 early yesterday, pressured as the U.S. dollar clung to its highest in 13 months. Spot gold was down 0.1 percent at $1,192.11 an ounce, after hitting its lowest since late January 2017 at $1,190.77. U.S gold futures were down 0.1 percent at $1,199.1 an ounce. Asian stocks sagged on Wednesday, failing to track Wall Street’s gains and with the dollar near a 13-month peak as concerns about Turkey’s financial crisis weighed on investor appetite, despite the lira’s move away from an all-time low. President Tayyip Erdogan said on Tuesday that Turkey would boycott electronic products from the United States, retaliating in a row with Washington that has helped drive the lira to record lows. U.S import prices were unchanged in July as a surge in the cost of fuels was offset by weak prices elsewhere; suggesting that a strong dollar was keeping imported inflation in check. Eurozone growth was better than expected in the second quarter, flash estimates showed on Tuesday, in a sign that the negative effects of global trade tensions might be seen only later in the year. The Chinese government is expediting plans to invest billions of dollars in infrastructure projects as its economy shows signs of cooling further, with investment growth slowing to a record low and consumers turning more cautious. SPDR Gold Trust, the world’s largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund, said its holdings fell 1.01 percent to 776.65 tonnes on Tuesday from 784.60 tonnes on Monday. South Africa’s Gold Fields said on Tuesday it plans to cut costs and 1,100 jobs at its struggling South Deep mine, sending its shares down more than 12 percent. Copper prices hit their lowest levels in 13 months yesterday and entered a bear market, potentially signaling an economic slowdown is happening around the world. Earlier this week, China reported weaker-than-expected industrial production and retail sales growth, raising worries that the second-largest economy in the world could be headed for a slowdown.

 

 

Traditional Agriculture

Soybeans, wheat, and corn fell in yesterday’s trading session on the back of a stronger Dollar and worries about U.S export prospects as bumper crops in the United States loom.

 

 

 

Futures Settlement Price Wednesday, August 15, 2018
Instrument Contract Open High Low Settlement Net Change
DJIA DJM18 25308 25314 24952 25197 -102
S & P 500 SPM18 2841.75 2842.75 2803 2822.25 -19.25
NASDAQ 100 NDM18 7460.25 7464.25 7316.75 7375.5 -83.5
Hang Seng HSH18 27666 27673 27146 27234 -407
Nikkei 225 NKH18 22325 22350 22080 22195 -135
FTSE 100 FTH18 7604.5 7612.5 7449.5 7486 -131.5
Gold GCJ18 1201.2 1201.6 1179.8 1182 -19.4
Silver SIK18 1505 1506 1433.5 1444 -63
Copper HGK18 268.4 268.85 255.2 258.9 -10
Crude Oil CLK18 66.58 66.86 64.47 64.97 -1.74
Wheat WK18 541.5 542.25 528 533 -9.25
Soybeans SK18 870.25 872 855.75 858 -11
Corn CK18 362 363 358.5 362.25 -0.5

 

Daily Swings  (The Pivot Levels)
  Trading Range  
Contract S3 S2 S1 Pivot R1 R2 R3
DJM18 24633 24792 24995 25154 25357 25516 25719
SPM18 2762.83 2782.92 2802.58 2822.67 2842.33 2862.42 2882.08
NDM18 7159.25 7238.00 7306.75 7385.50 7454.25 7533.00 7601.75
HSH18 26502 26824 27029 27351 27556 27878 28083
NKH18 21797 21938 22067 22208 22337 22478 22607
FTH18 7256.50 7353.00 7419.50 7516.00 7582.50 7679.00 7745.50
GCJ18 1152.20 1166.00 1174.00 1187.80 1195.80 1209.60 1217.60
SIK18 1343.83 1388.67 1416.33 1461.17 1488.83 1533.67 1561.33
HGK18 239.47 247.33 253.12 260.98 266.77 274.63 280.42
CLK18 61.62 63.04 64.01 65.43 66.40 67.82 68.79
WK18 512.33 520.17 526.58 534.42 540.83 548.67 555.08
SK18 835.58 845.67 851.83 861.92 868.08 878.17 884.33
CK18 355.00 356.75 359.50 361.25 364.00 365.75 368.50

 

 

 Source: – News & Quotes (Courtesy:  Reuters)                                                                    

Disclaimer

This information has been prepared for information only and does not constitute an offer or commitment. This information does not constitute investment advice as defined by the rules of the FCA.

The firm or its staff members may trade on their own account and may from time to time hold or act as market makers in investments mentioned in this document. Please note that the firm makes no warranty, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions herein. All parties are advised to seek independent professional advice as to the suitability of any products and to their tax, accounting, legal or regulatory implications. City Credit Capital (UK) Ltd is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, reg 232015.

 

 

 

 

 

 

市場報告                     2018-08-16

     
Market Summary
週三(8月15日)美元指數持續上漲,最高觸及至96.89,日內公佈的美國7月零售銷售為0.5%,與前值相同,但低於預期0.1%,主要因服裝和餐飲銷售強勁,消費支出穩健增長的態勢延續到了第三季度。美市盤中卡達已經承諾對土耳其投資150億美元之後,土耳其對美國施加關稅,美土關係日益惡化,美元指數受到承壓,許多投資者紛紛獲利了結,美元指數最終收在96.71。

現貨黃金週三(8月15日)持續暴跌,受到美元指數走高的影響,美市盤中黃金最低下探至1172.85美元/金衡盎司,金價已跌破1180美元/金衡盎司,許多投資者繼續放空黃金,金價一路下跌,隨後黃金轉盤整,最終收在1174.55美元/金衡盎司。

國際原油週三收跌1.79美元,或2.68%,報64.88美元/桶。全球經濟形勢的悲觀前景影響原油需求表現,而美國原油庫存報告又整體利空,結合美元維持強勢,日內油價承壓重挫。美國能源資訊署(EIA)週三(8月15日)公佈報告顯示,截至8月10日當周,美國原油庫存增加680.5萬桶,創2017年3月10日當周(75周)以來最大單周增幅,前值則是減少135.1萬桶。

美國股市在週三下跌,因為在一系列企業發佈令人失望的業績和全球關稅憂慮加重之際,投資者轉向避險交易。道瓊工業指數下跌137.51點,或0.54%,至25,162.41點;標準普爾500指數下跌21.59點,或0.76%,至2,818.37點;納斯達克指數下跌96.78點,或1.23%,至7,774.12點。

個股方面,特斯拉 TSLA.O 下跌2.6%,因據福克斯商業新聞報導,美國證券交易委員會(SEC)就特斯拉執行長馬斯克將公司私有化計畫和資金已落實的聲明發出傳票。加拿大大麻生產商Canopy Growth CGC.N 飆升30.4%,之前柯洛娜啤酒生產商Constellation Brands STZ.N 宣佈將增持該公司股份。墨西哥卷餅連鎖店Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc CMG.N 急升6.6%,之前摩根士丹利將該公司評級從表現與同業一致上調至表現強於同業。

日本股市週三下跌,因上證等亞股昨日走跌、人民幣續貶,加上土耳其報復美國、調高部分美國產品關稅,衝擊投資人信心,也拖累日經指數翻黑、且跌幅一度擴大至近250點,終場下挫0.68%或151.86點,收22,204.22點。

個股方面,日本製藥廠Astellas跌0.37%,為刪減成本,日本各家製藥廠掀起醫藥行銷師(MR)裁員潮,3年恐逾3,000人失業。軟銀大跌2.63%,軟銀旗下美國電信商Sprint將攜手LG,於2019年前半在美開賣5G智慧手機。

Technical  Analysis
USDJPY

從日線圖上看,美元/日元隔夜震蕩收跌,最高觸及111.418一線后跳水。技術指標上,MACD看跌動能柱微增,RSI指標拐頭向下。後市看來,價格初步支撐位於110.500一線。上行方面,價格阻力目標考驗111關口,突破則進一步指向111.700一線。

 

EURUSD

從日線圖上看,歐元/美元隔夜震蕩收平,最低觸及1.12997一線后收窄。技術指標上,MACD看跌動能柱微增,RSI指標超賣。後市看來,價格支撐依舊考驗1.13000一線。上行方面,價格初步阻力看向1.14500一線。

 

GBPUSD

從日線圖上看,英鎊/美元隔夜小幅收跌,低位交投于1.27一線附近。技術指標上,MACD看跌動能柱微縮,RSI指標超賣。後市看來,價格考驗1.26300一線支撐力度。上行方面,價格阻力位於1.28400一線。

 

XAUUSD

從日線圖上看,金價隔夜再創新低,最低探至1172.85一線。技術指標上,MACD看跌動能柱擴張,RSI指標超賣。後市來看,金價初步阻力考驗1190一線。下行方面,金價支撐目標進一步下看1130一線。

 

CL_

從日線圖上看,油價隔夜延續收跌,最低探至64.50一線。技術指標上,MACD看跌動能柱擴張,RSI指標向下延伸逼近超賣區。後市來看,油價初步支撐位於64.00關口。上行方面,油價阻力位於67.50一線。

 

DJ_

從日線圖上看,價格隔夜小幅收跌,一度觸及日低24953一線后收窄。技術指標上,MACD看跌動能柱擴張,RSI指標向下。後市來看,價格阻力目標指向25380一線。下行方面,價格支撐進一步看向25000關口。

 

NK_

從日線圖上看,價格隔夜回落收跌,全數回吐前一日升幅。技術指標上,MACD看跌動能柱擴張,RSI指標拐頭向下。後市來看,價格支撐位考驗21800一線,上方阻力位看向22400一線。

 

 

市場報告                     2018-08-15

     
Market Summary
週二(8月14日)日內美國沒有重要的經濟數據公佈,亞洲時段美元指數在96.4附近震盪,歐美時段,受到土耳其的影響,資金紛紛開始逃亡,美元指數多頭從96.25開始上漲,一路漲到日內最高96.79,同時也突破2018年以來新高,隨後美元指數轉盤整,最終收在96.67。

現貨黃金週二亞市早盤開於1193.40美元/金衡盎司後,小幅探底回升,歐美盤中最高上探至1198.45美元/金衡盎司,但金價仍運行在1200.00美元/金衡盎司下方,美市盤中金價開始拉回,最低下探至1191.75美元/金衡盎司,隨後黃金轉盤整,最終收在1193.75美元/金衡盎司。

國際原油週二收跌0.69美元,或1.02%,報66.67美元/桶。雖然沙特7月產量意外下降,但美元指數強勢走高令原油等以美元計價的大宗商品價格承壓,同時美國石油鑽井數再度攀升也令多頭擔憂情緒加重。

美國股市在週二上漲,因一系列公司獲利穩健提振投資者的樂觀情緒,土耳其里拉反彈緩解危機進一歩擴散的擔憂,道瓊工業指數上漲112.22點,或0.45%,至25,299.92點;標準普爾500指數上漲18.03點,或0.64%,至2,839.96點;納斯達克指數上漲51.19點,或0.65%,至7,870.89點。

個股方面,特斯拉 TSLA.O 下跌2.5%,此前公司稱,組成了一個特別委員會,評估公司私有化提議,但尚未收到首席執行長馬斯克的正式提議。百勝中國 YUMC.N 股價攀升4%,因有消息稱,中國投資公司和DCP Capital可能收購該公司。美國雜貨零售商克羅格 KR.N 股價收高2.4%,宣佈將通過阿裡巴巴 BABA.N 的天貓平臺在中國銷售其自有品牌Simple Truth產品。

日本股市週二上漲,因土耳其里拉止貶強彈,市場避險情緒暫歇,日元轉貶,激勵日經225指數14日以紅盤22,053點開出後,指數漲幅就逐步擴大、開高走高,終場大漲2.28%或498.65點,收在22,356.08點。

個股方面,夏普小跌0.07%,盤中一度勁揚1.48%,電視用液晶面板價格1年9個月來首度揚升。日本OLED電視龍頭Sony勁揚1.81%,日本OLED電視需求夯,H1銷售量較去年同期飆增7倍。液晶製造/檢查設備商V-Technology狂飆9.26%。中國需求旺,V-Tech上季純益飆增3倍、創同期歷史新高。

Technical  Analysis
USDJPY

從日線圖上看,美元/日元隔夜大幅收漲,重回111關口上方。技術指標上,MACD看跌動能柱縮減,RSI指標向上延伸。後市看來,價格初步支撐位於110.900一線。上行方面,價格阻力目標進一步考驗111.700一線。

 

EURUSD

從日線圖上看,歐元/美元隔夜大幅收跌,最低探至1.13288一線。技術指標上,MACD看跌動能柱擴張,RSI指標超賣。後市看來,價格支撐依舊考驗1.13000一線。上行方面,價格初步阻力看向1.14500一線。

 

GBPUSD

從日線圖上看,英鎊/美元隔夜沖高回落,一度反彈至1.28264一線后跳水。技術指標上,MACD看跌動能柱擴張,雙線向下延伸,RSI指標超賣。後市看來,價格考驗1.27關口支撐力度。上行方面,價格阻力位於1.28400一線。

 

XAUUSD

從日線圖上看,金價隔夜震蕩收平,窄幅交投于1193一線附近。技術指標上,MACD看跌動能柱擴張,RSI指標超賣。後市來看,金價關鍵阻力考驗1200關口。下行方面,金價初步支撐看向1130一線。

 

CL_

從日線圖上看,油價隔夜回落收跌,一度探高至68.35一線后跳水。技術指標上,MACD看跌動能柱擴張,RSI指標小幅向下。後市來看,油價初步支撐位於66.00一線。上行方面,油價阻力位於68.70一線。

 

DJ_

從日線圖上看,價格隔夜小幅收漲,交投于25200一線附近。技術指標上,MACD看跌動能柱微增,RSI指標向上。後市來看,價格阻力目標指向25400一線。下行方面,價格支撐進一步看向25000關口。

 

NK_

從日線圖上看,價格隔夜大幅收漲,最高探至22370一線。技術指標上,MACD看跌動能柱溫和,RSI指標向上。後市來看,價格支撐位考驗22100一線,上方阻力位看向22500一線。

 

 

 市場報告                     2018-08-14

     
Market Summary
週一(8月13日)日內美國沒有重要的經濟數據公佈,市場交易清淡,受到週五美元指數大漲的影響,週一亞市盤內美元指數在96.50震盪,美市開盤後,投資者開始結清出場,美元指數從96.49滑落,最低來到96.16,隨著買盤又再次湧入,最終美元指數收在96.32。

現貨黃金週一亞市早盤開於1212.20美元/金衡盎司後,金價直線墜落,並跌破1200.00美元/金衡盎司大關,歐美時段歐市金價延續跌勢,金價不斷走低,錄得日內低點1191.40美元/金衡盎司後轉盤整,最終收在1193.50美元/金衡盎司。

國際原油週一收跌0.25美元,或0.37%,報67.36美元/桶。OPEC下調明年原油需求增速預期,這令油價前景蒙上陰影。7月OPEC原油產量增加4.1萬桶/日至3230萬桶/日。不過沙特再次讓增產努力蒙上疑雲。沙特上個月減少鑽探活動,而美國、中國和印度也正在施壓要求降低燃料價格。

美國股市在週一走低,因土耳其里拉崩跌引發的全球憂慮蔓延至華爾街。道瓊工業指數下跌125.44點,或0.5%,至25,187.7點;標準普爾500指數下跌11.35點,或0.40%,至2,821.93點;納斯達克指數下跌19.40點,或0.25%,至7,819.71點。

個股方面,流媒體服務公司網飛 NFLX.O 公佈首席財務長David Wells離職,股價挫跌1.3%。摩托車製造商哈雷大衛森 HOG.N 下滑4.3%,此前美國總統特朗普發推文支持抵制該公司的行動。特斯拉公司 TSLA.O 小漲0.3%,公司首席執行官馬斯克表示,正在與沙烏地阿拉伯的主權財富基金和其私有化計畫的其它支持者洽商,但他表示,融資尚未敲定。

日本股市週一下跌,受到土耳其里拉暴貶衝擊擴大影響,印度盧比等新興國家貨幣也跟隨里拉腳步創低,作為避險資產的日元則走高,拖累日經225指數13日重挫,終場大跌1.98%或440.65點,收21,857.43點。

個股方面,夏普大跌3.28%,夏普傳將推出IoT用新型太陽能電池,可能將委外生產。PKSHA慘摔5.04%,AI夯,PKSHA上季營收暴增5成,不過財測預估維持不變。PCB廠名幸逆勢狂飆17.47%。PCB訂單夯,稼動率維持高水準,Meiko上季純益飆增3倍。大塚家具逆勢漲0.51%,大塚家具拚重建,傳已和台灣能率集團洽談合作。日本造船廠大跌,三井E&S重挫2.45%。川崎重工業重挫2.68%,搶輸韓陸廠,日廠7月造船訂單量驟減4成。

Technical  Analysis
USDJPY

從日線圖上看,美元/日元隔夜震蕩收漲,一度探低至110.097一線后反彈走高。技術指標上,MACD看跌動能柱微增,RSI指標小幅向下。後市看來,價格關鍵支撐位於110關口。上行方面,價格初步阻力目標考驗110.900一線。

 

EURUSD

從日線圖上看,歐元/美元隔夜小幅收漲,低位交投于1.14000一線附近。技術指標上,MACD看跌動能柱擴張,RSI指標超賣區附近。後市看來,價格支撐依舊考驗1.13000一線。上行方面,價格阻力初步看向1.15200一線。

 

GBPUSD

從日線圖上看,英鎊/美元隔夜震蕩收平,窄幅交投于1.27600一線附近。技術指標上,MACD看跌動能柱擴張,雙線向下延伸,RSI指標超賣。後市看來,價格進一步考驗1.27關口支撐力度。上行方面,價格阻力位於1.28400一線。

 

XAUUSD

從日線圖上看,金價隔夜大幅收跌,下破1200關口。技術指標上,MACD看跌動能柱顯現,RSI指標超賣。後市來看,金價關鍵阻力考驗1200關口。下行方面,金價初步支撐看向1130一線。

 

CL_

從日線圖上看,油價隔夜小幅收跌,一度觸及日低65.70一線后收窄。技術指標上,MACD看跌動能柱縮減,RSI指標小幅向下。後市來看,油價初步支撐位於66.30一線。上行方面,油價阻力位於68.70一線。

 

DJ_

從日線圖上看,價格隔夜延續回落,最低觸及25141一線。技術指標上,MACD看跌動能柱擴張,RSI指標向下延伸。後市來看,價格阻力目標指向25400一線。下行方面,價格支撐進一步看向25000關口。

 

NK_

從日線圖上看,價格隔夜小幅收低,一度下破22000關口后收窄。技術指標上,MACD看跌動能柱擴張,RSI指標小向下。後市來看,價格支撐位依舊考驗22000關口,上方阻力位看向22400一線。

 

 

13 八月 2018

Daily  Market View

   

Daily  Market View

Monday, August 13, 2018
          U.S Stock Market

 

DJIA S & P 500 NASDAQ
25332 2837.25 7427.25
-0.77% -0.71% -0.67%

U.S stocks fell on Friday as a deepening crisis in Turkey dragged on bank stocks and triggered fears that it could spread to other global economies. At the heart of the crisis was a slump in the Turkish lira, which worsened after President Donald Trump doubled tariffs on steel and aluminum imported from the country. The currency crisis is actually a banking crisis as Turkey owes so much money to so many different banks, that they risk a potential contagion. As long as Trump is going to be willy-nilly with tariffs, there’s going to be a lot of uncertainty and markets thrive on certainty. Citigroup, the most global of the major U.S. banks, fell 2.3 percent. JPMorgan, Wells Fargo and Bank of America were all down about 1 percent. Investors fled to safe-haven assets, pushing the dollar to a 13-month high and weighing on U.S. bond yields that slipped to a three-week low. Shares of trade-sensitive companies declined, with Boeing, 3M, and Caterpillar down between 2.3 percent and 4 percent.

 

Major Economic Releases for Today
Period Event GMT Forecast Previous

aug

Switzerland Total Sight Deposits 08:00    

aug

Switzerland Domestic Sight Deposits 08:00    

 

U.S to Sell 3-Month Bills 15:30    

 

U.S to Sell 6-Month Bills 15:30    

aug

ANZ Roy Morgan Weekly Consumer Confidence Index 23:30    
Dow Jones Industrial Average

The Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 0.77% on Friday. The best performers of the session on the Dow Jones Industrial Average were Walmart Inc., which rose 1.31% or 1.17 points to trade at 90.18 at the close. Meanwhile, Chevron Corp added 0.66% or 0.81 points to end at 123.34 and Walgreens Boots Alliance Inc. was up 0.48% or 0.32 points to 66.49 in late trade. The worst performers of the session were Intel Corporation, which fell 2.57% or 1.29 points to trade at 48.85 at the close. Caterpillar Inc. declined 1.88% or 2.60 points to end at 135.92 and Dow DuPont Inc. was down 1.85% or 1.28 points to 67.74.

 

 

 

NASDAQ 100

The tech heavy NASDAQ index fell 0.67% in Friday’s trading session. The top performers of the sesseion on the NASDAQ Composite were Chiasma Inc. which rose 40.00% to 1.75, Trade Desk Inc. which was up 37.13% to settle at 127.93 and Sonoma Pharmaceuticals Inc. which gained 32.18% to close at 2.300. The worst performers were Aralez Pharmaceuticals Inc. which was down 83.14% to 0.06 in late trade, Gemphire Therapeutics Inc. which lost 44.95% to settle at 1.80 and Endologix Inc. which was down 36.92% to 2.99 at the close.

Oil

Crude-oil prices finished sharply higher in Friday’s trading session, but the benchmark notched an overall decline for the week as a forecast for rising global crude demand, and supply boosts from Russia, offset lingering concerns about trade tensions cutting global consumption of energy products. Crude oil prices just posted their longest losing streak in three years, registering six straight weeks of declines, and one veteran oil watcher says there could be much more volatility ahead. Crude oil traders will stay focused on a plethora of bearish factors currently weighing on the market in the week ahead, after U.S. crude prices suffered their sixth straight weekly loss last week – their worst losing streak since August 2015. Brent meanwhile suffered its fifth week of declines in six, as investors worried that global trade disputes, most notably between the U.S and China, could slow economic growth and hurt demand for energy.

 

 

Precious and Base Metals

Gold prices were on track for their fifth consecutive weekly fall on Friday as the dollar surged to its strongest in more than a year, making bullion more expensive for buyers with other currencies. Investors rushed to the safety of the greenback as the Turkish lira collapsed as much as 14 percent on Friday to a record low, Russia’s Rouble crumbled to a two-year low and the euro and pound touched their weakest levels in a year. With the turmoil in Turkey spreading to other markets, gold – traditionally used as a safe investment in times of uncertainty – also saw some extra interest, but this was overpowered by the effect of the strong dollar. There is a battle going on between the strengthening dollar and some safe-haven demand emerging from the contagion risk following the collapse of the lira. Spot gold was down 0.2 percent at $1,210.15 an ounce, with the dollar 0.6 percent stronger against a basket of major currencies. U.S. gold futures were 0.2 percent lower at $1,218 an ounce. Gold has tumbled more than 11 percent from an April high to a one-year low of $1,204 last week as the dollar rallied to 13-month highs and investors exited gold positions and began to speculate on lower prices. Holdings of gold at exchange-traded funds (ETFs) tracked by Reuters have fallen by 3.7 million ounces, or 6.3 percent, since late May to the lowest in almost a year. Speculators have meanwhile expanded their net short position on the Comex exchange to the biggest ever recorded, helping to drive prices lower. Adding to the pressure on gold are expectations that the U.S. Federal Reserve will raise interest rates next month, bolstering the dollar and U.S bond yields and damaging the appeal of non-yielding gold. If gold rises, investors could be forced to liquidate short positions, which would lift prices. But this is unlikely to happen until gold reaches around $1,230. Silver was down 0.3 percent at $15.36 an ounce. Silver and palladium were on track for small weekly losses, while platinum was up slightly on the week.

 

Traditional Agricultures

Soybean futures dropped more than 4 percent on Friday after the USDA projected larger-than-expected crop yields in the United States and said U.S and global stocks of the oilseed would swell to record highs.

 

 

Futures Settlement Price Friday, August 10, 2018
Instrument Contract Open High Low Settlement Net Change
DJIA DJM18 25474 25487 25212 25332 -165
S & P 500 SPM18 2852.25 2852.75 2826 2837.25 -16.75
NASDAQ 100 NDM18 7471 7472.25 7390.25 7427.25 -48.75
Hang Seng HSH18 28483 28575 28169 28210 -329
Nikkei 225 NKH18 22545 22605 22240 22295 -310
FTSE 100 FTH18 7695.5 7697 7632.5 7644 -85
Gold GCJ18 1220 1224.6 1212.9 1218.8 -1.5
Silver SIK18 1544.5 1545 1528 1528.5 -18.5
Copper HGK18 276.35 277.45 273.1 274.2 -2.75
Crude Oil CLK18 66.7 67.83 66.11 67.59 0.82
Wheat WK18 563.5 573.75 545.5 546.25 -18.5
Soybeans SK18 890.25 891 849.75 850.25 -43
Corn CK18 367.5 369.5 356.5 357.5 -12

 

 

Daily Swings  (The Pivot Levels)
  Trading Range  
Contract S3 S2 S1 Pivot R1 R2 R3
DJM18 24925 25069 25200 25344 25475 25619 25750
SPM18 2797.83 2811.92 2824.58 2838.67 2851.33 2865.42 2878.08
NDM18 7305.58 7347.92 7387.58 7429.92 7469.58 7511.92 7551.58
HSH18 27655 27912 28061 28318 28467 28724 28873
NKH18 21790 22015 22155 22380 22520 22745 22885
FTH18 7554.17 7593.33 7618.67 7657.83 7683.17 7722.33 7747.67
GCJ18 1201.23 1207.07 1212.93 1218.77 1224.63 1230.47 1236.33
SIK18 1505.67 1516.83 1522.67 1533.83 1539.67 1550.83 1556.67
HGK18 268.03 270.57 272.38 274.92 276.73 279.27 281.08
CLK18 64.80 65.46 66.52 67.18 68.24 68.90 69.96
WK18 508.33 526.92 536.58 555.17 564.83 583.42 593.08
SK18 795.08 822.42 836.33 863.67 877.58 904.92 918.83
CK18 339.83 348.17 352.83 361.17 365.83 374.17 378.83

 

 Source: – News & Quotes (Courtesy:  Reuters)                                                                    

Disclaimer

This information has been prepared for information only and does not constitute an offer or commitment. This information does not constitute investment advice as defined by the rules of the FCA.

The firm or its staff members may trade on their own account and may from time to time hold or act as market makers in investments mentioned in this document. Please note that the firm makes no warranty, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions herein. All parties are advised to seek independent professional advice as to the suitability of any products and to their tax, accounting, legal or regulatory implications. City Credit Capital (UK) Ltd is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, reg 232015.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 市場報告                     2018-08-13

     
Market Summary
週五(8月10日)日內公佈的美國7月消費者物價指數月率公佈值為0.2%,符合預期;7月核心消費者物價指數年率公佈值為2.4%,好於預期2.3%。同時美國總統特朗普宣布對土耳其鋼鋁徵收的關稅翻倍,鋁關稅調整為20%,鋼鐵關稅調整為50%。此舉推波助瀾,美元指數強勢上漲,並跨越96關口,最高觸及96.47,並加速了土耳其里拉的暴跌。歐元/美元之所以跌破1.15000大關至2018年來新低1.13868,主要就是受到同屬歐元區的土耳其里拉暴跌的拖累。

現貨黃金週五亞市早盤開於1212.10美元/金衡盎司後,金價窄幅波動,多空膠著,但空方略微佔優。歐市金價大幅下挫,錄得日內低點1205.40美元/金衡盎司後反彈,多頭再度上攻。美市多頭拉升,金價不斷走高,錄得日內高點1216.85美元/金衡盎司後轉跌,金價再度跳水,失去此前部分漲幅後轉盤整,終收於1211.00美元/金衡盎司。

國際原油週五收漲0.91美元,或1.36%,報67.61美元/桶。雖然美國和土耳其的關係緊張打壓了投資者對原油等風險資產的買需,不過伊朗制裁結合其他地區的產量問題,將令全球原油市場供應面面臨挑戰,因此為油價帶來強勁提振。

美國股市在週五走低,其中基礎材料、金融和科技等下跌的板塊帶領股指走低。道瓊工業指數下跌196.09點,或0.77%,至25,313.14點;標準普爾500指數下跌20.30點,或0.71%,至2,833.28點;納斯達克指數下跌52.67點,或0.67%,至7,839.11點。

個股方面,沃爾瑪公司 WMT上漲1.31%;雪佛龍公司 CVX上漲了0.66%。英特爾公司 INTC上漲2.57%;卡特彼勒公司 CAT下跌1.88%。福斯公司 FLS股票大漲至一年高點,漲幅為2.52%。 Aralez Pharmaceuticals, Inc. ARLZ股票大跌至歷史低點,下挫83.14%。Trade Desk Inc TTD股票大漲至歷史高點,拉升37.13%。

日本股市週五下跌,受半導體相關類股大跌拖累,因之前摩根士丹利下調了對美國芯片行業的看法,這抵消了日本第二季經濟增長數據好於預期帶來的提振。日經指數收低1.3%至22,298.08點,為7月12日以來最低收位。

個股方面,芯片設備生產商東京電子跌3.6%,愛德萬測試跌4.9%,迪恩士跌3.9%,矽片生產商勝高驟跌4.7%。除芯片相關個股外,週五下跌股中還包括保險及航運股,第一生命控股收跌3.3%;商船三井下跌2.1%。與此同時,富士膠片大漲3.5%,此前該公司稱將回購至多1,000億日元的股票。

Technical  Analysis
USDJPY

從日線圖上看,美元/日元隔夜回落收跌,一度探低至110.495一線后有所收窄。技術指標上,MACD看跌動能柱擴張,RSI指標向下延伸。後市看來,價格初步支撐位於110.500一線。上行方面,價格阻力目標考驗110.900一線。

 

EURUSD

從日線圖上看,歐元/美元隔夜延續收跌,刷新新低至1.13868一線。技術指標上,MACD看跌動能柱擴張,RSI指標向下逼近超賣區。後市看來,價格支撐進一步考驗1.13000一線。上行方面,價格阻力初步看向1.15000一線。

 

GBPUSD

從日線圖上看,英鎊/美元隔夜延續收跌,再創新低至1.27229一線。技術指標上,MACD看跌動能柱擴張,雙線向下延伸,RSI指標超賣。後市看來,價格進一步考驗1.27關口支撐力度。上行方面,價格阻力位於1.28400一線。

 

XAUUSD

從日線圖上看,金價隔夜震蕩收跌,交投于1212一線附近。技術指標上,MACD看漲動能柱擴張,RSI指標小幅向下。後市來看,金價阻力考驗1220.00一線。下行方面,金價關鍵支撐考驗1200關口。

 

CL_

從日線圖上看,油價隔夜小幅收漲,一度觸及日低66.13一線反彈走高。技術指標上,MACD看跌動能柱縮減,RSI指標小幅向上。後市來看,油價初步支撐位於66.00關口。上行方面,油價阻力位於68.70一線。

 

DJ_

從日線圖上看,價格隔夜回落收跌,最低觸及25212一線后有所收窄。技術指標上,MACD看跌動能柱顯現,雙線死叉,RSI指標小幅向下。後市來看,價格阻力目標指向25410一線。下行方面,價格初步支撐看向25200一線。

 

NK_

從日線圖上看,價格隔夜大幅收跌,逼近22000關口附近尋求支撐。技術指標上,MACD看跌動能柱擴張,RSI指標向下。後市來看,價格支撐位考驗22000關口,上方阻力位看向22400一線。