30 11 月 2018

Daily Market View

Friday, November 29, 2018
          U.S Stock Market

 

DJIA S & P 500 NASDAQ
25388 2743.75 6911.75
-0.26% -0.33% -0.30%

U.S stocks traded lower yesterday as investors’ hopes of a trade deal between China and the U.S dimmed. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 71 points, while the S&P 500 pulled back 0.3 percent. The NASDAQ fell 0.4 percent. The market fell to its low of the day — with the Dow dropping more than 160 points — after the South China reported that White House advisor Peter Navarro would be attending the dinner between President Donald Trump and Chinese leader Xi Jinping in Buenos Aires at the G-20. CNBC later confirmed Navarro’s attendance. News of his attendance dampened hopes that a trade deal could be hatched at the dinner given his longstanding hawkish tone on U.S-China trade. Earlier this month, Navarro said any deal between the U.S. and China would be on Trump’s terms, not Wall Street’s. These comments were later disavowed by Larry Kudlow, director of the National Economic Council. Trading in U.S stocks became even more volatile after Dow Jones reported, citing sources, the U.S and China were looking into a deal to de-escalate trade tensions.

 

Major Economic Releases for Today
Period Event GMT Forecast Previous

nov

China Manufacturing PMI 01:00 50.2 50.2

nov

Japan Consumer Confidence Index 05:00 43.2 43

oct

Japan Housing Starts (YoY) 05:00 -0.1% -1.5%

oct

German Retail Sales (YoY) 07:00 1.4% -2.6%

oct

Euro-Zone Unemployment Rate 10:00 8.0% 8.1%

nov

Euro-Zone Consumer Price Index Core (YoY) 10:00 1.1% 1.1%

sep

Canada Gross Domestic Product (YoY) 13:30 2.3% 2.5%

nov

U.S Chicago Purchasing Manager 14:45 58.5 58.4

nov

Baker Hughes U.S Rig Count 18:00   1079
Dow Jones Industrial Average

The Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 0.11%. The best performers of the session on the Dow Jones Industrial Average were Boeing Co, which rose 2.72% or 9.06 points to trade at 342.56 at the close. Meanwhile, Pfizer Inc. added 1.36% or 0.61 points to end at 45.51 and Merck & Company Inc. was up 0.88% or 0.68 points to 77.91 in late trade. The worst performers of the session were Intel Corporation, which fell 2.37% or 1.16 points to trade at 47.70 at the close. Visa Inc. declined 1.61% or 2.28 points to end at 139.10 and American Express Company was down 1.40% or 1.58 points to 111.31.

 

 

 

NASDAQ 100

The NASDAQ index fell 0.25%. The top performers on the NASDAQ were Adial Pharmaceuticals Inc. which rose 100.00% to 2.80, Tonix Pharmaceuticals Holding Corp which was up 83.42% to settle at 6.970 and Kirklands Inc. which gained 34.13% to close at 10.10. The worst performers were ShiftPixy Inc. which was down 32.35% to 2.99 in late trade, Bio Path Holdings Inc. which lost 26.57% and Cleantech Solutions International Inc. which was down 24.23%.

 

 

Oil

Oil reversed course and rose yesterday, after industry sources said Russia had accepted the need to cut production, together with OPEC. The price is still set for its biggest one-month fall in November since the depths of the financial crisis in 2008, having lost more than 22 percent so far. U.S crude futures rose 81 cents, or 1.6 percent, to $51.10, after earlier dropping below $50 for the first time in over a year. OPEC and non-OPEC producers meet in Vienna next week to discuss a new round of supply cuts of 1 million to 1.4 million bpd and possibly more to prop up prices. The Russian Energy Ministry held a meeting with the heads of domestic oil producers on Tuesday. Russian President Vladimir Putin, whose country is the world’s second biggest oil producer, said on Wednesday he was in touch with OPEC and ready to continue cooperation on supply if needed, but he was satisfied with an oil price of $60. U.S. crude inventories have hit their highest in a year, and are now only 80 million barrels below March 2017’s record 535 million barrels.

 

 

 

Precious and Base Metals

Gold rose yesterday after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s comments boosted perception the central bank would go slow on interest rate hikes next year, while palladium was trading at record levels due to a shortage in supply. Spot gold was up 0.3 percent at $1,224.86 per ounce. U.S gold futures were steady at $1,224.1 per ounce. The hint from the Fed that they are closer to ending the current rate hike cycle caught the markets somewhat by surprise. Treasury yields and dollar dropped back, and that was quite supportive of gold. Higher interest rates increase bond yields and tend to make non-yielding bullion less attractive. They also tend to boost the dollar, in which gold is priced. Gold prices jumped as much as 1 percent after Powell’s speech on Wednesday, recovering from a two-week low of $1,210.65 hit earlier. But gains in the precious metal were limited as Powell’s dovish tone helped revive risk appetite, driving world stocks to their highest in more than two weeks, while the dollar and bond yields fell. Powell said the central bank’s policy rate is now “just below” estimates of a level that neither brakes nor boosts a healthy U.S. economy. Investors were waiting the release of the minutes of the U.S central bank’s November meeting for further clues on the Fed’s monetary tightening path. Palladium was down 0.1 percent at $1,182.50 per ounce, after earlier hitting a record high of $1,186.50. This is a very fundamental story of demand outstripping the supply. It’s been six or seven years of sustained market deficit, which has kept the market exceedingly tight. Spot silver was down 0.2 percent to $14.29 per ounce. Platinum rose 0.2 percent to $823 per ounce after falling to a seven-week low of $809.50 on Wednesday. Copper also extended gains yesterday as investors bought riskier assets on speculation U.S interest rates may be near a peak.

 

 

 

 

Traditional Agricultures

Wheat gained more ground on expectations of higher demand for U.S supplies as the Black Sea region runs of surpluses next year. Soybean futures were largely unchanged yesterday, as the market took a breather after strong gains in the last two sessions, ahead of trade talks between Washington and Beijing at the G20 meeting this week.

 

 

Futures Settlement Price Thursday, November 29, 2018
Instrument Contract Open High Low Settlement Net Change
DJIA DJM18 25316 25480 25204 25388 44
S & P 500 SPM18 2738.5 2754.5 2723.25 2743.75 1.75
NASDAQ 100 NDM18 6909 6943.25 6843.25 6911.75 -7.25
Hang Seng HSH18 26869 26948 26397 26463 -154
Nikkei 225 NKH18 22395 22435 22235 22245 10
FTSE 100 FTH18 7049 7080.5 7017.5 7046.5 -29
Gold GCJ18 1220.88 1228.87 1220.4 1224.09 3.21
Silver SIK18 14.306 14.369 14.244 14.284 -0.022
Copper HGK18 279 279.6 276.75 277.7 -1.2
Crude Oil CLK18 50.26 52.16 49.38 51.23 0.96
Wheat WK18 511.25 514 505.75 507.5 -3.75
Soybeans SK18 889.5 894 882.25 887.25 -2.5
Corn CK18 373 375.25 371.25 372.75 0

 

 

Daily Swings  (The Pivot Levels)
  Trading Range  
Contract S3 S2 S1 Pivot R1 R2 R3
DJM18 24959 25081 25235 25357 25511 25633 25787
SPM18 2695.25 2709.25 2726.50 2740.50 2757.75 2771.75 2789.00
NDM18 6755.58 6799.42 6855.58 6899.42 6955.58 6999.42 7055.58
HSH18 25706 26052 26257 26603 26808 27154 27359
NKH18 21975 22105 22175 22305 22375 22505 22575
FTH18 6952.83 6985.17 7015.83 7048.17 7078.83 7111.17 7141.83
GCJ18 1211.57 1215.98 1220.04 1224.45 1228.51 1232.92 1236.98
SIK18 14.10 14.17 14.23 14.30 14.35 14.42 14.48
HGK18 273.58 275.17 276.43 278.02 279.28 280.87 282.13
CLK18 46.91 48.14 49.69 50.92 52.47 53.70 55.25
WK18 495.92 500.83 504.17 509.08 512.42 517.33 520.67
SK18 869.92 876.08 881.67 887.83 893.42 899.58 905.17
CK18 366.92 369.08 370.92 373.08 374.92 377.08 378.92

 

 Source: – News & Quotes (Courtesy:  Reuters)                                                                    

Disclaimer

This information has been prepared for information only and does not constitute an offer or commitment. This information does not constitute investment advice as defined by the rules of the FCA.

The firm or its staff members may trade on their own account and may from time to time hold or act as market makers in investments mentioned in this document. Please note that the firm makes no warranty, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions herein. All parties are advised to seek independent professional advice as to the suitability of any products and to their tax, accounting, legal or regulatory implications. City Credit Capital (UK) Ltd is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, reg 232015.

 

 

 

 

30 11 月 2018

FOREX Newsletter

FOREX Newsletter

November 30, 2018

 

Pulse of the Market

·      U.S personal income and spending grew more than expected but jobless claims increased

·      Currency movements were restrained by concerns about the upcoming G20 meeting

·      Concerns about the impact of the tariffs forced investors to ignore better labor data from Germany

·      The Australian dollar ended the day higher while the New Zealand dollar sold off

The U.S dollar dropped sharply on the back of Fed Chair Powell’s comments on interest rates. USD/JPY extended slightly lower but GBP/USD retreated and EUR/USD was unchanged. Powell’s view that rates are just under neutral levels is a sign that they intend to slow their pace of tightening next year. However, in yesterday’s note, we pointed out that Fed futures did not change by much because Powell simply said what the market was waiting to hear. Investors had already downplayed expectations for tightening next year with the futures market only pricing in 1 full rate hike in 2019. Yesterday’s U.S. economic reports did nothing to confirm or deny the central bank’s caution – personal income and spending grew more than expected but jobless claims increased and pending home sales fell sharply. Meanwhile, the FOMC minutes did not help the dollar. Currency movements were also restrained by concerns about the upcoming G20 meeting. President Trump sits down with President Xi today and we have no idea how the talks will go. The biggest turnaround yesterday was in the euro. At the start of the NY session, euro was one of the weakest currencies because there were reports that the US would levy tariffs on EU autos before Christmas. Concerns about the impact of the tariffs forced investors to ignore better labor data from Germany and stronger Eurozone confidence. Shortly after the NY open, however, the European Commission denied those reports and the EUR/USD u-turned for a rally to 1.14. The other big story was oil. Before the NY session began, the price of crude fell below the critical $50 mark. In response USD/CAD traded above 1.33. However Russia’s talk of output cuts reversed the slide and sent prices sharply higher (crude ended the day up 2%) and as a result, USD/CAD gave up its gains to end the day unchanged. Canada will be in focus today with quarterly and monthly GDP numbers due for release.

 

Time(GMT)   Economic Release IMP Actual Forecast Prior
00:01 U.K GfK Consumer Confidence (NOV) Medium   -11 -10
01:00 China Non-manufacturing PMI (NOV) Medium   53.8 53.9
01:00 China Manufacturing PMI (NOV) High   50.2 50.2
05:00 Japan Consumer Confidence Index (NOV) Medium   43.2 43
05:00 Japan Housing Starts (YoY) (OCT) Medium   -0.1% -1.5%
07:00 German Retail Sales (YoY) (OCT) Medium   1.4% -2.6%
07:00 U.K Nationwide House Px n.s.a. (YoY) (NOV) Medium   1.7% 1.6%
08:00 Switzerland KOF Leading Indicator (NOV) Medium   99.5 100.1
10:00 Euro-Zone Unemployment Rate (OCT) Medium   8.0% 8.1%
10:00 Euro-Zone Consumer Price Index Core (YoY) (NOV) High   1.1% 1.1%
11:00 Italian Gross Domestic Product w.d.a. (YoY) (3Q) Medium   0.8% 0.8%
13:30 Canada Quarterly Gross Domestic Product Annualized (3Q) High   2.0% 2.9%
13:30 Canada Gross Domestic Product (YoY) (SEP) High   2.3% 2.5%
14:45 U.S Chicago Purchasing Manager (NOV) Medium   58.5 58.4
18:00 Baker Hughes U.S. Rig Count (NOV 30) Medium     1079

 

Euro

The single currency traded higher yesterday. Euro zone economic sentiment continued to deteriorate in November but less than predicted, thanks to an unexpected rise in optimism in the industry, data showed yesterday. Economic sentiment in the 19 countries sharing the euro eased to 109.5 in November from 109.7 in October. Overall, the EUR/USD traded with a low of 1.1347 and a high of 1.1400 before closing the day around 1.1392 in the New York session.

 

Yen

The Japanese Yen posted gains yesterday. On the release front, Japanese retail sales jumped 3.5%, its highest level since December 2017. In the U.S., the Core PCE Price Index dropped to 0.1%, shy of the estimate of 0.2%. Personal Spending improved to 0.6%, above the estimate of 0.4%. On the labor front, unemployment claims jumped to 234 thousand. Overall, the USD/JPY traded with a low of 113.17 and a high of 113.64 before closing the day around 113.46 in the U.S session.

 

British Pound

The British Pound fell against the U.S Dollar as Theresa May was grilled by a Commons committee over her Brexit deal. The Prime Minister defended her withdrawal agreement in front of the House of Commons liaison committee just a day after the Bank of England’s bleak no-deal forecast, in which GDP, house prices and the pound itself would fall sharply. Overall, the GBP/USD traded with a low of 1.2753 and a high of 1.2847 before closing the day at 1.2785 in the New York session.

 

Canadian Dollar

The Canadian Dollar edged higher, building on gains from the day before as oil prices rallied and data showed that Canada ran a smaller-than-expected current account deficit in the third quarter. The country’s current account deficit narrowed to $10.34 billion in the third quarter from a revised $16.68 billion deficit in the second quarter. Overall, USD/CAD traded with a low of 1.3251 and a high of 1.3310 before closing the day at 1.3281 in the New York session.

 

Australian Dollar

The Australian Dollar closed slightly higher yesterday. New figures released by The Australian Bureau of Statistics have barely moved the Australian dollar against the greenback, despite better than expected CAPEX data. ABS figures show an uptick in September private capital expenditure (CAPEX) with the CAPEX slipping 0.5%. Overall, AUD/USD traded with a low of 0.7293 and a high of 0.7342 before closing the day at 0.7310 in the New York session.

Euro-Yen

EUR/JPY is trading below 14, 50 and 100 days moving average. Fast stochastic is giving a bullish tone and MACD is also issuing a bullish stance. The Relative Strength Index is above 51 and lies above the neutral zone. In general, the pair has gained 0.06%.

 

Sterling-Yen

Currently, GBP/JPY is trading below 14, 50 and 100 days moving average. Fast stochastic is issuing a bearish tone and MACD is indicating a bullish stance. The Relative Strength Index is above 45 reading and lies below the neutral zone. On the whole, the pair has lost 0.47%.

 

Aussie-Yen

Currently, the cross is trading above 14, 50 and 100 days moving average. Fast stochastic is giving a bullish tone and MACD is also indicating a bullish stance. The Relative Strength Index is above 60 reading and lies above the neutral region. In general, the pair has gained 0.01%.

 

Euro-Sterling

This cross is currently trading above 14, 50 and below 100 days moving average. Fast stochastic is indicating a bullish tone and MACD is also issuing a bullish signal. The Relative Strength Index is above 59 and lies above the neutral region. On the whole, the pair has gained 0.53%.

  

Sterling-Swiss

This cross is trading below 14, 50 and 100 days moving average. Fast stochastic is issuing a bullish stance and MACD is indicating a bearish tone. The Relative Strength Index is above 41 and lies below the neutral region. In general, the pair has lost 0.07%.

 

Appendix

  

FOREX Closing Prices for November 29, 2018
Currency Open High Low Close Net Chg
EUR/USD 1.13694 1.14003 1.13473 1.1392 0.0028
USD/JPY 113.641 113.648 113.172 113.463 -0.1980
GBP/USD 1.28234 1.28479 1.27536 1.27856 -0.0036
USD/CHF 0.99373 0.99751 0.99158 0.99553 0.0020
USD/CAD 1.32727 1.33103 1.3251 1.32818 0.0008
EUR/JPY 129.207 129.283 128.651 129.269 0.0820
GBP/JPY 145.743 145.787 144.492 145.066 -0.6790
CHF/JPY 114.326 114.384 113.602 113.93 -0.4350
AUD/JPY 83.012 83.184 82.712 83.026 0.0110
EUR/GBP 0.88634 0.89184 0.88576 0.89077 0.0047
EUR/CHF 1.12988 1.13465 1.12873 1.13437 0.0049
GBP/CHF 1.27419 1.27502 1.26756 1.27306 -0.0009

  

 

Daily Pivot Points
  Trading Range  
Contract S3 S2 S1 Pivot R1 R2 R3
EUR/USD 1.1306 1.1327 1.1359 1.1380 1.1412 1.1433 1.1465
USD/JPY 112.73 112.95 113.21 113.43 113.68 113.90 114.16
GBP/USD 1.2649 1.2701 1.2744 1.2796 1.2838 1.2890 1.2932
USD/CHF 0.9863 0.9889 0.9922 0.9949 0.9982 1.0008 1.0041
USD/CAD 1.3192 1.3222 1.3252 1.3281 1.3311 1.3340 1.3370
EUR/JPY 128.22 128.44 128.85 129.07 129.48 129.70 130.12
GBP/JPY 143.15 143.82 144.44 145.12 145.74 146.41 147.03
CHF/JPY 112.78 113.19 113.56 113.97 114.34 114.75 115.12
AUD/JPY 82.29 82.50 82.76 82.97 83.24 83.45 83.71
EUR/GBP 0.8810 0.8834 0.8871 0.8895 0.8932 0.8955 0.8992
EUR/CHF 1.1246 1.1267 1.1305 1.1326 1.1364 1.1385 1.1424
GBP/CHF 1.2613 1.2644 1.2687 1.2719 1.2762 1.2793 1.2837

 

Sources:  News, Charts & Quotes (Courtesy: Reuters, US Department Of Treasury)

 

Disclaimer

This information has been prepared for information only and does not constitute an offer or commitment. This information does not constitute investment advice as defined by the rules of the FCA.

The firm or its staff members may trade on their own account and may from time to time hold or act as market makers in investments mentioned in this document. Please note that the firm makes no warranty, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions herein. All parties are advised to seek independent professional advice as to the suitability of any products and to their tax, accounting, legal or regulatory implications. City Credit Capital (UK) Ltd is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, reg 232015.

 

 

市场报告                     2018-11-30

 

   
Market Summary
美元指数周四小幅下跌,美联储公布了11月FOMC会议记录显示,部分官员认为联邦基金利率已接近中性水位、暗示接下来升息步伐将放缓,但他们也担心贸易紧张和企业债务可能会对经济增长产生何种影响。纪要出炉之后,美元指数仅小幅反弹。此外,日内公布的数据偏弱,美国至11月24日当周初请失业金人数为23.4万人,高于前值22.4万人和预期22.0万人,评论称美国上周申请失业金人数连续三周上涨并升至六个月高位,这可能引发对就业市场可能放缓的担忧。美国10月核心PCE物价指数月率为0.1%,低于前值和预期0.2%,美国10月个人支出月率录得七个月来的强劲增长,但基本价格压力放缓,美联储追踪的通胀指标PCE物价指数年率录得自2月份以来的最小增幅。美国10月成屋签约销售指数月率为下跌2.6%,低于前值和预期0.5%,根据华尔街日报评10月成屋签约指数录得下滑,并创2014年以来最大年度降幅,最终美元指数报收于96.76。

现货黄金周四温和收涨,亚市早盘开于1220.80美元/金衡盎司后短线下挫,录得日内低点1220.20美元/金衡盎司后反弹,金价震荡上行。欧市金价转为盘整,多空激战,振幅加大。美市多头上攻,录得日内高点1228.75美元/金衡盎司后回落,金价震荡下行,终收于1223.90美元/金衡盎司。

国际原油周四收涨0.98美元,或1.95%,报51.27美元/桶。美元涨势受阻为油价提供了反弹基础,加上俄罗斯能源部在会议表示,与国内产油商的会谈后一致认为减产是有必要的,目前各方正在研究具体的减产时机和减产规模,有效鼓舞了多头士气。

美国股市周四因美国白宫贸易顾问Peter Navarro证实将出席周六川习会晚宴,引发对美中贸易战战的隐忧,拖累美股跌至当日低点,但联准会公布11月利率会议纪要显示未来升息放缓,提振股市情绪,最终三大指数小幅收跌。道琼工业指数下跌27.59点,或0.11%,报25338.84点;标准普尔500指数下跌6.03点,或0.22%,报2737.76点;纳斯达克指数下跌18.51点,或0.25%,报7273.08点。

个股方面,Netflix(NFLX)宣布加拿大订户价格上涨计划,带动该公司股价收高2.16%。苹果(AAPL)产品营销部副总裁Greg Joswiak周三(28日)称iPhone XR目前是苹果最畅销的iPhone,但投行Canaccord Genuity周四公布调查结果显示苹果iPhone XR销售前景堪忧,并下修苹果目标价,拖累苹果股价下跌0.77%。资产管理控股公司Cowen将波音(BA)评为2019年第一的航空个股,使得波音股价逆势上扬2.72%。

日本股市周四受美股昨日大涨,激励日经指数开盘后一路上涨,但随着日元转强的影响,使得日经指数涨幅收敛,终场收涨0.39%或85.58点,收22262.60点。

个股方面,日本多晶硅制造商OTC因现今全球多晶硅供应过剩、销售环境恶化,决议退出多晶硅事业,也将提前解除和SUMCO所签订的长期供应契约,并且下修今年度财测预估,因此OTC闻讯重挫1.87%。而SUNCO虽然与OTC提前解除长期供应契约,而支付100亿日元的解约金,不过因提列递延税项资产,因此上修今年度纯益目标,使得股价大涨2.06%。AGC上扬0.79%,因大幅增产EUV用光罩基板,且目标扩产至3倍。大日本印刷下跌0.42%,因宣布将携手台湾华邦电研发大容量内存版eSIM和安全组件。

 

Technical  Analysis
USDJPY

从日线图上看,美元/日元隔夜小幅收跌,最低触及113.188一线后有所收窄。技术指标上,MACD看涨动能柱萎靡,RSI指标小幅向下延伸。后市看来,价格关键支撑指向113关口。上行方面,价格初步阻力位依旧考验114关口。

 

EURUSD

从日线图上看,欧元/美元隔夜小幅收涨,一度站上1.14一线未果。技术指标上,MACD看涨动能柱扩张,RSI指标小幅向上延伸。后市看来,价格支撑位看向1.13000一线。上行方面,价格阻力位进一步指向1.14600一线。

 

GBPUSD

从日线图上看,英镑/美元隔夜回落收跌,一度探高至1.28484一线后跳水。技术指标上,MACD看跌动能柱微缩,RSI指标小幅向下。后市看来,价格初步支撑位依旧考验1.27200一线。上行方面,价格阻力位指向1.28800一线。

 

XAUUSD

从日线图上看,金价隔夜小幅收涨,一度触及日高至1228一线后有所收窄。技术指标上,MACD看跌动能柱缩减殆尽,RSI指标小幅向上延伸。后市来看,金价阻力位指向1230一线。下行方面,金价初步支撑位考验1215一线。

 

CL_

從日線圖上看,油價隔夜震蕩收漲,一度失守50關口。技術指標上,MACD看跌動能柱微縮,RSI指標依舊超賣。後市來看,油價支撐目標考驗50心理關口。上行方面,油價初步阻力位依舊看向53.00一線。

 

DJ_

從日線圖上看,價格隔夜震蕩收漲,窄幅交投於25300一線附近。技術指標上,MACD看漲動能柱顯現, RSI指標小幅向上。後市來看,價格阻力位進一步考驗25700一線。下行方面,價格支撐位看向25000關口。

 

NK_

從日線圖上看,價格隔夜微幅收跌,最低探至22190一線後收窄跌幅。技術指標上,MACD看跌動能柱擴張,RSI指標小幅向下。後市來看,價格阻力位依舊考驗22500一線,下行支撐位看向21800一線。

 

 

 

29 11 月 2018

FOREX Newsletter

      

FOREX Newsletter

 November 29, 2018

 

Pulse of the Market

·      Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said that interest rates are just below neutral

·      Investors are also focused on the G20 summit in Buenos Aires on Friday and Saturday

·      Euro zone members aim to agree reforms to make their currency union more resilient

·      The Canadian dollar weakened to a five-month low against its U.S. counterpart yesterday

The U.S Dollar tumbled from two-week highs yesterday after Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said that interest rates are just below neutral, raising expectations that the U.S. central bank is closer to the end of its rate hike cycle. Powell said the policy rate, at 2-2.25 percent, is now “just below” the broad range of estimates of neutral, which in September was 2.5-3.5 percent. That contrasts with comments on Oct. 3 when Powell said the Fed might raise rates past neutral, adding that they are probably “a long way” from that point. The Fed has not raised the rates in order to gain ground on neutral between Oct. 3 and today, so therefore his view of the economy has declined. The dollar has been under pressure in recent weeks on signs that the Fed might reduce the pace of rate increases amid slowing global growth, peak corporate earnings and the escalating trade tensions. U.S President Donald Trump has also expressed frustration with Fed rate hikes. Trump said in a Washington Post interview on Tuesday that he was “not even a little bit happy” with the Fed chairman and that the central bank’s policies are hurting the economy. Minutes from the Fed’s Nov. 7-8 meeting, to be released today, will next be evaluated for further indications of how many more times the U.S central bank is likely to hike interest rates. Investors are also focused on the G20 summit in Buenos Aires on Friday and Saturday, where Trump and his Chinese counterpart, Xi Jinping, are scheduled to discuss contentious trade matters. German Finance Minister Olaf Scholz said yesterday he wants euro zone reforms to include changing the European Stability Mechanism bailout fund to a European Monetary Fund (EMF) to support members’ states when needed. The British Pound was already higher before the government’s analysis of Brexit scenarios report was released yesterday. The beleaguered currency actually managed to climb further higher – hitting the $1.28.

 

 

Time(GMT)   Economic Release IMP Actual Forecast Prior
06:45 Switzerland Gross Domestic Product (YoY) (3Q) High   2.9% 3.4%
07:45 French Gross Domestic Product (YoY) (3Q) Medium   1.5% 1.5%
08:55 German Unemployment Change (000’s) (NOV) High   -10k -11k
08:55 German Unemployment Claims Rate s.a. (NOV) High   5.1% 5.1%
09:30 U.K Net Consumer Credit (OCT) Medium   1.0b 0.8b
09:30 U.K Net Lending Sec. on Dwellings (OCT) Medium   3.5b 3.9b
09:30 U.K Mortgage Approvals (OCT) Medium   64.5k 65.3k
10:00 Euro-Zone Consumer Confidence (NOV) Low   -3.9 -3.9
13:00 German Consumer Price Index (YoY) (NOV) High   2.4% 2.5%
13:30 U.S Personal Income (OCT) Medium   0.4% 0.2%
13:30 U.S Personal Spending (OCT) Medium   0.4% 0.4%
13:30 U.S PCE Core (YoY) (OCT) High   2.1% 2.0%
13:30 U.S Initial Jobless Claims (NOV 24) Medium   220k 224k
15:00 U.S Pending Home Sales (YoY) (OCT) Medium   -2.8% -3.4%
19:00 U.S FOMC Meeting Minutes (NOV 08) High      

 

Euro

The single currency gained as Euro zone members aim to agree reforms to make their currency union more resilient when they meet next week. German Finance Minister Olaf Scholz said he wanted to promote a euro zone budget as part of the EU budget to help investment, economic convergence and stability in the euro zone. Overall, the EUR/USD traded with a low of 1.1265 and a high of 1.1386 before closing the day around 1.1364 in the New York session.

 

Yen

The Japanese Yen pair ticked lower in the Wednesday session. On the release front, U.S. Preliminary GDP for the third quarter gained 3.5%, just shy of the estimate of 3.6%. This follows an identical gain of 3.5% in the Advanced GDP release. Today promises to be a busy day, as the U.S releases three key indicators. Overall, the USD/JPY traded with a low of 113.42 and a high of 114.01 before closing the day around 113.66 in the U.S session.

 

British Pound

The British Pound ticked higher yesterday. On the release front, the BoE released its financial stability report. In the U.S, the key event was Preliminary GDP, which gained 3.5% in Q3. This follows an identical gain of 3.5% in the Advanced GDP release in October. Today, the U.K releases Net Lending to Individuals as well as GfK Consumer Confidence. Overall, the GBP/USD traded with a low of 1.2730 and a high of 1.2845 before closing the day at 1.2821 in the New York session.

 

Canadian Dollar

The Canadian Dollar weakened to a five-month low against its U.S counterpart yesterday as oil prices declined and ahead of the potential signing of a new North American trade pact this week. The price of oil was pressured yesterday by rising U.S inventories and doubts over whether an OPEC-led output cut will be agreed next week. Overall, USD/CAD traded with a low of 1.3239 and a high of 1.3357 before closing the day at 1.3274 in the New York session.

 

Australian Dollar

The Australian Dollar gained as the market waited for some clarity to emerge on Sino-US trade, while soft economic data at home had only a fleeting impact. US President Donald Trump is open to reaching a deal over dinner on Saturday with Chinese leader Xi Jinping but is ready to hike tariffs if there is no breakthrough, White House economic adviser Larry Kudlow said on Tuesday. Overall, AUD/USD traded with a low of 0.7219 and a high of 0.7326 before closing the day at 0.7308 in the New York session.

Euro-Yen

EUR/JPY is trading below 14, 50 and 100 days moving average. Fast stochastic is giving a bearish tone and MACD is issuing a bullish stance. The Relative Strength Index is above 52 and lies below the neutral zone. In general, the pair has gained 0.61%.

 

Sterling-Yen

Currently, GBP/JPY is trading below 14, 50 and 100 days moving average. Fast stochastic is issuing a bearish tone and MACD is indicating a bullish stance. The Relative Strength Index is above 49 reading and lies below the neutral zone. On the whole, the pair has gained 0.50%.

 

Aussie-Yen

Currently, the cross is trading above 14, 50 and 100 days moving average. Fast stochastic is giving a bullish tone and MACD is also indicating a bullish stance. The Relative Strength Index is above 61 reading and lies above the neutral region. In general, the pair has gained 1.02%.

 

Euro-Sterling

This cross is currently trading above 14, 50 and below 100 days moving average. Fast stochastic is indicating a bullish tone and MACD is also issuing a bearish signal. The Relative Strength Index is above 54 and lies above the neutral region. On the whole, the pair has gained 0.03%.

 

Sterling-Swiss

This cross is trading below 14, 50 and 100 days moving average. Fast stochastic is issuing a bearish stance and MACD is also indicating a bearish tone. The Relative Strength Index is above 41 and lies below the neutral region. In general, the pair has gained 0.11%.

 

Appendix

  

FOREX Closing Prices for November 28, 2018
Currency Open High Low Close Net Chg
EUR/USD 1.12903 1.1386 1.12657 1.13644 0.0078
USD/JPY 113.761 114.018 113.423 113.661 -0.1130
GBP/USD 1.27374 1.28453 1.27305 1.28212 0.0077
USD/CHF 0.99876 1.00042 0.99237 0.99357 -0.0049
USD/CAD 1.32935 1.33575 1.32398 1.32741 -0.0020
EUR/JPY 128.432 129.235 128.226 129.187 0.7800
GBP/JPY 144.938 145.811 144.836 145.745 0.7190
CHF/JPY 113.892 114.383 113.763 114.365 0.4480
AUD/JPY 82.171 83.155 82.14 83.015 0.8390
EUR/GBP 0.88635 0.88744 0.88086 0.88609 0.0002
EUR/CHF 1.12764 1.13145 1.12588 1.12945 0.0019
GBP/CHF 1.27186 1.27893 1.27145 1.274 0.0015

 

 

Daily Pivot Points
  Trading Range  
Contract S3 S2 S1 Pivot R1 R2 R3
EUR/USD 1.1171 1.1218 1.1291 1.1339 1.1412 1.1459 1.1532
USD/JPY 112.79 113.11 113.38 113.70 113.98 114.30 114.57
GBP/USD 1.2638 1.2684 1.2753 1.2799 1.2868 1.2914 1.2982
USD/CHF 0.9824 0.9874 0.9905 0.9955 0.9985 1.0035 1.0066
USD/CAD 1.3106 1.3173 1.3223 1.3290 1.3341 1.3408 1.3459
EUR/JPY 127.52 127.87 128.53 128.88 129.54 129.89 130.55
GBP/JPY 144.14 144.49 145.12 145.46 146.09 146.44 147.07
CHF/JPY 113.34 113.55 113.96 114.17 114.58 114.79 115.20
AUD/JPY 81.37 81.76 82.39 82.77 83.40 83.79 84.42
EUR/GBP 0.8756 0.8782 0.8822 0.8848 0.8887 0.8914 0.8953
EUR/CHF 1.1208 1.1234 1.1264 1.1289 1.1320 1.1345 1.1375
GBP/CHF 1.2632 1.2673 1.2707 1.2748 1.2781 1.2823 1.2856

 

Sources:  News, Charts & Quotes (Courtesy: Reuters, US Department Of Treasury)

 

Disclaimer

This information has been prepared for information only and does not constitute an offer or commitment. This information does not constitute investment advice as defined by the rules of the FCA.

The firm or its staff members may trade on their own account and may from time to time hold or act as market makers in investments mentioned in this document. Please note that the firm makes no warranty, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions herein. All parties are advised to seek independent professional advice as to the suitability of any products and to their tax, accounting, legal or regulatory implications. City Credit Capital (UK) Ltd is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, reg 232015.

 

 

29 11 月 2018

Daily Market View

Daily Market View

Thursday, November 29, 2018
          U.S Stock Market

 

DJIA S & P 500 NASDAQ
25344 2742.00 6919.00
+2.49% +2.30% +2.95%

U.S stock indexes rallied more than 1.5percent yesterday after Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said the policy rate was ‘just below’ neutral, easing worries of a faster pace of interest rate hikes next year. The Fed’s gradual interest-rate hikes are meant to balance risks as it tries to keep the economy on track, Powell said, but offered few clues on how much longer the U.S. central bank would raise interest rates in the face of a global slowdown and market volatility at home. Ten of the 11 major S&P sectors were higher. Markets also took heart from White House economic adviser Larry Kudlow’s comments on Tuesday that opened the possibility that the United States and China would reach a trade deal at the upcoming G20 Summit. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 477.47 points, or 1.93 percent, the S&P 500 was up 42.76 points, or 1.59 percent and the NASDAQ was up 142.77 points, or 2.02 percent. Advancing issues outnumbered decliners by a 3.45-to-1 ratioon the and by a 2.96-to-1 ratio on the NASDAQ.

 

 

Major Economic Releases for Today
Period Event GMT Forecast Previous

3Q

French Gross Domestic Product (YoY) 07:45 1.5% 1.5%

nov

German Unemployment Change (000’s) 08:55 -10k -11k

nov

German Consumer Price Index (YoY) 13:00 2.4% 2.5%

oct

U.S Personal Income 13:30 0.4% 0.2%

oct

U.S Personal Spending 13:30 0.4% 0.4%

oct

U.S PCE Core (YoY) 13:30 2.1% 2.0%

nov

U.S Initial Jobless Claims 13:30 220k 224k

oct

U.S Pending Home Sales (YoY) 15:00 -2.8% -3.4%

nov

U.S FOMC Meeting Minutes 19:00    
Dow Jones Industrial Average

The Dow Jones Industrial Average added 2.50%. The best performers of the session on the Dow Jones Industrial Average were Caterpillar Inc., which rose 4.95% or 6.17 points to trade at 130.77 at the close. Meanwhile, Boeing Co added 4.86% or 15.47 points to end at 333.50 and Visa Inc. was up 4.02% or 5.47 points to 141.38 in late trade. The worst performers of the session were Verizon Communications Inc, which fell 0.97% or 0.59 points to trade at 60.06 at the close. United Technologies Corporation added 0.04% or 0.05 points to end at 122.73 and Dow DuPont Inc. was up 0.07% or 0.04 points to 57.22.

 

 

 

NASDAQ 100

The NASDAQ index gained 2.95%. The top performers on the NASDAQ were Gaming Partners which rose 70.80% to 13.13, Alliqua BioMedical Inc. which was up 60.24% to settle at 2.660 and Ferroglobe PLC which gained 25.56% to close at 2.26. The top performers on the NASDAQ Composite were Gaming Partners which rose 70.80% to 13.13, Alliqua BioMedical Inc. which was up 60.24% to settle at 2.660 and Ferroglobe PLC which gained 25.56% to close at 2.26.

 

 

Oil

Oil prices fell yesterday, continuing a recent run of losses, after U.S crude inventories rose for the 10th week in a row. The market also remains nervous over whether OPEC-led producing countries will reach an accord next week on output cuts. Saudi Arabia said yesterday it would not cut output alone and Nigeria stopped short of committing to a new push to curb supplies. U.S West Texas Intermediate crude fell $1.27, or 2.5 percent, to $50.29, the lowest settle price since early October 2017. U.S crude stockpiles rose by 3.6 million barrels in the week to Nov. 23, exceeding expectations. After falling to 2½-year lows in September, crude stocks have risen 14 percent with 10 straight weeks of increases. The market continues to come under pressure due to worries of a supply glut and slowing global demand growth. Crude’s drop since October is on a par with the 2008 price crash and steeper than that of 2014-2015, both of which prompted OPEC to agree output curbs to support the market.

 

 

 

Precious and Base Metals

Gold prices recovered from two-week lows, rising as much as 1 percent as the dollar fell after Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell offered little clues on the pace of future interest rate hikes in a cautious speech. Meanwhile, palladium prices hit a fresh record high at $1,186.30 per ounce. While there was “a great deal to like” about U.S. prospects, the bank’s gradual interest-rate hikes are meant to balance risks as it tries to keep the economy on track, Powell said. Powell’s comments suggest that 2019 may be more of a wait-and-see approach and the assumption of any hikes may be premature. Spot gold was up 0.6 percent at $1,221.68 per ounce after rising as much as 1 percent to $1,226.24. Prices fell to its lowest level since Nov. 15 at $1,210.65 earlier in the session. U.S gold futures were up 0.7 percent at $1,222. Investors will also keep a close watch for the minutes from the central bank’s Nov. 7-8 meeting, scheduled to be released today, for indications on the rate hike trajectory in 2019. The Fed has raised rates three times this year. The dollar index, which measures the greenback against a basket of currencies, was down 0.3 percent after the Fed speech. Meanwhile, U.S President Donald Trump is likely to meet his Chinese counterpart on the sidelines of the G20 meeting later this week to discuss the trade dispute between the major economies. Bullion has largely lost out to the dollar as a safe haven asset this year as the U.S-China trade war unfolded against a backdrop of rising U.S interest rates. Silver rose 1.1 percent to $14.29 per ounce, while platinum fell 1.1 percent to $821.30, having earlier touched its lowest in more than a month, at $814.50. Copper edged higher yesterday after declining for three straight sessions, while other industrial metals moved in tight ranges amid uncertainty over the direction of the U.S.-China trade war.

 

Traditional Agricultures

Soybean futures rose yesterday on short-covering as investors waited to see if expected talks between Washington and Beijing at a G20 summit this week will defuse a trade dispute that has choked U.S soybean exports to China. Corn and wheat followed the firm tone, drawing additional support from a sharply weaker Dollar.

 

 

Futures Settlement Price Wednesday, November 28, 2018
Instrument Contract Open High Low Settlement Net Change
DJIA DJM18 24771 25367 24724 25344 601
S & P 500 SPM18 2686 2744.75 2681 2742 58.25
NASDAQ 100 NDM18 6724.5 6923 6709 6919 207
Hang Seng HSH18 26353 26717 26286 26608 356
Nikkei 225 NKH18 22075 22235 22035 22235 245
FTSE 100 FTH18 7058 7075.5 6987.5 7075.5 36.5
Gold GCJ18 1214.2 1227.4 1210.4 1220.8 6.6
Silver SIK18 1410 1435 1406 1427 18.5
Copper HGK18 271.55 280.2 271.4 278.9 7.45
Crude Oil CLK18 52.05 52.52 50.03 50.27 -1.79
Wheat WK18 497.75 500.5 494.25 497.25 -0.5
Soybeans SK18 876 894.5 873.75 889.75 14
Corn CK18 355.75 361 355.75 360.25 4.25

 

 

Daily Swings  (The Pivot Levels)
  Trading Range  
Contract S3 S2 S1 Pivot R1 R2 R3
DJM18 24280 24502 24923 25145 25566 25788 26209
SPM18 2636.67 2658.83 2700.42 2722.58 2764.17 2786.33 2827.92
NDM18 6563.67 6636.33 6777.67 6850.33 6991.67 7064.33 7205.67
HSH18 25926 26106 26357 26537 26788 26968 27219
NKH18 21902 21968 22102 22168 22302 22368 22502
FTH18 6928.83 6958.17 7016.83 7046.17 7104.83 7134.17 7192.83
GCJ18 1194.67 1202.53 1211.67 1219.53 1228.67 1236.53 1245.67
SIK18 1381.33 1393.67 1410.33 1422.67 1439.33 1451.67 1468.33
HGK18 264.67 268.03 273.47 276.83 282.27 285.63 291.07
CLK18 46.87 48.45 49.36 50.94 51.85 53.43 54.34
WK18 487.92 491.08 494.17 497.33 500.42 503.58 506.67
SK18 856.75 865.25 877.50 886.00 898.25 906.75 919.00
CK18 351.75 353.75 357.00 359.00 362.25 364.25 367.50

 

 Source: – News & Quotes (Courtesy:  Reuters)                                                                    

Disclaimer

This information has been prepared for information only and does not constitute an offer or commitment. This information does not constitute investment advice as defined by the rules of the FCA.

The firm or its staff members may trade on their own account and may from time to time hold or act as market makers in investments mentioned in this document. Please note that the firm makes no warranty, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions herein. All parties are advised to seek independent professional advice as to the suitability of any products and to their tax, accounting, legal or regulatory implications. City Credit Capital (UK) Ltd is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, reg 232015.

 

 

 

 

 

 

市場報告                     2018-11-29

 

   
Market Summary
美元指數週三跌破97.00關口,因美聯儲主席鮑威爾發表了備受關注的講話。鮑威爾表示,沒有預設政策路徑,利率略低於中性,這一言論與10月時的講話有很大不同。在發表言論的期間,美元指數短線急跌,最終收於96.86。數據方面,日內公佈的美國第三季度GDP增長率顯示為3.5%,與前值相同,評論稱美國經濟增速在第三季度依然強勁,企業獲利較上季度溫和增加。美國10月新屋銷售總數年化為54.4萬戶,低於前值55.3和預期58.5,美國10月單戶型新屋銷售下挫至逾兩年半低點,因四個地區房屋銷售均大幅下滑,進一步證明抵押貸款利率上升正在損及樓市。儘管隨著購房需求降溫,房價通脹正在放緩,但漲幅仍超過了薪資漲幅。

現貨黃金週三上漲,亞市早盤開於1214.60美元/金衡盎司後震盪下行,錄得日內低點1211.10美元/金衡盎司。隨後因美元急跌,金價短線衝高至日內高點1226.50美元/金衡盎司後轉盤整,終收於1220.90美元/金衡盎司。

國際原油週三收跌1.79美元,或3.44%,報50.29美元/桶。因美國原油庫存報告再度全面利空,加重了市場對供應過剩的擔憂情緒。同時對於OPEC領導的產油國下週能否就減產達成協議,市場仍感到緊張,即使美元大跌也未能阻止油價尾盤再現空單砸盤。

美國股市週三聯準會主席鮑爾發表演說時稱,利率「略低於」中性水平範圍,既不會放緩也不會加速經濟增長,市場解讀升息週期可能比先前暗示的更早進入尾聲,三大指數應聲大漲。道瓊工業指數上漲617.70點,或2.50%,報25366.43點;標準普爾500指數上漲61.62點,或2.30%,報2743.79點;納斯達克指數上漲208.89點,或2.95%,報7291.59點。

個股方面,科技股中的FAANG引領大盤上漲,其中的Facebook(FB)上漲1.30%、亞馬遜(AMZN)大漲6.09%、蘋果(AAPL)上漲3.85%、Netflix(NFLX)攀升6.01%、Alphabet(GOOGL)上漲3.75%。通用汽車(GM)在週一(26日)宣告將裁撤1.4萬人力並關閉多家廠房,市場一片看好重組方針,使得股價週三續漲0.71%,但美國總統川普卻譴責該企業,並考慮縮減對通用汽車的補貼。

日本股市週三因日元走貶,以及上證等亞股普遍走揚,激勵日經指數持續上漲,終場收漲1.02%或224.62點,收22,177.02點。

個股方面,LINE旗下LINE Financial將與瑞穗金融集團旗下瑞穗銀行以及Orient公司,攜手進軍銀行業,計畫合資設立新銀行「LINE Bank」進行相關籌劃工作,股價應聲上漲2.73%。TDK看準了市場對於高性能、高品質的磁鐵需求,並表示取得昭和電工的釹鐵硼磁鐵研究開發事業,預計在2019年1月底前完成取得手續,股價聞訊上漲2.36%。東芝發布新聞稿宣布,將和美國Johnson Controls於車用電池事業進行合作,期望結合鋰離子電池和鉛電池的技術,搶攻微混合動力車市場,股價隨之上揚1.10%。Persol Holdings飆漲4.06%、Pasona Group飆漲4.48%,因應缺工,日本眾議院在週二通過了擴大引進外籍勞工的入管法修正案。

 

Technical  Analysis
USDJPY

從日線圖上看,美元/日元隔夜震蕩收跌,一度上破114關口後回落。技術指標上,MACD看漲動能柱顯現,RSI指標小幅向下。後市看來,價格初步支撐指向113.200一線。上行方面,價格阻力位依舊考驗114關口。

 

EURUSD

從日線圖上看,歐元/美元隔夜大幅收漲,最高探至1.13859一線。技術指標上,MACD看漲動能柱擴張,RSI指標大幅向上。後市看來,價格支撐位看向1.12800一線。上行方面,價格阻力位進一步指向1.14000一線。

 

GBPUSD

從日線圖上看,英鎊/美元隔夜反彈收漲,全數收復前一交易日跌幅。技術指標上,MACD看跌動能柱縮減,RSI指標向上。後市看來,價格初步支撐位考驗1.27200一線。上行方面,價格阻力位指向1.29000一線。

 

XAUUSD

從日線圖上看,金價隔夜小幅收漲,一度從日低1211一線反彈。技術指標上,MACD看跌動能柱萎靡,RSI指標小幅向上。後市來看,金價阻力位進一步指向1230一線。下行方面,金價初步支撐位考驗1214一線。

 

CL_

從日線圖上看,油價隔夜回落收跌,全數回吐前兩交易日升幅。技術指標上,MACD看跌動能柱微縮,RSI指標依舊超賣。後市來看,油價支撐目標考驗50心理關口。上行方面,油價初步阻力位依舊看向53.00一線。

 

DJ_

從日線圖上看,價格隔夜大幅收漲,最高探至25366一線。技術指標上,MACD看跌動能柱縮減殆盡,雙線金叉,RSI指標向上延伸。後市來看,價格阻力位進一步考驗25600一線。下行方面,價格支撐位看向24800一線。

 

NK_

從日線圖上看,價格隔夜延續反彈,最高探至22400一線。技術指標上,MACD看跌動能柱擴張,RSI指標小幅向上延伸。後市來看,價格阻力位考驗22500一線,下行支撐位看向21800一線。

 

 

 

28 11 月 2018

Daily Market View

Daily Market View

Wednesday, November 28, 2018
          U.S Stock Market

 

DJIA S & P 500 NASDAQ
24743 2683.75 6712.00
+0.33% +0.29% -0.05%

U.S stocks made small gains yesterday after White House economic adviser Larry Kudlow said a meeting between President Trump and his Chinese counterpart on was an opportunity to “turn the page” on a trade war. All three major U.S indexes turned positive after spending much of the session in negative territory, after Kudlow’s comments days ahead of the high-stakes dinner between the two leaders after the G20 summit in Buenos Aires. But Kudlow also said the White House has been disappointed so far in China’s response to trade issues with the United States. On Monday, Trump threatened to move ahead with additional tariffs on Chinese goods, due to take effect on Jan. 1. Industrials were also the biggest drag on the Dow, led by United Technologies Corp which was down 5.5 percent following its announcement late Monday that it would divide its aerospace, elevators and building segments into three discrete companies. The Dow rose 25.41 points, or 0.1 percent, the S&P 500 gained 3.54 points, or 0.13 percent and the NASDAQ added 4.69 points, or 0.07 percent.

 

Major Economic Releases for Today
Period Event GMT Forecast Previous

 

BOE Financial Stability Report and stress test results 07:00    

nov

U.S MBA Mortgage Applications 12:00   -0.1%

dec

German GfK Consumer Confidence 12:00 10.5 10.6

oct

U.S Advance Goods Trade Balance 13:30 -$77.0b -$76.3b

3Q

U.S Gross Domestic Product Annualized (QoQ) 13:30 3.5% 3.5%

3Q

U.S Personal Consumption 13:30 3.9% 4.0%

oct

U.S New Home Sales (MoM) 15:00 4.0% -5.5%

nov

DOE U.S. Crude Oil Inventories 15:30   4851k

 

U.S Fed’s Powell Speaks to Economic Club of New York 17:00    
Dow Jones Industrial Average

The Dow Jones Industrial Average added 0.44%. The best performers of the session on the Dow Jones were Verizon Communications Inc., which rose 2.50% or 1.48 points to trade at 60.65 at the close. Meanwhile, Walgreens Boots Alliance Inc. added 2.23% or 1.82 points to end at 83.52 and Home Depot Inc. was up 2.00% or 3.40 points to 173.22 in late trade. The worst performers of the session were United Technologies Corporation, which fell 4.14% or 5.30 points to trade at 122.68 at the close. Nike Inc. declined 0.85% or 0.62 points to end at 72.09 and DowDuPont Inc. was down 0.83% or 0.48 points to 57.18.

 

 

NASDAQ 100

The tech heacy NASDAQ index added 0.01%. The top performers on the NASDAQ were Arsanis Inc. which rose 255.17% to 4.12, Wins Finance Holdings Inc. which was up 33.82% to settle at 34.79 and Aethlon Medical Inc. which gained 25.64% to close at 1.470. The worst performers were Ferroglobe PLC which was down 62.26% to 1.80 in late trade, Smaaash Entertainment Inc. which lost 40.11% to settle at 3.30 and Intellipharmaceutics International Inc. which was down 39.70% to 0.340 at the close.

 

 

Oil

Oil prices turned firmly lower during midday trading yesterday. Crude futures were little changed earlier in the session, depressed by a report of record Saudi production but supported by expectations that oil exporters would agree to cut output at an OPEC meeting next week. U.S West Texas Intermediate crude fell 2 cents to $51.61. In the previous session, WTI fell to $50.10, its lowest level since mid-October 2017. Oil prices have lost almost a third of their value since early October, weighed down by an emerging supply overhang and widespread financial market weakness. Prices rallied sharply on Monday, with Brent rising almost 2.9 percent, but the market has struggled to stay positive. Leaders of the Group of 20 nations, the world’s biggest economies, meet on Nov. 30 and Dec. 1, with the trade war between Washington and Beijing top of the agenda. With the top three crude producers — Russia, the United States and Saudi Arabia — all present, oil policy is expected to be discussed.

 

 

Precious and Base Metals

Gold fell to its lowest in more than a week yesterday as the dollar rallied after comments from U.S. Federal Reserve vice Chair Richard Clarida bolstered expectations that the central bank would continue hiking interest rates. Spot gold fell 0.6 percent to $1,214.71 per ounce, after touching its lowest since Nov. 16 at $1,213.94. U.S gold futures dropped 0.7 percent to $1,214.50 an ounce. Most of those comments from Fed officials so far have been along the lines of continuing along the path of current rate hikes, certainly some of those comments have supported the dollar and pressured gold. The dollar gained after Clarida said the central bank should continue to gradually raise interest rates, but it is “especially important” to closely monitor new economic data as monetary policy is getting close to a neutral stance. Clarida softened gold with body blows and the stronger dollar on the back of consumer confidence (data) just delivered a left hook. I think gold will be dependent on the dollar for rest of day, and we could see a bounce if the dollar retraces. Higher interest rates tend to boost the dollar, making the gold more expensive for holders of other currencies. In a separate interview, St. Louis Fed President James Bullard said the central bank may face a year of difficult decisions, with rates still low by historic standards but growth ebbing. Meanwhile, investors are also racing for position going into the G20 summit. Ahead of a meeting with Chinese President Xi Jinping at the summit in Argentina this week, U.S. President Donald Trump said that he was “highly unlikely” to accept China’s request to hold off from raising tariffs due to take effect on Jan. 1. The dollar has been the preferred safe haven this year as the U.S.-China trade war unfolded, thereby denting the appeal of bullion. Investors also awaited the minutes from the U.S. Fed’s meeting on Nov.7-8 for indications on the future path of rate hikes in 2019, while Fed Chairman Jerome Powell is due to speak today.

 

 

 

 

Traditional Agricultures

Soybean futures fell about two per cent and neared a four-week low on Monday on chart-based selling and worries about export prospects for U.S supplies amid a trade war with China.

 

 

 

Futures Settlement Price Tuesday, November 27, 2018
Instrument Contract Open High Low Settlement Net Change
DJIA DJM18 24518 24750 24403 24743 156
S & P 500 SPM18 2661.25 2684 2655.25 2683.75 15
NASDAQ 100 NDM18 6640.5 6722.5 6613 6712 42
Hang Seng HSH18 26314 26425 26133 26252 -145
Nikkei 225 NKH18 21960 22000 21810 21990 160
FTSE 100 FTH18 7034.5 7085 6983.5 7039 -8.5
Gold GCJ18 1222.3 1224.9 1211.1 1214.2 -7.9
Silver SIK18 1420 1425 1403.5 1408.5 -16
Copper HGK18 274.55 275.15 270.55 271.45 -3.1
Crude Oil CLK18 51.5 52.34 50.27 52.06 0.49
Wheat WK18 506.25 509.75 497.25 497.75 -9.25
Soybeans SK18 858.5 879.5 858.5 875.75 14.25
Corn CK18 355.75 358 355.25 356 0.5

 

 

Daily Swings  (The Pivot Levels)
  Trading Range  
Contract S3 S2 S1 Pivot R1 R2 R3
DJM18 24167 24285 24514 24632 24861 24979 25208
SPM18 2635.92 2645.58 2664.67 2674.33 2693.42 2703.08 2722.17
NDM18 6533.00 6573.00 6642.50 6682.50 6752.00 6792.00 6861.50
HSH18 25823 25978 26115 26270 26407 26562 26699
NKH18 21677 21743 21867 21933 22057 22123 22247
FTH18 6885.17 6934.33 6986.67 7035.83 7088.17 7137.33 7189.67
GCJ18 1194.77 1202.93 1208.57 1216.73 1222.37 1230.53 1236.17
SIK18 1378.17 1390.83 1399.67 1412.33 1421.17 1433.83 1442.67
HGK18 265.02 267.78 269.62 272.38 274.22 276.98 278.82
CLK18 48.70 49.49 50.77 51.56 52.84 53.63 54.91
WK18 480.92 489.08 493.42 501.58 505.92 514.08 518.42
SK18 842.00 850.25 863.00 871.25 884.00 892.25 905.00
CK18 352.08 353.67 354.83 356.42 357.58 359.17 360.33

 

 Source: – News & Quotes (Courtesy:  Reuters)                                                                    

Disclaimer

This information has been prepared for information only and does not constitute an offer or commitment. This information does not constitute investment advice as defined by the rules of the FCA.

The firm or its staff members may trade on their own account and may from time to time hold or act as market makers in investments mentioned in this document. Please note that the firm makes no warranty, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions herein. All parties are advised to seek independent professional advice as to the suitability of any products and to their tax, accounting, legal or regulatory implications. City Credit Capital (UK) Ltd is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, reg 232015.

 

 

 

 

 

 

市場報告                     2018-11-28

 

   
Market Summary
美元指數週二持續上漲,因一則有關汽車關稅的新聞掀起市場波瀾。據德國雜誌最新報導,美國總統特朗普可能最快在下週徵收汽車關稅,消息傳來之後,美元指數聞訊上漲。數據方面,日內公佈的美國11月諮商會消費者信心指數為135.7,低於前值137.9和預期136.4,而美國諮商會經濟指標主管Lynn Franco表示,儘管11月數據小幅下滑,但消費者信心依舊處於歷史強勁水平。美國9月S&P/CS房價指數為5.15%,低於前值5.49%和預期5.30%,標準普爾指數委員會主席David M.Blitzer表示房價和房屋銷售建築數據證實了房市正在放緩。最終美元指數收於97.37。

現貨黃金週二加大跌幅,亞市早盤開於1221.90美元/金衡盎司震盪下行後轉盤整。歐市多頭上攻,錄得日內高點1224.85美元/金衡盎司後轉跌。美市金價高台跳水,一瀉千里,錄得日內低點1211.75美元/金衡盎司後反彈,金價震盪上行,終收於1214.45美元/金衡盎司。

國際原油週二收漲0.52美元,或1.01%,報52.08美元/桶。因俄羅斯方面終於釋放出可能配合減產的信號,結合厄瓜多爾在內的多國表態支持減產,原油多頭重拾部分信心。且目前市場普遍預期OPEC將在下週的政策會議上實施減產,但具體的減產幅度還未明確,加上美元的走強限制了油價的上漲空間。

美國股市週二小幅收高,因白宮經濟顧問庫德洛表示,美國總統川普與中國國家主席習近平週六(12月1日)將舉行晚宴會談,稱川普對兩國達成貿易協議持開放態度,有機會在與中國的貿易戰中扭轉局面。受此消息激勵,科技、健康照護類股領漲,帶動三大指數上漲。道瓊工業指數上漲108.49點,或0.44%,報24748.73點;標準普爾500指數收漲8.72點,或0.33%,報2682.17點;納斯達克指數上漲0.85點,或0.012%,報7082.70點。

個股方面,蘋果(AAPL)收跌0.22%,因週一(26日)傳出川普暗示將對蘋果iPhone和筆電課徵10%關稅,拖累該公司股價週二早盤下挫。亞馬遜(AMZN)網購創下該公司史上全球訂單最多且最佳的銷售紀錄,激勵該公司股價上漲0.0057%。汽車製造商通用汽車(GM)收跌2.55%,因宣布將實行裁員削減成本的措施,該公司首席執行官May Barra將向特朗普總統說明裁員事宜。受到受庫德洛談話的影響,波音(BA)收高0.53%,該公司被視為是面向海外市場風險敞口最大的公司之一。特斯拉(TLSA)收跌0.60%,因中國乘用車市場信息聯席會週二透露,特斯拉今年10月在中國賣出了211輛電動汽車,較上年同期下滑了70%。

日本股市週二收高,因受隔夜美股大漲提振、日元下滑為出口股提供支撐,但美中貿易爭端的擔憂限制了大盤漲幅,日經指數終場收漲0.64%或140.40點,收21,952.40點。

個股方面,日本蘋果概念股普遍走揚,其中Alps上漲1.48%、TDK上漲0.68%、太陽誘電上漲0.54%,因iPhone XS以及iPhone XS Max的加持,蘋果於日本市場的出貨量大增3成,且市佔率大幅揚升。LINE狂飆12.94%,因LINE傳出將和中國騰訊合作,搶攻日本行動支付市場,且計畫對赴日中國旅客提供智慧手機支付服務。Denso上漲1.13%,為了加快自動駕駛技術的研發,Denso入股半導體大廠英飛凌,並出資額數十億日元。日本石英元件廠大真空上漲1.69%、京瓷上漲1.48%,因日廠石英元件訂單量3個月來首增,增幅創2年來最大。

 

Technical  Analysis
USDJPY

從日線圖上看,美元/日元隔夜小幅收漲,溫和探高至113.829一線。技術指標上,MACD看跌動能柱縮減殆盡,RSI指標小幅向上延伸。後市看來,價格初步支撐依舊指向113.200一線。上行方面,價格阻力位進一步考驗114關口。

 

EURUSD

從日線圖上看,歐元/美元隔夜延續回落,最低觸及1.12760一線。技術指標上,MACD看漲動能柱縮減,RSI指標小幅向下延伸。後市看來,價格支撐位依舊看向1.12000一線。上行方面,價格初步阻力指向1.13600一線。

 

GBPUSD

從日線圖上看,英鎊/美元隔夜延續收跌,最低探至1.27241一線。技術指標上,MACD看跌動能柱擴張,RSI指標小幅向下延伸。後市看來,價格關鍵支撐位考驗1.27000一線。上行方面,價格初步阻力位指向1.28200一線。

 

XAUUSD

從日線圖上看,金價隔夜回落收跌,最低觸及1211一線。技術指標上,MACD看跌動能柱顯現,RSI指標向下延伸。後市來看,金價初步阻力位指向1220一線。下行方面,金價支撐位考驗1200關口。

 

CL_

從日線圖上看,油價隔夜探底回升,一度探低至50.29一線後反彈走高。技術指標上,MACD看跌動能柱縮減,RSI指標依舊超賣。後市來看,油價支撐目標考驗50心理關口。上行方面,油價初步阻力位依舊看向54.20一線。

 

DJ_

從日線圖上看,價格隔夜延續反彈,最高探至24750一線。技術指標上,MACD看跌動能柱縮減,RSI指標向上延伸。後市來看,價格阻力位進一步考驗25000關口。下行方面,價格支撐位看向24300一線。

 

NK_

從日線圖上看,價格隔夜震蕩收漲,交投於22000關口附近。技術指標上,MACD看跌動能柱擴張,RSI指標小幅向上延伸。後市來看,價格阻力位考驗22100一線,下行支撐位看向21700一線。

 

 

 

27 11 月 2018

FOREX Newsletter

FOREX Newsletter

November 27, 2018

 

Pulse of the Market

·      The U.S will publish CB Consumer Confidence, which is forecast to dip to 136.2 points

·      The euro gained against the dollar today on signs that Italy may cut its budget deficit target

·      Japanese Flash Manufacturing PMI dipped to 51.8, shy of the estimate of 53.0

·      The Pound steadied yesterday after Britain sealed a deal with the European Union

The Dollar inched down yesterday amid geopolitical tensions as investors pause ahead of a planned meeting between U.S.-China leaders later this week. The U.S dollar index, which measures the greenback’s strength against a basket of six major currencies, was down 0.04% to 96.785, retreating from one-week highs of 96.96 reached overnight. Trade worries weighed on the greenback, as investors wait for the G20 summit in Argentina on Friday. U.S President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping are expected to meet on the sidelines to discuss a possible trade deal. The euro pared back earlier gains the dollar, with EUR/USD rising 0.12% to 1.1350, boosted by news that disagreements between Rome and Europe could be resolved. Italian Deputy Prime Minister Matteo Salvini indicated that his government could lower its borrowing targets, which the European Commission had said is against EU fiscal rules. Broader optimism over the euro was also reflected in the latest weekly positioning data, where long dollar positions have been declining slightly for the week ending November 16. The pound was also higher, with GBP/USD up 0.20% to 1.2839. On Sunday, EU leaders approved the terms of the UK’s withdrawal from the bloc, the Brexit deal will have to pass a vote in the British parliament in early December. The dollar was higher against the safe-haven Japanese yen, with USD/JPY rising 0.41% to 113.43. In times of uncertainty, investors tend to invest in the Japanese yen, which is considered a safe asset during periods of risk aversion. The Canadian dollar strengthened against its U.S. counterpart on Monday, paring some of last week’s decline, as oil prices and stocks rallied. Stocks were boosted by robust sales in the holiday season, after a steep selloff on Wall Street in the previous session. Canada exports many commodities, including oil, and runs a current account deficit, so its economy could benefit from an improved outlook for the global flow of trade or capital. The price of oil recovered some of the previous session’s near-7 per cent fall. U.S crude prices were up 2.7 per cent at $51.77 a barrel. The loonie gained despite a report that General Motors Co. plans to announce it will significantly cut car production in North America and stop building some low-selling car models.

 

Time(GMT)   Economic Release IMP Actual Forecast Prior
  German Retail Sales (YoY) (OCT) Medium     -2.6%
11:00 U.K CBI Reported Sales (NOV) Low   10 5
14:00 U.S House Price Index (MoM) (SEP) Medium   0.4% 0.3%
14:00 U.S House Price Purchase Index (QoQ) (3Q) Medium     1.1%
14:00 S&P CoreLogic CS 20-City (MoM) SA (SEP) Medium   0.25% 0.09%
14:00 S&P/Case-Shiller Composite-20 (YoY) (SEP) Medium   5.3% 5.49%
14:00 S&P/Case-Shiller US Home Price Index (YoY) (SEP) Medium     5.77%
15:00 U.S Consumer Confidence Index (NOV) High   136.0 137.9
15:00 U.S Conf. Board Present Situation (NOV) Medium     172.8
15:00 U.S Conf. Board Expectations (NOV) Low     114.6
19:30 U.S Fed’s Bostic, Evan and George Speak on Panel Low      
20:00 RBNZ Publishes Financial Stability Report Medium      

 

Euro

The single currency gained against the dollar on signs that Italy may cut its budget deficit target to satisfy the European Union, and as a rebound in oil prices helped to improve risk sentiment. The Euro gained despite data showing that German business morale fell by more than expected in November as the country’s exporters get caught up in a trade dispute. Overall, the EUR/USD traded with a low of 1.1323 and a high of 1.1382 before closing the day around 1.1326 in the New York session.

 

Yen

The Japanese Yen pair ticked higher yesterday. On the release front, Japanese Flash Manufacturing PMI dipped to 51.8, shy of the estimate of 53.0. This marked a 4-month low. There were no U.S indicators on the schedule. Today, Japan releases BoJ Core CPI, the preferred inflation indicator of the Bank of Japan. Overall, the USD/JPY traded with a low of 112.86 and a high of 113.63 before closing the day around 113.56 in the U.S session.

 

British Pound

The British Pound steadied after Britain sealed a deal with the European Union on quitting the bloc, with the currency’s gains curbed by doubts about whether Prime Minister Theresa May can get the agreement through a divided parliament. Sterling traders are focused on a parliamentary vote on the deal likely to take place in mid-December. Overall, the GBP/USD traded with a low of 1.2794 and a high of 1.2862 before closing the day at 1.2807 in the New York session.

 

Canadian Dollar

The Canadian Dollar strengthened against its U.S counterpart yesterday, paring some of last week’s decline, as oil prices and stocks rallied. Canada exports many commodities, including oil, and runs a current account deficit, so its economy could benefit from an improved outlook for the global flow of trade or capital.  Overall, USD/CAD traded with a low of 1.3184 and a high of 1.3259 before closing the day at 1.3251 in the New York session.

 

Australian Dollar

The Australian Dollar traded higher earlier in the session yesterday but ended the day slightly lower as the RBA described a deteriorating property market. The local currency last Friday has eased and was on track for its worst weekly performances since early October as a global sell-off in equities took the shine off risk assets. The Australian dollar, often traded as a liquid proxy for global trade prospects. Overall, AUD/USD traded with a low of 0.7222 and a high of 0.7274 before closing the day at 0.7224 in the New York session.

 

Euro-Yen

EUR/JPY is trading below 14, 50 and 100 days moving average. Fast stochastic is giving a bearish tone and MACD is issuing a bullish stance. The Relative Strength Index is above 48 and lies below the neutral zone. In general, the pair has gained 0.53%.

 

Sterling-Yen

Currently, GBP/JPY is trading below 14, 50 and 100 days moving average. Fast stochastic is issuing a bearish tone and MACD is indicating a bullish stance. The Relative Strength Index is above 47 reading and lies below the neutral zone. On the whole, the pair has gained 0.53%.

  

Aussie-Yen

Currently, the cross is trading above 14, 50 and 100 days moving average. Fast stochastic is giving a bullish tone and MACD is also indicating a bullish stance. The Relative Strength Index is above 54 reading and lies above the neutral region. In general, the pair has gained 0.41%.

 

Euro-Sterling

This cross is currently trading above 14, 50 and below 100 days moving average. Fast stochastic is indicating a bullish tone and MACD is also issuing a bearish signal. The Relative Strength Index is above 51 and lies above the neutral region. On the whole, the pair has lost 0.02%.

 

Sterling-Swiss

This cross is trading above 14 and below 50, 100 days moving average. Fast stochastic is issuing a bearish stance and MACD is also indicating a bearish tone. The Relative Strength Index is above 43 and lies above the neutral region. In general, the pair has gained 0.04%.

 

Appendix

  

FOREX Closing Prices for November 26, 2018
Currency Open High Low Close Net Chg
EUR/USD 1.13336 1.13823 1.13235 1.13266 -0.0007
USD/JPY 112.905 113.632 112.86 113.567 0.6600
GBP/USD 1.28221 1.28623 1.27942 1.28078 -0.0004
USD/CHF 0.99687 0.99915 0.99525 0.99841 0.0009
USD/CAD 1.32231 1.3259 1.31846 1.32518 0.0019
EUR/JPY 128.002 128.895 127.906 128.641 0.6720
GBP/JPY 144.753 145.716 144.626 145.447 0.7700
CHF/JPY 113.216 113.779 113.132 113.72 0.5620
AUD/JPY 81.634 82.35 81.553 81.98 0.3380
EUR/GBP 0.8839 0.88669 0.88344 0.88403 -0.0002
EUR/CHF 1.13044 1.13397 1.13001 1.13091 0.0002
GBP/CHF 1.27817 1.28295 1.27686 1.27869 0.0005

 

 

Daily Pivot Points
  Trading Range  
Contract S3 S2 S1 Pivot R1 R2 R3
EUR/USD 1.1247 1.1285 1.1306 1.1344 1.1365 1.1403 1.1424
USD/JPY 112.30 112.58 113.07 113.35 113.85 114.13 114.62
GBP/USD 1.2712 1.2753 1.2781 1.2821 1.2849 1.2890 1.2917
USD/CHF 0.9922 0.9937 0.9961 0.9976 1.0000 1.0015 1.0039
USD/CAD 1.3130 1.3157 1.3205 1.3232 1.3279 1.3306 1.3353
EUR/JPY 127.08 127.49 128.07 128.48 129.06 129.47 130.04
GBP/JPY 143.72 144.17 144.81 145.26 145.90 146.35 146.99
CHF/JPY 112.66 112.90 113.31 113.54 113.96 114.19 114.60
AUD/JPY 80.78 81.16 81.57 81.96 82.37 82.76 83.17
EUR/GBP 0.8795 0.8815 0.8828 0.8847 0.8860 0.8880 0.8893
EUR/CHF 1.1253 1.1277 1.1293 1.1316 1.1333 1.1356 1.1372
GBP/CHF 1.2700 1.2734 1.2761 1.2795 1.2821 1.2856 1.2882

 

Sources:  News, Charts & Quotes (Courtesy: Reuters, US Department Of Treasury)

 

Disclaimer

This information has been prepared for information only and does not constitute an offer or commitment. This information does not constitute investment advice as defined by the rules of the FCA.

The firm or its staff members may trade on their own account and may from time to time hold or act as market makers in investments mentioned in this document. Please note that the firm makes no warranty, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions herein. All parties are advised to seek independent professional advice as to the suitability of any products and to their tax, accounting, legal or regulatory implications. City Credit Capital (UK) Ltd is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, reg 232015.

 

 

市場報告                     2018-11-27

 

   
Market Summary
美元指數週一持續上漲,一舉上破97.00關口。雖然受義大利政府考慮降低赤字目標,以及歐盟週末通過了英國脫歐協議,這兩則利好消息的提振,使得歐元/美元強勢反彈。不過,好景不長,歐洲央行行長德拉基最新講話釋放出謹慎基調,歐元自高位迅速回落,原先一度承壓的美元指數則加速反彈至平盤略上方,最終報收於97.08。

現貨黃金週一小幅收跌,亞市早盤開於1223.15美元/金衡盎司後小幅震盪上漲,錄得日內高點1227.85美元/金衡盎司後轉跌。歐市金價延續跌勢並加大波幅。美市金價繼續走低,不斷下挫,錄得日內低點1221.40美元/金衡盎司後轉盤整,終收於1222.00美元/金衡盎司。

國際原油週一收漲1.16美元,或2.30%,報51.56美元/桶。因沙特似乎準備繞過美國實施減產,而俄羅斯也釋放可能配合減產的信號,這令原油多頭重拾部分信心,目前市場目光聚焦在12月6日即將舉行的石油輸出國組織(OPEC)政策會議。

美國股市週一因網路購物節帶動零售股大漲,以及科技股技術反彈,僅必需消費品股下滑,使得三大指數一掃上週能源股暴跌陰霾全面走高。道瓊工業指數上漲354.29點,或1.46%,報24640.24點;標準普爾500指數收漲40.89點,或1.55%,報2673.45點;納斯達克指數上漲142.87點,或2.06%,報7081.85點。

個股方面,蘋果(AAPL)上漲1.35%,日本電信商Docomo週一證實先前蘋果補貼iPhone XR費用的消息,其電信新方案搭售iPhone XR只要3折即可購機。微軟(MSFT)上漲3.30%,在週一盤中公司市值一度超過蘋果市值,暫居全球市值王寶座,這是微軟8年來首次超過蘋果的市值。通用汽車(GM)上漲了4.76%,因宣布將暫停幾家工廠產線、縮減15%的勞力,並計畫轉向生產更有利可圖的貨卡車和休旅車,這是比投資者預期更為嚴厲的削減成本的計畫。

日本股市週一因美股上週五(23日)走跌影響,拖累日經指數以低位開盤,然後一路走高,在日元走貶以及營建等內需股走揚的提振下,激勵日經指數持續走揚,終場上漲0.76%或165.45點,收21,812.00點。

個股方面,NTT Docomo下跌0.64%,因日媒指出Docomo自週一起大砍iPhone XR(64GB)售價,最低僅2.6萬日元。然而Docomo降價,顯示iPhone XR恐真的銷售不振,拖累液晶面板供應商Japan Display Inc跟著慘跌4.35%。日本大金工業計畫將以1千億日元買下歐洲的冷凍機器大廠AHT Cooling Systems,並以AHT現有的顧客為基礎,結合大金的空調技術來擴展事業版圖,股價也應聲收漲3.15%。任天堂大漲2.90%,因寶可夢熱賣加持,使得Switch遊戲機日本銷量飆增2.4倍,創史上第5高紀錄。2025年世界博覽會由日本大阪奪下主辦權,為大阪睽違了55年後再度主辦,激勵日本營建、鐵道等萬博概念股嗨漲,其中五洋建設飆漲5.46%、大林組大漲4.10%、連結關西機場和大阪市內的南海電氣鐵道大漲3.62%。

 

Technical  Analysis
USDJPY

從日線圖上看,美元/日元隔夜大幅收漲,最高探至113.637一線。技術指標上,MACD看跌動能柱縮減,RSI指標大幅向上。後市看來,價格初步支撐指向113.200一線。上行方面,價格阻力位進一步考驗113.900一線。

 

EURUSD

從日線圖上看,歐元/美元隔夜沖高回落,最高觸及1.13822一線後全數回吐。技術指標上,MACD看漲動能柱縮減,RSI指標小幅向下。後市看來,價格支撐位依舊看向1.12000一線。上行方面,價格初步阻力指向1.14000一線。

 

GBPUSD

從日線圖上看,英鎊/美元隔夜震蕩微跌,一度反彈至1.28626一線後回落走低。技術指標上,MACD看跌動能柱微縮,RSI指標走平。後市看來,價格支撐位進一步考驗1.27000一線。上行方面,價格初步阻力位指向1.28500一線。

 

XAUUSD

從日線圖上看,金價隔夜微幅收跌,最高觸及1227一線後跳水。技術指標上,MACD看漲動能柱萎靡,雙線黏合,RSI指標小幅向下。後市來看,金價初步阻力位依舊指向1234一線。下行方面,金價支撐位考驗1213一線。

 

CL_

從日線圖上看,油價隔夜小幅反彈,持穩50關口上方。技術指標上,MACD看跌動能柱縮減,RSI指標依舊超賣。後市來看,油價支撐目標考驗50心理關口。上行方面,油價初步阻力位看向54.20一線。

 

DJ_

從日線圖上看,價格隔夜反彈收漲,最高探至24662一線。技術指標上,MACD看跌動能柱縮減,RSI指標向上遠離超賣區。後市來看,價格初步阻力位考驗24800一線。下行方面,價格支撐位看向24300一線。

 

NK_

從日線圖上看,價格隔夜低開高走,重回22000關口上方。技術指標上,MACD看跌動能柱擴張,RSI指標向上延伸。後市來看,價格阻力位考驗22100一線,下行支撐位看向21700一線。