24 9 月 2018

Daily Market View

   

Daily Market View

Monday, September 24, 2018
          U.S Stock Market

 

DJIA S & P 500 NASDAQ
26755 2934.00 7551.25
+0.32% -0.04% -0.51%

The S&P 500 and Dow reached record highs on Friday ahead of today’s major sector reshuffle, capping a week that largely shrugged off trade worries. Trading volume was expected to spike in anticipation of the S&P 500 sector change, when telecom will be folded into a new sector called communications services, along with heavy-hitting stocks such as Amazon.com, Facebook Inc. and Walt Disney Co. The S&P 500 and the Dow were up, with the tech-heavy NASDAQ losing ground. All three were on track to post their second consecutive weekly gains, with the blue-chip Dow on its way to its best weekly percentage gain in over two months. There could be a late spike in volume because of all these index changes occurring. Boeing Co, United States’ biggest exporter to China, led trade-sensitive industrials higher. The sector headed up gains by the S&P 500 and the Dow. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 78.46 points, or 0.29 percent, the S&P 500 gained 3.04 points, or 0.10 percent and the NASDAQ dropped 18.66 points, or 0.23 percent.

 

Major Economic Releases for Today
Period Event GMT Forecast Previous

sep

German IFO Business Climate 08:00   103.8

sep

German IFO Expectations 08:00   101.2

sep

German IFO Current Assessment 08:00   106.4

sep

Switzerland Domestic Sight Deposits CHF 08:00    

sep

U.K CBI Trends Total Orders 10:00   7

jul

Canada Wholesale Trade Sales (MoM) 12:30   -0.8%

aug

U.S Chicago Fed Nat Activity Index 12:30   0.13

sep

U.S Dallas Fed Manufacturing Activity 14:30 31 30.9

sep

BOJ Minutes of Policy Meeting 23:50    
Dow Jones Industrial Average

The Dow Jones Industrial Average added 0.32% to hit a new all-time high. The best performers of the session on the Dow Jones Industrial Average were McDonald’s Corporation, which rose 2.80% or 4.51 points to trade at 165.30 at the close. Meanwhile, Cisco Systems Inc. added 1.74% or 0.83 points to end at 48.56 and Chevron Corp was up 1.43% or 1.71 points to 121.13 in late trade. The worst performers of the session were Intel Corporation, which fell 1.14% or 0.54 points to trade at 46.66 at the close. Walt Disney Company declined 1.09% or 1.22 points to end at 110.40 and Apple Inc. was down 1.08% or 2.37 points to 217.66.

 

 

 

NASDAQ 100

The tech-heavy NASDAQ index declined 0.51%. The top performers on the NASDAQ Composite were Cool Holdings Inc. which rose 80.95% to 19.000, Astrotech Corp which was up 71.47% to settle at 5.590 and Netlist Inc. which gained 49.12% to close at 0.650. The worst performers were GTX Inc. which was down 92.27% to 1.8000 in late trade, Titan Pharmaceuticals Inc. which lost 56.67% to settle at 0.2167 and Bio Path Holdings Inc. which was down 36.46% to 0.610 at the close.

 

 

Oil

A steady rise in U.S oil output will gather pace in the next five years, OPEC said on Sunday, predicting that demand for the producer group’s crude will decline despite a growing appetite for energy fed by global economic expansion. “Declining demand for OPEC crude is a result of strong non-OPEC supply in the 2017–2023 period, most notably from U.S. tight oil,” the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries said in its long-term world oil outlook. The United States has pushed oil output to record levels in recent years on the back of a shale revolution that allowed new technology to unlock reserves previously seen as uneconomic. U.S sanctions on OPEC members Venezuela and Iran have helped pushed oil prices to their highest since 2014 at around $80 a barrel, also spurring U.S producers to ramp up output. However, high gasoline prices for U.S consumers could create a political headache for President Donald Trump, who on Thursday called again on OPEC to boost supply.

 

 

 

 

 

Precious and Base Metals

Gold prices fell more than 1 percent on Friday as the dollar firmed against the British sterling and the euro after British Prime Minister Theresa May said the European Union must supply an alternative Brexit proposal. China’s moves to boost domestic consumption also helped bolster the dollar rally driven by investor bets that the latest U.S.-China trade salvoes were unlikely to dent global growth. The dollar’s status as the chief reserve currency makes it the prime beneficiary of U.S.-China trade conflict, with the United States seen as having less to lose. A big selloff in the pound and euro sent the dollar sharply higher. And gold, being dollar-denominated, fell as a result of that. A stronger greenback makes dollar-denominated gold more expensive for holders of other currencies. Spot gold lost 0.8 percent at $1,196.86 per ounce. During the session it touched its lowest since Sept 11 at $1,191.51. However, gold headed for a 0.4 percent weekly increase. U.S gold futures for December delivery settled down $10, or 0.8 percent, at $1,201.30 per ounce. The euro and the pound fell after British Prime Minister Theresa May said the European Union must come up with an alternative to her Brexit proposals, saying talks had reached an impasse after the bloc’s leaders rejected her plans without explaining why. Investors await next week’s Federal Reserve meeting, where the U.S central bank is widely expected to raise benchmark interest rates. Higher U.S. interest rates tend to make gold less attractive since it does not pay interest and costs money to store and insure. In other precious metals, spot silver rose 0.1 percent at $14.29 an ounce, after rising to two-week highs of $14.43. The factors driving silver are much more industrial-related. Silver closed the week up about 2 percent. Platinum fell 0.4 percent at $828.70 after hitting its highest since Aug. 9 at $838.40.

 

 

 

 

Traditional Agriculture

Corn futures climbed more than one per cent on Friday to their highest in more than a week, buoyed by end-user demand and fund short-covering. Wheat and soybean futures declined but still recorded weekly advances. Corn rose for a third straight session with analysts citing a mix of technical and fundamental factors.

 

 

 

Futures Settlement Price Friday, September 21, 2018
Instrument Contract Open High Low Settlement Net Change
DJIA DJM18 26718 26816 26710 26755 30
S & P 500 SPM18 2939.5 2946.75 2932.5 2934 -5.5
NASDAQ 100 NDM18 7608.25 7637 7548.75 7551.25 -57.75
Hang Seng HSH18 27644 27977 27508 27933 481
Nikkei 225 NKH18 23685 23820 23610 23730 270
FTSE 100 FTH18 7353.5 7464 7351 7440.5 98.5
Gold GCJ18 1211.3 1215.5 1195.8 1201 -10.6
Silver SIK18 1433 1445 1417 1434.5 1
Copper HGK18 276.2 287.05 275.2 285.5 8.95
Crude Oil CLK18 70.17 71.76 69.95 70.78 0.64
Wheat WK18 522.25 523.75 514.75 521.5 -1.75
Soybeans SK18 846.5 849.25 841 847 -2
Corn CK18 353.25 357.25 352 356.75 4.75

 

 

Daily Swings  (The Pivot Levels)
  Trading Range  
Contract S3 S2 S1 Pivot R1 R2
DJM18 26599 26654 26705 26760 26811 26866 26917
SPM18 2914.50 2923.50 2928.75 2937.75 2943.00 2952.00 2957.25
NDM18 7432.75 7490.75 7521.00 7579.00 7609.25 7667.25 7697.50
HSH18 27166 27337 27635 27806 28104 28275 28573
NKH18 23410 23510 23620 23720 23830 23930 24040
FTH18 7260.00 7305.50 7373.00 7418.50 7486.00 7531.50 7599.00
GCJ18 1173.00 1184.40 1192.70 1204.10 1212.40 1223.80 1232.10
SIK18 1391.33 1404.17 1419.33 1432.17 1447.33 1460.17 1475.33
HGK18 266.27 270.73 278.12 282.58 289.97 294.43 301.82
CLK18 68.09 69.02 69.90 70.83 71.71 72.64 73.52
WK18 507.25 511.00 516.25 520.00 525.25 529.00 534.25
SK18 834.00 837.50 842.25 845.75 850.50 854.00 858.75
CK18 348.17 350.08 353.42 355.33 358.67 360.58 363.92

 

 

 Source: – News & Quotes (Courtesy:  Reuters)                                                                    

Disclaimer

This information has been prepared for information only and does not constitute an offer or commitment. This information does not constitute investment advice as defined by the rules of the FCA.

The firm or its staff members may trade on their own account and may from time to time hold or act as market makers in investments mentioned in this document. Please note that the firm makes no warranty, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions herein. All parties are advised to seek independent professional advice as to the suitability of any products and to their tax, accounting, legal or regulatory implications. City Credit Capital (UK) Ltd is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, reg 232015.

 

 

 

 

 

 

24 9 月 2018

FOREX Newsletter

   

FOREX Newsletter

September 24, 2018

 

 

Pulse of the Market

·      The market is pricing in 100% chance of a quarter point U.S rate increase on September 26

·      Softer than expected Eurozone PMIs drove the euro lower

·      In one day, sterling lost all of the gains that it had built up during the week

·      All 3 commodity currencies ended the day unchanged after strong gains this week

 

 

Judging from the recent performance of USD/JPY, investors are preparing for a dovish hike. The market is pricing in 100% chance of a quarter point rate increase on September 26 and a 75% chance of tightening on December 19th but we think the risk of disappointment is greater than that. After 3 rounds of tightening, it would behoove the Fed to take a break especially given the President’s criticism, trade war uncertainty, and mixed data. Since July, there’s been the weakness in retail sales, inflation, housing, and manufacturing activity. However with strong corporate earnings, record highs in stocks and continued labor market strength, if the Fed wanted to raise interest rates again, the arguments are there. As a result, we expect the dollar to consolidate with a mild bias to the downside before the FOMC rate decision. There are a handful of other economic reports scheduled for releases such as consumer confidence, personal income, and personal spending but they will be overshadowed by FOMC flows. USD/JPY, in particular, is vulnerable to a correction back to 111.50. In one day, Sterling lost all of the gains that it had built up during the week and this shows just how sensitive the currency is to Brexit news. At the start of the month, it appeared that a deal was close but the talks broke down when Prime Minister May said they were at an impasse this week. She said they are far apart on two big issues and the UK expects respect from the EU rather than an outright refusal to accept their proposal. The biggest hangups are their post-Brexit economic relationship and the Irish border. May sees no deal as better than a bad deal, which is bad news for sterling especially as her own Eurosceptic MPs want her to abandon her Chequers plan. Stronger than expected retail sales and consumer price growth were completely forgotten as investors focused on renewed Brexit uncertainty. With no major UK economic reports on the calendar in this week, we expect further weakness in sterling. Softer than expected Eurozone PMIs drove the euro lower. Although service sector activity strengthened, growth in the manufacturing sector is slowing and we think it will affect today’s IFO report. EUR/USD hit a 2 month high this week but it is vulnerable to a correction down to 1.1650. The Swiss Franc rose to a 5 month high despite the Swiss National Bank’s growing concern about the currency. Diversification out of European currencies into the franc is the only reason that we see for the currency’s strength. All 3 commodity currencies ended the day unchanged after strong gains this week.

 

 

Time(GMT)   Economic Release IMP Actual Forecast Prior
08:00 German IFO Business Climate (SEP) Medium     103.8
08:00 German IFO Expectations (SEP) Medium     101.2
08:00 German IFO Current Assessment (SEP) Medium     106.4
10:00 U.K CBI Trends Total Orders (SEP) Low     7
10:00 U.K CBI Trends Selling Prices (SEP) Low     15
12:30 U.S Chicago Fed Nat Activity Index (AUG) Low     0.13
14:30 U.S Dallas Fed Manufacturing Activity (SEP) Low   31 30.9
23:50 SBOJ Minutes of Policy Meeting (SEP 19) Medium      

 

Euro

The single currency gains in the last week were largely driven by signs that the Italian government will fall in line with the European Union’s budgetary restraints. A surprising amount of negativity at the Brexit Salzburg summit this week knocked the British Pound lower, and dragged the Euro down alongside with it. Overall, the EUR/USD traded with a low of 1.1731 and a high of 1.1801 before closing the day around 1.1751 in the New York session.

 

Yen

The Japanese Yen was once again the worst performing currency last week, but USD/JPY only gained +0.47% percent in the process. The ongoing improvement in risk appetite across the board is helping keep the Yen down. In an environment where stocks rally, particularly in Japan and the US, the Yen should remain generally weak. Overall, the USD/JPY traded with a low of 112.41 and a high of 112.85 before closing the day around 112.56 in the U.S session.

 

British Pound

The British Pound plummeted on Friday as Theresa May admitted that the Brexit talks have reached an “impasse” and criticized the EU for its “unacceptable” rejection of her own plan in Salzburg last week. The currency dipped to $1.3092 as the Prime Minister delivered a special statement in Downing Street, down 1.3 per cent on the day. Overall, the GBP/USD traded with a low of 1.3052 and a high of 1.3274 before closing the day at 1.3081 in the New York session.

 

Canadian Dollar

The Canadian Dollar ended the session little changed against the greenback on Friday, holding near its highest in more than three months as data showing a pickup in underlying inflation boosted bets for a Bank of Canada interest rate hike next month. Canada’s annual inflation rate dipped to 2.8 per cent in August from 3.0 per cent in July. Overall, USD/CAD traded with a low of 1.2883 and a high of 1.2940 before closing the day at 1.2914 in the New York session.

 

Australian Dollar

The Australian Dollar has risen to three-week highs against its big US brother. This is perhaps surprising in an environment of terrible trade relations between Washington and Beijing. Australia has after all vast economic, political and/or security ties with both nations and can sometimes seem unfortunately sandwiched between the two. Rising tensions there don’t promise Australia any good.  Overall, AUD/USD traded with a low of 0.7289 and a high of 0.7302 before closing the day at 0.7284 in the New York session.

 

Euro-Yen

EUR/JPY is trading above 14, 50 and 100 days moving average. Fast stochastic is giving a bearish tone and MACD is issuing a bullish stance. The Relative Strength Index is above 62 and lies above the neutral zone. In general, the pair has lost 0.13%.

 

Sterling-Yen

Currently, GBP/JPY is trading above 14, 50 and below 100 days moving average. Fast stochastic is issuing a bullish tone and MACD is also indicating a bullish stance. The Relative Strength Index is above 66 reading and lies above the neutral zone. On the whole, the pair has lost 1.32%.

  

Aussie-Yen

Currently, the cross is trading above 14 and below 50, 100 days moving average. Fast stochastic is giving a bullish tone and MACD is also indicating a bullish stance. The Relative Strength Index is above 57 reading and lies above the neutral region. In general, the pair has gained 0.01%.

 

Euro-Sterling

This cross is currently trading above 14, 50 and 100 days moving average. Fast stochastic is indicating a bearish tone and MACD is also issuing a bearish signal. The Relative Strength Index is above 42 and lies below the neutral region. On the whole, the pair has gained 1.20%.

 

Sterling-Swiss

This cross is trading below 14, 50 and 100 days moving average. Fast stochastic is issuing a bullish stance and MACD is also indicating a bullish tone. The Relative Strength Index is above 54 and lies above the neutral region. In general, the pair has lost 1.51%.

 

Appendix

  

FOREX Closing Prices for September 21, 2018
Currency Open High Low Close Net Chg
EUR/USD 1.17757 1.18013 1.17314 1.17513 -0.0024
USD/JPY 112.45 112.855 112.41 112.564 0.0960
GBP/USD 1.32637 1.32748 1.30529 1.30811 -0.0187
USD/CHF 0.95871 0.95965 0.95403 0.95772 -0.0010
USD/CAD 1.29062 1.29409 1.28834 1.29148 0.0013
EUR/JPY 132.472 133.107 132.135 132.301 -0.1710
GBP/JPY 149.186 149.69 146.959 147.271 -1.9660
CHF/JPY 117.272 118.04 117.224 117.511 0.2350
AUD/JPY 81.976 82.326 81.854 81.995 0.0060
EUR/GBP 0.8877 0.89937 0.88686 0.89812 0.0106
EUR/CHF 1.12909 1.1306 1.1220 1.1256 -0.0034
GBP/CHF 1.27189 1.2726 1.24997 1.25293 -0.0192

  

 

Daily Pivot Points
  Trading Range  
Contract S3 S2 S1 Pivot R1 R2 R3
EUR/USD 1.1651 1.1691 1.1721 1.1761 1.1791 1.1831 1.1861
USD/JPY 111.92 112.16 112.36 112.61 112.81 113.05 113.25
GBP/USD 1.2776 1.2914 1.2998 1.3136 1.3220 1.3358 1.3442
USD/CHF 0.9490 0.9515 0.9546 0.9571 0.9602 0.9628 0.9659
USD/CAD 1.2828 1.2856 1.2885 1.2913 1.2943 1.2971 1.3000
EUR/JPY 130.95 131.54 131.92 132.51 132.89 133.49 133.87
GBP/JPY 143.53 145.24 146.26 147.97 148.99 150.70 151.72
CHF/JPY 116.33 116.78 117.14 117.59 117.96 118.41 118.78
AUD/JPY 81.32 81.59 81.79 82.06 82.26 82.53 82.73
EUR/GBP 0.8777 0.8823 0.8902 0.8948 0.9027 0.9073 0.9152
EUR/CHF 1.1129 1.1175 1.1215 1.1261 1.1301 1.1347 1.1387
GBP/CHF 1.2218 1.2359 1.2444 1.2585 1.2670 1.2811 1.2897

 

Sources:  News, Charts & Quotes (Courtesy: Reuters, US Department Of Treasury)

 

Disclaimer

This information has been prepared for information only and does not constitute an offer or commitment. This information does not constitute investment advice as defined by the rules of the FCA.

The firm or its staff members may trade on their own account and may from time to time hold or act as market makers in investments mentioned in this document. Please note that the firm makes no warranty, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions herein. All parties are advised to seek independent professional advice as to the suitability of any products and to their tax, accounting, legal or regulatory implications. City Credit Capital (UK) Ltd is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, reg 232015.

 

 

市場報告                     2018-09-24

 

   
Market Summary
週五(9月21日)美元指數強勢反彈,晚間金融市場短線波動突然加劇。因英鎊受到英國脫歐的不利消息打壓,使得英鎊/美元暴跌逾200點。數據方面,日內公佈的美國Markit服務業和製造業PMI指數喜憂參半,9月Markit服務業PMI指數為52.9,不如前值與預期;​​​​而9月份Markit製造業PMI指數超預期,為55.6,好於前值與預期。最終美元指數收於94.21。

現貨黃金週五在大幅下挫之後縮減跌幅,亞市早盤開於1206.95美元/金衡盎司後金價震盪上行。歐市金價轉入盤整,之後多頭再度上攻,錄得日內高點1210.75美元/金衡盎司後轉跌,金價震盪下行。美市金價突現直線跳水,短線急挫,錄得日內低點1191.55美元/金衡盎司後反彈,縮減日內跌幅,之後再轉盤整,終收於1198.70美元/金衡盎司。

國際原油週五收漲0.64美元,或0.91%,報70.80美元/桶。原先伊朗準備軍演的消息一度令油價大幅上漲,但石油輸出國組織(OPEC)討論額外增產選項的消息令漲幅迅速縮減,加上美元反彈限制了油價的上行空間。

美國股市週五在工業類股領軍下,道瓊工業指數連續第二天創收盤新高。不過受到標準普爾500指數進行有史來最大產業分類調整,在科技股與網路股大幅受壓下,標普500與納斯達克指數則雙雙收跌。道瓊工業指數收高86.52點,或0.32%,至26,743.50點;標準普爾500指數收低1.08點,或0.04%,至2,929.67點;納斯達克指數下跌41.28點,或0.51%,至7,986.96點。

個股方面,美國對華最大出口商波音 BA.N 帶動對貿易敏感的工業股 .SPLRCI 上漲0.31%,該板塊力撐道指不失。而美國長期公債收益率小跌,因對英國脫歐有不安情緒,儘管預計下周美國聯邦儲備理事會(FED/美聯儲)升息。金融股 .SPSY 下跌0.37%,結束近期升勢。此外,FAANG動能股全軍覆沒,Facebook、蘋果 AAPL.O 、亞馬遜 AMZN.O 、網飛 NFLX.O 和谷歌母公司Alphabet Inc GOOGL.O 跌幅介乎1.1-1.9%。美光 MU.O 下跌2.87%,拉低晶片股,此前該公司表示,美國對中國產品加徵關稅會令該公司長達一年的業績受壓。

日本股市週五收高,因對於全球貿易緊張局勢的擔憂消退,以及對美國經濟的樂觀看法,支撐大宗商品和製造業公司股價。日經225指數終場收漲0.82%或195.00點,至23,869.93點。

個股方面,在外國債券等高收益產品進行投資的保險及銀行股勁升。第一生命控股跳漲3.56%,T&D控股勁升3.31%。三井住友金融集團上漲1.48%,里索那控股上漲1.70%。鐵礦、有色金屬及航運股勁升,因市場憧憬貿易摩擦對中國需求的衝擊有限。新日鐵住金上漲1.71%,JFE控股大漲3.14%,住友金屬礦山漲3.80%。而Sony下挫1.98%。 Sony掌上機PS Vita將在明年停止出貨、且沒計畫推後繼機種。

 

Technical  Analysis
USDJPY

從日線圖上看,美元/日元隔夜震蕩收漲,最高觸及112.860一線。技術指標上,MACD看漲動能柱微增,RSI指標小幅向上。後市看來,價格初步支撐位於112.200一線。上行方面,價格阻力目標進一步考驗113.100一線。

 

EURUSD

從日線圖上看,歐元/美元隔夜小幅回落,最低下探至1.17317一線。技術指標上,MACD看漲動能柱擴張,RSI指標下行至60。後市看來,價格支撐考驗1.17200一線。上行方面,價格阻力目標指向1.18300一線。

 

GBPUSD

從日線圖上看,英鎊/美元隔夜大幅下跌,最低下探至1.30545一線。技術指標上,MACD看漲動能柱縮減,RSI指標拐頭向下。後市看來,價格關鍵支撐考驗1.30000一線。上行方面,價格阻力目標位於1.31200一線。

 

XAUUSD

從日線圖上看,金價隔夜下跌,最低下探至1191.55一線。技術指標上,MACD看漲動能柱縮減,RSI指標拐頭向下。後市來看,金價阻力目標指向1204一線。下行方面,金價初步支撐考驗1190一線。

 

CL_

從日線圖上看,油價隔夜震盪收漲,最高觸及71.78一線。技術指標上,MACD看漲動能柱擴張,RSI指標向上延伸。後市來看,油價初步支撐位於70.00一線。上行方面,油價阻力位指向72.00一線。

 

DJ_

從日線圖上看,價格隔夜延續走高,再創新高至26815一線。技術指標上,MACD看漲動能柱擴張,RSI指標小幅向上。後市來看,價格阻力目標考驗27000心理關口。下行方面,價格支撐看向26650一線。

 

NK_

從日線圖上看,價格隔夜小幅收漲,交投於23700一線。技術指標上,MACD看漲動能柱擴張,RSI指標超買。後市來看,價格阻力目標指向前高23900一線。下行方面,價格支撐看向23500一線。

 

 

市場報告                     2018-09-21

 

   
Market Summary
週四(9月20日)美元指數大幅下挫。因隨著圍繞中美貿易爭端的疑慮降溫,市場風險情緒改善,加上英國脫歐的最新進展令歐系貨幣受到提振,使得美元指數開始全線回落,並下破94.00關口下方。數據方面,美國公佈的上週初請失業救濟金人數為20.1萬人,低於前值20.4萬人和預期21.0萬人,逼近20萬整數關口,表明勞動力市場保持強勁。但8月的成屋銷售總數年化為534萬戶,與前值一致略低預期535萬戶,因房地產市場表現不佳,樓市庫存三年來首次錄得增加;且美國8月諮商會領先指標為0.4%,也低於前值0.6%及預期0.5%。此外,瑞士央行公佈利率決定為-0.75%,與前值相同。最終美元指數收於93.90。

現貨黃金週四小幅上漲,亞市早盤開於1203.50美元/金衡盎司後金價短暫上漲後轉跌,抹去日內漲幅。歐市金價加大跌幅,不斷下挫,錄得日內低點1201.10美元/金衡盎司後反彈,金價震盪上行,走出一段上漲行情。美市金價錄得日內高點1208.10美元/金衡盎司後回落,再度轉跌後又反彈,震盪走高,終收於1206.95美元/金衡盎司。

國際原油週四收跌0.78美元,或1.10%,報70.16美元/桶。因美國總統特朗普再度要求沙特等國壓低油價,這令原油多頭信心受挫,部分抵消了伊朗制裁帶來的利多影響,不過美元走弱限制了油價的下行空間。

美國股市週四收高,市場普漲,因交易憂慮消退。標普500指數也創下紀錄最高收位。其中科技、生活消費品和基礎材料等上漲的板塊帶領股指走高。道瓊工業指數收高255.96點,或0.97%,至26,661.72點;標準普爾500指數上漲24.63點,或0.85%,至2,932.58點;納斯達克指數收漲78.19點,或0.98%,至8,028.23點。

個股方面,微軟 MSFT.O 和蘋果 AAPL.O 分別上升1.67%和0.76%,引領科技指數上升。 Nike Inc NKE.N 上漲1.1%,Thomson Reuters Proprietary Research對該公司線上銷售數據進行分析,顯示在美國國家橄欖球聯盟球員Colin Kaepernick參與的廣告播放以來,公司產品銷售增長61%。

日本股市週四基本收平,安倍晉三在執政黨領導人的角逐中獲勝,這已在外界預期之中,股市基本未受此影響。而金融股續漲基本被大盤大漲幾天之後的獲利回吐所抵消。日經225指數終場收漲0.01%或2.41點,至23,674.93點。

個股方面,由於最近美債收益率大漲提振了美股金融類股,銀行股漲勢強勁。三井住友金融集團(SMFG)上漲1.43%,三菱日聯金融集團(MUFG)上漲1.62%,瑞穗金融集團上漲1.26%。任天堂上漲4.8%,此前該公司週三推出付費型Nintendo Switch Online遊戲平台。

 

Technical  Analysis
USDJPY

從日線圖上看,美元/日元隔夜震蕩收漲,一度回撤至112.000關口附近後反彈走高。技術指標上,MACD看漲動能柱微增,RSI指標小幅向上。後市看來,價格初步支撐位於111.900一線。上行方面,價格阻力目標進一步考驗112.900一線。

 

EURUSD

從日線圖上看,歐元/美元隔夜大幅收漲,最高探高至1.17822一線。技術指標上,MACD看漲動能柱擴張,RSI指標向上延伸。後市看來,價格支撐考驗1.16700一線,。上行方面,價格阻力目標指向1.18000一線。

 

GBPUSD

從日線圖上看,英鎊/美元隔夜大幅收升,最高觸及1.32969一線。技術指標上,MACD看漲動能柱擴張,RSI指標向上逼近超買區。後市看來,價格關鍵支撐依舊考驗1.31600一線。上行方面,價格阻力目標位於1.34一線。

 

XAUUSD

從日線圖上看,金價隔夜窄幅震蕩,交投於1205一線附近。技術指標上,MACD看漲動能柱擴張,RSI指標小幅向上延伸。後市來看,金價阻力目標依舊指向1210一線。下行方面,金價初步支撐考驗1200關口。

 

CL_

從日線圖上看,油價隔夜小幅回落,一度觸及日高至71.33一線後跳水。技術指標上,MACD看漲動能柱溫和,RSI指標拐頭向下。後市來看,油價初步支撐位於69.20一線。上行方面,油價阻力位指向71.40一線。

 

DJ_

從日線圖上看,價格隔夜延續走高,再創新高至26730一線。技術指標上,MACD看漲動能柱擴張,RSI指標超買。後市來看,價格阻力目標考驗27000心理關口。下行方面,價格支撐看向26400一線。

 

NK_

從日線圖上看,價格隔夜小幅收漲,一度探低至23415一線後反彈走高。技術指標上,MACD看漲動能柱擴張,RSI指標超買。後市來看,價格阻力目標依舊指向前高23900一線。下行方面,價格支撐看向23100一線。

 

 

20 9 月 2018

Daily Market View

 

 Daily Market View

 Thursday, September 20, 2018
          U.S Stock Market

 

DJIA S & P 500 NASDAQ
26433 2909.75 7497.00
+0.60% -0.04% -0.15%

U.S stocks closed mostly higher yesterday as investors took escalating trade tensions in stride to instead focus on improving economic fundamentals even as a weak technology sector hobbled the NASDAQ. The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 158.80 points, or 0.6%, leaving it less than 1% from its all-time closing high. It has been 163 trading days since the Dow’s last record, its longest such stretch since a period of 288 days that occurred between May 2015 and July 2016, according to the Dow Jones Data Group. The S&P 500 added 3.64 points, or 0.1%, within 0.3% of its record. Financials were the best-performing stocks, rallying 1.8% as the 10-year Treasury yield rose to 3.081%, its highest since May 17. The NASDAQ bucked the trend to fall 6.07 points. Trading on Wall Street has been relatively subdued now that earnings season is largely over and there have been few major economic indicators released this week. That has left an opening for markets to be driven by the latest developments on trade.

 

 

Major Economic Releases for Today
Period Event GMT Forecast Previous

sep

SNB Sight Deposit Interest Rate 07:30 -0.75% -0.75%

sep

SNB 3-Month Libor Lower Target Range 07:30 -1.25% -1.25%

sep

SNB 3-Month Libor Upper Target Range 07:30 -0.25% -0.25%

aug

U.K Retail Sales Ex Auto Fuel (YoY) 08:30 2.3% 3.7%

sep

U.S Philadelphia Fed Business Outlook 12:30 15.8 11.9

sep

U.S Initial Jobless Claims 12:30 210k 204k

 

EU Informal Meeting of Heads of State Summit Press Conference 13:15    

sep

Euro-Zone Consumer Confidence 14:00 -2.0 -1.9

aug

U.S Existing Home Sales (MoM) 14:00 0.8% -0.7%
Dow Jones Industrial Average

The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 0.61% to hit new 6-months high. The best performers of the session on the Dow Jones Industrial Average were Goldman Sachs Group Inc., which rose 2.92% or 6.69 points to trade at 235.58 at the close. Meanwhile, JPMorgan Chase & Co added 2.90% or 3.32 points to end at 117.62 and Caterpillar Inc. was up 2.48% or 3.69 points to 152.76 in late trade. The worst performers of the session were Verizon Communications Inc., which fell 1.64% or 0.89 points to trade at 53.50 at the close. Microsoft Corporation declined 1.33% or 1.51 points to end at 111.70 and Nike Inc was down 0.97% or 0.83 points to 84.43.

 

 

 

NASDAQ 100

The tech-heavy NASDAQ index declined 0.08% yesterday. The top performers on the NASDAQ Composite were Altimmune Inc. which rose 285.48% to 16.460, New Age Beverages Corp which was up 54.96% to settle at 4.37 and Molecular Templates Inc. which gained 52.44% to close at 6.2500. The worst performers were Realm Therapeutics PLC ADR which was down 21.88% to 5.00 in late trade, Vital Thera which lost 22.90% to settle at 0.33 and Ameri Holdings Inc. which was down 18.08% to 1.45 at the close.

 

 

Oil

U.S oil futures rose to a more than two-month high yesterday, bolstered by a fifth weekly crude inventory drawdown and strong domestic gasoline demand, amid ongoing supply concerns over U.S sanctions on Iran that come into force in November. Crude inventories fell 2.1 million barrels in the week to Sept. 14 to 394.1 million barrels, the lowest level since February 2015 EIA data showed. Analysts had forecast a decrease of 2.7 million barrels. U.S crude futures ended yesterday’s session up $1.27, or 1.8 percent, at $71.12, its best closing price since early July. The rise came after the U.S Energy Information Administration said crude and gasoline stockpiles fell last week. Crude inventories fell 2.1 million barrels last week to 394.1 million barrels, the lowest level since February 2015, EIA data showed. Gasoline stocks fell 1.7 million barrels versus forecasts for a 100,000-barrel drop. Gasoline consumption usually picks up in the summer.

 

 

 

Precious and Base Metals

Gold prices held steady today, after rising in the previous session, as the dollar softened amid easing Sino-U.S. trade tensions and investors wait on direction from next week’s U.S Federal Reserve meeting. Spot gold was little changed at $1,203.86, after rising 0.5 percent in the previous session. U.S. gold futures were up 0.1 percent at $1,209 an ounce. Investors are awaiting next week’s Federal Reserve meeting. The U.S. central bank is widely expected to raise benchmark interest rates and shed light on the path for future rate hikes. Higher rates dent demand for non-interest yielding gold and in turn boost the dollar in which it is priced. The dollar index was hovering near a seven-week low against a basket of major currencies. China said on Wednesday it will not stoop to the competitive devaluation of its currency, hours after it hit back with a softer punch than the one landed by the United States in their escalating tariff dispute. On Tuesday, Beijing added $60 billion of U.S. products to its import tariff list in retaliation for President Donald Trump’s planned levies on $200 billion worth of Chinese goods. The tariffs, however, were seen to be at lower levels than some had feared, easing some concerns after the months-long trade battle between the world’s leading economies threatened to dim global growth prospects. Investors have been buying the dollar in the belief the United States has less to lose from the dispute. But a spot of weakness in the dollar indicated that worries over trade tensions have eased. U.S homebuilding increased more than expected in August, a positive sign for the housing market which has underperformed the broader economy amid rising interest rates for home loans. India should not tamper with its gold import duty or impose other restrictions to support the rupee, the World Gold Council said on Wednesday, as the government considers ways to cut “non-necessary” imports to stem an outflow of dollars.

 

 

 

Traditional Agriculture

Soybean futures rose roughly two percent yesterday, rebounding a day after the most active contract fell to a 10-year low as the harvest of a likely record-large U.S crop got underway. Wheat futures climbed on technical buying and tightening global supplies.

 

 

 

Futures Settlement Price Wednesday, September 19, 2018
Instrument Contract Open High Low Settlement Net Change
DJIA DJM18 26285 26474 26236 26433 158
S & P 500 SPM18 2907.25 2913.25 2900.5 2909.75 3
NASDAQ 100 NDM18 7499.75 7516.75 7442.25 7497 1.25
Hang Seng HSH18 27215 27488 27056 27406 371
Nikkei 225 NKH18 23650 23685 23495 23525 225
FTSE 100 FTH18 7313 7344.5 7276.5 7340.5 35
Gold GCJ18 1202.3 1210.7 1202.3 1208.5 5.9
Silver SIK18 1417 1436.5 1416.5 1426 9
Copper HGK18 273.55 275.3 271.7 272.75 -1
Crude Oil CLK18 69.43 71.04 69.32 70.99 1.57
Wheat WK18 512.75 523 511.75 522 11.75
Soybeans SK18 814.5 830.25 813 829.5 16
Corn CK18 343 346.5 342.75 345.25 2.5

 

 

Daily Swings  (The Pivot Levels)
  Trading Range  
Contract S3 S2 S1 Pivot R1 R2 R3
DJM18 26050 26143 26288 26381 26526 26619 26764
SPM18 2889.67 2895.08 2902.42 2907.83 2915.17 2920.58 2927.92
NDM18 7379.42 7410.83 7453.92 7485.33 7528.42 7559.83 7602.92
HSH18 26713 26885 27145 27317 27577 27749 28009
NKH18 23262 23378 23452 23568 23642 23758 23832
FTH18 7228.50 7252.50 7296.50 7320.50 7364.50 7388.50 7432.50
GCJ18 1195.23 1198.77 1203.63 1207.17 1212.03 1215.57 1220.43
SIK18 1396.17 1406.33 1416.17 1426.33 1436.17 1446.33 1456.17
HGK18 267.60 269.65 271.20 273.25 274.80 276.85 278.40
CLK18 68.14 68.73 69.86 70.45 71.58 72.17 73.30
WK18 503.58 507.67 514.83 518.92 526.08 530.17 537.33
SK18 801.00 807.00 818.25 824.25 835.50 841.50 852.75
CK18 339.42 341.08 343.17 344.83 346.92 348.58 350.67

 

 Source: – News & Quotes (Courtesy:  Reuters)                                                                    

Disclaimer

This information has been prepared for information only and does not constitute an offer or commitment. This information does not constitute investment advice as defined by the rules of the FCA.

The firm or its staff members may trade on their own account and may from time to time hold or act as market makers in investments mentioned in this document. Please note that the firm makes no warranty, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions herein. All parties are advised to seek independent professional advice as to the suitability of any products and to their tax, accounting, legal or regulatory implications. City Credit Capital (UK) Ltd is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, reg 232015.

 

 

 

 

 

 

市場報告                     2018-09-20

 

   
Market Summary
週三(9月19日)美元指數小幅轉跌,而日內公佈的美國數據有喜有憂,對市場影響不明顯。但於晚間全球外匯市場突然迎來劇烈波動。由於英國脫歐協議再生變數,使得英鎊/美元短線急跌近百點至1.31000關口上方。數據方面,美國8月新屋開工總數年化為128.2萬戶,高於前值116.8萬戶和預期123.2萬戶,也表明此前因貸款利率上揚等原因而表現相對薄弱的房地產業開始出現積極發展。但商務部稱,新屋開工數可能出現較大波動,也可能出現較大修正。美國8月營建許可總數為122.9萬戶,低於前值和預期。此外,日本央行公佈利率決定為-0.1%,與前值相同。最終美元指數收於94.55。

現貨黃金週三上漲後轉入盤整,亞市早盤開於1197.70美元/金衡盎司後金價短暫下跌,錄得日內低點1197.40美元/金衡盎司後轉漲,金價震盪上行,走出一段上漲行情。歐市金價轉入盤整,窄幅波動,徘徊不前。美市多頭擺脫困境,積極上攻,錄得日內高點1205.90美元/金衡盎司後回落,再度轉入盤整,終收於1203.50美元/金衡盎司。

國際原油週三收漲1.20美元,或1.72%,報70.94美元/桶。因美國原油庫存報告為油價帶來了進一步的上升提振,且近期沙特官員對高油價的容忍態度以及伊朗制裁的穩步推進已經幫助油價不斷走高。

美國股市週三漲跌不一,標普500和道瓊工業指數上揚,因美債收益率攀升提振金融股走高,且貿易憂慮得到緩解。道瓊工業指數收高158.80點,或0.61%,至26,405.76點;標準普爾500指數上漲3.64點,或0.13%,至2,907.95點;納斯達克指數收跌6.07點,或0.08%,至7,950.04點。

個股方面,波音股價上漲0.5%,卡特彼勒上漲2.5%。鑑於它們在海外市場的巨大敞口,這兩家公司都被視為全球貿易的領頭羊。而亞馬遜 AMZN.O 下跌0.75%,因歐盟監管機構調查公司是否利用商業數據來擊退競爭。在其他被稱為FAANG股票中,網飛(Netflix) NFLX.O 也微幅下跌。 Facebook Inc FB.O 上漲1.72%,蘋果 AAPL.O 和谷歌母公司Alphabet Inc GOOGL.O 僅小幅上升。

日本股市週三收高,雖然貿易戰的擔憂仍然存在,但投資人受到美國股市的強勁表現激勵,使得日經225指數開盤後隨即大漲。終場收漲1.08%或252.00點,至23,686.00點。

個股方面,保險商和銀行股延續漲勢。第一生命控股跳升4.3%,損保控股上漲2.26%,T&D控股上漲3.47%。三菱日聯金融集團(MUFG)上漲1.49%,三井住友金融集團(SMFG)上漲1.68%。出口商類股也走高。京瓷漲2.64%,東電化(TDK) 漲3.31%,本田汽車漲3.01%。

Technical  Analysis
USDJPY

從日線圖上看,美元/日元隔夜小幅收跌,窄幅交投於112.300一線附近。技術指標上,MACD看漲動能柱微增,RSI指標小幅向下。後市看來,價格支撐位於111.600一線。上行方面,價格阻力目標進一步考驗112.700一線。

 

EURUSD

從日線圖上看,歐元/美元隔夜震蕩收平,一度探高至1.17135一線後收窄。技術指標上,MACD看漲動能柱溫和,RSI指標走平。後市看來,價格支撐考驗1.16300一線,關鍵支撐位1.16一線。上行方面,價格阻力目標指向1.17200一線。

 

GBPUSD

從日線圖上看,英鎊/美元隔夜收陰線十字星,最高觸及1.32137一線後回落收窄。技術指標上,MACD看漲動能柱微縮,RSI指標小幅向下。後市看來,價格關鍵支撐依舊考驗1.30關口。上行方面,價格阻力目標位於1.32000一線。

 

XAUUSD

從日線圖上看,金價隔夜小幅收漲,站上1200關口。技術指標上,MACD看漲動能柱擴張,RSI指標小幅向上。後市來看,金價阻力目標依舊指向1210一線。下行方面,金價初步支撐考驗1190一線。

 

CL_

從日線圖上看,油價隔夜延續收漲,溫和探高至70.94一線。技術指標上,MACD看漲動能柱擴張,RSI指標向上延伸。後市來看,油價初步支撐位於69.40一線。上行方面,油價阻力位進一步指向71.70一線。

 

DJ_

從日線圖上看,價格隔夜延續走高,刷新新高至26473一線。技術指標上,MACD看漲動能柱顯現,RSI指標向上進入超買區。後市來看,價格阻力目標考驗26600一線。下行方面,價格支撐看向26200一線。

NK_

從日線圖上看,價格隔夜小幅收跌,高位交投於23600一線附近。技術指標上,MACD看漲動能柱擴張,RSI指標小幅向下。後市來看,價格阻力目標依舊指向前高23900一線。下行方面,價格支撐看向23100一線。

 

 

19 9 月 2018

Daily Market View

           

Daily Market View

Wednesday, September 19, 2018
          U.S Stock Market

 

DJIA S & P 500 NASDAQ
26275 2906.75 7495.75
+0.88% +0.70% +0.97%

 

U.S stocks vaulted higher yesterday, with investors shrugging off escalating trade tensions to instead focus on an economy that remains strong by many measures. The gains were led by consumer-discretionary and technology shares, two sectors that had slumped in the previous session. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rallied 246 points, or 1%, roughly 1.2% away from its record high. The S&P 500 index advanced 21 points, or 0.8% and the NASDAQ climbed 80 points, or 1%. Stocks had declined Monday, marking the biggest one-day drop for the S&P since mid-August and the worst session for the NASDAQ since late July. President Donald Trump late Monday said he would impose new tariffs on about $200 billion in Chinese goods. He also threatened additional penalties as part of his campaign to pressure Beijing to change its commercial practices. Crude-oil prices saw strong gains and gold settled lower. The U.S. dollar index was moderately higher.

 

 

Major Economic Releases for Today
Period Event GMT Forecast Previous

sep

BOJ Rate Decision   -0.10% -0.10%

aug

U.K Consumer Price Index (YoY) 08:30 2.4% 2.5%

aug

U.K Retail Price Index (YoY) 08:30 3.2% 3.2%

jul

U.K House Price Index (YoY) 08:30 2.8% 3.0%

sep

U.S MBA Mortgage Applications 11:00    

aug

U.S Housing Starts (MoM) 12:30 5.7% 0.9%

aug

U.S Building Permits (MoM) 12:30 0.5% 1.5%

 

ECB’s Draghi speaks in Berlin 13:00    

sep

DOE U.S. Crude Oil Inventories 14:30    
Dow Jones Industrial Average

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.71% to hit a new 6-months high. The best performers of the session on the Dow Jones Industrial Average were Nike Inc., which rose 2.40% or 2.00 points to trade at 85.26 at the close. Meanwhile, Boeing Co added 2.14% or 7.62 points to end at 363.58 and Caterpillar Inc. was up 1.95% or 2.85 points to 149.07 in late trade. The worst performers of the session were DowDuPont Inc., which fell 1.15% or 0.79 points to trade at 68.03 at the close. Coca-Cola Company declined 0.84% or 0.39 points to end at 45.93 and Verizon Communications Inc. was down 0.57% or 0.31 points to 54.39.

 

 

 

NASDAQ 100

The NASDAQ index climbed 0.76%. The top performers on the NASDAQ Composite were Realm Therapeutics PLC ADR which rose 77.78% to 6.40, Viking Therapeutics Inc. which was up 87.30% to settle at 19.460 and Vital Thera which gained 70.09% to close at 0.43. The worst performers were SAExploration Holdings Inc. which was down 26.17% to 5.980 in late trade, Helios and Matheson Analytics Inc. which lost 20.00% to settle at 0.012 and China Internet Nationwide Financial Services Inc. which was down 19.64% to 9.00 at the close.

 

 

Oil

Oil futures rose more than 1 percent yesterday on signs that OPEC would not be prepared to raise output to address shrinking supplies from Iran, and as Saudi Arabia signaled an informal target near current levels. U.S. crude futures rose 94 cents to settle at $69.85 a barrel, a 1.36 percent gain. Ministers from the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and non-OPEC producers meet on Sunday to discuss compliance with output policies. OPEC sources have told Reuters no immediate action was planned and producers would discuss how to share a previously agreed output increase. Bloomberg reported on Tuesday, citing unnamed Saudi sources, that the kingdom was currently comfortable with prices above $80 per barrel, at least for the short term. Bloomberg reported that while Saudi Arabia had no desire to push prices higher than $80, it may no longer be possible to avoid it. U.S sanctions affecting Iran’s petroleum sector are due to come into force from Nov. 4.

 

 

 

Precious and Base Metals

Gold prices inched higher yesterday as the dollar eased following news that China would retaliate against a new round of U.S tariffs on its goods. U.S. President Donald Trump said he was imposing 10 percent tariffs on about $200 billion worth of imports from China, and threatened duties on about $267 billion more if China retaliated against the U.S. action. While the greenback has benefited from safe-haven flows as the China-U.S. trade conflict has escalated in recent months, investors are starting to worry about the broader impact of the tariffs on the U.S. economy. A weaker dollar generally boosts the price of dollar-denominated gold, which has been losing out on safe-haven flows to the greenback. Spot gold was 0.1 percent higher at $1,201.93 an ounce in choppy trade. U.S. gold futures were steady at $1,205.20 an ounce. Gold is reflecting the choppiness that we are seeing in the dollar. Gold prices were hovering below massive resistance between $1,205-$1,215 ranges. Gold prices have declined more than 12 percent from April, hurt by the intensifying trade dispute between the United States and China and as rising U.S. interest rates diminished demand for non-interest-bearing bullion. Investors are eyeing a meeting by the U.S. Federal Reserve next week at which interest rates are widely expected to be raised. Any comments about the 2019 monetary policy could be a new significant driver for the precious metal. Equity and base metals shrugged off signs that the trade war was ratcheting higher. Investors trimmed their net short position in Comex gold and silver in the week to Sept. 11, U.S. data showed. One of the big problems that gold is facing is that it is trying to battle a mountain of pessimism. The speculative positioning in gold is down to its lowest levels since 2001, gold is not behaving like the haven that it is supposed to be.

 

 

 

 

Traditional Agriculture

Soybean futures fell to a nearly 10-year low yesterday as the U.S Department of Agriculture said the harvest of U.S crops was rapidly advancing, pressuring market sentiment already soured amid a trade war between Washington and Beijing. The USDA said the U.S corn harvest was 9 percent complete, near an average of analyst estimates for 10 percent and ahead of the five-year average of 6 percent.

 

 

Futures Settlement Price Tuesday, September 18, 2018
Instrument Contract Open High Low Settlement Net Change
DJIA DJM18 26066 26329 25963 26275 203
S & P 500 SPM18 2890.25 2912.5 2878.25 2906.75 15.75
NASDAQ 100 NDM18 7434.5 7534.5 7393.25 7495.75 60.25
Hang Seng HSH18 26709 27165 26601 27035 148
Nikkei 225 NKH18 22920 23315 22875 23300 320
FTSE 100 FTH18 7269.5 7321 7268 7305.5 41.5
Gold GCJ18 1206 1208 1200.1 1202.6 -3.3
Silver SIK18 1420.5 1425.5 1409 1417 -3
Copper HGK18 265 273.95 258.85 273.75 8.75
Crude Oil CLK18 68.76 70.38 68.5 69.7 0.97
Wheat WK18 507.75 514 506 510.25 4.5
Soybeans SK18 821 825 812 813.5 -9.25
Corn CK18 347.5 348.25 342.25 342.75 -5

 

Daily Swings  (The Pivot Levels)
  Trading Range  
Contract S3 S2 S1 Pivot R1 R2 R3
DJM18 25683 25823 26049 26189 26415 26555 26781
SPM18 2851.58 2864.92 2885.83 2899.17 2920.08 2933.42 2954.33
NDM18 7273.25 7333.25 7414.50 7474.50 7555.75 7615.75 7697.00
HSH18 26138 26370 26702 26934 27266 27498 27830
NKH18 22572 22723 23012 23163 23452 23603 23892
FTH18 7222.33 7245.17 7275.33 7298.17 7328.33 7351.17 7381.33
GCJ18 1191.23 1195.67 1199.13 1203.57 1207.03 1211.47 1214.93
SIK18 1392.33 1400.67 1408.83 1417.17 1425.33 1433.67 1441.83
HGK18 248.65 253.75 263.75 268.85 278.85 283.95 293.95
CLK18 66.79 67.65 68.67 69.53 70.55 71.41 72.43
WK18 498.17 502.08 506.17 510.08 514.17 518.08 522.17
SK18 795.67 803.83 808.67 816.83 821.67 829.83 834.67
CK18 334.58 338.42 340.58 344.42 346.58 350.42 352.58

 

 Source: – News & Quotes (Courtesy:  Reuters)                                                                    

Disclaimer

This information has been prepared for information only and does not constitute an offer or commitment. This information does not constitute investment advice as defined by the rules of the FCA.

The firm or its staff members may trade on their own account and may from time to time hold or act as market makers in investments mentioned in this document. Please note that the firm makes no warranty, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions herein. All parties are advised to seek independent professional advice as to the suitability of any products and to their tax, accounting, legal or regulatory implications. City Credit Capital (UK) Ltd is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, reg 232015.

 

 

 

 

 

 

市場報告                     2018-09-19

 

   
Market Summary
週二(9月18日)美元指數小幅收漲,雖然中美宣布互相追加關稅,但美元指數並未像往常一樣因此而大幅攀升,漲幅較為適度。近日以來,包括大摩、小摩以及貝萊德在內的多家知名投行都對美元多頭發出了警告。貿易局勢緊張,此前資金紛紛湧入美元的景像已然不再,投資人開始擔心關稅舉措對美國經濟更廣泛的影響。數據方面,美國9月NAHB房屋價格指數為67,與前值相同。美元指數終收於94.62。

現貨黃金週二震盪收跌,亞市早盤開於1200.75美元/金衡盎司後金價下跌,之後小幅反彈。歐市金價再度轉跌,加大跌幅,錄得日內低點1195.50美元/金衡盎司後轉漲,金價震盪上行。美市多頭積極上攻,錄得日內高點1203.25美元/金衡盎司後金價出現短線跳水,不斷走低,縮減日內漲幅,終收於1197.90美元/金衡盎司。

國際原油週二收漲0.99美元,或1.44%,報69.74美元/桶。由於伊朗是OPEC第三大原油生產國,因此美國對其實施制裁,必然會令油價走高。同時美國計劃在11月初實施第二輪制裁,油價上行勢頭有望延續。

美國股市週二反彈,市場普漲,因投資者擺脫中美貿易緊張局勢不斷惡化的影響。道瓊工業指數收高184.84點,或0.71%,至26,246.96點;標準普爾500指數上漲15.51點,或0.54%,至2,904.31點;納斯達克指數收漲60.31點,或0.76%,至7,956.11點。

個股方面,科技股 .SPLRCT 受蘋果 AAPL.O 和健身產品製造商Fitbit FIT.N 得到關稅豁免的消息提振.蘋果收高0.17%,Fitbit勁漲6.4%。對貿易消息反應敏感的工業股 .SPLRCI 上漲,波音 BA.N 收高2.1%,引領漲道瓊工業指數攀升。 Nike Inc NKE.N 也提振道瓊工業指數,該股創下紀錄收盤新高,收漲2.4%,因Telsey Advisory Group上調Nike的目標價。

日本股市週二收高,美國公債收益率上揚帶動保險商股價上漲,不過電子產品供應商表現不佳,因交易商權衡美國對中國商品最新一輪加徵關稅措施的影響。日經225指數終場漲1.44%或332.50點,收23,434.00點。

個股方面,保險股漲幅較大,第一生命控股攀升4.08%,MS&AD保險集團控股公司跳漲4.03%。而電子產品供應商表現遜色,因蘋果 AAPL.O 稱特朗普的關稅決定將衝擊其大部分產品。村田製作所跌1.36%,阿爾卑斯電氣挫低2.07%,京瓷下滑0.88%。

Technical  Analysis
USDJPY

從日線圖上看,美元/日元隔夜大幅收漲,最高探至112.375一線。技術指標上,MACD看漲動能柱擴張,RSI指標向上。後市看來,價格支撐位於111.600一線。上行方面,價格阻力目標進一步考驗112.700一線。

 

EURUSD

從日線圖上看,歐元/美元隔夜衝高回落,一度探高至1.17230一線後跳水。技術指標上,MACD看漲動能柱溫和,RSI指標小幅向下。後市看來,價格支撐考驗1.16300一線,關鍵支撐位1.16一線。上行方面,價格阻力目標指向1.17200一線。

 

GBPUSD

從日線圖上看,英鎊/美元隔夜微幅收跌,震蕩交投於1.31400一線附近。技術指標上,MACD看漲動能柱溫和,RSI指標小幅向下。後市看來,價格關鍵支撐依舊考驗1.30關口。上行方面,價格阻力目標位於1.32000一線。

 

XAUUSD

從日線圖上看,金價隔夜微幅收跌,失守1200關口,保持橫盤整理態勢。技術指標上,MACD看漲動能柱縮減,RSI指標小幅向下。後市來看,金價阻力目標指向1210一線。下行方面,金價初步支撐考驗1190一線。

 

CL_

從日線圖上看,油價隔夜溫和收漲,一度上破70關口後有所收窄。技術指標上,MACD看漲動能柱微增,RSI指標向上。後市來看,油價初步支撐位於68.80一線。上行方面,油價阻力位進一步指向71一線。

 

DJ_

從日線圖上看,價格隔夜大幅收漲,最高探至26328一線。技術指標上,MACD看跌動能柱縮減,RSI指標向上。後市來看,價格阻力目標考驗26500一線。下行方面,價格支撐看向26100一線。

 

NK_

從日線圖上看,價格隔夜大幅收漲,刷新新高至23720一線。技術指標上,MACD看漲動能柱擴張,RSI指標向上延伸進入超買區。後市來看,價格阻力目標進一步指向前高23900一線。下行方面,價格支撐看向23100一線。

 

 

市場報告                     2018-09-18

 

   
Market Summary
週一(9月17日)美元指數於美市盤中下跌,儘管有消息稱美國總統特朗普今日或宣布對2000億美元中國商品追加關稅,但美元指數並未像往常一樣受到提振,反而持續下滑。加上日內出爐的製造業數據表現不佳,令美元進一步承壓。數據方面顯示,美國公佈的9月紐約聯儲製造業指數曝出冷門,為19.0,均不如預期和前值的24.0與25.6。使得美元指數賣盤壓力因此進一步加重,最終收於94.52。

現貨黃金週一強勢反彈,雖然亞市早盤開於1193.90美元/金衡盎司後,金價短暫下跌,但錄得日內低點1192.50美元/金衡盎司後轉漲,金價震盪上行。歐市金價延續漲勢,但多空交鋒激烈。美市多頭加大上攻力度,金價現大力拉升,多方控盤,錄得日內高點1204.55美元/金衡盎司後回落,金價轉跌,終收於1200.75美元/金衡盎司。

國際原油週一收跌0.21美元,或0.30%,報68.75美元/桶。雖然美國對伊朗制裁已經開始顯現效果,但中美貿易局勢恐再度惡化,這令市場風險情緒大受打壓,從而壓低了投資者的買入興趣。此外,國際能源署(IEA)最新月報顯示,8月OPEC原油產量增幅超過伊朗因原油製裁可能出現的產量降幅,這令原油供應整體上升。

美國股市週一收盤下跌,科技股和非必需消費品類股領跌,投資者等待美國總統特朗普宣布對價值2,000億美元自中國進口商品的關稅決定。道瓊工業指數收挫92.55點,或0.35%,至26,062.12點;標準普爾500指數收跌16.18點,或0.56%,至2,888.80點;納斯達克指數收低114.25點,或1.43%,至7,895.79點。

個股方面,亞馬遜 AMZN.O 下挫3.15%,領跌非必需性消費品類股。而蘋果 AAPL.O 曾表示,關稅計劃可能打擊其“廣泛系列”產品。蘋果股價下挫2.66%,對道指的拖累最大,儘管稍早有報導稱,美國的新一輪關稅計劃將豁免部份蘋果產品。梅西百貨 M.N 和Kohls Corp KSS.N 在內的零售股下跌,扶助拉低標普零售股指數 .SPXRT 下降2.1%。推特 TWTR.N 跌4.2%,是標普科技指數中百分比跌幅最大的成份股,此前券商MoffettNathanson對公司支出上升表示擔憂。

日本股市週一因國定假日「敬老日」休市一天。

 

Technical  Analysis
USDJPY

從日線圖上看,美元/日元隔夜小幅收跌,交投於112關口附近。技術指標上,MACD看漲動能柱微縮,RSI指標小幅向下。後市看來,價格支撐位於111.400一線附近。上行方面,價格初步阻力目標考驗112一線,突破則進一步指向112.300一線。

 

EURUSD

從日線圖上看,歐元/美元隔夜溫和收漲,一度逼近1.17000一線。技術指標上,MACD看漲動能柱擴張,RSI指標小幅向上。後市看來,價格支撐考驗1.16300一線。上行方面,價格阻力目標指向1.17400一線。

 

GBPUSD

從日線圖上看,英鎊/美元隔夜大幅收漲,最高探至1.31636一線。技術指標上,MACD看漲動能柱微增,RSI指標小幅向上。後市看來,價格關鍵支撐依舊考驗1.30關口。上行方面,價格阻力目標位於1.32000一線。

 

XAUUSD

從日線圖上看,金價隔夜反彈收漲,尾盤收至1200關口上方,保持橫盤整理態勢。技術指標上,MACD看漲動能柱擴張,RSI指標小幅向上。後市來看,金價阻力目標指向1210一線。下行方面,金價初步支撐考驗1190一線。

 

CL_

從日線圖上看,油價隔夜震蕩收平,最高觸及69.70一線後收窄。技術指標上,MACD看漲動能柱縮減,RSI指標小幅向下。後市來看,油價初步支撐位於67.00一線。上行方面,油價阻力位指向70關口。

 

DJ_

從日線圖上看,價格隔夜小幅收跌,持穩於26000關口上方。技術指標上,MACD看跌動能柱微增,RSI指標向下。後市來看,價格阻力目標考驗26200一線。下行方面,價格支撐看向25870一線。

 

 

 

 

17 9 月 2018

Daily Market View

   

Daily Market View

Monday, September 17, 2018
          U.S Stock Market

 

DJIA S & P 500 NASDAQ
26159 2906.50 7544.75
+0.03% +0.03% -0.05%

 

U.S stocks posted a late rally to close mostly higher for a fifth consecutive day, led by gains in the financial and energy sectors. The dollar strengthened after U.S. 10-year note yields briefly climbed past 3 percent. The S&P 500 and Dow finished just in the green after slumping midday, when Bloomberg News reported that President Donald Trump instructed aides to proceed with tariffs on about $200 billion more in Chinese products. Financial markets were whipsawed this week by conflicting reports on the status of trade relations between the world’s two largest economies. The NASDAQ closer lower though up for the week. The push for additional tariffs is despite the U.S. Treasury secretary’s attempt to restart talks with Beijing to resolve the trade war, according to four people familiar with the matter. From cooling U.S. inflation to central-bank meetings in Europe, the U.K. Turkey and Russia, it was a busy week for investors.

 

 

Major Economic Releases for Today
Period Event GMT Forecast Previous

sep

Switzerland Total Sight Deposits CHF 08:00    

aug

Euro-Zone Consumer Price Index Core (YoY) 09:00   1.0%

aug

Euro-Zone Consumer Price Index (YoY) (AUG F) 09:00   2.1%

jul

Canada International Securities Transactions (Canadian dollar) 12:30   11.55b

sep

U.S Empire Manufacturing 12:30   25.6

aug

Canada Existing Home Sales (MoM) 13:00   1.9%

 

U.S to Sell 3-Month Bills 15:30    

 

U.S to Sell 6-Month Bills 15:30    

sep

Australia ANZ Roy Morgan Weekly Consumer Confidence Index 23:30    
Dow Jones Industrial Average

The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 0.03% to hit a new 6-month high. The best performers of the session on the Dow Jones Industrial Average were United Technologies Corporation, which rose 1.68% or 2.28 points to trade at 137.80 at the close. Meanwhile, Boeing Co added 1.22% or 4.34 points to end at 359.80 and Chevron Corp was up 0.93% or 1.08 points to 117.38 in late trade. The worst performers of the session were Walt Disney Company, which fell 1.27% or 1.41 points to trade at 109.26 at the close. Apple Inc. declined 1.14% or 2.57 points to end at 223.84 and McDonald’s Corporation was down 0.96% or 1.56 points to 160.84.

 

 

 

NASDAQ 100

The tech heavy NASDAQ index fell 0.05% on Friday. The top performers on the NASDAQ Composite were My Size Inc. which rose 28.57% to 1.35, Champions Oncology Inc. which was up 24.76% to settle at 10.5800 and Kandi Technologies Group Inc. which gained 23.38% to close at 4.750. The worst performers were Altimmune Inc. which was down 27.34% to 5.450 in late trade, Vital Thera which lost 29.75% to settle at 0.35 and Agile Thrpe which was down 25.36% to 0.36 at the close.

 

 

Oil

Oil prices pulled back on Friday amid concerns additional U.S tariffs would be placed on China, trading mixed after a rally triggered by worries of more sanctions on Iran. Crude futures were on track to end the week up about 1.6 percent. Traders said a rally on Friday was sparked by reports Secretary of State Michael Pompeo was going to give a press conference on new sanctions on Iran. It increases the odds that there will be less oil coming out of there. The gains from the expected news conference were curbed after reports U.S. President Donald Trump instructed aides to proceed with tariffs on about $200 billion more of Chinese products. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) futures settled up 40 cents at $68.99 a barrel after dropping 2.5 percent on Thursday. U.S. energy companies last week added oil rigs for a second week in a row. Drillers added two oil rigs in the week bringing the total count up to 749.

 

 

 

Precious and Base Metals

Gold turned negative on Friday, as the U.S. dollar rose against the Chinese yuan after U.S. President Donald Trump reportedly told aides to proceed with tariffs on Chinese imports. Trump has directed aides to place tariffs on about $200 billion of Chinese goods, according to a person familiar with the matter. Bloomberg News first reported Trump’s action. After the latest U.S.-China tariff development, the dollar index extended earlier gains against a basket of currencies, including the yuan, while the S&P 500 declined. Spot gold lost 0.5 percent at $1,195.21 per ounce, having hit its highest since Aug. 28 at $1,212.65 on Thursday. It has risen more than 0.1 percent so far this week, on track for its first weekly gain in three. U.S. gold futures for December delivery settled down $7.10, or 0.6 percent, at $1,201.10 per ounce. The months-long trade tension between Washington and Beijing has prompted investors to buy the U.S. dollar, in the belief that the United States has less to lose from the dispute. Gold has shown a close correlation to the currency of China, the biggest gold-consuming nation, analysts say. Meanwhile, investors widely expect another U.S. interest rate increase. Higher rates make gold less attractive since it does not pay interest but cost money to store and insure. Gold prices have declined about 12 percent from a peak of $1,365.23 in April amid the intensifying global trade tensions and rising U.S. interest rates. In other precious metals, spot silver dropped 0.4 percent at $14.10 per ounce, headed for a 0.1 percent weekly increase. Palladium declined 0.4 percent at $978.30 and was poised for a 0.1 percent weekly decline. Platinum declined 0.9 percent at $793 an ounce after touching a one-month high at $812.30 on Thursday, to end the week up about 1.9 percent. We’ve seen some traders dipping their toes back in platinum, which is at a near record discount to gold.

 

 

 

 

Traditional Agriculture

Wheat futures jumped three percent on Friday, rebounding from an eight-week low on a round of technical buying and short-covering ahead of the weekend. The gains in wheat pulled corn futures slightly higher but expectations for a bumper U.S. harvest stifled rally attempts.

 

 

 

Futures Settlement Price Friday, September 14, 2018
Instrument Contract Open High Low Settlement Net Change
DJIA DJM18 26155 26234 26076 26159 2
S & P 500 SPM18 2904.5 2912.25 2896.75 2906.5 1.5
NASDAQ 100 NDM18 7563 7598.25 7515 7544.75 -19.25
Hang Seng HSH18 27228 27340 26999 27247 264
Nikkei 225 NKH18 22780 22980 22780 22980 350
FTSE 100 FTH18 7307 7323 7280 7308.5 19
Gold GCJ18 1206.5 1213.5 1197.4 1200.4 -5.8
Silver SIK18 1420 1430.5 1408 1412.5 -6
Copper HGK18 267.6 269.85 263.4 264.5 -3.05
Crude Oil CLK18 68.76 69.87 67.91 68.94 0.17
Wheat WK18 496.5 513.75 496.25 510.75 14.75
Soybeans SK18 833.75 837.5 829.25 830 -3.5
Corn CK18 350 352 349.25 351 1

 

 

Daily Swings  (The Pivot Levels)
  Trading Range  
Contract S3 S2 S1 Pivot R1 R2 R3
DJM18 25921 25998 26079 26156 26237 26314 26395
SPM18 2882.58 2889.67 2898.08 2905.17 2913.58 2920.67 2929.08
NDM18 7423.83 7469.42 7507.08 7552.67 7590.33 7635.92 7673.58
HSH18 26710 26854 27051 27195 27392 27536 27733
NKH18 22647 22713 22847 22913 23047 23113 23247
FTH18 7241.67 7260.83 7284.67 7303.83 7327.67 7346.83 7370.67
GCJ18 1177.93 1187.67 1194.03 1203.77 1210.13 1219.87 1226.23
SIK18 1381.00 1394.50 1403.50 1417.00 1426.00 1439.50 1448.50
HGK18 255.53 259.47 261.98 265.92 268.43 272.37 274.88
CLK18 65.98 66.95 67.94 68.91 69.90 70.87 71.86
WK18 482.58 489.42 500.08 506.92 517.58 524.42 535.08
SK18 818.75 824.00 827.00 832.25 835.25 840.50 843.50
CK18 346.75 348.00 349.50 350.75 352.25 353.50 355.00

 

 

 Source: – News & Quotes (Courtesy:  Reuters)                                                                    

Disclaimer

This information has been prepared for information only and does not constitute an offer or commitment. This information does not constitute investment advice as defined by the rules of the FCA.

The firm or its staff members may trade on their own account and may from time to time hold or act as market makers in investments mentioned in this document. Please note that the firm makes no warranty, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions herein. All parties are advised to seek independent professional advice as to the suitability of any products and to their tax, accounting, legal or regulatory implications. City Credit Capital (UK) Ltd is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, reg 232015.