02 8 月 2018

       

 FOREX Newsletter

 August 02, 2018
 

 

Pulse of the Market

·      ISM manufacturing index showed a reading of 58.1 for July, missing expectations of 59.4

·      Private payrolls grew by 219,000 for July, rising from the 181,000 seen in June

·      The Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee is widely expected to raise the bank rate today

·      The Canadian Dollar strengthened to a nearly seven-week high against its U.S counterpart

The Dollar rose modestly against its rivals amid mixed U.S economic data on the labor market and manufacturing ahead of Federal Reserve’s policy decision. The U.S. dollar index, which measures the greenback against a trade-weighted basket of six major currencies, rose by 0.15% to 94.47. ISM manufacturing index showed a reading of 58.1 for July, missing expectations of 59.4. A reading above 50 in the ISM index indicates an expansion in manufacturing, which accounts for about 12% of the U.S. economy. The ISM Employment sub-index showed a reading of 56.5 for July, topping expectations of 56.0, supporting the narrative of a strong U.S. labor market as the private sector also saw strong job growth. Private payrolls grew by 219,000 for July, rising from the 181,000 seen in June, according to a report released Wednesday by ADP and Moody’s Analytics. That beat economists’ forecast of 186,000. The slew of economic data arrived just hours ahead of the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision and accompanying monetary policy statement due 2 p.m. ET. The Federal Open Market Committee is expected to vote to leave interest rates unchanged, but market participants are expected to closely parse the accompanying statement for any tweaks in language on monetary policy. According to Fed Rate Monitor Tool, 97.9% of traders expected the Federal Reserve to stand pat on interest rates. That is slightly higher than the 96.9% seen a day earlier. The dollar lost ground against the yen as the latter drew strength from a sharp uptick in Japan 10-year bond yields in the wake of the Bank of Japan’s decision Tuesday to permit long-term rates to fluctuate between zero and 0.2%, depending on economic and price developments. USD/JPY fell 0.16% Y111.68 after trading as high as Y112.15 GBP/USD fell 0.05% to $1.3117 as traders looked ahead to the Bank of England’s rate decision on Thursday. The Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee is widely expected to raise the 0.50% bank rate today’s meeting to 0.75%.

 

   

 

 

Time(GMT)   Economic Release IMP Actual Forecast Prior
01:30 Australia Trade Balance (JUN) Medium   A$900m A$827m
05:45 Switzerland SECO Consumer Confidence (JUL) Medium   2 2
07:15 Switzerland Retail Sales Real (YoY) (JUN) Medium   0.0% -0.1%
07:30 Switzerland PMI Manufacturing (JUL) Medium   60.9 61.6
08:30 Markit/CIPS UK Construction PMI (JUL) Medium   52.8 53.1
09:00 Euro-Zone Producer Price Index (YoY) (JUN) Low   3.5% 3.0%
11:00 Bank of England Bank Rate (2 AUG) High   0.75% 0.50%
11:00 BOE Asset Purchase Target (AUG) High   435b 435b
11:00 Bank of England Inflation Report High      
12:30 U.S Initial Jobless Claims (28 JUL) Medium   220k 217k
12:30 U.S Continuing Claims (21 JUL) Medium     1745k
14:00 U.S Factory Orders (JUN) Medium   0.7% 0.4%
14:00 U.S Durable Goods Orders (JUN) Medium     1.0%
23:50 BOJ Minutes of Policy Meeting (JUN) Medium      

 

Euro

The single currency struggled as fears of an escalation in the trade dispute between the United States and China boosted the dollar and a survey showing subdued euro zone manufacturing growth in July kept investors cautious. The U.S. administration plans to propose a 25 percent tariff on $200 billion in Chinese imports, up from an original 10 percent. Overall, the EUR/USD traded with a low of 1.1655 and a high of 1.1698 before closing the day around 1.1658 in the New York session.

 

Yen

The Japanese Yen fell as the Bank of Japan offers minimal tweaks to its loose monetary policy. After the Bank of Japan (BOJ) released the statement on Tuesday that it would make its policy framework more flexible for the long term, Yen took a dip. However, for now, the bank only made a few tweaks to its ultra-loose monetary policy. Overall, the USD/JPY traded with a low of 111.37 and a high of 112.13 before closing the day around 111.70 in the U.S session.

 

British Pound

The British Pound trod water as traders shunned the currency ahead of Bank of England interest rate decision, although strategists at Nordea Markets say Sterling will almost certainly be found wanting after the event and that they favor selling the currency. The Bank of England is widely expected by the market to raise UK interest rates to 0.75% on Thursday. Overall, the GBP/USD traded with a low of 1.3093 and a high of 1.3142 before closing the day at 1.3124 in the New York session.

 

Canadian Dollar

The Canadian Dollar strengthened to a nearly seven-week high against its U.S counterpart as the U.S Federal Reserve left interest rates on hold and officials signaled progress in talks to update the NAFTA trade pact. The United States and Mexico are getting close to a deal on the key issue of autos content rules at negotiations to renew the NAFTA.   Overall, USD/CAD traded with a low of 1.2972 and a high of 1.3030 before closing the day at 1.3001 in the New York session.

 

Australian Dollar

The Australian Dollar has rallied a bit during the trading session yesterday, but this is a very busy week and therefore I think it’s very unlikely that we can make a longer-term move in the next couple of days. By the end of the week, we may have some clarity, as we get the jobs number out of America. At this point though, I do believe that pullbacks are buying opportunities. Overall, AUD/USD traded with a low of 0.7388 and a high of 0.7427 before closing the day at 0.7402 in the New York session.

 

Euro-Yen

EUR/JPY is trading above 14, 50 and 100 days moving average. Fast stochastic is giving a bearish tone and MACD is also issuing a bearish stance. The Relative Strength Index is above 52 and lies above the neutral zone. In general, the pair has lost 0.40%.

 

Sterling-Yen

Currently, GBP/JPY is trading above 14, 50 and 100 days moving average. Fast stochastic is issuing a bearish tone and MACD is also indicating a bearish stance. The Relative Strength Index is above 52 reading and lies above the neutral zone. On the whole, the pair has lost 0.11%.

  

Aussie-Yen

Currently, the cross is trading above 14, 50 and 100 days moving average. Fast stochastic is giving a bearish tone and MACD is also indicating a bearish stance. The Relative Strength Index is above 51 reading and lies above the neutral region. In general, the pair has lost 0.39%.

  

Euro-Sterling

This cross is currently trading above 14, 50 and 100 days moving average. Fast stochastic is indicating a bearish tone and MACD is issuing a bullish signal. The Relative Strength Index is above 53 and lies above the neutral region. On the whole, the pair has lost 0.27%.

   

Sterling-Swiss

This cross is trading above 14, 50 and below 100 days moving average. Fast stochastic is issuing a bearish stance and MACD is indicating a bullish tone. The Relative Strength Index is above 42 and lies below the neutral region. In general, the pair has gained 0.18%.

 

Appendix

  

FOREX Closing Prices for August 01, 2018
Currency Open High Low Close Net Chg
EUR/USD 1.16918 1.16983 1.16558 1.16582 -0.0032
USD/JPY 111.811 112.133 111.371 111.702 -0.1510
GBP/USD 1.31195 1.31426 1.30933 1.31245 0.0002
USD/CHF 0.98995 0.99325 0.98976 0.99194 0.0019
USD/CAD 1.30103 1.30304 1.29729 1.30013 -0.0002
EUR/JPY 130.727 131.083 130.008 130.246 -0.5190
GBP/JPY 146.704 147.122 146.288 146.612 -0.1620
CHF/JPY 112.908 113.75 112.398 112.58 -0.3430
AUD/JPY 83.003 83.093 82.448 82.686 -0.3240
EUR/GBP 0.89092 0.89153 0.88812 0.88817 -0.0024
EUR/CHF 1.15758 1.16017 1.15621 1.15648 -0.0011
GBP/CHF 1.29895 1.30282 1.29794 1.30182 0.0023

   

Daily Pivot Points
  Trading Range  
Contract S3 S2 S1 Pivot R1 R2 R3
EUR/USD 1.1601 1.1628 1.1643 1.1671 1.1686 1.1713 1.1728
USD/JPY 110.58 110.97 111.34 111.74 112.10 112.50 112.86
GBP/USD 1.3048 1.3071 1.3098 1.3120 1.3147 1.3169 1.3196
USD/CHF 0.9866 0.9882 0.9901 0.9917 0.9935 0.9951 0.9970
USD/CAD 1.2915 1.2944 1.2973 1.3002 1.3030 1.3059 1.3088
EUR/JPY 128.73 129.37 129.81 130.45 130.88 131.52 131.96
GBP/JPY 145.39 145.84 146.23 146.67 147.06 147.51 147.89
CHF/JPY 110.72 111.56 112.07 112.91 113.42 114.26 114.77
AUD/JPY 81.75 82.10 82.39 82.74 83.04 83.39 83.68
EUR/GBP 0.8836 0.8859 0.8870 0.8893 0.8904 0.8927 0.8938
EUR/CHF 1.1511 1.1537 1.1551 1.1576 1.1590 1.1616 1.1630
GBP/CHF 1.2940 1.2960 1.2989 1.3009 1.3038 1.3057 1.3087

 

Sources:  News, Charts & Quotes (Courtesy: Reuters, US Department Of Treasury)

 

 

Disclaimer

This information has been prepared for information only and does not constitute an offer or commitment. This information does not constitute investment advice as defined by the rules of the FCA.

The firm or its staff members may trade on their own account and may from time to time hold or act as market makers in investments mentioned in this document. Please note that the firm makes no warranty, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions herein. All parties are advised to seek independent professional advice as to the suitability of any products and to their tax, accounting, legal or regulatory implications. City Credit Capital (UK) Ltd is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, reg 232015.

 

 

市場報告                     2018-08-02

     
Market Summary
週三(8月1日)美市盤中,備受關注的美聯儲決議如期揭開帷幕。一如市場廣泛預期,委員會一致投票決定將基準利率的目標區間保持在1.75%至2.00%不變。利率決議公佈之後,美元指數短線下挫10餘點,最低觸及94.56。日內公佈的數據顯示,美國ADP7月就業人數上升21.9萬,高於預期17.5萬,連續錄得增加顯示就業強勁;美國7月ISM製造業指數低於預期59.4,為58.1;美國7月Markit製造業PMI終值55.3,略低於前值55.5,數據表明美國製造業繼續擴張,但越來越多的跡象顯示,供應短缺、價格上漲和出口惡化等不利因素正在加劇;美國6月營建支出月率下跌1.1%,低於前值0.4%和預期0.3%,因私人和公共投資項目有所下降,但前幾個月的支出被修正為大幅上漲。日內數據喜憂參半,整體對市場影響不明顯。

現貨黃金周三亞市早盤開於1223.80美元/金衡盎司後,金價上漲,錄得日內高點1224.55美元/金衡盎司後轉跌,金價震盪下行。在美聯儲宣布維持現有利率不變之後,短線跳漲約3美元,縮減日內跌幅,金價重返1220關口上方,但漲勢未能持久再度轉跌,終收於1216.00美元/金衡盎司。

國際原油週三收跌1.1美元,或1.60%,報67.85美元/桶。日內美國能源信息署(EIA)公佈報告顯示,美國汽油庫存減少253.6萬桶,連續5週錄得下滑,不過美國原油庫存增加380.3萬桶,美國精煉油庫存增加298.3萬桶,同時OEPC和俄羅斯增產計劃正在穩步推進,這令原油多頭憂慮增加,而美元企穩反彈也加大了油價的下行壓力。

美國股市標普500指數和道指周三下滑,因蘋果 AAPL.O 股價上漲被能源和工業股下跌所抵消。道瓊工業指數跌81.37點,或0.32%,至25,333.82點;標準普爾500指數挫2.93點,或0.10%,至2,813.36點;納斯達克指數上漲35.50點,或0.46%,至7,707.29點。

個股方面,蘋果 AAPL.O 股價創紀錄新高,因智能手機需求強勁。特斯拉 TSLA.O 股價在盤後交易中走勢震盪,此前發布第二季業績。能源股 .SPNY 則因油價下跌而承壓。同時有消息稱,特朗普政府正考慮提高中國的商品的關稅稅率,對貿易敏感的股票因此受消息影響下跌,標普500工業股指數 .SPLRCI 下跌1.3%。

日本股市日經指數週三上漲,並刷新12日高點,得益於索尼和夏普等藍籌股的業績強勁。日經指數收盤漲0.86%至22,746.70點,盤中一度觸及7月20日以來最高水準22,775.47點。

個股方面,索尼勁揚4.8%,之前公司公佈第一季獲利創紀錄,因遊戲軟件銷售激增。任天堂第一季營業利潤跳漲88%,支撐該股大漲6.37%。夏普漲7.2%,之前其公佈季度營業利潤增長45%。電子元器件製造商京瓷漲5.9%,顯示器生產商Nitto Denko Corp上揚8%。

Technical  Analysis
USDJPY

從日線圖上看,美元/日元隔夜震蕩收低,交投于111.800一線附近。技術指標上,MACD看跌動能柱縮減,RSI指標向下。後市看來,價格支撐目標指向111.400一線。上行方面,價格關鍵阻力位於112關口。

 

EURUSD

從日線圖上看,歐元/美元隔夜小幅收跌,最低探至1.16560一線。技術指標上,MACD看漲動能柱縮減殆盡,雙線于零軸下方運行,RSI指標小幅向下。後市看來,價格支撐目標考驗1.16200一線。上行方面,價格關鍵阻力位依舊指向1.17400一線。

 

GBPUSD

從日線圖上看,英鎊/美元隔夜震蕩收平,窄幅交投于1.31200一線附近。技術指標上,MACD看漲動能柱微增,雙線黏合,RSI指標走平。後市看來,價格料維持震蕩整理,支撐目標考驗1.30000一線。上行方面,價格關鍵阻力位1.32000一線。

 

XAUUSD

從日線圖上看,金價隔夜回落收跌,探低至1215.60一線。技術指標上,MACD看漲動能柱縮減,RSI指標小幅向下。後市來看,金價初步阻力考驗1223.00一線。下行方面,金價目標支撐考驗1210.00一線。

 

CL_

從日線圖上看,油價隔夜延續回落,最低觸及67.30一線后有所收窄。技術指標上,MACD看跌動能柱擴張,RSI指標向下延伸。後市來看,油價初步阻力位於69.00一線,下行方面,油價支撐目標進一步考驗67.10一線。

 

DJ_

從日線圖上看,價格隔夜大幅收跌,走出陰包陽形態。技術指標上,MACD看漲動能柱縮減,RSI指標向下。後市來看,價格阻力目標指向25500一線。下行方面,價格初步支撐看向25200一線,關鍵支撐位25000關口。

 

NK_

從日線圖上看,價格隔夜小幅收漲,一度探高至22805一線后有所收窄。技術指標上,MACD看漲動能柱微增,RSI指標向上。後市來看,價格下方支撐位考驗22500一線,上方阻力位看向前期高點22890一線。

 

 

 

 

01 8 月 2018

FOREX Newsletter

     

FOREX Newsletter

August 01, 2018

 

Pulse of the Market

·      U.S personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index excluding food and energy rose 0.1%

·      Euro zone economic growth slowed further in the second quarter, preliminary data showed

·      Sterling has recuperated somewhat in recent sessions, moving away from the 10-month low

·      The Canadian dollar rose to a nearly seven-week high against its U.S. counterpart yesterday

The U.S Dollar edged higher yesterday, shrugging off mixed economic data showing inflation remained close to Federal Reserve’s target as the two-day Fed meeting kicked off. The U.S dollar index, which measures the greenback against a trade-weighted basket of six major currencies, rose by 0.16% to 94.28. The Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation measure, the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index excluding food and energy, rose 0.1%, in June in line with forecasts, but rose 1.9% in the 12 months through June, lower than economists’ estimates. The slower pace of inflation did little to alter investor rate-hike expectations, despite calls from analysts suggesting the Fed may have to consider reining in rate hikes if inflation pressures continue to come up short. The Fed can continue on its path of gradual rate hikes for now, but unless inflation pressures start to build, they may have to scale back their forecasts of how high interest rates actually need to go in this business cycle. According to Fed Rate Monitor Tool, 96.9% of traders expected the Federal Reserve to stand pat on interest rates on Wednesday, unchanged from a day earlier. The Dollar started the session on the front foot, helped by a slump in the yen after the Bank of Japan left its loose monetary policy measures mostly unchanged but said it would allow fluctuating long-term rates between zero and 0.2%, depending on economic and price developments. Japan 10-Year bond yields retreated from highs on the news, pressuring the yen, as market participants had been speculating in the run up to the BoJ announcement that the central bank could take a more aggressive stance on policy tightening. Elsewhere, GBP/USD fell 0.03% to $1.3129 as traders weighed expectations for a Bank of England rate hike on Thursday and ongoing Brexit uncertainty.
   

 

Time(GMT)   Economic Release IMP Actual Forecast Prior
01:45 Caixin China PMI Mfg (JUL) Medium 50.9 51
06:00 U.K Nationwide House Px n.s.a. (YoY) (JUL) Medium 1.8% 2.0%
07:55 Markit/BME Germany Manufacturing PMI (JUL) Low 57.3 57.3
08:00 Markit Eurozone Manufacturing PMI (JUL) Low 55.1 55.1
08:30 Markit UK PMI Manufacturing s.a. (JUL) Medium 54.2 54.4
11:00 U.S MBA Mortgage Applications (27 JUL) Medium -0.2%
12:15 U.S ADP Employment Change (JUL) Medium 185k 177k
13:45 Markit US Manufacturing PMI (JUL) Low 55.5 55.5
14:00 U.S Construction Spending (MoM) (JUN) Medium 0.3% 0.4%
14:00 U.S ISM Manufacturing (JUL) High 59.3 60.2
14:00 U.S ISM Employment (JUL) High 56
14:00 U.S ISM Prices Paid (JUL) Medium 75.5 76.8
14:30 DOE U.S. Crude Oil Inventories (27 JUL) Medium -6147k
18:00 FOMC Rate Decision (Upper Bound) (1 AUG) High 2.00% 2.00%
18:00 FOMC Rate Decision (Lower Bound) (1 AUG) High 1.75% 1.75%

 

Euro

The single currency fell as the euro zone economy grew more slowly than expected in the second quarter, preliminary data showed yesterday, but headline and core inflation accelerated with unemployment stabilizing at a lower level. Headline consumer inflation accelerated to 2.1 percent year-on-year in July from 2.0 percent in June. Overall, the EUR/USD traded with a low of 1.1682 and a high of 1.1744 before closing the day around 1.1689 in the New York session.

 

Yen

The Japanese Yen fell against the dollar and registered its biggest daily loss in nearly three weeks o after the central bank pledged to keep interest rates low and adopted a forward guidance model to strengthen its commitment for its massive policy stimulus. The BOJ pledged to maintain its short-term interest rate target at minus 0.1 percent. Overall, the USD/JPY traded with a low of 110.72 and a high of 111.93 before closing the day around 111.85 in the U.S session.

 

British Pound

The British Pound slid below $1.31 yesterday as the dollar rebounded and investors prepared for a Bank of England policy meeting this week at which markets are now pricing in a near-90 percent chance of a 25 basis points rate rise. Sterling has recuperated somewhat in recent sessions, moving away from the 10-month low it touched earlier in July. Overall, the GBP/USD traded with a low of 1.3088 and a high of 1.3171 before closing the day at 1.3122 in the New York session.

 

Canadian Dollar

The Canadian Dollar rose to a nearly seven-week high against its U.S. counterpart in yesterday’s trading session as investors weighed a possible easing of global trade tensions and after data showed stronger-than-expected growth in the domestic economy. Canada’s economy grew by 0.5 per cent in May, the biggest rise in a year.  Overall, USD/CAD traded with a low of 1.2979 and a high of 1.3094 before closing the day at 1.3003 in the New York session.

 

Australian Dollar

The Australian Dollar gained yesterday after a surprise surge in the number of new building approvals issued during June showed fears over a possible collapse of the Aussie housing market to be overdone. Australian dwelling approvals rose by 6.4% on seasonally adjusted terms during June, up from an upwardly-revised contraction of -2.5% in May. Overall, AUD/USD traded with a low of 0.7402 and a high of 0.7438 before closing the day at 0.7425 in the New York session.

 

Euro-Yen

EUR/JPY is trading above 14, 50 and 100 days moving average. Fast stochastic is giving a bearish tone and MACD is also issuing a bearish stance. The Relative Strength Index is above 56 and lies above the neutral zone. In general, the pair has gained 0.59%.

 

Sterling-Yen

Currently, GBP/JPY is trading above 14, 50 and 100 days moving average. Fast stochastic is issuing a bearish tone and MACD is also indicating a bearish stance. The Relative Strength Index is above 50 reading and lies above the neutral zone. On the whole, the pair has gained 0.63%.

  

Aussie-Yen

Currently, the cross is trading above 14, 50 and 100 days moving average. Fast stochastic is giving a bearish tone and MACD is also indicating a bearish stance. The Relative Strength Index is above 55 reading and lies above the neutral region. In general, the pair has gained 0.90%.

 

 Euro-Sterling

This cross is currently trading above 14, 50 and 100 days moving average. Fast stochastic is indicating a bearish tone and MACD is issuing a bullish signal. The Relative Strength Index is above 58 and lies above the neutral region. On the whole, the pair has lost 0.09%.

  

Sterling-Swiss

This cross is trading above 14, 50 and below 100 days moving average. Fast stochastic is issuing a bearish stance and MACD is indicating a bullish tone. The Relative Strength Index is above 39 and lies below the neutral region. In general, the pair has gained 0.11%.

 

Appendix

 

 

FOREX Closing Prices for July 31, 2018
Currency Open High Low Close Net Chg
EUR/USD 1.17043 1.17444 1.16822 1.16899 -0.0017
USD/JPY 111.028 111.939 110.724 111.853 0.7960
GBP/USD 1.31337 1.31711 1.30882 1.31225 -0.0011
USD/CHF 0.98816 0.99025 0.98655 0.99006 0.0017
USD/CAD 1.30316 1.30941 1.29794 1.30035 -0.0034
EUR/JPY 129.965 131.127 129.676 130.765 0.7610
GBP/JPY 145.836 146.985 145.349 146.774 0.9170
CHF/JPY 112.325 113.155 112.108 112.923 0.5360
AUD/JPY 82.219 83.226 82.117 83.01 0.7400
EUR/GBP 0.89085 0.8934 0.89029 0.8906 -0.0008
EUR/CHF 1.15695 1.15958 1.15586 1.15763 0.0005
GBP/CHF 1.2979 1.3053 1.29468 1.29952 0.0014

 

 

 

Daily Pivot Points
  Trading Range  
Contract S3 S2 S1 Pivot R1 R2 R3
EUR/USD 1.1604 1.1643 1.1667 1.1706 1.1729 1.1768 1.1791
USD/JPY 109.86 110.29 111.07 111.51 112.29 112.72 113.50
GBP/USD 1.3001 1.3044 1.3083 1.3127 1.3166 1.3210 1.3249
USD/CHF 0.9840 0.9853 0.9877 0.9890 0.9914 0.9926 0.9951
USD/CAD 1.2843 1.2911 1.2957 1.3026 1.3072 1.3140 1.3187
EUR/JPY 128.47 129.07 129.92 130.52 131.37 131.97 132.82
GBP/JPY 144.12 144.73 145.75 146.37 147.39 148.01 149.03
CHF/JPY 111.26 111.68 112.30 112.73 113.35 113.78 114.40
AUD/JPY 81.23 81.68 82.34 82.78 83.45 83.89 84.56
EUR/GBP 0.8864 0.8883 0.8895 0.8914 0.8926 0.8945 0.8957
EUR/CHF 1.1521 1.1540 1.1558 1.1577 1.1595 1.1614 1.1632
GBP/CHF 1.2837 1.2892 1.2944 1.2998 1.3050 1.3105 1.3156

Sources:  News, Charts & Quotes (Courtesy: Reuters, US Department Of Treasury)

 

 

Disclaimer

This information has been prepared for information only and does not constitute an offer or commitment. This information does not constitute investment advice as defined by the rules of the FCA.

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市場報告                     2018-08-01

     
Market Summary
週二(7月31日)美元指數小幅上漲,日內公佈的美國數據有喜有憂,美元指數也因此而震盪。數據顯示,美國6月PCE核心平減指數年率增長1.9%,不及前值2.0%,數據公佈後,美元指數一度跌至94.16。不過隨後公佈的7月消費者信心指數上升到127.4,超過了預期的126.5;美國芝加哥PMI也大幅好於預期,7月芝加哥PMI為65.5,高於前值64.1和預期63.0,美元指數因此收回跌幅,回升至94.50上方,收報94.54。

現貨黃金週二亞市早盤開於1221.20美元/金衡盎司後,金價窄幅波動。隨後金價錄得日內低點1213.60美元/金衡盎司又迅速反彈,多頭大力上攻,金價震盪上行,錄得日內高點1228.25美元/金衡盎司後吐回部分漲幅,並再度陷入盤整,終收於1223.80美元/金衡盎司。

國際原油週二收跌1.37美元或近2%,報68.38美元/桶。雖然有消息稱美國和中國可能重啟貿易磋商,但油市大致未受該消息影響,因石油輸出國組織(OPEC)7月產量增加7萬桶/日,創年內高位的3,264萬桶/日,投資人因此擔心供應增加,同時美元反彈也令油價承壓。

美國股市週二反彈,工業股領漲,之前有報導稱,美國財長努欽和中國副總理正在探討讓全球最大的兩個經濟體之間正在醞釀的貿易戰降溫的方法。道瓊工業指數升108.36點,或0.43%,至25,415.19點;標準普爾500指數上揚13.69點,或0.49%,至2,816.29點;納斯達克指數漲41.79點,或0.55%,至7,671.79點。

個股方面,蘋果 AAPL.O 在盤後交易中上漲2%,此前該公司公佈的業績超過華爾街預期。藥商輝瑞製藥 PFE.N 第二季業績也超過預期,該股收漲3.5%。標普醫療股指數 .SPXHC在公佈業績後攀升1.0%,給三大指數帶來提振。 CBS Corp CBS.N 逆轉跌勢,上揚2.7%,之前洛杉磯檢察官拒絕對公司執行長提起性騷擾訴訟,該公司董事會決定遴選一位外部律師對性侵指控展開調查。

日本股市在週二收高,因日本央行(BOJ)會議結果出爐,宣布導入前瞻指引、容許長期利率一度程度走升,日元走貶,也激勵日經指數翻紅,終場小漲0.04%或8.88點,收22,553.72點。

個股方面,任天堂重挫2.08%,Panasonic上揚0.42%,銀行股指數下挫2.8%,為表現最差板塊之一,因日本央行宣布決議後,公債收益率下滑。迅銷收漲2.1%,過去一周曾因預計日本央行的政策調整而遭到拋售。

Technical  Analysis
USDJPY

從日線圖上看,美元/日元隔夜大幅收漲,逼近112關口。技術指標上,MACD看跌動能柱縮減,RSI指標向上延伸。後市看來,價格支撐目標指向111.500一線。上行方面,價格初步阻力位於112關口,突破則進一步指向前高112.900一線。

 

EURUSD

從日線圖上看,歐元/美元隔夜震蕩收跌,一度觸及日高至1.17444一線后跳水。技術指標上,MACD看漲動能柱微增,RSI指標小幅向下。後市看來,價格支撐目標考驗1.16700一線。上行方面,價格關鍵阻力位依舊指向1.17400一線。

 

GBPUSD

從日線圖上看,英鎊/美元隔夜基本收平,震蕩交投于1.31300一線附近。技術指標上,MACD看漲動能柱微增,雙線黏合,RSI指標走平。後市看來,價格料維持震蕩整理,支撐目標考驗1.30000一線。上行方面,價格關鍵阻力位1.32000一線。

 

XAUUSD

從日線圖上看,金價隔夜小幅收漲,一度觸及日低至1213.60一線后反彈。技術指標上,MACD看漲動能柱擴張,RSI指標小幅向上。後市來看,金價初步阻力考驗1232.00一線。下行方面,金價目標支撐考驗1210.00一線。

 

CL_

從日線圖上看,油價隔夜大幅收跌,全數回吐前一日升幅,最低觸及68.03一線。技術指標上,MACD看跌動能柱擴張,RSI指標向下。後市來看,油價初步阻力位於69.20一線,下行方面,油價支撐目標進一步考驗67.40一線。

 

DJ_

從日線圖上看,價格隔夜反彈收漲,收復前一交易日跌幅。技術指標上,MACD看漲動能柱微縮,RSI指標小幅向上。後市來看,價格阻力目標指向25600一線。下行方面,價格初步支撐看向25250一線,關鍵支撐位25000關口。

 

NK_

從日線圖上看,價格隔夜探底回升,一度觸及日低至22330一線后反彈走高。技術指標上,MACD看漲動能柱溫和,RSI指標向上。後市來看,價格下方支撐位考驗22400一線,上方阻力位看向前期高點22890一線。