31 7 月 2018

Daily Market View

         

Daily Market View

Tuesday, July 31, 2018
          U.S Stock Market

 

DJIA S & P 500 NASDAQ
25289 2803.50 7200.75
-0.57% -0.58% -1.39%

U.S stocks dropped yesterday as marquee technology companies continued to slide on growth concerns, with losses being curbed by a rise in energy firms on higher oil prices and in financials ahead of the Federal Reserve meeting. The technology index has been under pressure after underwhelming forecasts from Facebook, Intel and Twitter threw up questions about the growth prospects of a sector whose surge has propelled the stock market to record highs. Apple, which was trading higher premarket, fell 0.5 percent and is due to report earnings yesterday after the bell, the only one of the so-called FAANG group that is yet to report. Other FAANG members also declined: Facebook fell 3.2 percent, Amazon declined 0.8 percent, and Alphabet dropped 1.8 percent, while Netflix slid 4.3 percent. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 15.51 points, or 0.06 percent, the S&P 500 was down 7.90 points, or 0.28 percent and the NASDAQ was down 67.60 points, or 0.87 percent. The Federal Reserve meets on Tuesday and Wednesday and is expected to keep rates unchanged.

 

 

Major Economic Releases for Today
Period Event GMT Forecast Previous

jul

BOJ Rate Decision   -0.10% -0.10%

jul

China Manufacturing PMI 01:00 51.3 51.5

jul

German Unemployment Claims Rate s.a. 07:55 5.2% 5.2%

jul

Euro-Zone Consumer Price Index Core (YoY) 09:00 1.0% 0.9%

2Q

Euro-Zone Gross Domestic Product s.a. (YoY) 09:00 2.2% 2.5%

may

Canada Gross Domestic Product (YoY) 12:30 2.3% 2.5%

jun

U.S PCE Core (YoY) 12:30 2.0% 2.0%

jul

U.S Chicago Purchasing Manager 13:45 61.8 64.1

jul

U.S Consumer Confidence Index 14:00 126.5 126.4
Dow Jones Industrial Average

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.57% yesterday. The best performers of the session on the Dow Jones Industrial Average were Merck & Company Inc., which rose 2.08% or 1.32 points to trade at 64.81 at the close. Meanwhile, Chevron Corp added 1.48% or 1.86 points to end at 127.83 and Verizon Communications Inc. was up 0.92% or 0.48 points to 52.49 in late trade. The worst performers of the session were Visa Inc., which fell 3.01% or 4.23 points to trade at 136.48 at the close. American Express Company declined 2.89% or 3.00 points to end at 100.85 and Boeing Co was down 2.66% or 9.59 points to 351.06.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

NASDAQ 100

The tech heavy NASDAQ index lost 1.39% yesterday. The top performers on the NASDAQ Composite were SSLJ.com Ltd Class A which rose 61.48% to 2.1800, ARCA Biopharma Inc. which was up 40.86% to settle at 0.817 and MYnd Analytics Inc. which gained 33.81% to close at 1.86. The worst performers were Helios and Matheson Analytics Inc. which was down 60.00% to 0.800 in late trade, iFresh Inc. which lost 34.18% to settle at 2.60 and Wilhelmina which was down 23.97% to 6.25 at the close.

Oil

Oil prices rose yesterday, with U.S crude futures jumping more than 2 percent, as traders continued to focus on supply disruptions and a possible hit to crude output from U.S sanctions on Iran. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures (WTI) rose $1.44, or 2.1 percent, to settle at $70.13 a barrel. WTI rose on expectations that U.S. inventories fell last week and worries that an outage at a Syncrude facility in Canada will not be solved as soon as expected. Crude inventories at the Oklahoma, delivery point for WTI has been dwindling, in part due to the situation at the Syncrude facility that has reduced the flow of oil into the hub. Stocks at the Cushing dropped to 23.7 million barrels, the lowest since November 2014 in the week to July 20. Oil prices have rebounded from recent lows over the last two weeks, as looming sanctions on Iran have already started to curtail exports from that country. U.S. President Donald Trump said on Monday he would meet with Iran’s President, Hassan Rouhani.

Precious and Base Metals

Gold steadied yesterday ahead of a meeting of the U.S Federal Reserve this week that could yield clues to the future direction of U.S interest rates and the dollar, key factors for precious metals prices. Spot gold was steady at $1,223.14 per ounce, compared with a one-year low of $1,211.08 hit earlier this month. U.S. gold futures for August delivery settled down $1.70, or 0.1 percent, at $1,221.30 per ounce. A higher U.S. currency makes dollar-denominated gold more expensive for holders of other currencies, which could subdue demand. Dollar gains since the middle of April have led to losses of about 10 percent for spot gold prices. Gold is still a dollar story, and I see no sign of the correlation breaking down. A significant driver for dollar gains has been safe haven flows due to trade tensions. Lack of investor interest is leading gold to behave like a currency; there are no safe haven flows to gold. The United States signaled last week it is set to push ahead with talks with Canada and Mexico after agreeing to suspend hostilities over tariffs with Europe in a deal that may clear the way for renewed pressure on China. There’s a flurry of Fed announcements coming out this week, and I think we are in a holding pattern until we hear from one of these central bank opinions. The Bank of Japan ends a two-day monetary policy meeting today, while the Bank of England is expected to raise interest rates on Thursday. The U.S central bank’s two-day meeting, which starts today, is expected to keep benchmark interest rates steady after hiking in June. Investors will be looking for clues to the timing of the next rise. Expectations are for two more rate rises this year and three next year. Higher U.S. interest rates create an opportunity cost for investors. Hedge funds and money managers increased their net short position in COMEX gold contracts to their highest since 2006, in the week to July 24, recent U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission data showed.

 

 

 

 

Traditional Agriculture

Wheat futures rallied almost 3 percent yesterday on concerns that deteriorating crops in several key producing countries will tighten global stocks of the grain. Corn scaled to a 1-1/2-month high on spillover support from wheat and as dry conditions in parts of the U.S corn belt trimmed harvest prospects.

 

 

Futures Settlement Price Monday, July 30, 2018
Instrument Contract Open High Low Settlement Net Change
DJIA DJM18 25419 25472 25262 25289 -119
S & P 500 SPM18 2815.75 2821.5 2798.5 2803.5 -13.75
NASDAQ 100 NDM18 7292.75 7309 7166.5 7200.75 -99.5
Hang Seng HSH18 28570 28816 28512 28682 -31
Nikkei 225 NKH18 22590 22610 22490 22535 -140
FTSE 100 FTH18 7596 7657 7591 7628 12.5
Gold GCJ18 1222.4 1223.7 1217.8 1220.5 -2.4
Silver SIK18 1549.5 1555.5 1540.5 1552 4
Copper HGK18 280.15 280.9 275.85 279.95 -0.25
Crude Oil CLK18 68.92 70.4 68.76 70.15 1.52
Wheat WK18 538.25 551.5 532.5 546.75 16.5
Soybeans SK18 883.75 884.75 875.75 882 0
Corn CK18 365 368.75 363.25 367.75 6

 

 

Daily Swings  (The Pivot Levels)
  Trading Range  
Contract S3 S2 S1 Pivot R1 R2 R3
DJM18 25000 25131 25210 25341 25420 25551 25630
SPM18 2771.17 2784.83 2794.17 2807.83 2817.17 2830.83 2840.17
NDM18 6999.33 7082.92 7141.83 7225.42 7284.33 7367.92 7426.83
HSH18 28220 28366 28524 28670 28828 28974 29132
NKH18 22360 22425 22480 22545 22600 22665 22720
FTH18 7527.67 7559.33 7593.67 7625.33 7659.67 7691.33 7725.67
GCJ18 1211.73 1214.77 1217.63 1220.67 1223.53 1226.57 1229.43
SIK18 1528.17 1534.33 1543.17 1549.33 1558.17 1564.33 1573.17
HGK18 271.85 273.85 276.90 278.90 281.95 283.95 287.00
CLK18 67.50 68.13 69.14 69.77 70.78 71.41 72.42
WK18 516.67 524.58 535.67 543.58 554.67 562.58 573.67
SK18 867.92 871.83 876.92 880.83 885.92 889.83 894.92
CK18 358.92 361.08 364.42 366.58 369.92 372.08 375.42

 

 Source: – News & Quotes (Courtesy:  Reuters)                                                                    

Disclaimer

This information has been prepared for information only and does not constitute an offer or commitment. This information does not constitute investment advice as defined by the rules of the FCA.

The firm or its staff members may trade on their own account and may from time to time hold or act as market makers in investments mentioned in this document. Please note that the firm makes no warranty, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions herein. All parties are advised to seek independent professional advice as to the suitability of any products and to their tax, accounting, legal or regulatory implications. City Credit Capital (UK) Ltd is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, reg 232015.

 

 

 

 

 

 

31 7 月 2018

FOREX Newsletter

   

FOREX Newsletter

 July 31, 2018
 

 

Pulse of the Market

·      Investors braced for the possibility that the BOJ will announce changes to its monetary easing policy

·      German and Spanish inflation remained slightly above the ECB’s price stability target in July

·      Bank of England is expected to raise interest rates on Thursday

·      Besides the BoJ, other central bank news is likely to be on investors’ radar this week

The U.S Dollar was lower yesterday, while the euro and sterling were higher as investors wait for a a number of central bank meetings this week. The U.S Dollar index, which measures the greenback’s strength against a basket of six major currencies, was down 0.43% to 94.06. Meanwhile, the pound inched higher, with GBP/USD rising 0.31% to 1.3146. Investors are waiting for a flurry of central bank policy decisions this week that could determine direction of currencies. The Federal Reserve makes a policy decision Wednesday afternoon, but with no rate hike expected. Investors expect the Fed to raise rates in September, with the chance of an increase at 87.8%. The U.S economy accelerated as expected in the second quarter, underlining the case for the Federal Reserve to gradually increase interest rates. Gross domestic product registered a seasonally-adjusted annual rate of 4.1% growth in the second quarter, its fastest rate of growth since the third quarter of 2014. Other central banks are also meeting this week, with the Bank of Japan ending its two-day meeting today. The Bank of England is expected to raise interest rates on Thursday, despite Brexit uncertainty. The dollar was lower against the safe-haven yen, with USD/JPY decreasing 0.05% to 110.97. In times of uncertainty, investors tend to invest in the Japanese yen, which is considered a safe asset during periods of risk aversion. The euro was higher after the dollar fell, despite the European Central Bank keeping rates unchanged last week.

 

 

Time(GMT)   Economic Release IMP Actual Forecast Prior
  BOJ Monetary Policy Statement High      
  BOJ Rate Decision (31 JUL) High   -0.10% -0.10%
01:00 China Manufacturing PMI (JUL) High   51.3 51.5
05:00 Japan Housing Starts (YoY) (JUN) Medium   -2.5% 1.3%
05:00 Japan Consumer Confidence Index (JUL) Medium   43.8 43.7
06:00 German Retail Sales (YoY) (JUN) Medium   1.5% -1.6%
07:55 German Unemployment Change (000’s) (JUL) High   -10k -15k
07:55 German Unemployment Claims Rate s.a. (JUL) High   5.2% 5.2%
09:00 Euro-Zone Consumer Price Index Core (YoY) (JUL) High   1.0% 0.9%
09:00 Euro-Zone Gross Domestic Product s.a. (YoY) (2Q) High   2.2% 2.5%
10:00 Italian Gross Domestic Product w.d.a. (YoY) (2Q) High   1.3% 1.4%
12:30 Canada Gross Domestic Product (YoY) (MAY) High   2.3% 2.5%
12:30 U.S Personal Income (JUN) Medium   0.4% 0.4%
12:30 U.S Personal Spending (JUN) Medium   0.4% 0.2%
12:30 U.S PCE Core (YoY) (JUN) High   2.0% 2.0%
13:45 U.S Chicago Purchasing Manager (JUL) Medium   61.8 64.1
14:00 U.S Consumer Confidence Index (JUL) High   126.5 126.4
22:45 New Zealand Unemployment Rate (2Q) High   4.4% 4.4%
22:45 New Zealand Employment Change (YoY) (2Q) High   3.6% 3.1%

 

Euro

The single currency recovered recent losses while most major currency pairs stuck to narrow trading ranges ahead of economic data and central bank monetary policy meetings this week. The US dollar index, which measures the greenback against a basket of six currencies, was down 0.43% at 94.27. Overall, the EUR/USD traded with a low of 1.1646 and a high of 1.1717 before closing the day around 1.1707 in the New York session.

 

Yen

The Japanese Yen was slightly lower as investors braced for the possibility that the Bank of Japan will announce changes to its monetary easing policy at the conclusion of a two-day meeting. The BoJ will consider changes to its massive stimulus program to make it more sustainable, such as allowing greater swings in interest rates and widening its stock-buying. Overall, the USD/JPY traded with a low of 110.87 and a high of 111.14 before closing the day around 111.05 in the U.S session.

 

British Pound

 

The British Pound posted gains in yesterday’s session. On the release front, British Net Lending to Individuals improved to GBP 5.4 billion, edging above the estimate of GBP 5.3 billion. Today, the U.S releases consumer spending and inflation indicators, as well as CB Consumer Confidence. The pound hasn’t made much noise in recent weeks. Overall, the GBP/USD traded with a low of 1.3095 and a high of 1.3150 before closing the day at 1.3133 in the New York session.

 

Canadian Dollar

 

The Canadian Dollar strengthened to a nearly seven-week high yesterday, boosted by higher oil prices and optimism that progress could be made in talks to revamp the NAFTA trade pact. Negotiations to update the North American Free Trade Agreement had stalled since June when the United States imposed tariffs on Mexican and Canadian steel.  Overall, USD/CAD traded with a low of 1.2992 and a high of 1.3076 before closing the day at 1.3037 in the New York session.

 

Australian Dollar

The Australian Dollar fell off against the US Dollar. Last week, the Australian dollar ended the week slightly lower against the US dollar. Since mid-June, the Australian dollar has been trading in a fairly narrow range against the US dollar. Following sharp sell-offs earlier this year, recent trading volumes in the currency have been fairly average. Overall, AUD/USD traded with a low of 0.7383 and a high of 0.7411 before closing the day at 0.7408 in the New York session.

 

 

Euro-Yen

EUR/JPY is trading above 14, 50 and 100 days moving average. Fast stochastic is giving a bearish tone and MACD is also issuing a bearish stance. The Relative Strength Index is above 50 and lies above the neutral zone. In general, the pair has gained 0.48%.

  

Sterling-Yen

Currently, GBP/JPY is trading above 14, 50 and 100 days moving average. Fast stochastic is issuing a bearish tone and MACD is also indicating a bearish stance. The Relative Strength Index is above 43 reading and lies below the neutral zone. On the whole, the pair has gained 0.29%.

  

Aussie-Yen

Currently, the cross is trading above 14, 50 and 100 days moving average. Fast stochastic is giving a bearish tone and MACD is also indicating a bearish stance. The Relative Strength Index is above 47 reading and lies below the neutral region. In general, the pair has gained 0.14%.

 

Euro-Sterling

This cross is currently trading above 14, 50 and 100 days moving average. Fast stochastic is indicating a bearish tone and MACD is issuing a bullish signal. The Relative Strength Index is above 60 and lies above the neutral region. On the whole, the pair has gained 0.23%.

 

Sterling-Swiss

This cross is trading above 14, 50 and below 100 days moving average. Fast stochastic is issuing a bearish stance and MACD is indicating a bullish tone. The Relative Strength Index is above 37 and lies below the neutral region. In general, the pair has lost 0.39%.

 

Appendix

  

FOREX Closing Prices for July 30, 2018
Currency Open High Low Close Net Chg
EUR/USD 1.16577 1.17174 1.16467 1.17074 0.0051
USD/JPY 110.982 111.147 110.871 111.057 0.0800
GBP/USD 1.31066 1.31503 1.30953 1.31331 0.0029
USD/CHF 0.99403 0.99548 0.98761 0.98835 -0.0060
USD/CAD 1.30598 1.30764 1.29922 1.30379 -0.0019
EUR/JPY 129.395 130.05 129.289 130.004 0.6230
GBP/JPY 145.476 145.902 145.368 145.857 0.4180
CHF/JPY 111.607 112.387 111.518 112.387 0.8130
AUD/JPY 82.14 82.274 82.01 82.27 0.1180
EUR/GBP 0.88921 0.89168 0.8879 0.89138 0.0020
EUR/CHF 1.15899 1.16019 1.1565 1.15708 -0.0021
GBP/CHF 1.30307 1.30572 1.29733 1.29807 -0.0051

 

 

 

Daily Pivot Points
  Trading Range  
Contract S3 S2 S1 Pivot R1 R2 R3
EUR/USD 1.1593 1.1620 1.1664 1.1691 1.1734 1.1761 1.1805
USD/JPY 110.63 110.75 110.90 111.03 111.18 111.30 111.46
GBP/USD 1.3047 1.3071 1.3102 1.3126 1.3157 1.3181 1.3212
USD/CHF 0.9776 0.9826 0.9855 0.9905 0.9934 0.9984 1.0012
USD/CAD 1.2910 1.2951 1.2995 1.3036 1.3079 1.3120 1.3163
EUR/JPY 128.75 129.02 129.51 129.78 130.27 130.54 131.03
GBP/JPY 144.98 145.18 145.52 145.71 146.05 146.24 146.58
CHF/JPY 110.94 111.23 111.81 112.10 112.68 112.97 113.55
AUD/JPY 81.83 81.92 82.10 82.18 82.36 82.45 82.62
EUR/GBP 0.8852 0.8865 0.8890 0.8903 0.8927 0.8941 0.8965
EUR/CHF 1.1520 1.1542 1.1557 1.1579 1.1593 1.1616 1.1630
GBP/CHF 1.2866 1.2920 1.2950 1.3004 1.3034 1.3088 1.3118

Sources:  News, Charts & Quotes (Courtesy: Reuters, US Department Of Treasury)

 

 

Disclaimer

This information has been prepared for information only and does not constitute an offer or commitment. This information does not constitute investment advice as defined by the rules of the FCA.

The firm or its staff members may trade on their own account and may from time to time hold or act as market makers in investments mentioned in this document. Please note that the firm makes no warranty, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions herein. All parties are advised to seek independent professional advice as to the suitability of any products and to their tax, accounting, legal or regulatory implications. City Credit Capital (UK) Ltd is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, reg 232015.

 

 

市場報告                     2018-07-31

     
Market Summary
週一(7月30日)美元指數下跌,並運行在95關口下方。日內公佈的美國6月成屋銷售指數月率為0.9%,高於前值-0.5%和預期0.4%,此數據在連續兩個月錄得下跌之後意外上漲,顯示出房屋銷售存在反彈勢頭,但房地產市場仍供應面趨緊,缺乏可供出售的房屋。美國7月達拉斯聯儲商業活動指數為32.3,低於前值36.5但高於預期31.0。不過儘管日內公佈的成屋銷售和達拉斯聯儲商業活動指數高於預期,但美元指數仍然跌跌不休,並刷新日低至94.26。

現貨黃金週一開盤後一路走低並錄得日內低點1218.75美元/金衡盎司,隨後在美市盤中最高上探至1224.70美元/金衡盎司再度轉跌,並運行在1220.00美元/金衡盎司一線上方,終收於1221.20美元/金衡盎司。

國際原油週一收漲1.44美元,或2.10%,報70.09美元/桶。雖然主要產油國暗示增產幅度可能超過預期,但美元重挫以及英國北海油田鑽井平台的原油工人舉行罷工,這部分抵消了供應面的利空影響。此外,利比亞原油供應再度中斷,同時委內瑞拉原油產量也繼續下滑,而美國重啟伊朗制裁後當地原油出口也遭遇變數,這令油價獲得有效提振。

美國股市三大股指週一收低,受科技股普跌所累。道瓊工業指數下跌144.23點,或0.57%,至25,306.83點;標準普爾500指數下滑16.22點,或0.58%,至2,802.60點;納斯達克指數收挫107.42點,或1.39%,至7,630.00點。

個股方面,科技股指數 .SPLRCT 大跌1.8%,因在動蕩的期中選舉季前,投資人轉投其他板塊或獲利了結。 Facebook Inc FB.O 和網飛NFLX.O 分別下挫2.2%和5.7%,拖累所謂的FAANG股下跌。其他FAANG股還包括蘋果 AAPL.O 、亞馬遜 AMZN.O 和谷歌母公司Alphabet Inc GOOGL.O。科技股全線下挫,拖累美股三大股指收低。

日本股市週一收低,因本週日本央行可能調整貨幣政策,對人氣造成打壓,同時企業季度獲利也是投資者關注焦點。日經指數收低0.74%至22,544.84點。

個股方面,日本關西電力收挫3.6%,此前該公司公佈4-6月財報不振。理光和阿爾卑斯電氣分別收揚8.8%和4.7%,此前公佈了樂觀財報。三菱日聯金融集團(MUFG)和三井住友金融集團雙雙收升1.6%,因市場寄望日本央行可能進行的政策調整將令銀行資產負債表受益。

Technical  Analysis
USDJPY

從日線圖上看,美元/日元隔夜震蕩收漲,交投于111關口附近。技術指標上,MACD看跌動能柱微增,雙線向下,RSI指標小幅向上。後市看來,價格支撐目標考驗110.600一線。上行方面,價格關鍵阻力位111.800一線。

 

EURUSD

從日線圖上看,歐元/美元隔夜大幅收漲,最高探至1.17175一線。技術指標上,MACD看漲動能柱擴張,RSI指標向上延伸。後市看來,價格支撐目標考驗1.16800一線。上行方面,價格關鍵阻力位1.17400一線。

 

GBPUSD

從日線圖上看,英鎊/美元隔夜小幅收漲,最高觸及1.31509一線后有所收窄。技術指標上,MACD看漲動能柱微增,雙線黏合,RSI指標小幅向上。後市看來,價格支撐目標考驗1.30000一線。上行方面,價格關鍵阻力位1.32000一線。

 

XAUUSD

從日線圖上看,金價隔夜小幅收跌,低位交投于1220一線附近。技術指標上,MACD看漲動能柱擴張,RSI指標小幅向下逼近超賣區。後市來看,金價初步阻力考驗1232.00一線。下行方面,金價目標支撐考驗1210.00一線。

 

CL_

從日線圖上看,油價隔夜反彈收漲,站上70關口。技術指標上,MACD看跌動能柱縮減,RSI指標位於拐頭向上。後市來看,油價阻力目標進一步考驗71.00一線,下行方面,匯價初步支撐考驗69.20一線。

 

DJ_

從日線圖上看,價格隔夜延續回落,最低回撤至25262一線。技術指標上,MACD看漲動能柱縮減,RSI指標向下延伸。後市來看,價格初步阻力目標指向25500一線。下行方面,價格初步支撐看向25000關口。

 

NK_

從日線圖上看,價格隔夜小幅回落,下探50均線尋求支撐。技術指標上,MACD看漲動能柱縮減,RSI指標向下。後市來看,價格下方支撐位考驗22000一線。上方阻力位看向前期高點22890一線。

 

 

 

30 7 月 2018

Daily Market View

     

Daily Market View

Monday, July 30, 2018
          U.S Stock Market

 

DJIA S & P 500 NASDAQ
25408 2817.25 7300.25
-0.30% -0.66% -1.46%

U.S stock indexes were lower on Friday as weak earnings reports from Intel and Twitter dragged on the technology sector and as healthcare stocks were pressured by a clutch of disappointing earnings. Intel sank 8.9 percent after its fast-growing data center business missed estimates amid faced stiff rivalry from Advanced Micro Devices. AMD rose 0.7 percent. Twitter’s shares plunged 19.4 percent after reporting fewer-than-expected monthly active users and warning of further drops as it deletes phony accounts. The technology sector fell 2.48 percent, the most among the major S&P sectors. Microsoft and Google’s parent Alphabet fell 2.9 percent and 3 percent, respectively. Both companies had reported upbeat quarterly results in the past two weeks. The U.S. economy grew at a 4.1 percent annualized rate in the second quarter, its fastest pace in nearly four years, the Commerce Department said, on higher consumer spending and rushed soybeans shipments to China to beat tariffs.

 

 

Major Economic Releases for Today
Period Event GMT Forecast Previous

jul

Switzerland KOF Leading Indicator 07:00 101.5 101.7

jun

U.K Net Consumer Credit 08:30 1.4b 1.4b

jun

U.K Net Lending Sec. on Dwellings 08:30 4.0b 3.9b

jun

U.K Mortgage Approvals 08:30 65.5k 64.5k

jul

Euro-Zone Economic Confidence 09:00 112.0 112.3

jul

Euro-Zone Consumer Confidence 09:00 -0.6 -0.6

jul

German Consumer Price Index (YoY) 12:00 2.1% 2.1%

jun

U.S Pending Home Sales (YoY) 14:00   -2.8%

jul

U.K GfK Consumer Confidence 23:01 -9 -9
Dow Jones Industrial Average

The Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 0.30% on Friday. The best performers of the session on the Dow Jones Industrial Average were Chevron Corp, which rose 1.63% or 2.02 points to trade at 125.97 at the close. Meanwhile, Walgreens Boots Alliance Inc. added 1.63% or 1.10 points to end at 68.64 and Verizon Communications Inc. was up 1.62% or 0.83 points to 52.01 in late trade. The worst performers of the session were Intel Corporation, which fell 8.59% or 4.48 points to trade at 47.68 at the close. Exxon Mobil Corp declined 2.75% or 2.32 points to end at 81.92 and Cisco Systems Inc. was down 2.21% or 0.96 points to 42.57.

 

 

 

NASDAQ 100

The tech heavy NASDAQ index lost 1.46% on Friday. The top performers on the NASDAQ Composite were SSLJ.com Ltd Class A which rose 125.79% to 1.3500, Biostar Pharmaceuticals Inc. which was up 36.69% to settle at 2.3100 and Wilhelmina which unchanged 0.00% to close at 6.85. The worst performers were Helios and Matheson Analytics Inc. which was down 70.72% to 2.000 in late trade, Tonix Pharmaceuticals Holding Corp which lost 65.82% to settle at 1.350 and Genprex Inc. which was down 54.58% to 3.1700 at the close.

 

 

Oil

Oil prices fell on Friday, weighed down by a drop in the U.S. equities market, but Brent still marked a weekly increase, supported by easing trade tensions and a temporary shutdown by Saudi Arabia of a key crude oil shipping lane. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures fell 92 cents to settle at $68.69 a barrel, and marked the fourth week of declines, falling about 2.4 percent. Depressing oil prices, U.S. stock markets broadly fell on Friday. Crude futures at times track with equities. The oil market largely brushed off government data on Friday that said the U.S. economy grew in the second quarter at its fastest pace in nearly four years. U.S. energy companies added three oil rigs in the week to July 27, the first time in the past three weeks that drillers have added rigs, General Electric Co’s Baker Hughes energy services firm said in Friday’s session.

 

Precious and Base Metals

Gold inched higher on Friday as the U.S Dollar slid lower after strong U.S economic growth data while concern remains about trade tensions between the United States and Europe. The dollar slipped against a basket of currencies as data showing the U.S. economy rang up its strongest quarter in nearly four years failed to erase worries that trade frictions would be a drag in the second half of 2018. The greenback gave up initial gains after the U.S. government reported gross domestic product grew at a 4.1 percent annualized pace in the second quarter, matching the median forecast among economists polled by Reuters. The dollar weakened and treasury yields came off. Dollar weakness looks like it will continue and gold will see some short-term support. A weaker dollar makes dollar-priced gold less expensive for non-U.S. investors. Benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yields slipped from their highest level in 1-1/2 months. Spot gold edged up 0.1 percent to $1,223.46 an ounce, having hit a one-week low of $1,216.93, and was on track for its third consecutive weekly decline, of about 0.5 percent. In the physical markets, gold demand in India improved this week as domestic prices traded near a six-month low, while weaker rates in Singapore prompted a pick-up in demand there. Demand remained weak, however, in top consumer China as the yuan fell. Price action in gold is likely to be subdued in the coming weeks as physical demand is in the middle of a seasonally slow period, short interest in gold has risen as prices have fallen and there are 200 tonnes of loss-making ETF positions that could be liquidated. A key level of resistance will be $1,236, the double-bottom from a couple weeks ago. Among other precious metals, silver rose 0.5 percent at $15.45 per ounce but was heading for its seventh weekly decline. It earlier hit a one-week low at $15.29 an ounce.

 

 

 

Traditional Agriculture

Soybean futures rose in Friday’s trading session, on track for their second straight weekly gain, bolstered by signs of strong export demand. Wheat futures were mixed, with winter wheat contracts easing while spring wheat contracts firmed amid concerns about crop shortfalls. Corn futures closed the session almost unchanged.

 

Futures Settlement Price Friday, July 27, 2018
Instrument Contract Open High Low Settlement Net Change
DJIA DJM18 25493 25570 25346 25408 -111
S & P 500 SPM18 2840.25 2846.75 2808.75 2817.25 -25
NASDAQ 100 NDM18 7429.25 7466.25 7263.25 7300.25 -129.5
Hang Seng HSH18 28738 28832 28582 28726 -10
Nikkei 225 NKH18 22630 22690 22565 22675 115
FTSE 100 FTH18 7622.5 7656.5 7605.5 7615.5 5.5
Gold GCJ18 1222.8 1226.6 1216.5 1222.9 1.1
Silver SIK18 1540.5 1554.5 1533 1548 10
Copper HGK18 280.7 283.45 280.05 280.2 -0.25
Crude Oil CLK18 69.55 69.73 68.22 68.63 -0.87
Wheat WK18 536 541.5 525 530.25 -6.25
Soybeans SK18 859.58 873.5 858.5 870 9.5
Corn CK18 360.25 363.25 359.25 361.75 1

 

 

Daily Swings  (The Pivot Levels)
  Trading Range  
Contract S3 S2 S1 Pivot R1 R2 R3
DJM18 25089 25217 25313 25441 25537 25665 25761
SPM18 2763.75 2786.25 2801.75 2824.25 2839.75 2862.25 2877.75
NDM18 7017.25 7140.25 7220.25 7343.25 7423.25 7546.25 7626.25
HSH18 28345 28463 28595 28713 28845 28963 29095
NKH18 22472 22518 22597 22643 22722 22768 22847
FTH18 7544.17 7574.83 7595.17 7625.83 7646.17 7676.83 7697.17
GCJ18 1207.30 1211.90 1217.40 1222.00 1227.50 1232.10 1237.60
SIK18 1514.33 1523.67 1535.83 1545.17 1557.33 1566.67 1578.83
HGK18 275.62 277.83 279.02 281.23 282.42 284.63 285.82
CLK18 66.48 67.35 67.99 68.86 69.50 70.37 71.01
WK18 506.50 515.75 523.00 532.25 539.50 548.75 556.00
SK18 846.17 852.33 861.17 867.33 876.17 882.33 891.17
CK18 355.58 357.42 359.58 361.42 363.58 365.42 367.58

 

 Source: – News & Quotes (Courtesy:  Reuters)                                                                    

Disclaimer

This information has been prepared for information only and does not constitute an offer or commitment. This information does not constitute investment advice as defined by the rules of the FCA.

The firm or its staff members may trade on their own account and may from time to time hold or act as market makers in investments mentioned in this document. Please note that the firm makes no warranty, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions herein. All parties are advised to seek independent professional advice as to the suitability of any products and to their tax, accounting, legal or regulatory implications. City Credit Capital (UK) Ltd is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, reg 232015.

 

 

 

 市場報告                     2018-07-30

     
Market Summary
週五(7月27日)日內公佈的美國7月密歇根大學消費者信心指數終值為97.9,高於前值97.1,受就業和薪資前景良好的影響,美國消費者信心水平繼續保持在高位。美國第二季度GDP增長率為4.1%,略低於市場預期4.2%,雖然公佈的GDP數據表現靚麗,不過由於公佈前預期已經被炒熱,因此GDP數據出爐後,美元指數短線下滑,收報94.68。

現貨黃金週五亞市早盤開於1222.60美元/金衡盎司後,多空膠著,難解難分,但空方最終佔據上風,金價跳水,錄得日內低點1217.30美元/金衡盎司,隨後金價U型反彈,多頭奮力上攻,收復此前失地,終收於1223.00美元/金衡盎司。

國際原油週五收跌0.92美元,或1.32%,報68.65美元/桶。因墨西哥候任總統洛佩斯表示,政府將把原油產量從當前的190萬桶/日提高至250萬桶/日,同時尋求對六個國有煉廠進行整修,令其在兩年內實現全效運轉。墨西哥計劃增產以及美國石油鑽井數再度增加,令市場供應憂慮加重,不過美元走弱在一定程度上限制了油價的下行空間。

美國股市週五收盤下跌,因大型科技公司發布疲弱業績,導致科技板塊大幅走低。道瓊工業指數下跌76.01點,或0.3%,至25,451.06點;標準普爾500指數下滑18.62點,或0.66%,至2,818.82點;納斯達克指數收挫114.77點,或1.46%,至7,737.42點。

個股方面,晶片製造商英特爾INTC.O 股價急挫8.6%,社交媒體網絡公司推特TWTR.N 股價急挫20.5%,蘋果AAPL.O 股價收跌1.7%,微軟MSFT.O 和Alphabet GOOGL.O分別下跌1.8%和2.5%,此前兩家公司因發布強勁季度業績急升。 Alphabet股價盤中稍早觸及紀錄高位,但之後逆轉走勢。

日本股市週五收高,美國和歐盟在貿易問題上和解的跡象令投資人感到些許寬慰,不過在本週日本央行政策會議召開前,投資人仍持謹慎態度。日經指數創下一週收盤高位22,712.75點,上週錄得0.56%的漲幅。

個股方面,芯片(晶片)製造商東京電子(東京威力科創)和佳能分別下跌0.16%和0.17%,野村控股大跌5.79%,此前該投行公佈的季度業績創下逾兩年最差表現。其他有巨大波動的還有互聯網廣告公司Septeni Holdings,暴跌21.25%,成為所有東京上市股票中表現最差的個股。投資人將持續關注日本央行週一及週二會議,市場揣測該行可能削減購買日經指數相關上市交易基金(ETF)。

Technical  Analysis
USDJPY

從日線圖上看,美元/日元隔夜小幅收漲。技術指標上,MACD看跌動能柱擴張,雙線向下,RSI指標小幅向下。後市看來,價格支撐目標考驗110.600一線。上行方面,價格關鍵阻力位111.800一線。

 

EURUSD

從日線圖上看,歐元/美元隔夜收出陰線。技術指標上,MACD看漲動能柱縮減,快線及慢線位於零軸下方,並交疊在一起,RSI指標下行至45。後市看來趨勢看跌,價格支撐目標考驗1.15700一線。上行方面,價格關鍵阻力位1.16800一線。

 

GBPUSD

從日線圖上看,英鎊/美元隔夜收出陰線。技術指標上,MACD看漲動能柱縮減,快線及慢線位於零軸下方,並交疊在一起,RSI指標位下行至43。後市看來趨勢看跌,價格支撐目標考驗1.30000一線。上行方面,價格關鍵阻力位1.31600一線。

 

XAUUSD

日線圖顯示,金價隔夜收出陰線,最低探至1222.10。技術指標上,EMA(9,15,30)呈空頭排列,MACD快線與慢線位於零軸下方,並交疊在一起,RSI指標位於弱勢區32。後市來看跌,上行方面,金價初步阻力考驗1235.00一帶。下行方面,金價目標支撐考驗1210.00一帶。

 

CL_

日線圖顯示,油價隔夜收出陽線,最高探至69.90。技術指標上,MACD看跌動能柱微縮,RSI指標位於平衡區49。後市來看趨勢看漲,上行方面,匯價初步阻力考驗71.00一帶,下行方面,匯價目標支撐考驗68.50一帶。

 

DJ_

從DJ_日線圖上看,價格隔夜上漲,最高上探至25565一線。技術指標上,MACD看漲動能柱擴張,快慢線趨勢向上,RSI指標上行至強勢區下方。後市來看,價格初步阻力目標指向25700一線。下行方面,價格初步支撐看向25400一線。

 

NK_

從SGX日本225股指期貨CFD日線圖上看,價格收了一根十字线。技術指標上,MACD看漲動能柱減少,RSI指標50上方震蕩。後市來看,價格或將继续震蕩運行,價格下方支撐位考驗22000一線。上方阻力位看向前期高點22925一線。

 

 

 

證券 CFD 亞洲                2018-07-27

 

 
市場綜述
日本股市週五(7月27日)溫和反彈,美國和歐盟在貿易問題上和解的跡象令投資人感到些許寬慰,不過在下周日本央行政策會議召開前,投資人仍持謹慎態度。截至收盤,日經225指數上漲125.88點,收於22712.75點,創下一周收盤高位,本周錄得0.56%的漲幅;東證股價指數上漲9.98點,收於1775.76點,漲幅為0.57%。

儘管歐盟和美國貿易休戰令投資者感到欣慰,但有關日本央行下周利率會議將有政策變動的傳聞壓制了樂觀人氣。投資人持續關注日本央行週一及週二會議,市場揣測該行可能削減購買日經指數相關上市交易基金(ETF)。日本央行有可能在下周初的會議上討論調整貨幣政策,可能修改利率目標和購買股票的方式。

港股方面,標普500指數本周首次下跌,Facebook創日內最大跌幅,蓋過能源股和工業股上漲。今日開盤,恒生指數低開0.16%,隨後28750點上下波動。截止收盤,恒生指數漲0.08%,報28804.28點。國企指數漲0.24%,報11047.42點;紅籌指數漲0.42%,報4343.92點。

個股方面,中國旺旺漲5.13%,領漲藍籌;中國神華漲3.28%;萬洲國際漲2.6%。風電股大漲。華能新能源漲8.6%;大唐新能源漲7.19%;金風科技漲4.99%。濠賭股下跌。美高梅中國跌3.17%;永利澳門跌2.06%;金沙中國跌1.45%。

技術分析
NK_

觀察SGX日本225股指期貨CFD4H圖,日內價格小幅走高,交投於22600一線附近。技術指標上,MACD看漲動能柱微增,RSI指標小幅向上。後市來看,價格阻力目標指向22900一線。下行方面,價格支撐考驗22430一線。

 

HS_

  Open High Low Close
HS_ 28739 28833 28584 28727

觀察香港50股指期貨CFD日線圖,價格日內窄幅震盪,交投於28700一線附近。技術指標上,MACD看漲動能柱溫和,RSI指標小幅向下。後市來看,價格初步阻力指向29000關口。下行方面,價格支撐目標考驗28400一線。

 

                        2018-07-27

 

 
市場綜述
週五(7月27日)亞市盤中,美元指數小幅回落,最低至94.63。因晚間美國GDP數據公佈之前,投資者交投較為謹慎。美國總統特朗普週四表示,美國GDP數據將會“非常棒”,GDP可能不會達到5.3%,但是會很棒特朗普說道:。有人今天預測第二季度GDP為5.3%,我不認為這會發生如果是高於4%時,我們就很高興了,如果是3.8%或3.9%,那也挺好的。特朗普並聲稱,最近的經濟數據有點不可思議。這已經不是特朗普第一次提前透露美國經濟數據了,若美國第二季度經濟增速真如特朗普所說的強勁,美元還將大獲提振。

歐元方面,受到美元下跌的影響,歐元/美元亞市盤中溫和上漲,最高至1.16564。儘管歐盟與美國達成了貿易協議,但德拉基表達了對貿易帶來的不確定性的擔憂,這與投資者歐盟與美國達成貿易協議將促使歐洲央行更快加息的預期不相符,從而導致昨日歐元的大跌。歐盟官員對貿易戰的讓步求和態度激勵了歐元反彈上漲,更是對美元指數帶來壓力。

澳元方面,週五(7月27日)亞市盤中,澳元/美元溫和反彈至0.73936,除了受美元下跌的影響,早盤公佈的澳大利亞第二季度PPI年率為1.5%,溫和不及經濟學家預期的1.7%,且中國6月規模以上工業企業利潤年率為20%同樣不及預期,澳元短線小幅回落之後再度因美指回調而走高。週三公佈的澳大利亞CPI顯示通脹整體依舊處於上升趨勢中,儘管不及預期,但是相對前值較為樂觀。

技術分析
EURUSD

從4小時圖上看,歐元/美元日內下跌。技術指標上,MACD看跌動能柱擴張。RSI指標位於弱勢區。後市來看,匯價關鍵阻力目標指向1.17000。下行方面,匯價支撐位於1.16800一線。

 

USDJPY

從4小時圖上看,美元/日元日內下跌。技術指標上,MACD看漲動能柱擴張,RSI指標位於平衡區50。後市來看,匯價阻力目標指向111.600一線。下行方面,匯價支撐看向110.500一線。

 

 

證券 CFD 歐美                   2018-07-27

 

  Open High Low Close
DJ_ 25419 25565 25389 25519
SP_ 2835.00 2846.25 2833.25 2842.25
ND_ 7407.50 7449.00 7363.00 7429.75
FT_ 7605.0 7625.5 7580.5 7611.0
市場綜述
美國股市週四(7月26日)漲跌互見,Facebook股價大跌拖累納斯達克指數下挫逾1%,但在美國和歐盟表示將就貿易問題進行磋商後,工業股上漲,支撐道瓊工業指數收高。道瓊斯工業指數上揚112.97點,或0.44%,至25,527.07點;標準普爾500指數下滑8.63點,或0.3%,至2,837.44點;納斯達克指數收挫80.05點,或1.01%,至7,852.19點。

個股方面,百健(Biogen)暴跌10.2%,也拖累標普500指數和納斯達克指數,因其老年癡呆症藥物的實驗數據未能打動投資人。麥當勞下挫1.7%,其美國同店銷售數據不及預期,為至少兩年來首次。不過晶片股在週四的跌勢中表現搶眼,費城半導體指數上揚1.9%。超微半導體急升14.3%,賽靈思(Xilinx)攀升9.6%,兩家公司都公佈了強勁的業績。高通大漲7%,此前該晶片商放棄以440億美元收購荷蘭恩智浦半導體(NXP)的交易,因未能獲得中國監管機構的批准。恩智浦下挫5.7%。

英國股市週四報收於7663.17點,比前一交易日上漲4.91點,漲幅為0.06%。歐洲三大股指當天全線上漲,其他兩大主要股指方面,法國巴黎股市指數報收於5480.55點,漲幅為1.00%;德國法蘭克福股市指數報收於12809.23點,漲幅為1.83%。

個股方面,當天倫敦股市成分股中醫藥類個股領漲,位於漲幅前五位的個股分別為:英美煙草股價上漲5.13%,制藥公司阿斯特捷利康股價上漲4.19%,化學品公司克羅達國際股價上漲3.15%,醫療器械供應商施樂輝公司股價上漲3.03%,礦業公司耶弗拉茲集團股價上漲2.38%。而成分股中資源類個股則領跌,位於跌幅前五位的個股分別為:資産管理公司施羅德股價下跌4.13%,電視運營商ITV股價下跌3.90%,荷蘭皇家殼牌B類股股價下跌3.61 %,荷蘭皇家殼牌A類股股價下跌3.05%,餐飲服務公司金巴斯集團股價下跌2.28%。

技術分析
DJ_

從DJ_日線圖上看,價格隔夜上漲,最高上探至25565一線。技術指標上,MACD看漲動能柱擴張,快慢線趨勢向上,RSI指標上行至強勢區下方。後市來看,價格初步阻力目標指向25700一線。下行方面,價格初步支撐看向25400一線。

 

SP_

從SP_日線圖上看,價格隔夜上漲,最高上探至2846.25一線。技術指標上,MACD看漲動能柱擴張,快線與慢線於零軸上方,RSI指標接近68。後市來看,價格初步阻力目標指向2860.00一線。下行方面,價格初步支撐看向2830.00一線。

 

ND_

從ND_日線圖上看,價格隔夜走勢震盪,最高上探至7449.00一線。技術指標上,MACD看漲動能柱縮減,RSI指標下行。後市來看,價格阻力目標指向7490.00一線。下行方面,價格初步支撐看向7360.00一線。

 

FT_

從FT_日線圖上看,價格隔夜小幅收漲,最高上探至7625.5一線。技術指標上,MACD看漲動能柱縮減,RSI指標下行。後市來看,價格支撐目標指向7540.0一線。上行方面,價格初步阻力看向7650.0一線。

 

商品 CFD 日報                    2018-07-27

 

 
市場綜述
週四(7月27日)日內公佈的美國數據較為強勁,對美元形成提振。數據顯示,公佈的美國至7月21日當周初請失業金人數為21.70萬人,略高於前值20.07萬人,但仍表明勞動力市場在收緊,當前的勞動力市場被視為接近或達到充分就業狀態。公佈的美國6月耐用品訂單月率為1%,高於前值-0.4%。美元因此止跌反彈,日內最高觸及94.79,但仍運行在95關口之下。

國際現貨黃金周四開盤一路走高並錄得日內高點1234.90美元/金衡盎司後,金價轉為跌勢,震盪下行。美市金價稍微反彈,但未能持久再轉盤整,多空膠著,但空方終佔上風,金價大幅下挫,錄得日內低點1222.10美元/金衡盎司後轉盤整,終收於1222.70美元/金衡盎司。

國際原油週四收漲0.31美元,或0.45%,報69.59美元/桶。美國政府近期對油價過高表達了強烈的不滿,並要求沙特等國主動增加產量,不過由於一天內兩艘油輪遭受襲擊,沙特已經暫停紅海的原油運輸,這也為油價帶來有效支撐,但美元反彈在一定程度上限制了油價的上行空間。

芝加哥期貨交易所(CBOT)大豆期貨週四走低,交易商稱因一波技術性賣盤。美國總統特朗普與歐盟執委會主席賈克就貿易問題進行會談後,向歐洲出口更多大豆希望扶助限制大豆跌幅。11月大豆期貨合約收升1/4美分,報每蒲式耳8.76美元。

芝加哥期貨交易所(CBOT)玉米期貨週四收漲,並觸及6月13日以來最高,受助於國內外市場的強勁需求,美國中西部作物生長的不確定性也扶助支撐價格。指標CBOT-9月玉米合約升2-1/4美分,報3.61-1/2美元。

芝加哥期貨交易所(CBOT)軟紅冬小麥期貨週四下跌,因在價格觸及數周高位後遭遇技術性賣盤。指標CBOT-9月軟紅冬小麥期貨收在其20日波林格區間的高端之下,自5月25日以來從未收在該水準之上。該合約收報每蒲式耳5.36-1/2美元,跌6-1/4美分。

COMEX期銅週四收跌,收報280.55。因必和必拓在智利的埃斯孔迪達銅礦談判仍在進行當中,勞資雙方依舊在討價還價,存在罷工可能,所以市場還在觀望中。

技術分析
XAUUSD

日線圖顯示,金價隔夜收出陰線,最低探至1222.10。技術指標上,EMA(9,15,30)呈空頭排列,MACD快線與慢線位於零軸下方,並交疊在一起,RSI指標位於弱勢區32。後市來看跌,上行方面,匯價初步阻力考驗1235.00一帶。下行方面,匯價目標支撐考驗1210.00一帶。

 

XAGUSD

日線圖顯示,銀價隔夜收出陰線,最低探至15.353。技術指標上,EMA(9,15,30)呈現空頭排列,MACD看跌動能柱微縮,快線與慢線位於零軸下方,並呈下行趨勢,RSI指標位於弱勢區36。後市來看趨勢看跌,上行方面,匯價目標阻力考驗15.600一帶,下行方面,匯價初步支撐考驗15.300一帶。

 

CL_

日線圖顯示,油價隔夜收出陽線,最高探至69.90。技術指標上,MACD看跌動能柱微縮,RSI指標位於平衡區49。後市來看趨勢看漲,上行方面,匯價初步阻力考驗71.00一帶,下行方面,匯價目標支撐考驗68.50一帶。

 

HG_

日線圖顯示,銅價隔夜收出陰線,最低探至280.00。技術指標上,EMA(9,15,30)呈現空頭排列,MACD看漲動能柱擴張,快線與慢線位於零軸下方,並呈上行趨勢,RSI指標位於平衡區43。後市來看趨勢看漲,上行方面,匯價初步阻力考驗285.00一帶,下行方面,匯價目標支撐考驗275.00一帶。

 

 

 

 

 

                         2018-07-27

 

   
市場綜述
週四(7月26日)美元指數止跌反彈,但仍運行在95關口之下。因日內公佈的美國數據較為強勁,對美元形成提振。數據顯示,美國至7月21日上週初請失業金人數為21.7萬人,略高於前值20.07萬人和預期21.5萬人,從48年半低位略有反彈,但仍表明勞動力市場在收緊。當前的勞動力市場被視為接近或達到充分就業狀態;美國6月耐用品訂單月率為1%,高於前值的-0.4%;不過扣除飛機非國防資本耐用品訂單數據超出預期,上漲0.6 %。而5月份的數據被修正為更高,顯示所謂的核心耐用品訂單上漲0.7%,而非之前的0.3%。

歐元方面,歐元/美元週四下跌,報收於1.16409。日內公佈的歐洲央行如期維持利率不變,但德拉基對於加息預期的措辭偏鴿,同時特朗普經濟顧問庫德洛最新表示,週五即將發布的美國GDP數據的表現將“非常亮眼”,不過他表示並不清楚美國GDP的具體數據。在庫德洛發表這一言論之後,美元指數短線跳漲,導致歐元/美元下挫。

英鎊方面,英鎊/美元週四聞訊急跌,報收於1.31091。因歐盟首席脫歐談判官巴尼耶拒絕了英國白皮書中與關稅相關的提案,這是貿易相關的關鍵部分。巴尼耶表示,同英國脫歐事務大臣拉布舉行的會晤具有建設性,英國在安全問題的提議是一大進步,但歐盟仍有許多重大問題需要同英國討論,兩大主要問題是北愛爾蘭和未來的關係,硬邊境問題獨立於英國同歐盟未來關係之外,令英國脫歐前景蒙上陰影。

 

技術分析
EURUSD

從日線圖上看,歐元/美元隔夜收出陰線。技術指標上,MACD看漲動能柱縮減,快線及慢線位於零軸下方,並交疊在一起,RSI指標下行至45。後市看來趨勢看跌,價格支撐目標考驗1.15700一線。上行方面,價格關鍵阻力位1.16800一線。

 

 USDJPY

從日線圖上看,美元/日元隔夜收出陽線。技術指標上,MACD看跌動能柱擴張,快線及慢線位於零軸上方,並呈下行趨勢,RSI指標位於平衡區50。後市看來趨勢看跌,價格支撐目標考驗110.300一線。上行方面,價格關鍵阻力位111.700一線。

 

GBPUSD

從日線圖上看,英鎊/美元隔夜收出陰線。技術指標上,MACD看漲動能柱縮減,快線及慢線位於零軸下方,並交疊在一起,RSI指標位下行至43。後市看來趨勢看跌,價格支撐目標考驗1.30000一線。上行方面,價格關鍵阻力位1.31600一線。