20 8月 2018

Daily Market View

   

Daily Market View

Monday, August 20, 2018
          U.S Stock Market

 

DJIA S & P 500 NASDAQ
25678 2852.75 7388.25
+0.43% +0.33% +0.13%

The U.S stock market is well on its way to better-than-average gains this year, but a quick glance at overseas markets reveals a more sobering story. Global stock markets are having a tough 2018. While the S&P 500 is up more than 6 percent and less than 1 percent away from new highs. Although some have speculated that fears of slower economic growth in China may be partly responsible for feeble stock performance there, Hong Kong and Shanghai are by no means alone. Ever since the Federal Reserve began unwinding its massive balance sheet and hiking interest rates, the U.S. dollar has gradually climbed against a basket of other currencies. All else equal, higher interest rates in a country increase the value of that country’s currency as foreigners flock to take advantage of better yields. A weak dollar tends to juice emerging markets as debt denominated in U.S. dollars becomes easier to repay with local-currency revenue. A stronger greenback, on the other hand, can drive investors back to the dollar.

 

 

Major Economic Releases for Today
Period Event GMT Forecast Previous

        aug

New Zealand Dairy Auction Whole Milk Powder MT     $2958

jul

German Producer Price Index (YoY) 06:00   3.0%

jul

Japan Convenience Store Sales (YoY) 07:00   1.1%

aug

Switzerland Domestic Sight Deposits CHF 08:00    

jun

Euro-Zone Construction Output w.d.a. (YoY) 09:00   1.8%

 

Fed’s Bostic Speaks on U.S. Economic Outlook in Tennessee 15:00    

 

U.S. to Sell 3-Month Bills 15:30    

jul

New Zealand Net Migration s.a. (JUL) 22:45   4840

aug

ANZ Roy Morgan Weekly Consumer Confidence Index 23:30    
Dow Jones Industrial Average

The Dow Jones Industrial Average added 0.43% to hit a new 3-month high. The best performers of the session on the Dow Jones Industrial Average were Caterpillar Inc., which rose 2.25% or 3.06 points to trade at 139.32 at the close. Meanwhile, Apple Inc. added 2.00% or 4.26 points to end at 217.58 and Pfizer Inc. was up 1.59% or 0.66 points to 42.08 in late trade. The worst performers of the session were Walmart Inc., which fell 0.80% or 0.79 points to trade at 97.85 at the close. Nike Inc. declined 0.39% or 0.31 points to end at 79.74 and McDonald’s Corporation was down 0.35% or 0.57 points to 161.16.

 

NASDAQ 100

The tech heavy NASDAQ index gained 0.13% on Friday. The top performers on the NASDAQ Composite were Izea Inc. which rose 33.33% to 1.4600, Sigma Designs Inc. which was up 24.24% to settle at 0.25 and Bellerophon Therapeutics Inc. which gained 22.81% to close at 0.798. The worst performers were Zion Oil & Gas Inc. which was down 27.13% to 1.840 in late trade, Boxlight Corp Class A which lost 18.78% to settle at 3.98 and US Energy Corp which was down 15.69% to 0.8600 at the close.

Oil

Crude prices rose on Friday, but declined on the week on worries that oversupply would weigh on the U.S market while trade disputes and slowing global economic growth would dampen demand for oil. U.S crude declined for the seventh consecutive week, and global benchmark Brent was dropped for a third week. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures (WTI) rose 45 cents, or 0.7 percent, to $65.91, after touching a session high of $66.39. For the week, Brent was down 1.4 percent, and U.S crude fell 2.6 percent. Falling prices have weighed on funds with oil exposure. Money managers cut their net long U.S crude futures and options positions to the lowest in nearly two months in the week to Aug. 14, the U.S Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) said. U.S government data this week showed a large buildup in crude inventories, with production also increased. Investors remain cautious as Wednesday’s surprise gain in U.S. stockpiles remained fresh in their minds.

 

 

Precious and Base Metals

Gold recovered some ground on Friday as a weakening U.S Dollar relieved pressure on prices, but the precious metal remained near 19-month lows and looked poised for its biggest weekly drop since May 2017. Spot gold added 0.31 percent to $1,177.21 ounce but was down 2.7 percent this week in its sixth consecutive weekly loss. On Thursday, it touched $1,159.96, the lowest since January 2017. U.S. gold futures for December delivery settled up 20 cents, or 0.02 percent, at $1,184.20 per ounce. The markets are much oversold and the dollar is overbought. From a 13-month high on Wednesday against a basket of six major currencies, the dollar has weakened against the currencies of key gold markets, the eurozone and China, helping gold regain its footing.  I expect the dollar to peak in the coming weeks … Gold should bottom out here. Gold has tumbled 14 percent from its April high as a rally in the greenback made dollar-priced bullion more expensive for buyers using other currencies. Investors seeking a safe place to store assets amid trade disputes and a Turkish currency crisis have preferred the dollar to gold, undermining the reputation of bullion as a safe haven. But news of planned U.S.-China trade talks and a partial recovery of Turkey’s lira have steadied investors’ nerves slightly. Bets on lower prices on the Comex exchange continue to build and now outweigh bets on higher prices by the largest quantity ever recorded. Meanwhile, silver gained 0.3 percent to $14.66 an ounce, but was down more than 4 percent on the week, the biggest weekly loss since February. On Thursday it touched its lowest since February 2016. Platinum increased 0.2 percent to $778.40 an ounce and was set for its biggest weekly drop since November 2015 of about 6 percent. It hit a 10-year low on Thursday. Palladium gained 1.1 percent to $898.90 per ounce but was down 1.4 percent this week having struck a one-year low.

 

 

Traditional Agriculture

Wheat futures jumped to their highest prices in more than a week on Friday on concerns that top-exporter Russia may curb grain exports. Russia will consider restricting 2018-19 shipments once they reach 30 million tonnes, following a request from the meat-producing region.

 

 

Futures Settlement Price Friday, August 17, 2018
Instrument Contract Open High Low Settlement Net Change
DJIA DJM18 25575 25729 25504 25678 86
S & P 500 SPM18 2843.25 2857 2835 2852.75 7.75
NASDAQ 100 NDM18 7382 7406.5 7321.5 7388.25 -2
Hang Seng HSH18 27210 27328 27001 27141 103
Nikkei 225 NKH18 22250 22325 22220 22270 120
FTSE 100 FTH18 7550 7572.5 7504 7555 17.5
Gold GCJ18 1180.4 1187.1 1178.5 1184.4 3.7
Silver SIK18 1462.5 1474 1456.5 1464.5 2
Copper HGK18 260.55 263.85 259.85 263.35 2.6
Crude Oil CLK18 65.43 66.35 65.27 66.01 0.58
Wheat WK18 541.75 562.5 534.75 559.75 18.5
Soybeans SK18 885.75 886.25 870.5 883.25 -2
Corn CK18 364.5 367.5 361.5 365 0

 

 

Daily Swings  (The Pivot Levels)
  Trading Range  
Contract S3 S2 S1 Pivot R1 R2 R3
DJM18 25320 25412 25545 25637 25770 25862 25995
SPM18 2817.50 2826.25 2839.50 2848.25 2861.50 2870.25 2883.50
NDM18 7252.67 7287.08 7337.67 7372.08 7422.67 7457.08 7507.67
HSH18 26658 26830 26985 27157 27312 27484 27639
NKH18 22113 22167 22218 22272 22323 22377 22428
FTH18 7446.67 7475.33 7515.17 7543.83 7583.67 7612.33 7652.17
GCJ18 1170.97 1174.73 1179.57 1183.33 1188.17 1191.93 1196.77
SIK18 1438.50 1447.50 1456.00 1465.00 1473.50 1482.50 1491.00
HGK18 256.85 258.35 260.85 262.35 264.85 266.35 268.85
CLK18 64.32 64.80 65.40 65.88 66.48 66.96 67.56
WK18 514.42 524.58 542.17 552.33 569.92 580.08 597.67
SK18 858.00 864.25 873.75 880.00 889.50 895.75 905.25
CK18 355.83 358.67 361.83 364.67 367.83 370.67 373.83

 

 

 Source: – News & Quotes (Courtesy:  Reuters)                                                                    

Disclaimer

This information has been prepared for information only and does not constitute an offer or commitment. This information does not constitute investment advice as defined by the rules of the FCA.

The firm or its staff members may trade on their own account and may from time to time hold or act as market makers in investments mentioned in this document. Please note that the firm makes no warranty, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions herein. All parties are advised to seek independent professional advice as to the suitability of any products and to their tax, accounting, legal or regulatory implications. City Credit Capital (UK) Ltd is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, reg 232015.

 

 

 

 

 

 

市场报告                     2018-08-20

     
Market Summary
周五(8月17日)美元指数继续保持低迷态势。因受到日内公布的美加数据悲喜双重天,加拿大7月CPI飙升至2011年以来最高水平,使得加元受到提振急涨近百点,此数据公布后使得美元指数下挫至96.28。加上随后出炉的美国密歇根大学指数不及预期与前值,为95.3,并创下去年9月以来最低水准,导致美元指数进一步承压,而美国7月咨商会领先指标月率为0.6%,高于前值0.5%和预期0.4%。美元指数最终收于96.09。

现货黄金周五(8月17日)上涨,亚市早盘开于1173.80美元/金衡盎司后小幅震荡下行,录得日内低点1171.75美元/金衡盎司后反弹。因受到黄金正在亚洲吸引“强劲”的实物买盘,帮助金价在1172.00美元/金衡盎司附近的支撑位,吸引了支撑位的买单,在盘整之后大幅逆转并上破1180.00美元/金衡盎司。最终收在1184.00美元/金衡盎司。

国际原油周五收涨0.45美元,或0.69%,报65.93美元/桶。因市场风险情绪改善为原油等风险资产带来支撑,同时美元承压重挫更是加大了油价的反弹动能。

美国股市在周五收高,因受到美国解决与中国和墨西哥之间的贸易纠纷并且取得进展。道琼工业指数上涨110.59点,或0.43%,至25,669.32点;标准普尔500指数上涨9.44点,或0.33%,至2,850.13点;纳斯达克指数上涨9.81点,或0.13%,至7,816.33点。

个股方面,在发布疲弱的财测后,英伟达 NVDA.O 跌4.9%,应用材料 AMAT.O 下跌7.7%,拖累费城半导体指数 .SOX 下滑0.7%。而Nordstrom Inc JWN.N 则暴涨13.2%,此前该公司公布同店销售好于预期并上调盈利预估,逆百货店财测疲弱的趋势。

日本股市周五收高,因中美贸易战露出转机,使得日经225指数走扬,但涨幅有限,主要受美国半导体设备厂应材展望不佳、相关晶片设备厂走跌影响,指数终场仅收涨0.35%,或78.34点,收22,270.38点。

个股方面,景气循环股如造船、金属加工与金融股表现优于大盘,日本海运业者商船三井收高2.5%、住友金属矿山与三菱日联金融集团均收涨1.9%。而芯片设备制造类股遭遇卖压,东京电子下跌1.4%,思可林下跌2.9%。此前全球最大的晶片制造设备供应商–美国应用材料对该公司当前季度的获利及营收预测均逊于分析师预期。

Technical  Analysis
USDJPY

从日线图上看,美元/日元隔夜回落收跌,最低触及110.302一线后有所收窄。技术指标上,MACD看跌动能柱微增,RSI指标向下。后市看来,价格支撑位于110.500一线。上行方面,价格初步阻力目标考验111关口,突破才有望进一步指向111.700一线。

 

EURUSD

从日线图上看,欧元/美元隔夜延续反弹,最高探至1.14434一线。技术指标上,MACD看跌动能柱缩减,RSI指标向上延伸。后市看来,价格支撑考验1.14000一线。上行方面,价格初步阻力看向1.16500一线。

 

GBPUSD

从日线图上看,英镑/美元隔夜小幅收涨,交投于1.27300一线附近。技术指标上,MACD看跌动能柱缩减,RSI指标依旧超卖。后市看来,价格考验1.27000一线支撑力度。上行方面,价格阻力位于1.28200一线。

 

XAUUSD

从日线图上看,金价隔夜反弹收涨,最高探至1184一线。技术指标上,MACD看跌动能柱缩减,RSI指标向上延伸。后市来看,金价初步阻力考验1197一线。下行方面,金价支撑目标下看1167一线。

 

CL_

从日线图上看,油价隔夜小幅收涨,最高触及66.37一线后有所收窄。技术指标上,MACD看跌动能柱微缩,RSI指标小幅向上。后市来看,油价初步支撑位于64.40一线。上行方面,油价阻力位于68.60一线。

 

DJ_

从日线图上看,价格隔夜震荡收高,一度刷新新高至25728一线。技术指标上,MACD看跌动能柱缩减,RSI指标小幅向上。后市来看,价格阻力目标指向25800一线。下行方面,价格初步支撑看向25440一线。

 

NK_

从日线图上看,价格隔夜震荡收平,一度探低至22070一线后反弹。技术指标上,MACD看跌动能柱缩减,RSI指标小幅向下。后市来看,价格初步支撑位考验22000关口,上方阻力位看向22400一线。

 

 

17 8月 2018

Daily Market View

       

Daily Market View

Friday, August 17, 2018
          U.S Stock Market

 

DJIA S & P 500 NASDAQ
25292 2841.00 7458.00
+1.61% +0.82% +0.45%

U.S stocks rose in a broad-based rally yesterday, helped by robust earnings from Wal-Mart and Cisco and easing trade worries after China and the United States said they would hold talks later this month. Wal-Mart shares surged 9.5 percent, the most on the S&P 500, after the retailer said U.S comparable sales grew the most in a decade and posted strong e-commerce sales. The S&P retailers’ index gained 0.63 percent. All of the 11 major S&P sectors were higher, with technology stocks up 0.79 percent. Cisco rose 4.6 percent after posting quarterly results and first-quarter sales forecast that topped Wall Street expectations. Second-quarter earnings have been stronger than expected, with 79.3 percent of the 463 S&P 500 that have reported so far beating analyst expectations. Department store chains were largely sitting out the rally, stung by Macy’s warning on margins on Wednesday and JC Penney’s weak results and lowered forecast.

 

 

Major Economic Releases for Today
Period Event GMT Forecast Previous

        jul

Euro-Zone Consumer Price Index Core (YoY) 09:00 1.1% 1.1%

jul

Euro-Zone Consumer Price Index (YoY) 09:00 2.1% 2.0%

jul

Canada Consumer Price Index (YoY) 12:30 2.5% 2.5%

jul

U.S Leading Index 14:00 0.4% 0.5%

aug

U.S U. of Mich. Sentiment 14:00 98 97.9

aug

U.S U. of Mich. Current Conditions 14:00   114.4

aug

U.S U. of Mich. Expectations 14:00   87.3

aug

U.S U. of Mich. 1 Yr Inflation 14:00   2.9%

aug

Baker Hughes U.S Rig Count 17:00    
Dow Jones Industrial Average

The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 1.58%. The best performers of the session on the Dow Jones Industrial Average were Walmart Inc., which rose 9.33% or 8.42 points to trade at 98.64 at the close. Meanwhile, Boeing Co added 4.28% or 14.21 points to end at 345.97 and Caterpillar Inc was up 3.23% or 4.26 points to 136.28 in late trade. The worst performers of the session were Intel Corporation, which fell 0.61% or 0.29 points to trade at 47.17 at the close. Walt Disney Company declined 0.31% or 0.35 points to end at 112.50 and Microsoft Corporation was down 0.02% or 0.02 points to 107.64.

 

NASDAQ 100

The tech heavy NASDAQ index added 0.42%. The top performers on the NASDAQ Composite were JMU Ltd which rose 46.83% to 1.850, Sphere 3D Corp which was up 34.38% to settle at 0.311 and SAExploration Holdings Inc. which gained 28.89% to close at 0.580. The worst performers were Pain Therapeutics Inc. which was down 47.45% to 1.030 in late trade, Helios and Matheson Analytics Inc. which lost 37.50% to settle at 0.030 and ParkerVision Inc. which was down 32.11% to 0.2600 at the close.

Oil

Oil rose slightly as global markets steadied yesterday, recovering some of the previous day’s 2 percent slide, though a weakening outlook for crude demand kept prices in check. The oil market slid on Wednesday as data showing a large build in U.S. inventories fed concern about the fuel demand outlook, while crude was also pressured by broader selling of industrial commodities such as copper. China and the United States have implemented several rounds of tariffs and threatened further duties on exports worth hundreds of billions of dollars, which could knock global economic growth. The crisis gripping the Turkish lira has rattled emerging markets and reverberated across equities, bonds and raw materials. On the supply front, U.S data on Wednesday showed crude output rose by 100,000 barrels per day (bpd) to 10.9 million bpd in the week ending Aug. 10. Crude inventories increased by 6.8 million barrels, representing the largest weekly rise since March last year.

 

 

Precious and Base Metals

Gold prices bounced from 19-month lows yesterday, as the U.S Dollar slipped on news that China and the United States will hold trade talks this month, although sentiment remained negative. Gold futures settled slightly down as the U.S Dollar came off its lows later in the trading session, yet remained negative. Spot gold gained 0.3 percent at $1,177.80 an ounce, from an earlier low of $1,159.96, its weakest since January last year. U.S gold futures for December delivery settled down $1, or 0.1 percent, at $1,184 per ounce. The lower dollar index is helping gold and the fact that the Chinese sent a delegation over. There was heavy gold selling out of China last night. Once the selling was done, a short-covering rally ensued. The meeting between a Chinese delegation and U.S representative’s offers hope for progress in resolving the trade conflict that has unnerved financial and commodity markets in recent weeks. Political and economic uncertainty has seen investors opt for the safety of U.S. Treasuries and the U.S. currency, which when it rises makes dollar-denominated gold more expensive for holders of other currencies, potentially subduing demand. The underlying narratives of a strong dollar and relatively high U.S. interest rates still seem to be the predominant headwinds for gold. Higher interest rates raise the cost of holding gold, which earns nothing and needs money to store and insure. Meanwhile, silver gained 1.7 percent at $14.67 an ounce after earlier hitting the lowest since February 2016 at $14.30. Palladium added 6 percent at $893.30 an ounce, earlier hitting a more than 13-month low at $832. Platinum climbed 2.6 percent at $782.98 an ounce, after earlier sinking to its lowest since October 2008 at $751.25. A lower rand cuts cost for South African miners when expressed in dollars, which means they can keep producing and delaying the process of rebalancing the market.

 

 

Traditional Agricultures

Wheat and corn firm yesterday on soy rally and easing dollar. Soybean futures rebounded sharply yesterday as news that Beijing and Washington will hold fresh trade talks raised hopes that U.S soybean sales to top importer China will revive after being stalled by a tariff dispute.

 

 

Futures Settlement Price Thursday, August 16, 2018
Instrument Contract Open High Low Settlement Net Change
DJIA DJM18 25197 25605 25144 25592 395
S & P 500 SPM18 2822 2851.5 2817.25 2845 22.75
NASDAQ 100 NDM18 7378.5 7433.75 7363 7390.25 14.75
Hang Seng HSH18 26805 27360 26786 27038 -196
Nikkei 225 NKH18 22000 22225 21860 22150 -45
FTSE 100 FTH18 7514.5 7565 7496 7537.5 51.5
Gold GCJ18 1182.3 1188.8 1166.9 1180.7 -1.3
Silver SIK18 1443.5 1481.5 1430 1462.5 18.5
Copper HGK18 258.35 264.25 256.35 260.75 1.85
Crude Oil CLK18 64.9 65.48 64.39 65.43 0.46
Wheat WK18 531.25 547.25 530.5 541.25 8.25
Soybeans SK18 858.75 887.75 854.25 885.25 27.25
Corn CK18 360.75 367 360.25 365 2.75

 

 

Daily Swings  (The Pivot Levels)
  Trading Range  
Contract S3 S2 S1 Pivot R1 R2 R3
DJM18 24828 24986 25289 25447 25750 25908 26211
SPM18 2790.08 2803.67 2824.33 2837.92 2858.58 2872.17 2892.83
NDM18 7286.83 7324.92 7357.58 7395.67 7428.33 7466.42 7499.08
HSH18 26189 26487 26763 27061 27337 27635 27911
NKH18 21567 21713 21932 22078 22297 22443 22662
FTH18 7431.67 7463.83 7500.67 7532.83 7569.67 7601.83 7638.67
GCJ18 1146.90 1156.90 1168.80 1178.80 1190.70 1200.70 1212.60
SIK18 1383.00 1406.50 1434.50 1458.00 1486.00 1509.50 1537.50
HGK18 248.75 252.55 256.65 260.45 264.55 268.35 272.45
CLK18 63.63 64.01 64.72 65.10 65.81 66.19 66.90
WK18 515.33 522.92 532.08 539.67 548.83 556.42 565.58
SK18 830.25 842.25 863.75 875.75 897.25 909.25 930.75
CK18 354.42 357.33 361.17 364.08 367.92 370.83 374.67

 

 

 Source: – News & Quotes (Courtesy:  Reuters)                                                                    

Disclaimer

This information has been prepared for information only and does not constitute an offer or commitment. This information does not constitute investment advice as defined by the rules of the FCA.

The firm or its staff members may trade on their own account and may from time to time hold or act as market makers in investments mentioned in this document. Please note that the firm makes no warranty, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions herein. All parties are advised to seek independent professional advice as to the suitability of any products and to their tax, accounting, legal or regulatory implications. City Credit Capital (UK) Ltd is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, reg 232015.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 市场报告                     2018-08-17

     
Market Summary
周四(8月16日)美元指数下跌,亚市盘中美元指数位于96.5震荡,美市开盘,日内公布的美国上周初请失业救济金人数为21万2千人,低于前值21万3千人,也低于市场预期21万5千人,另一个重要数据美国8月费城联储制造业指数为11.9,远低于前值25.7和市场预期22.0,数据显示虽然美国失业率降低,但制造业前景更令投资者担心,数据公布完后美元指数下跌,最低来到96.31,美市盘中美国财政部长努钦警告,华盛顿准备对土耳其实施更多制裁,土耳其里拉暴跌,资金开始逃窜并流入美元,美元指数上涨,最高来到96.7,随后美元指数转盘整,最终收在96.59。

现货黄金周四(8月16日)走势震荡,亚市早盘黄金突然暴跌,从开盘1174.60美元/金衡盎司,一路下跌至盘中最低1160.05美元/金衡盎司,但未能突破1160.00美元/金衡盎司,黄金随后开始反弹,日内最高触及1181.80美元/金衡盎司,美元于美市盘中走高后,黄金受承压最终收在1173.80美元/金衡盎司。

国际原油周四收涨0.6美元,或0.92%,报65.48美元/桶。应美方邀请,中国商务部副部长兼国际贸易谈判副代表王受文拟于8月下旬率团访美,与美国财政部副部长马尔帕斯率领的美方代表团就双方各自关注的中美经贸问题进行磋商,这有效改善了市场的风险情绪,帮助原油等风险类资产获得支撑,同时美元走弱也为油价反弹创造条件。

美国股市在周四上涨,因企业发布乐观业绩,贸易不安情绪减弱提振投资者信心。道琼工业指数上涨396.32点,或1.58%,至25,558.73点;标准普尔500指数上涨22.32点,或0.79%,至2,840.69点;纳斯达克指数上涨32.41点,或0.42%,至7,806.52点。

个股方面,思科 CSCO.O 上扬3.0%,之前该公司公布的季度营收和获利均超过华尔街的目标。网络安全公司赛门铁克 SYMC.O 结束五连跌,急升4.6%,之前对冲基金Starboard Value LP购买了该公司5.8%的股份。J.C. Penney Co Inc JCP.N 触及纪录收盘低位,暴跌27.0%,之前该公司公布令人失望的营收,并预计全年亏损超预期。

日本股市周四下跌,因中国商务部副部长兼国际贸易谈判副代表王受文应美方邀请、拟于8月下旬率团访美,减缓美中贸易摩擦加剧疑虑,提振日经指数跌幅狂缩且数度翻红,终场小跌0.05%或12.18点,收22,192.04点。

个股方面,Panasonic重挫2.12%,特斯拉冷落太阳能,Panasonic美国工厂生产传陷入停滞,将中止和特斯拉之间的独家供应契约。日本雅虎大跌2.48%,软银重挫1.82%,苹果疑似对日本雅虎的游戏下载事业施加压力、妨碍交易,日本当局展开调查,而传出雅虎最大股东软银居中调解、导致日本当局的调查不顺。资生堂惨跌5.35%,Kose暴跌8.11%,Pola Orbis Holdings重挫2.27%,美容健康机器厂商YA-MAN狂泻10.03%。

Technical  Analysis
USDJPY

从日线图上看,美元/日元隔夜小幅收涨,一度突破111关口后收窄。技术指标上,MACD看跌动能柱缩减,RSI指标小幅向上。后市看来,价格初步支撑位于110.500一线。上行方面,价格阻力目标考验111关口,突破则进一步指向111.700一线。

 

EURUSD

从日线图上看,欧元/美元隔夜小幅反弹,一度触及1.14一线后收窄。技术指标上,MACD看跌动能柱缩减,RSI指标向上脱离超卖区。后市看来,价格支撑依旧考验1.13000一线。上行方面,价格初步阻力看向1.14700一线。

 

GBPUSD

从日线图上看,英镑/美元隔夜低位震荡,交投于1.27100一线附近。技术指标上,MACD看跌动能柱缩减,RSI指标超卖。后市看来,价格考验1.26300一线支撑力度。上行方面,价格阻力位于1.28200一线。

 

XAUUSD

从日线图上看,金价隔夜震荡收平,最低触及1160一线后反弹。技术指标上,MACD看跌动能柱扩张,RSI指标超卖。后市来看,金价初步阻力考验1190一线。下行方面,金价支撑目标依旧下看1130一线。

 

CL_

从日线图上看,油价隔夜小幅收涨,一度从日低64.41一线反弹。技术指标上,MACD看跌动能柱温和,RSI指标小幅向上。后市来看,油价初步支撑位于64.00关口。上行方面,油价阻力位于67.20一线。

 

DJ_

从日线图上看,价格隔夜大幅收涨,飙升至25605一线。技术指标上,MACD看跌动能柱缩减,RSI指标向上。后市来看,价格阻力目标指向25700一线。下行方面,价格初步支撑看向25400一线。

 

NK_

从日线图上看,价格隔夜反弹收涨,一度从日低21860一线反弹。技术指标上,MACD看跌动能柱缩减,RSI指标向上。后市来看,价格初步支撑位考验22000关口,上方阻力位看向22500一线。

 

 

16 8月 2018

Daily Market View

   

Daily Market View

Thursday, August 16, 2018
          U.S Stock Market

 

DJIA S & P 500 NASDAQ
25197 2822.25 7375.50
-0.54% -0.81% -1.27%

U.S stock index futures dropped yesterday, with investors weighing the impact of Turkey’s currency crisis as well as the escalating tariff tensions between the United States and its trading partners. While the lira continues to pull back from record lows against the dollar, Turkey doubled tariffs on some U.S imports including alcohol, cars and tobacco in retaliation to U.S moves. Meanwhile, Beijing has lodged a complaint to the World Trade Organization to help determine the legality of U.S. tariff and subsidy policies. Adding to the downbeat sentiment was a slide in oil prices due to a gloomier global economic outlook and a report of rising U.S. crude inventories, even as U.S sanctions on Tehran threatened to curb Iranian crude oil supplies. Shares of oil producers Exxon and Chevron, both members of the Dow Jones Industrial Average, slipped. Retail stock will continue to be in focus as a report is expected to show U.S. retail sales rose 0.1 percent in July, lower than a 0.5 percent increase in June.

 

 

Major Economic Releases for Today
Period Event GMT Forecast Previous

        jul

Australia Employment Change 01:30 15.0k 50.9k

jul

Australia Unemployment Rate 01:30 5.4% 5.4%

jul

U.K Retail Sales Ex Auto Fuel (YoY) 08:30 2.7% 3.0%

jun

Euro-Zone Trade Balance (euros) 09:00   16.5b

aug

U.S Initial Jobless Claims 12:30 215k  

aug

U.S Continuing Claims 12:30 1741k  

jul

U.S Housing Starts (MoM) 12:30 7.4% -12.3%

jul

U.S Building Permits (MoM) 12:30 1.4% -2.2%

aug

U.S Philadelphia Fed Business Outlook 12:30 22 25.7
Dow Jones Industrial Average

The Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 0.54% yesterday. The best performers of the session on the Dow Jones Industrial Average were Merck & Company Inc., which rose 1.35% or 0.90 points to trade at 67.36 at the close. Meanwhile, Procter & Gamble Company added 1.21% or 0.98 points to end at 82.29 and Pfizer Inc. was up 1.11% or 0.45 points to 41.16 in late trade. The worst performers of the session were Chevron Corp, which fell 3.79% or 4.64 points to trade at 117.94 at the close. Boeing Co declined 2.18% or 7.40 points to end at 331.74 and Caterpillar Inc. was down 2.15% or 2.90 points to 132.02.

 

NASDAQ 100

The tech heavy NASDAQ index fell 1.23% yesterday. The top performers on the NASDAQ Composite were Pain Therapeutics Inc. which rose 76.58% to 1.960, GWG Holdings Inc. which was up 36.54% to settle at 10.09 and Citius Pharmaceuticals Inc. which gained 24.06% to close at 1.650. The worst performers were Yogaworks Inc. which was down 41.40% to 1.09 in late trade, ParkerVision Inc. which lost 33.97% to settle at 0.3830 and ReShape Lifesciences Inc. which was down 33.41% to 0.0815 at the close.

Oil

Oil prices plunged in yesterday’s trading session after government data showed a big, unexpected jump in stockpiles of U.S crude, compounding pressure as the outlook for global economic growth darkened and the stock market slumped. U.S light crude ended Wednesday’s session down $2.03 a barrel, or 3 percent, at $65.01, its lowest closing prices since June 6. The contract hit an eight-week intraday low at $64.51. U.S commercial crude inventories rose by 6.8 million barrels in the week through Aug. 10, the Energy Information Administration reported. Analysts in a Reuters’ poll had forecast stockpiles would fall by 2.5 million barrels. The jump in stocks occurred as the nation’s crude imports surged by 1 million barrels a day, while its exports fell by more than 250,000 bpd. That offset record activity at American refineries, which ran at 98 percent capacity. Stocks at the closely watched U.S delivery hub at Cushing, Oklahoma rose by 1.6 million barrels.

 

 

Precious and Base Metals

Gold prices slipped to their lowest since January 2017 early yesterday, pressured as the U.S. dollar clung to its highest in 13 months. Spot gold was down 0.1 percent at $1,192.11 an ounce, after hitting its lowest since late January 2017 at $1,190.77. U.S gold futures were down 0.1 percent at $1,199.1 an ounce. Asian stocks sagged on Wednesday, failing to track Wall Street’s gains and with the dollar near a 13-month peak as concerns about Turkey’s financial crisis weighed on investor appetite, despite the lira’s move away from an all-time low. President Tayyip Erdogan said on Tuesday that Turkey would boycott electronic products from the United States, retaliating in a row with Washington that has helped drive the lira to record lows. U.S import prices were unchanged in July as a surge in the cost of fuels was offset by weak prices elsewhere; suggesting that a strong dollar was keeping imported inflation in check. Eurozone growth was better than expected in the second quarter, flash estimates showed on Tuesday, in a sign that the negative effects of global trade tensions might be seen only later in the year. The Chinese government is expediting plans to invest billions of dollars in infrastructure projects as its economy shows signs of cooling further, with investment growth slowing to a record low and consumers turning more cautious. SPDR Gold Trust, the world’s largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund, said its holdings fell 1.01 percent to 776.65 tonnes on Tuesday from 784.60 tonnes on Monday. South Africa’s Gold Fields said on Tuesday it plans to cut costs and 1,100 jobs at its struggling South Deep mine, sending its shares down more than 12 percent. Copper prices hit their lowest levels in 13 months yesterday and entered a bear market, potentially signaling an economic slowdown is happening around the world. Earlier this week, China reported weaker-than-expected industrial production and retail sales growth, raising worries that the second-largest economy in the world could be headed for a slowdown.

 

 

Traditional Agriculture

Soybeans, wheat, and corn fell in yesterday’s trading session on the back of a stronger Dollar and worries about U.S export prospects as bumper crops in the United States loom.

 

 

 

Futures Settlement Price Wednesday, August 15, 2018
Instrument Contract Open High Low Settlement Net Change
DJIA DJM18 25308 25314 24952 25197 -102
S & P 500 SPM18 2841.75 2842.75 2803 2822.25 -19.25
NASDAQ 100 NDM18 7460.25 7464.25 7316.75 7375.5 -83.5
Hang Seng HSH18 27666 27673 27146 27234 -407
Nikkei 225 NKH18 22325 22350 22080 22195 -135
FTSE 100 FTH18 7604.5 7612.5 7449.5 7486 -131.5
Gold GCJ18 1201.2 1201.6 1179.8 1182 -19.4
Silver SIK18 1505 1506 1433.5 1444 -63
Copper HGK18 268.4 268.85 255.2 258.9 -10
Crude Oil CLK18 66.58 66.86 64.47 64.97 -1.74
Wheat WK18 541.5 542.25 528 533 -9.25
Soybeans SK18 870.25 872 855.75 858 -11
Corn CK18 362 363 358.5 362.25 -0.5

 

Daily Swings  (The Pivot Levels)
  Trading Range  
Contract S3 S2 S1 Pivot R1 R2 R3
DJM18 24633 24792 24995 25154 25357 25516 25719
SPM18 2762.83 2782.92 2802.58 2822.67 2842.33 2862.42 2882.08
NDM18 7159.25 7238.00 7306.75 7385.50 7454.25 7533.00 7601.75
HSH18 26502 26824 27029 27351 27556 27878 28083
NKH18 21797 21938 22067 22208 22337 22478 22607
FTH18 7256.50 7353.00 7419.50 7516.00 7582.50 7679.00 7745.50
GCJ18 1152.20 1166.00 1174.00 1187.80 1195.80 1209.60 1217.60
SIK18 1343.83 1388.67 1416.33 1461.17 1488.83 1533.67 1561.33
HGK18 239.47 247.33 253.12 260.98 266.77 274.63 280.42
CLK18 61.62 63.04 64.01 65.43 66.40 67.82 68.79
WK18 512.33 520.17 526.58 534.42 540.83 548.67 555.08
SK18 835.58 845.67 851.83 861.92 868.08 878.17 884.33
CK18 355.00 356.75 359.50 361.25 364.00 365.75 368.50

 

 

 Source: – News & Quotes (Courtesy:  Reuters)                                                                    

Disclaimer

This information has been prepared for information only and does not constitute an offer or commitment. This information does not constitute investment advice as defined by the rules of the FCA.

The firm or its staff members may trade on their own account and may from time to time hold or act as market makers in investments mentioned in this document. Please note that the firm makes no warranty, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions herein. All parties are advised to seek independent professional advice as to the suitability of any products and to their tax, accounting, legal or regulatory implications. City Credit Capital (UK) Ltd is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, reg 232015.

 

 

 

 

 

 

市场报告                     2018-08-16

     
Market Summary
周三(8月15日)美元指数持续上涨,最高触及至96.89,日内公布的美国7月零售销售为0.5%,与前值相同,但低于预期0.1%,主要因服装和餐饮销售强劲,消费支出稳健增长的态势延续到了第三季度。美市盘中卡塔尔已经承诺对土耳其投资150亿美元之后,土耳其对美国施加关税,美土关系日益恶化,美元指数受到承压,许多投资者纷纷获利了结,美元指数最终收在96.71。

现货黄金周三(8月15日)持续暴跌,受到美元指数走高的影响,美市盘中黄金最低下探至1172.85美元/金衡盎司,金价已跌破1180美元/金衡盎司,许多投资者继续放空黄金,金价一路下跌,随后黄金转盘整,最终收在1174.55美元/金衡盎司。

国际原油周三收跌1.79美元,或2.68%,报64.88美元/桶。全球经济形势的悲观前景影响原油需求表现,而美国原油库存报告又整体利空,结合美元维持强势,日内油价承压重挫。美国能源信息署(EIA)周三(8月15日)公布报告显示,截至8月10日当周,美国原油库存增加680.5万桶,创2017年3月10日当周(75周)以来最大单周增幅,前值则是减少135.1万桶。

美国股市在周三下跌,因为在一系列企业发布令人失望的业绩和全球关税忧虑加重之际,投资者转向避险交易。道琼工业指数下跌137.51点,或0.54%,至25,162.41点;标准普尔500指数下跌21.59点,或0.76%,至2,818.37点;纳斯达克指数下跌96.78点,或1.23%,至7,774.12点。

个股方面,特斯拉 TSLA.O 下跌2.6%,因据福克斯商业新闻报导,美国证券交易委员会(SEC)就特斯拉执行长马斯克将公司私有化计划和资金已落实的声明发出传票。加拿大大麻生产商Canopy Growth CGC.N 飙升30.4%,之前科罗娜啤酒生产商Constellation Brands STZ.N 宣布将增持该公司股份。墨西哥卷饼连锁店Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc CMG.N 急升6.6%,之前摩根士丹利将该公司评级从表现与同业一致上调至表现强于同业。

日本股市周三下跌,因上证等亚股昨日走跌、人民币续贬,加上土耳其报复美国、调高部分美国产品关税,冲击投资人信心,也拖累日经指数翻黑、且跌幅一度扩大至近250点,终场下挫0.68%或151.86点,收22,204.22点。

个股方面,日本制药厂Astellas跌0.37%,为删减成本,日本各家制药厂掀起医药营销师(MR)裁员潮,3年恐逾3,000人失业。软银大跌2.63%,软银旗下美国电信商Sprint将携手LG,于2019年前半在美开卖5G智慧手机。

Technical  Analysis
USDJPY

从日线图上看,美元/日元隔夜震荡收跌,最高触及111.418一线后跳水。技术指标上,MACD看跌动能柱微增,RSI指标拐头向下。后市看来,价格初步支撑位于110.500一线。上行方面,价格阻力目标考验111关口,突破则进一步指向111.700一线。

 

EURUSD

从日线图上看,欧元/美元隔夜震荡收平,最低触及1.12997一线后收窄。技术指标上,MACD看跌动能柱微增,RSI指标超卖。后市看来,价格支撑依旧考验1.13000一线。上行方面,价格初步阻力看向1.14500一线。

 

GBPUSD

从日线图上看,英镑/美元隔夜小幅收跌,低位交投于1.27一线附近。技术指标上,MACD看跌动能柱微缩,RSI指标超卖。后市看来,价格考验1.26300一线支撑力度。上行方面,价格阻力位于1.28400一线。

 

XAUUSD

从日线图上看,金价隔夜再创新低,最低探至1172.85一线。技术指标上,MACD看跌动能柱扩张,RSI指标超卖。后市来看,金价初步阻力考验1190一线。下行方面,金价支撑目标进一步下看1130一线。

 

CL_

从日线图上看,油价隔夜延续收跌,最低探至64.50一线。技术指标上,MACD看跌动能柱扩张,RSI指标向下延伸逼近超卖区。后市来看,油价初步支撑位于64.00关口。上行方面,油价阻力位于67.50一线。

 

DJ_

从日线图上看,价格隔夜小幅收跌,一度触及日低24953一线后收窄。技术指标上,MACD看跌动能柱扩张,RSI指标向下。后市来看,价格阻力目标指向25380一线。下行方面,价格支撑进一步看向25000关口。

 

NK_

从日线图上看,价格隔夜回落收跌,全数回吐前一日升幅。技术指标上,MACD看跌动能柱扩张,RSI指标拐头向下。后市来看,价格支撑位考验21800一线,上方阻力位看向22400一线。

 

 

市场报告                     2018-08-15

     
Market Summary
周二(8月14日)日内美国没有重要的经济数据公布,亚洲时段美元指数在96.4附近震荡,欧美时段,受到土耳其的影响,资金纷纷开始逃亡,美元指数多头从96.25开始上涨,一路涨到日内最高96.79,同时也突破2018年以来新高,随后美元指数转盘整,最终收在96.67。

现货黄金周二亚市早盘开于1193.40美元/金衡盎司后,小幅探底回升,欧美盘中最高上探至1198.45美元/金衡盎司,但金价仍运行在1200.00美元/金衡盎司下方,美市盘中金价开始拉回,最低下探至1191.75美元/金衡盎司,随后黄金转盘整,最终收在1193.75美元/金衡盎司。

国际原油周二收跌0.69美元,或1.02%,报66.67美元/桶。虽然沙特7月产量意外下降,但美元指数强势走高令原油等以美元计价的大宗商品价格承压,同时美国石油钻井数再度攀升也令多头担忧情绪加重。

美国股市在周二上涨,因一系列公司获利稳健提振投资者的乐观情绪,土耳其里拉反弹缓解危机进一歩扩散的担忧,道琼工业指数上涨112.22点,或0.45%,至25,299.92点;标准普尔500指数上涨18.03点,或0.64%,至2,839.96点;纳斯达克指数上涨51.19点,或0.65%,至7,870.89点。

个股方面,特斯拉 TSLA.O 下跌2.5%,此前公司称,组成了一个特别委员会,评估公司私有化提议,但尚未收到首席执行长马斯克的正式提议。百胜中国 YUMC.N 股价攀升4%,因有消息称,中国投资公司和DCP Capital可能收购该公司。美国杂货零售商克罗格 KR.N 股价收高2.4%,宣布将通过阿里巴巴 BABA.N 的天猫平台在中国销售其自有品牌Simple Truth产品。

日本股市周二上涨,因土耳其里拉止贬强弹,市场避险情绪暂歇,日元转贬,激励日经225指数14日以红盘22,053点开出后,指数涨幅就逐步扩大、开高走高,终场大涨2.28%或498.65点,收在22,356.08点。

个股方面,夏普小跌0.07%,盘中一度劲扬1.48%,电视用液晶面板价格1年9个月来首度扬升。日本OLED电视龙头Sony劲扬1.81%,日本OLED电视需求夯,H1销售量较去年同期飙增7倍。液晶制造/检查设备商V-Technology狂飙9.26%。中国需求旺,V-Tech上季纯益飙增3倍、创同期历史新高。

Technical  Analysis
USDJPY

从日线图上看,美元/日元隔夜大幅收涨,重回111关口上方。技术指标上,MACD看跌动能柱缩减,RSI指标向上延伸。后市看来,价格初步支撑位于110.900一线。上行方面,价格阻力目标进一步考验111.700一线。

 

EURUSD

从日线图上看,欧元/美元隔夜大幅收跌,最低探至1.13288一线。技术指标上,MACD看跌动能柱扩张,RSI指标超卖。后市看来,价格支撑依旧考验1.13000一线。上行方面,价格初步阻力看向1.14500一线。

 

GBPUSD

从日线图上看,英镑/美元隔夜冲高回落,一度反弹至1.28264一线后跳水。技术指标上,MACD看跌动能柱扩张,双线向下延伸,RSI指标超卖。后市看来,价格考验1.27关口支撑力度。上行方面,价格阻力位于1.28400一线。

 

XAUUSD

从日线图上看,金价隔夜震荡收平,窄幅交投于1193一线附近。技术指标上,MACD看跌动能柱扩张,RSI指标超卖。后市来看,金价关键阻力考验1200关口。下行方面,金价初步支撑看向1130一线。

 

CL_

从日线图上看,油价隔夜回落收跌,一度探高至68.35一线后跳水。技术指标上,MACD看跌动能柱扩张,RSI指标小幅向下。后市来看,油价初步支撑位于66.00一线。上行方面,油价阻力位于68.70一线。

 

DJ_

从日线图上看,价格隔夜小幅收涨,交投于25200一线附近。技术指标上,MACD看跌动能柱微增,RSI指标向上。后市来看,价格阻力目标指向25400一线。下行方面,价格支撑进一步看向25000关口。

 

NK_

从日线图上看,价格隔夜大幅收涨,最高探至22370一线。技术指标上,MACD看跌动能柱温和,RSI指标向上。后市来看,价格支撑位考验22100一线,上方阻力位看向22500一线。

 

 

市场报告                     2018-08-14

     
Market Summary
周一(8月13日)日内美国没有重要的经济数据公布,市场交易清淡,受到周五美元指数大涨的影响,周一亚市盘内美元指数在96.50震荡,美市开盘后,投资者开始结清出场,美元指数从96.49滑落,最低来到96.16,随着买盘又再次涌入,最终美元指数收在96.32。

现货黄金周一亚市早盘开于1212.20美元/金衡盎司后,金价直线坠落,并跌破1200.00美元/金衡盎司大关,欧美时段欧市金价延续跌势,金价不断走低,录得日内低点1191.40美元/金衡盎司后转盘整,最终收在1193.50美元/金衡盎司。

国际原油周一收跌0.25美元,或0.37%,报67.36美元/桶。OPEC下调明年原油需求增速预期,这令油价前景蒙上阴影。7月OPEC原油产量增加4.1万桶/日至3230万桶/日。不过沙特再次让增产努力蒙上疑云。沙特上个月减少钻探活动,而美国、中国和印度也正在施压要求降低燃料价格。

美国股市在周一走低,因土耳其里拉崩跌引发的全球忧虑蔓延至华尔街。道琼工业指数下跌125.44点,或0.5%,至25,187.7点;标准普尔500指数下跌11.35点,或0.40%,至2,821.93点;纳斯达克指数下跌19.40点,或0.25%,至7,819.71点。

个股方面,流媒体服务公司网飞 NFLX.O 公布首席财务长David Wells离职,股价挫跌1.3%。摩托车制造商哈雷戴维森 HOG.N 下滑4.3%,此前美国总统特朗普发推文支持抵制该公司的行动。特斯拉公司 TSLA.O 小涨0.3%,公司首席执行官马斯克表示,正在与沙特阿拉伯的主权财富基金和其私有化计划的其它支持者洽商,但他表示,融资尚未敲定。

日本股市周一下跌,受到土耳其里拉暴贬冲击扩大影响,印度卢比等新兴国家货币也跟随里拉脚步创低,作为避险资产的日元则走高,拖累日经225指数13日重挫,终场大跌1.98%或440.65点,收21,857.43点。

个股方面,夏普大跌3.28%,夏普传将推出IoT用新型太阳能电池,可能将委外生产。PKSHA惨摔5.04%,AI夯,PKSHA上季营收暴增5成,不过财测预估维持不变。PCB厂名幸逆势狂飙17.47%。PCB订单夯,稼动率维持高水平,Meiko上季纯益飙增3倍。大冢家具逆势涨0.51%,大冢家具拚重建,传已和台湾能率集团洽谈合作。日本造船厂大跌,三井E&S重挫2.45%。川崎重工业重挫2.68%,抢输韩陆厂,日厂7月造船订单量骤减4成。

Technical  Analysis
USDJPY

从日线图上看,美元/日元隔夜震荡收涨,一度探低至110.097一线后反弹走高。技术指标上,MACD看跌动能柱微增,RSI指标小幅向下。后市看来,价格关键支撑位于110关口。上行方面,价格初步阻力目标考验110.900一线。

 

EURUSD

从日线图上看,欧元/美元隔夜小幅收涨,低位交投于1.14000一线附近。技术指标上,MACD看跌动能柱扩张,RSI指标超卖区附近。后市看来,价格支撑依旧考验1.13000一线。上行方面,价格阻力初步看向1.15200一线。

 

GBPUSD

从日线图上看,英镑/美元隔夜震荡收平,窄幅交投于1.27600一线附近。技术指标上,MACD看跌动能柱扩张,双线向下延伸,RSI指标超卖。后市看来,价格进一步考验1.27关口支撑力度。上行方面,价格阻力位于1.28400一线。

 

XAUUSD

从日线图上看,金价隔夜大幅收跌,下破1200关口。技术指标上,MACD看跌动能柱显现,RSI指标超卖。后市来看,金价关键阻力考验1200关口。下行方面,金价初步支撑看向1130一线。

 

CL_

从日线图上看,油价隔夜小幅收跌,一度触及日低65.70一线后收窄。技术指标上,MACD看跌动能柱缩减,RSI指标小幅向下。后市来看,油价初步支撑位于66.30一线。上行方面,油价阻力位于68.70一线。

 

DJ_

从日线图上看,价格隔夜延续回落,最低触及25141一线。技术指标上,MACD看跌动能柱扩张,RSI指标向下延伸。后市来看,价格阻力目标指向25400一线。下行方面,价格支撑进一步看向25000关口。

 

NK_

从日线图上看,价格隔夜小幅收低,一度下破22000关口后收窄。技术指标上,MACD看跌动能柱扩张,RSI指标小向下。后市来看,价格支撑位依旧考验22000关口,上方阻力位看向22400一线。

 

 

13 8月 2018

Daily  Market View

   

Daily  Market View

Monday, August 13, 2018
          U.S Stock Market

 

DJIA S & P 500 NASDAQ
25332 2837.25 7427.25
-0.77% -0.71% -0.67%

U.S stocks fell on Friday as a deepening crisis in Turkey dragged on bank stocks and triggered fears that it could spread to other global economies. At the heart of the crisis was a slump in the Turkish lira, which worsened after President Donald Trump doubled tariffs on steel and aluminum imported from the country. The currency crisis is actually a banking crisis as Turkey owes so much money to so many different banks, that they risk a potential contagion. As long as Trump is going to be willy-nilly with tariffs, there’s going to be a lot of uncertainty and markets thrive on certainty. Citigroup, the most global of the major U.S. banks, fell 2.3 percent. JPMorgan, Wells Fargo and Bank of America were all down about 1 percent. Investors fled to safe-haven assets, pushing the dollar to a 13-month high and weighing on U.S. bond yields that slipped to a three-week low. Shares of trade-sensitive companies declined, with Boeing, 3M, and Caterpillar down between 2.3 percent and 4 percent.

 

Major Economic Releases for Today
Period Event GMT Forecast Previous

aug

Switzerland Total Sight Deposits 08:00    

aug

Switzerland Domestic Sight Deposits 08:00    

 

U.S to Sell 3-Month Bills 15:30    

 

U.S to Sell 6-Month Bills 15:30    

aug

ANZ Roy Morgan Weekly Consumer Confidence Index 23:30    
Dow Jones Industrial Average

The Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 0.77% on Friday. The best performers of the session on the Dow Jones Industrial Average were Walmart Inc., which rose 1.31% or 1.17 points to trade at 90.18 at the close. Meanwhile, Chevron Corp added 0.66% or 0.81 points to end at 123.34 and Walgreens Boots Alliance Inc. was up 0.48% or 0.32 points to 66.49 in late trade. The worst performers of the session were Intel Corporation, which fell 2.57% or 1.29 points to trade at 48.85 at the close. Caterpillar Inc. declined 1.88% or 2.60 points to end at 135.92 and Dow DuPont Inc. was down 1.85% or 1.28 points to 67.74.

 

 

 

NASDAQ 100

The tech heavy NASDAQ index fell 0.67% in Friday’s trading session. The top performers of the sesseion on the NASDAQ Composite were Chiasma Inc. which rose 40.00% to 1.75, Trade Desk Inc. which was up 37.13% to settle at 127.93 and Sonoma Pharmaceuticals Inc. which gained 32.18% to close at 2.300. The worst performers were Aralez Pharmaceuticals Inc. which was down 83.14% to 0.06 in late trade, Gemphire Therapeutics Inc. which lost 44.95% to settle at 1.80 and Endologix Inc. which was down 36.92% to 2.99 at the close.

Oil

Crude-oil prices finished sharply higher in Friday’s trading session, but the benchmark notched an overall decline for the week as a forecast for rising global crude demand, and supply boosts from Russia, offset lingering concerns about trade tensions cutting global consumption of energy products. Crude oil prices just posted their longest losing streak in three years, registering six straight weeks of declines, and one veteran oil watcher says there could be much more volatility ahead. Crude oil traders will stay focused on a plethora of bearish factors currently weighing on the market in the week ahead, after U.S. crude prices suffered their sixth straight weekly loss last week – their worst losing streak since August 2015. Brent meanwhile suffered its fifth week of declines in six, as investors worried that global trade disputes, most notably between the U.S and China, could slow economic growth and hurt demand for energy.

 

 

Precious and Base Metals

Gold prices were on track for their fifth consecutive weekly fall on Friday as the dollar surged to its strongest in more than a year, making bullion more expensive for buyers with other currencies. Investors rushed to the safety of the greenback as the Turkish lira collapsed as much as 14 percent on Friday to a record low, Russia’s Rouble crumbled to a two-year low and the euro and pound touched their weakest levels in a year. With the turmoil in Turkey spreading to other markets, gold – traditionally used as a safe investment in times of uncertainty – also saw some extra interest, but this was overpowered by the effect of the strong dollar. There is a battle going on between the strengthening dollar and some safe-haven demand emerging from the contagion risk following the collapse of the lira. Spot gold was down 0.2 percent at $1,210.15 an ounce, with the dollar 0.6 percent stronger against a basket of major currencies. U.S. gold futures were 0.2 percent lower at $1,218 an ounce. Gold has tumbled more than 11 percent from an April high to a one-year low of $1,204 last week as the dollar rallied to 13-month highs and investors exited gold positions and began to speculate on lower prices. Holdings of gold at exchange-traded funds (ETFs) tracked by Reuters have fallen by 3.7 million ounces, or 6.3 percent, since late May to the lowest in almost a year. Speculators have meanwhile expanded their net short position on the Comex exchange to the biggest ever recorded, helping to drive prices lower. Adding to the pressure on gold are expectations that the U.S. Federal Reserve will raise interest rates next month, bolstering the dollar and U.S bond yields and damaging the appeal of non-yielding gold. If gold rises, investors could be forced to liquidate short positions, which would lift prices. But this is unlikely to happen until gold reaches around $1,230. Silver was down 0.3 percent at $15.36 an ounce. Silver and palladium were on track for small weekly losses, while platinum was up slightly on the week.

 

Traditional Agricultures

Soybean futures dropped more than 4 percent on Friday after the USDA projected larger-than-expected crop yields in the United States and said U.S and global stocks of the oilseed would swell to record highs.

 

 

Futures Settlement Price Friday, August 10, 2018
Instrument Contract Open High Low Settlement Net Change
DJIA DJM18 25474 25487 25212 25332 -165
S & P 500 SPM18 2852.25 2852.75 2826 2837.25 -16.75
NASDAQ 100 NDM18 7471 7472.25 7390.25 7427.25 -48.75
Hang Seng HSH18 28483 28575 28169 28210 -329
Nikkei 225 NKH18 22545 22605 22240 22295 -310
FTSE 100 FTH18 7695.5 7697 7632.5 7644 -85
Gold GCJ18 1220 1224.6 1212.9 1218.8 -1.5
Silver SIK18 1544.5 1545 1528 1528.5 -18.5
Copper HGK18 276.35 277.45 273.1 274.2 -2.75
Crude Oil CLK18 66.7 67.83 66.11 67.59 0.82
Wheat WK18 563.5 573.75 545.5 546.25 -18.5
Soybeans SK18 890.25 891 849.75 850.25 -43
Corn CK18 367.5 369.5 356.5 357.5 -12

 

 

Daily Swings  (The Pivot Levels)
  Trading Range  
Contract S3 S2 S1 Pivot R1 R2 R3
DJM18 24925 25069 25200 25344 25475 25619 25750
SPM18 2797.83 2811.92 2824.58 2838.67 2851.33 2865.42 2878.08
NDM18 7305.58 7347.92 7387.58 7429.92 7469.58 7511.92 7551.58
HSH18 27655 27912 28061 28318 28467 28724 28873
NKH18 21790 22015 22155 22380 22520 22745 22885
FTH18 7554.17 7593.33 7618.67 7657.83 7683.17 7722.33 7747.67
GCJ18 1201.23 1207.07 1212.93 1218.77 1224.63 1230.47 1236.33
SIK18 1505.67 1516.83 1522.67 1533.83 1539.67 1550.83 1556.67
HGK18 268.03 270.57 272.38 274.92 276.73 279.27 281.08
CLK18 64.80 65.46 66.52 67.18 68.24 68.90 69.96
WK18 508.33 526.92 536.58 555.17 564.83 583.42 593.08
SK18 795.08 822.42 836.33 863.67 877.58 904.92 918.83
CK18 339.83 348.17 352.83 361.17 365.83 374.17 378.83

 

 Source: – News & Quotes (Courtesy:  Reuters)                                                                    

Disclaimer

This information has been prepared for information only and does not constitute an offer or commitment. This information does not constitute investment advice as defined by the rules of the FCA.

The firm or its staff members may trade on their own account and may from time to time hold or act as market makers in investments mentioned in this document. Please note that the firm makes no warranty, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions herein. All parties are advised to seek independent professional advice as to the suitability of any products and to their tax, accounting, legal or regulatory implications. City Credit Capital (UK) Ltd is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, reg 232015.

 

 

 

 

 

 

市场报告                     2018-08-13

     
Market Summary
週五(8月10日)日內公佈的美國7月消費者物價指數月率公佈值為0.2%,符合預期;7月核心消費者物價指數年率公佈值為2.4%,好於預期2.3%。同時美國總統特朗普宣布對土耳其鋼鋁徵收的關稅翻倍,鋁關稅調整為20%,鋼鐵關稅調整為50%。此舉推波助瀾,美元指數強勢上漲,並跨越96關口,最高觸及96.47,並加速了土耳其里拉的暴跌。歐元/美元之所以跌破1.15000大關至2018年來新低1.13868,主要就是受到同屬歐元區的土耳其里拉暴跌的拖累。

現貨黃金週五亞市早盤開於1212.10美元/金衡盎司後,金價窄幅波動,多空膠著,但空方略微佔優。歐市金價大幅下挫,錄得日內低點1205.40美元/金衡盎司後反彈,多頭再度上攻。美市多頭拉升,金價不斷走高,錄得日內高點1216.85美元/金衡盎司後轉跌,金價再度跳水,失去此前部分漲幅後轉盤整,終收於1211.00美元/金衡盎司。

國際原油週五收漲0.91美元,或1.36%,報67.61美元/桶。雖然美國和土耳其的關係緊張打壓了投資者對原油等風險資產的買需,不過伊朗制裁結合其他地區的產量問題,將令全球原油市場供應面面臨挑戰,因此為油價帶來強勁提振。

美國股市在週五走低,其中基礎材料、金融和科技等下跌的板塊帶領股指走低。道瓊工業指數下跌196.09點,或0.77%,至25,313.14點;標準普爾500指數下跌20.30點,或0.71%,至2,833.28點;納斯達克指數下跌52.67點,或0.67%,至7,839.11點。

個股方面,沃爾瑪公司 WMT上漲1.31%;雪佛龍公司 CVX上漲了0.66%。英特爾公司 INTC上漲2.57%;卡特彼勒公司 CAT下跌1.88%。福斯公司 FLS股票大漲至一年高點,漲幅為2.52%。 Aralez Pharmaceuticals, Inc. ARLZ股票大跌至歷史低點,下挫83.14%。Trade Desk Inc TTD股票大漲至歷史高點,拉升37.13%。

日本股市週五下跌,受半導體相關類股大跌拖累,因之前摩根士丹利下調了對美國芯片行業的看法,這抵消了日本第二季經濟增長數據好於預期帶來的提振。日經指數收低1.3%至22,298.08點,為7月12日以來最低收位。

個股方面,芯片設備生產商東京電子跌3.6%,愛德萬測試跌4.9%,迪恩士跌3.9%,矽片生產商勝高驟跌4.7%。除芯片相關個股外,週五下跌股中還包括保險及航運股,第一生命控股收跌3.3%;商船三井下跌2.1%。與此同時,富士膠片大漲3.5%,此前該公司稱將回購至多1,000億日元的股票。

Technical  Analysis
USDJPY

从日线图上看,美元/日元隔夜回落收跌,一度探低至110.495一线后有所收窄。技术指标上,MACD看跌动能柱扩张,RSI指标向下延伸。后市看来,价格初步支撑位于110.500一线。上行方面,价格阻力目标考验110.900一线。

 

EURUSD

從日線圖上看,歐元/美元隔夜延續收跌,刷新新低至1.13868一線。技術指標上,MACD看跌動能柱擴張,RSI指標向下逼近超賣區。後市看來,價格支撐進一步考驗1.13000一線。上行方面,價格阻力初步看向1.15000一線。

 

GBPUSD

从日线图上看,英镑/美元隔夜延续收跌,再创新低至1.27229一线。技术指标上,MACD看跌动能柱扩张,双线向下延伸,RSI指标超卖。后市看来,价格进一步考验1.27关口支撑力度。上行方面,价格阻力位于1.28400一线。

 

XAUUSD

从日线图上看,金价隔夜震荡收跌,交投于1212一线附近。技术指标上,MACD看涨动能柱扩张,RSI指标小幅向下。后市来看,金价阻力考验1220.00一线。下行方面,金价关键支撑考验1200关口。

 

CL_

从日线图上看,油价隔夜小幅收涨,一度触及日低66.13一线反弹走高。技术指标上,MACD看跌动能柱缩减,RSI指标小幅向上。后市来看,油价初步支撑位于66.00关口。上行方面,油价阻力位于68.70一线。

 

DJ_

从日线图上看,价格隔夜回落收跌,最低触及25212一线后有所收窄。技术指标上,MACD看跌动能柱显现,双线死叉,RSI指标小幅向下。后市来看,价格阻力目标指向25410一线。下行方面,价格初步支撑看向25200一线。

 

NK_

从日线图上看,价格隔夜大幅收跌,逼近22000关口附近寻求支撑。技术指标上,MACD看跌动能柱扩张,RSI指标向下。后市来看,价格支撑位考验22000关口,上方阻力位看向22400一线。