市场报告                     2018-11-21

 

   
Market Summary
美元指数周二上涨,欧市盘中美元指数于96.1附近震荡,盘中最低来到96.05,美市盘中因全球股市抛售引发避险买盘,且投资者担心全球经济增长放缓,投资者看好美元指数纷纷将资金涌入,美元指数盘中震荡上涨,盘中最高来到96.90,美元指数盘后微幅震荡,最终收在96.82。

现货黄金周二下跌,黄金于1223.70美元/金衡盎司开盘后持续震荡上涨,盘中最高来到1228.30美元/金衡盎司,美市盘中受到美元指数上涨影响,黄金下跌最低来到1219.60美元/金衡盎司,黄金最终收在1221.35美元/金衡盎司。

国际原油周二收跌3.97美元,或6.93%,报53.35美元/桶。股市暴跌令风险情绪惨遭重创,同时市场担心经济放缓将会拖累原油需求表现,而俄罗斯减产态度模棱两可更加重了市场的悲观情绪。

美国股市周二再遭抛售,零售,能源,科技等重要板块无一幸免。此前发布疲弱利润和财测,增添了对经济增长的忧虑。道琼工业指数下跌551.80点,或2.21%,报24465.64点;标准普尔500指数收跌48.84点,或1.82%,报2641.89点;纳斯达克指数下跌119.65点,或1.70%,报6908.82点。

个股方面,苹果(AAPL)受到高盛接连下调目标价格影响,该公司股价重挫4.78%;脸书(FB)上扬0.67%; Netflix(NFLX)下跌1.34%;亚马逊(AMZN)下跌1.11%; Alphabet( GOOGL)上扬0.29%。金融股亦随大盘转跌,摩根大通(JPM)下跌2.15%,高盛(GS)下跌3.47%和美国银行(BAC)下跌1.37%。而半导体类股多逆势走高,Nvidia (NVDA)上扬3.03%;德州仪器(TXN)上扬2.35%; AMD(AMD)走高0.52%; Intel(INTC)下跌1.27%;美光(MU)下跌1.93%。

日本股市周二因美股前日下挫,加上日本苹果概念股惨跌,拖累日经指数开盘后随即大跌。终场下挫1.09%或238.04点,收21,583.12点。

个股方面,液晶面板供货商Japan Display Inc狂泻10.26%,村田制作所大跌3.53%,TDK重挫1.92%。苹果传出将今年推出的3款iPhone新机订单全面下修,其中采用 液晶面板的iPhone XR砍单情况尤其严重。日产汽车暴跌5.45%,三菱汽车暴跌6.85%。身兼日产,三菱会长职务的Carlos Ghosn遭到逮捕,日产更发新闻稿称Ghosn作出数项重大不正当行为,将公司资金挪为私人支出。

 

Technical  Analysis
USDJPY

从日线图上看,美元/日元隔夜小幅收涨,最低触及112.290一线后反弹走高。技术指标上,MACD看跌动能柱扩张,RSI指标小幅向上。后市看来,价格支撑位依旧指向112关口。上行方面,价格初步阻力位指向112.800一线,关键阻力位于113关口。

 

EURUSD

从日线图上看,欧元/美元隔夜回落收跌,最低探至1.13575一线。技术指标上,MACD看涨动能柱微缩,RSI指标拐头向下。后市看来,价格关键支撑位考验1.13500一线,跌破则进一步指向1.12000一线。上行方面,价格关键阻力指向1.14700一线。

 

GBPUSD

从日线图上看,英镑/美元隔夜小幅收跌,最高探至1.28815一线后回落。技术指标上,MACD看跌动能柱微增,RSI指标小幅向下。后市看来,价格支撑位考验1.27200一线。上行方面,价格初步阻力位指向1.29000一线。

 

XAUUSD

从日线图上看,金价隔夜小幅收跌,最高触及1228一线后承压回落。技术指标上,MACD看跌动能柱缩减,RSI指标小幅向下。后市来看,金价初步阻力位指向1232一线。下行方面,金价支撑位依旧考验1215一线。

 

CL_

从日线图上看,油价隔夜大幅收跌,刷新新低至52.76一线。技术指标上,MACD看跌动能柱扩张,RSI指标超卖。后市来看,油价支撑目标考验52.00关口。上行方面,油价初步阻力位看向55.20一线。

 

DJ_

从日线图上看,价格隔夜延续回落,最低探至24353一线。技术指标上,MACD看跌动能柱扩张,RSI指标向下延伸。后市来看,价格初步阻力位考验24800一线。下行方面,价格支撑位进一步看向24000一线。

 

NK_

从日线图上看,价格隔夜延续回落,小幅探低至21170一线附近。技术指标上,MACD看跌动能柱显现,RSI指标向下延伸逼近超卖区。后市来看,价格支撑考验21000一线,上方阻力位看向21700一线。

 

 

20 11月 2018

Daily Market View

Tuesday, November 20, 2018
          U.S Stock Market

 

DJIA S & P 500 NASDAQ
25028 2696.25 6671.75
-1.56% -1.66% -3.03%

Stocks retreated sharply lower yesterday, with shares of technology and internet-related companies dragging the market lower. The main equity benchmarks saw losses accelerate in morning trade after a report showed home-builders’ confidence plummeted in November. U.S financial markets will be closed Thursday for the Thanksgiving Day holiday. The NASDAQ led the markets lower, closing down 219.4 points, or 3%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average tumbled 395.8 points, or 1.6%, and the S&P 500 index retreated 45.5 points, or 1.7%. Last week, the Dow posted a weekly decline of 2.2%, the S&P 500 index declined by 1.6% while the NASDAQ shed 2.2%. Investor anxiety, evidenced by last week’s declines, continued Monday, following a report on home-builder confidence that showed sector executives less upbeat than at any point in more than two years. Trade issues have been a key driver of volatility, as investors consider the possibility that U.S. tariff rates on a swath of Chinese goods could rise from 10% to 25% in January, as they will under current policy, absent a resolution.

 

Major Economic Releases for Today
Period Event GMT Forecast Previous

nov

Australia RBA Meeting Minutes 00:30    

oct

Japan Convenience Store Sales (YoY) 07:00   3.5%

oct

Switzerland Swiss Watch Exports (YoY) 07:00   -6.8%

oct

German Producer Price Index (YoY) 07:00 3.3% 3.2%

 

Australia RBA’s Lowe gives speech in Melbourne 08:20    

 

BOE’s Carney, Haldane, Cunliffe and Saunders Testify in London 10:00    

oct

U.S Housing Starts (MoM) 13:30 2.4% -5.3%

oct

U.S Building Permits (MoM) 13:30 -0.8% -0.6%

oct

Australia Westpac Leading Index (MoM) 23:30   -0.1%
Dow Jones Industrial Average

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1.56% yesterday. The best performers of the session on the Dow Jones Industrial Average were Pfizer Inc., which rose 1.54% or 0.67 points to trade at 44.18 at the close. Meanwhile, The Travelers Companies Inc. added 1.36% or 1.75 points to end at 130.52 and Johnson & Johnson was up 1.19% or 1.74 points to 147.73 in late trade. The worst performers of the session were Boeing Co, which fell 4.47% or 15.01 points to trade at 320.94 at the close. Apple Inc. declined 3.96% or 7.67 points to end at 185.86 and Visa Inc. was down 3.87% or 5.42 points to 134.76.

 

 

 

NASDAQ 100

The tech heavy NASDAQ index fell 3.03%. The top performers on the NASDAQ Composite were Cesca Therapeutics Inc. which rose 51.32% to 0.4600, Akers Biosciences Inc. which was up 42.28% to settle at 1.750 and Yulong Eco-Materials Ltd which gained 25.69% to close at 6.410. The worst performers were Arcimoto Inc. which was down 21.77% to 2.30 in late trade, Sonoma Pharmaceuticals Inc. which lost 18.47% to settle at 0.901 and Champions Oncology Inc. which was down 17.89% to 10.1900 at the close.

 

 

Oil

Oil prices rose in choppy trade yesterday, under pressure from growing supply but supported by a reported drawdown of U.S oil inventories, potential EU sanctions on Iran and possible OPEC production cuts. U.S futures ended yesterday’s session 68 cents higher at $56.76, after dropping as far as $55.08, near last week’s one-year low. Traders said futures pared losses when energy information provider Genscape reported that crude inventories fell in the latest week. EU foreign ministers endorsed a French government decision to sanction Iranian nationals accused of a bomb plot in France, three diplomats said. The United States has granted waivers to some of Iran’s oil customers. OPEC, led by Saudi Arabia, is pushing for the group and its partners to reduce output by 1 million to 1.4 million barrels per day to prevent a build-up of unused fuel. U.S. crude stockpiles have grown for eight straight weeks, and data last week showed inventories swelled by the most in more than a year.

 

 

Precious and Base Metals

Gold inched up yesterday as the dollar fell, but the metal stayed in a tight range as investors held off on big moves ahead of the U.S Thanksgiving holiday on Thursday. Spot gold was 0.2 percent higher at $1,224.13 per ounce after hitting a one-week high of $1,225.29 in the previous session. U.S gold futures settled up $2.30, or 0.2 percent, at $1,225.30. The dollar fell to two-week lows after Federal Reserve officials’ comments about the U.S. economy suggested the central bank may be nearing the end of its tightening cycle. A softer dollar makes gold cheaper for holders of other currencies. There has been a lot of back and forth language (on) whether or not the Federal Reserve will implement a neutral interest rate or will they take it above neutral, temporarily. Markets are waiting for a little more clarity on (a possible) December rate hike as well as the outlook for 2019. Gold is taking a sideways approach in this environment. Trading volumes are expected to remain subdued before Thanksgiving. I expect prices to consolidate around the $1,220 level throughout the remainder of the week. There is not a lot of news action in the market. We are expecting the Fed to raise interest rates at the next meeting in December. Most likely that will keep gold from getting above the recent highs. Higher rates dampen the appeal of gold, which pays no interest and incurs costs to store and insure. Indicative of investor sentiment towards bullion, holdings of SPDR Gold Trust, the world’s largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund, fell 0.2 percent to their lowest in a week on Friday. Hedge funds and money managers boosted their net short position in gold to the highest in five weeks. Palladium fell 1.4 percent to $1,160.70 per ounce, after hitting a record high of $1,185.40 in the previous session. Silver rose 0.2 percent to $14.43 an ounce.

 

 

 

 

Traditional Agricultures

Soybean futures fell 2.1 percent yesterday, hitting their lowest since Nov. 8, as a lack of consensus at a meeting of Asia-Pacific leaders cooled hopes of Washington and Beijing resolving a trade dispute that has disrupted U.S soybean exports to China. Wheat prices also fell sharply, shedding 1.7 percent as investors continued to wait for an upturn in U.S exports.

 

 

 

Futures Settlement Price Monday, November 19, 2018
Instrument Contract Open High Low Settlement Net Change
DJIA DJM18 25384 25490 24888 25028 -416
S & P 500 SPM18 2732.75 2748 2681.5 2696.25 -45.75
NASDAQ 100 NDM18 6874.75 6933.75 6632 6671.75 -222
Hang Seng HSH18 26080 26373 26063 26284 173
Nikkei 225 NKH18 21685 21850 21620 21840 205
FTSE 100 FTH18 7017 7064.5 6963.5 6989 -34
Gold GCJ18 1223.7 1226 1218.3 1224.5 1.6
Silver SIK18 1438 1438 1436 1436.5 0
Copper HGK18 277.65 280.9 276 279.9 -0.3
Crude Oil CLK18 57.26 57.54 55.24 57.35 0.69
Wheat WK18 506.25 507 495.75 498.5 -8
Soybeans SK18 890.25 891.25 871 874 -17.5
Corn CK18 364.5 366 361 362 -2.5

 

 

Daily Swings  (The Pivot Levels)
  Trading Range  
Contract S3 S2 S1 Pivot R1 R2
DJM18 24179 24533 24781 25135 25383 25737 25985
SPM18 2602.67 2642.08 2669.17 2708.58 2735.67 2775.08 2802.17
NDM18 6256.17 6444.08 6557.92 6745.83 6859.67 7047.58 7161.42
HSH18 25797 25930 26107 26240 26417 26550 26727
NKH18 21460 21540 21690 21770 21920 22000 22150
FTH18 6845.83 6904.67 6946.83 7005.67 7047.83 7106.67 7148.83
GCJ18 1212.17 1215.23 1219.87 1222.93 1227.57 1230.63 1235.27
SIK18 1433.67 1434.83 1435.67 1436.83 1437.67 1438.83 1439.67
HGK18 272.07 274.03 276.97 278.93 281.87 283.83 286.77
CLK18 53.58 54.41 55.88 56.71 58.18 59.01 60.48
WK18 482.58 489.17 493.83 500.42 505.08 511.67 516.33
SK18 846.00 858.50 866.25 878.75 886.50 899.00 906.75
CK18 355.00 358.00 360.00 363.00 365.00 368.00 370.00

 

 Source: – News & Quotes (Courtesy:  Reuters)                                                                    

Disclaimer

This information has been prepared for information only and does not constitute an offer or commitment. This information does not constitute investment advice as defined by the rules of the FCA.

The firm or its staff members may trade on their own account and may from time to time hold or act as market makers in investments mentioned in this document. Please note that the firm makes no warranty, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions herein. All parties are advised to seek independent professional advice as to the suitability of any products and to their tax, accounting, legal or regulatory implications. City Credit Capital (UK) Ltd is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, reg 232015.

 

 

 

 

 

 

市场报告                     2018-11-20

 

   
Market Summary
美元指数周一下跌,亚市盘中美元指数震荡,盘中最高来到96.57,美市盘中受到上周美联储官员意外发表偏鸽派言论,且越来越多的人预期美国经济增长或已见顶,美元承压下滑,盘中最低来到96.13,盘后美元指数震荡最终收在96.20。

现货黄金周一上涨,黄金于1221.40美元/金衡盎司开盘后持续震荡下跌,盘中最低来到1217.75美元/金衡盎司,美市盘中美元指数大幅下跌因此提振黄金上扬,美金盘中最高来到1224.90美元/金衡盎司,盘后黄金震荡最终收在1223.65美元/金衡盎司。

国际原油周一收涨0.64美元,或1.13%,报57.32美元/桶。俄罗斯减产态度存在不确定性令原油涨势受阻,不过市场依然预期下月政策会议上石油输出国组织(OPEC)将会如期减产,因此原油多头信心有所提振。

美国股市周一收低,因投资者抛售苹果,互联网和其他科技股,进一步挫伤对科技股的信心,科技股之前带动了持续一段长时间的牛市行情。道琼工业指数下跌395.78点,或1.56%,报25017.44点;标准普尔500指数收跌45.54点,或1.66%,报2690.73点;纳斯达克指数下跌219.40点,或3.03%,报7028.47点。

个股方面,尖牙股全面陷入熊市。苹果 (AAPL) 下跌 3.96%;脸书 (FB) 下跌 5.72%, Netflix (NFLX) 下跌 5.45 %;亚马逊 (AMZN) 下跌 5.09 %;Alphabet (GOOGL) 下跌 3.82 %。此外,半导体类股 Nvidia (NVDA) 暴跌 12.00%;AMD (AMD) 暴跌 7.50%;Intel (INTC) 下跌 1.70 %。

日本股市周一因半导体股回稳,使得日经指数全场游走平盘之上,终场收高0.65%,或140.82点,收21,821.16点。

个股方面,东京威力科创终场劲扬3.61%,半导体测试设备供货商Advantest收高2.22%,高纯度硅晶圆制造商Sumco上涨3.63%。另一方面,银行,保险类股指数受美国公债殖受率下滑影响而走跌。联准会(FED)官员上周五表示,美国利率已接近中性水平,暗示升息循环可能离终点不远了。三井住有金融集团收跌2.11%,三菱日联金融集团下滑1.90%。

 

Technical  Analysis
USDJPY

从日线图上看,美元/日元隔夜小幅收跌,进一步远离113关口。技术指标上,MACD看跌动能柱扩张,RSI指标小幅向下延伸。后市看来,价格支撑位进一步指向112关口。上行方面,价格初步阻力位指向112.800一线,关键阻力位于113关口。

 

EURUSD

从日线图上看,欧元/美元隔夜延续收涨,持稳1.14一线上方。技术指标上,MACD看涨动能柱扩张,RSI指标小幅向上延伸。后市看来,价格初步支撑位考验1.13500一线。上行方面,价格关键阻力指向1.15000一线。

 

GBPUSD

从日线图上看,英镑/美元隔夜震荡收涨,交投于1.28400一线附近。技术指标上,MACD看跌动能柱微增,RSI指标小幅向上。后市看来,价格支撑位考验1.27400一线。上行方面,价格初步阻力位依旧指向1.29600一线。

 

XAUUSD

从日线图上看,金价隔夜小幅收涨,交投于1220一线附近。技术指标上,MACD看跌动能柱缩减,RSI指标走平。后市来看,金价初步阻力位依旧指向1235一线。下行方面,金价支撑位考验1215一线。

 

CL_

从日线图上看,油价隔夜基本收平,最低触及55.26一线后全数收窄。技术指标上,MACD看跌动能柱缩减,RSI指标于超卖区向上延伸。后市来看,油价支撑目标考验55.20一线。上行方面,油价初步阻力位看向58.70一线。

 

DJ_

从日线图上看,价格隔夜回落收跌,一度失守25000关口。技术指标上,MACD看跌动能柱显现,RSI指标小幅向下。后市来看,价格初步阻力位进一步考验25500一线。下行方面,价格关键支撑位看向24700一线。

 

NK_

从日线图上看,价格隔夜冲高回落,最高触及21915一线后跳水。技术指标上,MACD看涨动能柱微缩,RSI指标小幅向下。后市来看,价格支撑考验21300一线,上方阻力位看向21900一线。

 

 

19 11月 2018

Daily Market View

Daily Market View

Monday, November 19, 2018
          U.S Stock Market

 

DJIA S & P 500 NASDAQ
25444 2742.00 6839.75
+0.49% +0.22% -0.15%

U.S stocks closed mostly higher Friday after comments from President Donald Trump once again sparked hopes that a trade dispute with China could be resolved in the near term. But the NASDAQ bucked the trend to finish lower as a decline in chip maker shares, led by Nvidia Corp., dented sentiment in the technology sector. The Dow Jones climbed 123.95 points, or 0.5% and the S&P 500 index rose 6.07 points, or 0.2%. The NASDAQ shed 11.16 points, or 0.2%. For the week, the Dow fell 2.2%, the S&P 500 dropped 1.6%, while the NASDAQ declined 2.2%. Trump expressed guarded optimism over U.S.-China trade ties, telling reporters that it may not be necessary to add new tariffs or raise existing ones on Chinese imports, and that he doesn’t want to “put China in a bad position.” Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping are scheduled to meet at the sidelines of the G-20 summit in Buenos Aires later this month. Uncertainties around tariff spats have taken center stage this week and the vacillating narratives around progress in negotiations continue to whipsaw equity benchmarks.

 

 

Major Economic Releases for Today
Period Event GMT Forecast Previous

nov

U.K Rightmove House Prices (YoY) 00:01   0.9%

 

BOJ Outright Bond Purchase 1~3 Years 01:10    

 

BOJ Kuroda speaks at EuroPlus in Tokyo 03:30    

sep

Euro-Zone Current Account s.a. (euros) 09:00   23.9b

nov

Switzerland Domestic Sight Deposits 09:00   475.6b

sep

Euro-Zone Construction Output w.d.a. (YoY) 10:00   2.5%

nov

U.S NAHB Housing Market Index 15:00 67 68

 

U.S Fed’s Williams Speaks in Moderated Q&A in the Bronx 15:45    

nov

ANZ Roy Morgan Weekly Consumer Confidence Index 22:30   119.8
 

Dow Jones Industrial Average

The Dow Jones Industrial Average added 0.49%. The best performers of the session on the Dow Jones were The Travelers Companies Inc., which rose 2.53% or 3.18 points to trade at 128.77 at the close. Meanwhile, UnitedHealth Group Incorporated added 2.33% or 6.17 points to end at 271.11 and McDonald’s Corporation was up 2.20% or 4.03 points to 187.59 in late trade. The worst performers of the session were Walmart Inc., which fell 1.86% or 1.85 points to trade at 97.69 at the close. Boeing Co declined 1.65% or 5.62 points to end at 335.95 and Visa Inc. was down 1.17% or 1.66 points to 140.18.

 

 

 

NASDAQ 100

The tech heavy NASDAQ index declined 0.15%. The top performers on the NASDAQ Composite were TESARO Inc. which rose 31.48% to 34.96, EMC Insurance Group Inc. which was up 30.26% to settle at 31.25 and The Dixie Group Inc. which gained 15.98% to close at 0.980. The worst performers were Rewalk Robotics Ltd which was down 45.45% to 0.24 in late trade, Limbach Holdings Inc. which lost 27.46% to settle at 6.05 and Euroseas Ltd which was down 25.45% to 1.230 at the close.

 

 

Oil

Oil ended slightly firmer after volatile trading on Friday, supported by expectations that the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries would agree to cut output next month, though prices fell for the sixth straight week amid global oversupply concerns. OPEC kingpin Saudi Arabia is keen for the major producers to cut output by about 1.4 million barrels per day, around 1.5 percent of global supply, to support the market, sources told Reuters this week. But other producers, including Russia, have been reluctant to agree to a cut. U.S. crude settled unchanged at $56.46 a barrel after trading between $55.89 and $57.96. The contract, which had its steepest one-day loss in more than three years on Tuesday, fell 5.6 percent in the week, also its sixth straight weekly decline.  After Tuesday’s sharp fall, the market was due for a slight correction, and was now stabilizing. OPEC ministers meet on Dec. 6 in Vienna to decide on production policy for the next six months amid a growing surplus in world markets.

 

 

 

Precious and Base Metals

Gold rose as much as 1 percent on Friday as the dollar fell after U.S Federal Reserve officials made cautions comments that fed doubt about the outlook for interest rate hikes, while palladium hit a record high driven by worries about short supplies. Spot gold rose 0.7 percent to $1,221.04 an ounce. The session high was the highest since Nov. 8 at $1,225.29. Gold was on track to gain about 1 percent this week. U.S gold futures gained 0.5 percent to $1,221.50. Two Fed officials cautioned that global economic growth was slowing and the dollar fell to one-week lows against a basket of major currencies, making bullion cheaper for buyers using other currencies. When you get people talking about the economy slowing down, they may not raise rates so quickly or as aggressively and that is bearish for the dollar. Further support for gold came from weaker global stock markets and lower U.S. Treasury yields. A weaker dollar and lower yields are pretty much tailor made to benefit gold. Palladium climbed 1.7 percent to $1,176.70 an ounce, up more than 5 percnt since the start of the week. The metal hit a record high of $1,185.40 during the session, within a whisker of parity with gold for the first time in 16 years. The market is in a big deficit. There is a lot of funds interest in palladium because the funds like to buy something when it’s moving, but the supply is of concern now. Used mainly in emissions-reducing auto catalysts for vehicles, palladium, the only precious metal on track for an annual gain, was also helped by speculation Beijing may provide a stimulus to Chinese auto markets. Car dealers in the world’s biggest car market have been pushing for Beijing to support the sector. Silver rose 0.3 percent at $14.33 an ounce, on course for a weekly gain of over 1 percent. Copper was set to end the week 2.5 percent higher as signs of supply tightness supported prices, but worries about the outcome of the U.S.-China trade dispute limited gains.

 

 

 

 

Traditional Agricultures

Soybean futures ended higher on Friday after rebounding on President Donald Trump’s comments that his administration may not have to impose further tariffs on China, the world’s biggest soybean buyer. Wheat added to early advances on Friday.

 

 

 

Futures Settlement Price Friday, November 16, 2018
Instrument Contract Open High Low Settlement Net Change
DJIA DJM18 25313 25502 25093 25444 131
S & P 500 SPM18 2731.75 2748.75 2708.5 2742 6.5
NASDAQ 100 NDM18 6876 6912 6805.75 6893.75 -22.25
Hang Seng HSH18 26119 26187 25784 26111 72
Nikkei 225 NKH18 21860 21870 21630 21635 -170
FTSE 100 FTH18 7061.5 7087.5 6961 7023 -67
Gold GCJ18 1213.6 1225.7 1213.4 1222.9 9.3
Silver SIK18 1425.5 1438.5 1421 1436.5 11
Copper HGK18 274.35 280.25 273.3 280.2 5.7
Crude Oil CLK18 56.75 58.13 56.08 56.66 -0.09
Wheat WK18 505 508.25 502.5 506.5 2
Soybeans SK18 889.25 894.5 881.25 891.5 2.5
Corn CK18 367 368.5 363 364.5 -2.5

 

 

Daily Swings  (The Pivot Levels)
  Trading Range  
Contract S3 S2 S1 Pivot R1 R2
DJM18 24782 24937 25191 25346 25600 25755 26009
SPM18 2677.17 2692.83 2717.42 2733.08 2757.67 2773.33 2797.92
NDM18 6722.75 6764.25 6829.00 6870.50 6935.25 6976.75 7041.50
HSH18 25465 25624 25868 26027 26271 26430 26674
NKH18 21313 21472 21553 21712 21793 21952 22033
FTH18 6833.67 6897.33 6960.17 7023.83 7086.67 7150.33 7213.17
GCJ18 1203.33 1208.37 1215.63 1220.67 1227.93 1232.97 1240.23
SIK18 1408.00 1414.50 1425.50 1432.00 1443.00 1449.50 1460.50
HGK18 268.63 270.97 275.58 277.92 282.53 284.87 289.48
CLK18 53.73 54.91 55.78 56.96 57.83 59.01 59.88
WK18 497.50 500.00 503.25 505.75 509.00 511.50 514.75
SK18 870.42 875.83 883.67 889.08 896.92 902.33 910.17
CK18 356.67 359.83 362.17 365.33 367.67 370.83 373.17

 

 

 Source: – News & Quotes (Courtesy:  Reuters)                                                                    

Disclaimer

This information has been prepared for information only and does not constitute an offer or commitment. This information does not constitute investment advice as defined by the rules of the FCA.

The firm or its staff members may trade on their own account and may from time to time hold or act as market makers in investments mentioned in this document. Please note that the firm makes no warranty, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions herein. All parties are advised to seek independent professional advice as to the suitability of any products and to their tax, accounting, legal or regulatory implications. City Credit Capital (UK) Ltd is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, reg 232015.

 

 

 

市场报告                     2018-11-19

 

   
Market Summary
美元指数周五下跌,亚市盘中美元指数震荡盘中最高来到97.12,美市盘中因美联储副主席克拉里达称美联储政策正在越来越接近中性利率水平,保持中性利率水平“是合理的”,这令市场开始重新思考美联储加息前景,美元指数大幅下跌盘中最低来到96.40,收盘前美元指数小幅震荡最终收在96.43。

现货黄金周五上涨,黄金于1212.60美元/金衡盎司开盘后持续震荡,美市盘中因美联储副主席克拉里达的言论让市场重新思考美联储加息前景,美元指数大幅下跌因此提振黄金上扬,美金盘中最高来到1224.95美元/金衡盎司,黄金最终收在1221.60美元/金衡盎司。

国际原油周五收涨0.14美元,或0.25%,报56.68美元/桶。市场普遍预期石油输出国组织(OPEC)将会很快实施减产行动,这为原油价格带来有效支撑,但考虑到美国原油产量仍在攀升,市场供应过剩问题依然严重,因此油价的反弹幅度较为受限。

美国股市周五标普500指数和道琼工业指数收高,因此前美国总统特朗普称,美国可能不必对中国采取进一步关税行动。而英伟达(NVDA)下跌拖累纳斯达克指数收低。道琼工业指数上涨123.95点,或0.49%,报25413.22点;标准普尔500指数收涨6.07点,或0.22%,报2736.27点;纳斯达克指数下跌11.16点,或0.15%,报7247.87点。

个股方面,芯片制造商英伟达急挫18.76%,此前该公司指出,加密货币采矿业务下滑是其销售下降的原因.AMD与美光股价分别下跌3.86%与1.18%.Facebook Inc(FB)下跌3.0%, 因市场再度担忧该公司可能面临监管审查。百货商店运营商Nordstrom Inc(JWN)公布季度同店销售低于预期,且报告和一项信用卡问题有关的支出,拖累股价暴跌13.63%。

日本股市周五因半导体与工具机类股遭遇大乱流,拖累日经指数终场收低0.57%,或123.28点,收21,680.34点。

个股方面,东京威力科创(Tokyo Electron)重挫4.26%,半导体测试设备供货商Advantest惨摔7.56%。有鉴于辉达本季财测黯淡,采用辉达芯片的任天堂遭质疑游戏主机动能下滑,股价跳跌9.10%。无尘室自动化系统供货商大幅收低4.64%,辉达大股东软银也遭殃,收跌3.37%。此外,中国商务部已对日本工业机器人大厂发那科(Fanuc的 ),以及其它四家工具机制造商包含Okuma,兄弟工业等启动反倾销调查,发那科终场收跌1.95%,Okuma下挫3.60%,兄弟工业收低1.16%。

 

Technical  Analysis
USDJPY

从日线图上看,美元/日元隔夜大幅收跌,下破113关口。技术指标上,MACD看跌动能柱显现,双线死叉,RSI指标大幅向下。后市看来,价格支撑位进一步指向112.300一线。上行方面,价格初步阻力位指向113关口。

 

EURUSD

从日线图上看,欧元/美元隔夜大幅收涨,站上1.14一线上方。技术指标上,MACD看涨动能柱扩张,双现金叉,RSI指标向上延伸。后市看来,价格关键支撑位考验1.13500一线。上行方面,价格初步阻力指向1.14800一线。

 

GBPUSD

从日线图上看,英镑/美元隔夜小幅收涨,最高探至1.28760一线。技术指标上,MACD看跌动能柱微增,RSI指标小幅向上。后市看来,价格支撑位考验1.27400一线。上行方面,价格初步阻力位依旧指向1.29600一线。

 

XAUUSD

从日线图上看,金价隔夜延续收涨,重回1220一线上方。技术指标上,MACD看跌动能柱缩减,RSI指标向上延伸。后市来看,金价初步阻力位进一步指向1235一线。下行方面,金价支撑位考验1215关口。

 

CL_

从日线图上看,油价隔夜震荡收平,最高触及58.14一线后回吐升幅。技术指标上,MACD看跌动能柱缩减,RSI指标于超卖区向上。后市来看,油价支撑目标考验55.20一线。上行方面,油价初步阻力位看向58.50一线。

 

DJ_

从日线图上看,价格隔夜小幅收涨,最低触及25095一线后反弹走高。技术指标上,MACD看涨动能柱微增,RSI指标小幅向上。后市来看,价格初步阻力位进一步考验25800一线。下行方面,价格关键支撑位看向25000关口。

 

NK_

从日线图上看,价格隔夜小幅收跌,最低触及21490一线后有所收窄。技术指标上,MACD看涨动能柱微缩,RSI指标小幅向下。后市来看,价格支撑考验21500一线,上方阻力位看向22000关口。

 

 

16 11月 2018

Daily Market View

Daily Market View

Friday, November 16, 2018
          U.S Stock Market

 

DJIA S & P 500 NASDAQ
25313 2735.50 6916.00
+0.82% +0.96% +1.63%

U.S equities rebounded on reports that the U.S-China trade picture is brightening. The pound plunged as the Brexit process threw the U.K government into turmoil. The dollar was little changed. Industrials surged earlier yesterday, sending the S&P 500 to session highs, after reports that trade negotiators were increasing efforts to reach an accord before the G20 summit later this month. Technology, materials and energy stocks also reacted positively to the news. Crude extended Wednesday’s rebound from a record losing streak. Treasuries jumped. For all the worries assailing investors — on top of Brexit is the ongoing trade dispute and Italian budget stress — they are at least receiving a steady message from the U.S central bank. In a question-and-answer session late Wednesday, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell played down recent turbulence in equities, saying volatility was only one of many factors that board members take into account when setting policy. Emerging-market shares rallied and their currencies strengthened.

 

Major Economic Releases for Today
Period Event GMT Forecast Previous

oct

German Wholesale Price Index (YoY) 07:00   3.5%

 

ECB President Draghi Speaks in Frankfurt 08:30    

oct

Euro-Zone Consumer Price Index (YoY) 10:00 2.2% 2.1%

sep

Canada Manufacturing Sales (MoM) 13:30 0.1% -0.4%

oct

U.S Industrial Production (MoM) 14:15 0.2% 0.3%

oct

U.S Manufacturing (SIC) Production 14:15 0.2% 0.2%

nov

U.S Kansas City Fed Manf. Activity 16:00 10 8

nov

Baker Hughes U.S. Rig Count 18:00   1081

sep

U.S Net Long-term TIC Flows 21:00   $131.8b
Dow Jones Industrial Average

The Dow Jones Industrial Average added 0.83%. The best performers of the session on the Dow Jones Industrial Average were Cisco Systems Inc., which rose 5.50% or 2.44 points to trade at 46.77 at the close. Meanwhile, 3M Company added 3.46% or 6.85 points to end at 204.91 and Caterpillar Inc. was up 3.45% or 4.32 points to 129.42 in late trade. The worst performers of the session were Walmart Inc., which fell 1.96% or 1.99 points to trade at 99.54 at the close. Home Depot Inc. declined 1.41% or 2.54 points to end at 177.36 and Nike Inc. was down 1.16% or 0.87 points to 74.33.

 

 

 

NASDAQ 100

The NASDAQ index gained 1.72%. The top performers on the NASDAQ Composite were AGM Group Holdings Inc Class A which rose 46.14% to 35.98, Uniqure NV which was up 35.66% to settle at 30.93 and SITO Mobile Ltd which gained 24.99% to close at 1.200. The worst performers were CDTi Advanced Materials Inc. which was down 58.89% to 0.5920 in late trade, Remark Holdings Inc. which lost 40.24% to settle at 1.960 and Revolution Lighting Technologies which was down 39.28% to 0.8501 at the close.

 

 

Oil

Oil futures rose yesterday, steadying after this week’s steep losses as fuel stockpile declines in the United States helped offset concerns about a potentially oversupplied market next year. Prices have also been supported by OPEC signaling possible output cuts in 2019. U.S crude futures were up 19 cents at $56.44. Prices pared gains after data from the U.S Energy Information Administration showed crude inventories jumped 10.3 million barrels in last week, the biggest weekly build since February 2017. Analysts in a Reuters poll had expected an increase of 3.2 million barrels. Gasoline stocks fell 1.4 million barrels, while distillate stockpiles drew down by 3.6 million barrels, the EIA data showed. OPEC, led by Saudi Arabia, is considering a cut of up to 1.4 million barrels per day (bpd) next year to avoid the kind of build in global inventories. Oil prices shrug the (EIA) data off so far. One explanation could be that a substantial production cut by OPEC becomes more likely.

 

 

Precious and Base Metals

Gold hit a near one-week peak yesterday as investors sought cover from market turmoil after Britain’s long-awaited draft agreement to leave the European Union was thrown into chaos, helping the metal hold its ground against a rising dollar. British Prime Minister Theresa May battled to save a draft divorce deal with the EU after her Brexit secretary and other ministers quit in protest and Eurosceptic lawmakers stepped up efforts to topple her. Spot gold was up 0.3 percent at $1,214.79 per ounce after touching its highest since Nov. 9 at $1,216.27 earlier in the session and moving away from a one-month low of $1,195.90 hit on Tuesday. U.S gold futures settled up $4.90, or 0.40 percent, at $1,215 per ounce. Uncertainty around Brexit is the biggest factor right now. It’s becoming top of the news again. People are running to the safety of the hard assets such as commodities including gold and crude, and also the dollar. If gold can hold above the $1,209 level, we could see it rise to $1,235. The dollar held its gains versus a basket of currencies as data showed a stronger-than-expected increase in domestic retail sales in October. The currency has emerged as a dominant safe-haven asset this year, denting the appeal for gold, which has fallen 11 percent from an April peak, against the backdrop of a U.S-China trade row and rising U.S interest rates. Geo-political risk remains high, it should support gold and lead to gains into year-end and in 2019. This is seen in the political turmoil today and increased uncertainty regarding the outlook for Brexit. The trade war shows signs of possibly easing, with U.S President Donald Trump expected to meet Chinese President Xi Jinping at a G20 summit in Argentina this month. Silver was up 1.3 percent at $14.31 per ounce. It fell to $13.85 in the previous session, a level last seen on Jan. 21, 2016. Base metal prices fell in the last one week after strong US PPI (Producer Price Index) data and on fears of rising US interest rates in December.

 

 

 

 

Traditional Agricultures

Soybean futures rose for a second session yesterday as fresh export sales, slower than expected harvesting and hopes that Washington and Beijing will resume trade talks helped the oilseed market to recoup some of its recent losses.

 

 

 

Futures Settlement Price Thursday, November 15, 2018
Instrument Contract Open High Low Settlement Net Change
DJIA DJM18 25074 25347 24780 25313 271
S & P 500 SPM18 2701.75 2736.75 2671 2735.5 37
NASDAQ 100 NDM18 6780 6920.25 6711.75 6916 147.75
Hang Seng HSH18 25843 26131 25550 26039 492
Nikkei 225 NKH18 21725 21825 21610 21805 -15
FTSE 100 FTH18 7033.5 7092 6972.5 7090 84.5
Gold GCJ18 1211.4 1216.7 1206.9 1213.6 2.4
Silver SIK18 1409.5 1431.5 1406 1425.5 16
Copper HGK18 271.15 276.6 270.3 274.5 3.45
Crude Oil CLK18 56.21 57.44 55.77 56.75 0.58
Wheat WK18 503.25 508.75 503 504.5 1.75
Soybeans SK18 883.5 897 883.5 889 5.75
Corn CK18 366.5 371.25 366.5 367 0.5

 

 

Daily Swings  (The Pivot Levels)
  Trading Range  
Contract S3 S2 S1 Pivot R1 R2
DJM18 24379 24580 24946 25147 25513 25714 26080
SPM18 2626.33 2648.67 2692.08 2714.42 2757.83 2780.17 2823.58
NDM18 6569.92 6640.83 6778.42 6849.33 6986.92 7057.83 7195.42
HSH18 25101 25326 25682 25907 26263 26488 26844
NKH18 21453 21532 21668 21747 21883 21962 22098
FTH18 6891.50 6932.00 7011.00 7051.50 7130.50 7171.00 7250.00
GCJ18 1198.30 1202.60 1208.10 1212.40 1217.90 1222.20 1227.70
SIK18 1385.00 1395.50 1410.50 1421.00 1436.00 1446.50 1461.50
HGK18 264.70 267.50 271.00 273.80 277.30 280.10 283.60
CLK18 54.20 54.98 55.87 56.65 57.54 58.32 59.21
WK18 496.33 499.67 502.08 505.42 507.83 511.17 513.58
SK18 869.17 876.33 882.67 889.83 896.17 903.33 909.67
CK18 360.50 363.50 365.25 368.25 370.00 373.00 374.75

 

 

 Source: – News & Quotes (Courtesy:  Reuters)                                                                    

Disclaimer

This information has been prepared for information only and does not constitute an offer or commitment. This information does not constitute investment advice as defined by the rules of the FCA.

The firm or its staff members may trade on their own account and may from time to time hold or act as market makers in investments mentioned in this document. Please note that the firm makes no warranty, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions herein. All parties are advised to seek independent professional advice as to the suitability of any products and to their tax, accounting, legal or regulatory implications. City Credit Capital (UK) Ltd is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, reg 232015.

 

 

 

市场报告                     2018-11-16

 

   
Market Summary
美元指数周四上涨,亚市盘中英国硬脱欧风险大降,美元受到压力下跌,盘中最低来到96.77,欧市盘中受到英国脱欧事务大臣拉布辞职,英镑闻讯大跌美元则反转向上,盘中最高来到97.38,美市盘中美国公布上周初请失业救济金人数(万人),公布值为21.6,高于市场预期和前值的21.4,美元指数盘中震荡下跌,最终收在97.08。

现货黄金周四上涨,黄金于1210.50美元/金衡盎司开盘后持续震荡,盘中最高来到1216.15美元/金衡盎司,欧市盘中受到美元指数上涨压力,黄金盘中最低来到1207.65美元/金衡盎司,黄金收盘前持续震荡,最终收在1212.50美元/金衡盎司。

国际原油周四收涨0.58美元,或1.04%,报56.54美元/桶。EIA公布周度原油库存(万桶)公布值为1027.0,高于前值578.3,石油输出国组织(OPEC)和非OPEC产油国计划增产至多140万桶/日的消息依然为油价带来支撑,但美国原油库存和产量继续上升令涨幅受限。

美国股市周四收高,此前有关美国对华新一轮关税行动暂停的报导,引发对中美两国将解决其贸易争端的乐观情绪。道琼工业指数上涨208.77点,或0.83%,报25289.27点;标准普尔500指数收涨28.62点,或1.06%,报2730.20点;纳斯达克指数上涨122.64点,或1.72%,报7259.03点。

个股方面,尖牙股除脸书(FB)下跌0.26%,其余皆上涨。Netflix(NFLX)股价上扬1.16%;亚马逊(AMZN)走高1.28%; Alphabet(GOOGL)下跌1.56%。此外,半导体类股AMD(AMD)走高3.27%;Intel(INTC)上涨2.17%; Nvidia(NVDA)上扬2.64%。

日本股市周四下跌,因有关美国贸易政策,以及这些政策对全球经济造成如何的忧心再起。日经指数终场收跌0.20%,或42.86点,收21,803.62点。

个股方面,三井住有金融集团日前公布前季净利跳增37%,但全年获利展望维持在七千亿日元不变,低于分析师预估的7519亿日元,股价下挫3.05%。另外,瑞穗金融集团前季获利持平,全年预估获利年减1.1%也维持不变,股价收跌3.16%。软银,日本工业机器人大厂发那科等大型权值股分别下挫2.70%与1.93%,也拖累大盘表现。

 

Technical  Analysis
USDJPY

从日线图上看,美元/日元隔夜震荡收平,逼近113关口后反弹。技术指标上,MACD看涨动能柱缩减,RSI指标小幅向下延伸。后市看来,价格初步支撑考验113关口,跌破则进一步指向112.800一线。上行方面,价格阻力位依旧指向114关口。

 

EURUSD

从日线图上看,欧元/美元隔夜小幅收涨,震荡交投于1.13一线附近。技术指标上,MACD看跌动能柱缩减殆尽,双现黏合,RSI指标小幅向上延伸。后市看来,价格关键支撑位考验1.12300一线。上行方面,价格初步阻力指向1.13700一线。

 

GBPUSD

从日线图上看,英镑/美元隔夜暴跌,最低触及1.27229一线。技术指标上,MACD看跌动能柱显现,RSI指标拐头向下。后市看来,价格支撑位进一步考验1.27000一线。上行方面,价格初步阻力位指向1.29600一线。

 

XAUUSD

从日线图上看,金价隔夜小幅收涨,窄幅交投于1211一线附近。技术指标上,MACD看跌动能柱缩减,RSI指标小幅向上延伸。后市来看,金价初步阻力位指向1220一线。下行方面,金价关键支撑位考验1200关口。

 

CL_

从日线图上看,油价隔夜小幅收涨,持稳于56关口上方。技术指标上,MACD看跌动能柱缩减,RSI指标于超卖区向上。后市来看,油价支撑目标考验55.00关口。上行方面,油价初步阻力位看向57.40一线。

 

DJ_

从日线图上看,价格隔夜探底回升,最低触及24780一线后反弹走高。技术指标上,MACD看涨动能柱微缩,RSI指标小幅向上。后市来看,价格初步阻力位进一步考验25800一线。下行方面,价格支撑依旧看向24800一线。

 

NK_

从日线图上看,价格隔夜小幅收涨,窄幅交投于21800一线附近。技术指标上,MACD看涨动能柱微缩,RSI指标小幅向上。后市来看,价格支撑考验21500一线,上方阻力位看向22000关口。

 

 

15 11月 2018

Daily Market View

 Daily Market View

 Thursday, November 15, 2018
          U.S Stock Market

 

DJIA S & P 500 NASDAQ
25042 2698.50 6768.25
-0.81% -0.76% -0.90%

U.S stocks fell for a fifth straight day as investors remained on edge over trade, political turmoil and economic growth. Crude halted its longest losing streak on record. The S&P 500 Index slumped to the lowest in two weeks after a key Democrat raised questions about the revamped Nafta deal and selling in Apple Inc. rekindled worry that megacap tech earnings have peaked. An afternoon respite from the selling sparked by U.K Prime Minister Theresa May clinching a Brexit deal with her cabinet gave way to a tumble into the close. Goldman Sachs’s woes continued, with the bank down 13 percent in four days to the lowest since November 2016. Shares of big banks such as Bank of America and JPMorgan Chase dropped about 2%, while Apple and Netflix slumped more than 2.5%. Stocks’ failure to gain momentum after a modest advance in the wake of last week’s midterm elections has made some investors nervous that continuing anxiety about a weaker global economy and tighter financial conditions could continue.

 

 

Major Economic Releases for Today
Period Event GMT Forecast Previous

oct

Australia Employment Change 00:30 20.0k 5.6k

oct

Australia Unemployment Rate 00:30 5.1% 5.0%

nov

U.S Philadelphia Fed Business Outlook 13:30 20 22.2

oct

U.S Retail Sales Advance (MoM) 13:30 0.5% 0.1%

oct

U.S Retail Sales Ex Auto and Gas 13:30 0.4% 0.0%

nov

U.S Initial Jobless Claims 13:30 214k 214k

oct

Canada Existing Home Sales (MoM) 14:00 -0.2% -0.4%

nov

DOE U.S. Crude Oil Inventories 16:00   5783k

 

Fed’s Powell Reviews Post-Hurricane Harvey Recovery Efforts 16:30    
Dow Jones Industrial Average

The Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 0.81%. The best performers of the session on the Dow Jones Industrial Average were Dow DuPont Inc., which rose 0.89% or 0.51 points to trade at 57.98 at the close. Meanwhile, Home Depot Inc. added 0.50% or 0.90 points to end at 179.90 and Verizon Communications Inc. was up 0.48% or 0.28 points to 58.94 in late trade. The worst performers of the session were The Travelers Companies Inc., which fell 2.97% or 3.77 points to trade at 123.04 at the close. Apple Inc. declined 2.82% or 5.43 points to end at 186.80 and JPMorgan Chase & Co was down 2.06% or 2.26 points to 107.33.

 

 

 

NASDAQ 100

The NASDAQ index fell 0.90%. The top performers on the NASDAQ Composite were Sphere 3D Corp which rose 58.18% to 2.610, Empire Resorts Inc. which was up 53.93% to settle at 13.130 and Presbia PLC which gained 24.08% to close at 0.906. The worst performers were Seven Stars Cloud Group Inc. which was down 48.77% to 1.670 in late trade, Resonant Inc. which lost 42.21% to settle at 1.670 and Five Star Quality Care Inc. which was down 31.97% to 0.435 at the close.

 

Oil

Oil prices finished higher yesterday with U.S. benchmark crude putting an end to its record 12-session streak of declines, as traders weighed rising crude supplies against lingering questions about demand. Natural-gas futures, meanwhile, saw a spectacular climb of about 18%, their biggest in more than 14 years as cold weather forecasts continued to feed concerns about tight U.S. supplies. West Texas Intermediate oil for December delivery rose 56 cents, or 1%, to settle at $56.25 a barrel, after settling Tuesday at $55.69 on the New York Mercantile Exchange. That was the lowest front-month contract finish since Nov. 16, 2017, and biggest one-day percentage decline, at over 7%, in more than three years, according to Dow Jones Market Data. The dramatic selling across the oil markets in recent days has come to a brief pause yesterday but many remain stunned by the acceleration in aggressive momentum that has transpired over the past couple of sessions.

 

Precious and Base Metals

Gold rose 1 percent yesterday, helped investors covered their short positions after the metal held the key $1,200 level. Spot gold was up 0.90 percent at $1,212.20 per ounce. This was the metal’s biggest one-day gain in nearly two weeks. Prices had slipped to their lowest since Oct. 11 at $1,195.90 in the previous session. U.S gold futures settled up $8.70, or 0.72 percent, at $1,210.10. The dollar has weakened a little bit and that has helped gold to catch a bid. There has also been some short covering after gold held the $1,200 level well. Also, the rebound in oil prices has given some support from the inflationary point of view. An index that tracks the dollar versus a basket of six major currencies was down 0.2 percent after hitting a 16-month high on Monday. The key driver in the near term continues to be currency movements. Factors including increased buying by central banks, the return of interest amongst exchange-traded fund (ETF) investors and seasonal demand for physical gold are acting as a cushion to the downside. Holdings of the world’s largest gold-backed ETF, SPDR Gold Trust, remained near their highest level in more than two months. Bullion has fallen about 11 percent from a peak in April as investors instead flocked to the dollar, with U.S.-China trade friction unfolding against a background of higher U.S interest rates. The dollar has benefited over the past week from expectations for further U.S interest rate hikes, as well as concerns over Italy’s budget and ongoing Brexit talks. The U.S central bank is expected to increase rates in December for a fourth time this year. Rising U.S interest rates increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding bullion. Among other precious metals, silver rose 0.86 percent to $14.10 per ounce, after earlier hitting $13.85 – its lowest since Jan. 21, 2016. There is so much above ground inventory that is causing silver prices to fall.

 

 

 

Traditional Agricultures

Soybean futures edged higher yesterday after the U.S Department of Agriculture pegged the pace of the harvest behind market forecasts. Corn also rose, rebounding from losses of more than 1 percent in the previous session, while wheat was little changed. Analysts said soybeans had drawn support from the latest estimates of the U.S harvest.

 

 

Futures Settlement Price Wednesday, November 14, 2018
Instrument Contract Open High Low Settlement Net Change
DJIA DJM18 25375 25486 24919 25042 -285
S & P 500 SPM18 2730.5 2748.25 2686.25 2698.5 -28.5
NASDAQ 100 NDM18 6861.75 6929 6746 6768.25 -83.25
Hang Seng HSH18 25785 25884 25426 25547 -287
Nikkei 225 NKH18 21820 21980 21755 21820 70
FTSE 100 FTH18 7012.5 7093 6957 7005.5 -13.5
Gold GCJ18 1203 1217 1197.8 1211.2 8.8
Silver SIK18 1396.5 1416 1385 1409.5 14.5
Copper HGK18 268.3 272.15 266.6 271.05 2.85
Crude Oil CLK18 55.47 57.51 55.27 56.17 0.76
Wheat WK18 508 510.75 500.75 502.75 -4.75
Soybeans SK18 880 886.75 878.75 883.25 5.25
Corn CK18 366 367.75 365.25 366.5 0.5

 

 

Daily Swings  (The Pivot Levels)
  Trading Range  
Contract S3 S2 S1 Pivot R1 R2 R3
DJM18 24245 24582 24812 25149 25379 25716 25946
SPM18 2611.75 2649.00 2673.75 2711.00 2735.75 2773.00 2797.75
NDM18 6516.83 6631.42 6699.83 6814.42 6882.83 6997.42 7065.83
HSH18 24896 25161 25354 25619 25812 26077 26270
NKH18 21498 21627 21723 21852 21948 22077 22173
FTH18 6808.00 6882.50 6944.00 7018.50 7080.00 7154.50 7216.00
GCJ18 1181.13 1189.47 1200.33 1208.67 1219.53 1227.87 1238.73
SIK18 1360.00 1372.50 1391.00 1403.50 1422.00 1434.50 1453.00
HGK18 262.17 264.38 267.72 269.93 273.27 275.48 278.82
CLK18 52.88 54.08 55.12 56.32 57.36 58.56 59.60
WK18 488.75 494.75 498.75 504.75 508.75 514.75 518.75
SK18 871.08 874.92 879.08 882.92 887.08 890.92 895.08
CK18 362.75 364.00 365.25 366.50 367.75 369.00 370.25

 

 

 Source: – News & Quotes (Courtesy:  Reuters)                                                                    

Disclaimer

This information has been prepared for information only and does not constitute an offer or commitment. This information does not constitute investment advice as defined by the rules of the FCA.

The firm or its staff members may trade on their own account and may from time to time hold or act as market makers in investments mentioned in this document. Please note that the firm makes no warranty, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions herein. All parties are advised to seek independent professional advice as to the suitability of any products and to their tax, accounting, legal or regulatory implications. City Credit Capital (UK) Ltd is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, reg 232015.

 

 

 

市场报告                     2018-11-15

 

   
Market Summary
美元指数周三下跌,亚市盘中投资者将关注美联储主席鲍威尔讲话,这可能给美元走势提供重要指引,美元指数于97.1附近震荡,欧式盘中因意大利民粹主义政府不顾欧盟反对,减产预算赤字和经济增长目标不变,令市场担忧欧盟或将惩罚意大利,欧元遭到抛售美元上扬,盘中最高来到97.39,美市盘中美国公布 10月核心消费者物价指数(年率),公布值为2.1%,低于前值的2.2%,美元指数受到数据拖累开始下跌,盘中最低来到96.76,美元指数收盘前回稳最终收在97.03。

现货黄金周三上涨,黄金于1201.80美元/金衡盎司开盘后持续震荡,欧市盘中受到美元上涨影响黄金最低来到1197.50美元/金衡盎司,美市盘中由于美元遭到抛售黄金向上反攻,盘中最高来到1215.90美元/金衡盎司,黄金盘后转为盘整格局最终收在1210.40美元/金衡盎司。

国际原油周三收涨0.67美元,或1.21%,报55.96美元/桶。有消息指出沙特等石油输出国组织(OPEC)产油国正考虑加大减产规模,这令原油多头久旱逢甘露,从而帮助油价暂时终止了史上最长连跌纪录,不过原油市场的疲软前景仍未改变。

美国股市周三收低,其中标普500指数连续第五天下跌,因市场担心一旦民主党控制美国众议院,对银行业的监管将收紧,使得金融股受到打击。道琼工业指数下跌205.99点,或0.81%,报25080.50点;标准普尔500指数收跌20.60点,或0.76%,报2701.58点;纳斯达克指数收低64.49点,或0.90%,报7136.39点。

个股方面,苹果(AAPL)领跌科技板块,下跌2.82%,并宣告进入熊市,主要是受到近期iPhone供货商下修财测,销售持续担忧,再遭遇高盛,瑞银与古根海姆降评 等影响。公用事业公司PG&E(PCG)暴跌21.79%,该公司此前警告称,如果发现其设备引发了加州北部的大火,该公司可能面临超出保险范围的重大责任。Netflix(NFLX)股价下跌 2.61%;脸书(FB)上涨1.45%;亚马逊(AMZN)下跌1.97%; Alphabet(GOOGL)小涨0.63%。

日本股市因昨日大跌,吸引低接买盘涌入,提振日经指数周三开盘后上涨,不过因日本GDP创11季来最大减幅,加上中国零售逊色,拖累日经指数数度翻黑,惟在苹概股反弹,日元趋贬支撑下,最终以上扬作收,终场涨0.16%或35.96点,收21,846.48点。

个股方面,再生晶圆大厂RS Technologies狂飙10.57%,创10月4日以来收盘新高水平。再生晶圆需求佳,北京厂生产顺遂,RS调升财测。而昨日惨跌的日本苹果概念股今日普遍反弹。日东电工大涨3.89%,TDK大涨3.01%, Alps上扬0.67%。

 

Technical  Analysis
USDJPY

从日线图上看,美元/日元隔夜震荡收跌,最低触及113.284一线后有所收窄。技术指标上,MACD看涨动能柱扩缩减,RSI指标向下延伸。后市看来,价格初步支撑考验113关口,跌破则进一步指向112.700一线。上行方面,价格阻力位依旧指向114关口。

 

EURUSD

从日线图上看,欧元/美元隔夜小幅收涨,最高探至1.13432一线后有所收窄。技术指标上,MACD看跌动能柱微缩,双现有金叉迹象,RSI指标小幅向上。后市看来,价格关键支撑位考验1.12300一线。上行方面,价格初步阻力指向1.13700一线。

 

GBPUSD

从日线图上看,英镑/美元隔夜震荡微涨,日内波动剧烈,一度跳水至1.28815一线后反弹。技术指标上,MACD看涨动能柱微增,RSI指标小幅向上。后市看来,价格支撑位考验1.28600一线。上行方面,价格初步阻力位指向1.30关口。

 

XAUUSD

从日线图上看,金价隔夜延续反弹,最高触及1215一线。技术指标上,MACD看跌动能柱缩减,RSI指标向上延伸。后市来看,金价初步阻力位指向1220一线。下行方面,金价关键支撑位考验1200关口。

 

CL_

从日线图上看,油价隔夜止住跌势,小幅收涨于56一线附近。技术指标上,MACD看跌动能柱微增,RSI指标依旧超卖。后市来看,油价支撑目标考验54.00关口。上行方面,油价初步阻力位看向57.40一线。

 

DJ_

从日线图上看,价格隔夜延续收跌,最低触及24921一线。技术指标上,MACD看涨动能柱缩减,双线死叉,RSI指标向下延伸。后市来看,价格初步阻力位考验25600一线。下行方面,价格支撑进一步下看24800一线。

 

NK_

从日线图上看,价格隔夜震荡微跌,窄幅交投于21800一线附近。技术指标上,MACD看涨动能柱缩减,RSI指标基本持平。后市来看,价格支撑考验21500一线,上方阻力位看向22000关口。

 

 

14 11月 2018

Daily Market View

 

Daily Market View

Wednesday, November 14, 2018
          U.S Stock Market

 

DJIA S & P 500 NASDAQ
25327 2727.00 6851.50
-0.51% -0.10% +0.08%

U.S stocks declined as a slump in oil prices dragged down energy companies, extinguishing earlier gains that were spurred by progress in the American-Chinese trade dispute. The pound rallied on reports of advancement toward a Brexit deal. The S&P 500 retreated yesterday as West Texas crude hit a nine-month low, falling the most intraday since 2011, after U.S President Donald Trump criticized Saudi Arabia’s plan to cut output. The Dow Jones Industrial Average slid as Boeing, Exxon Mobil and Pfizer dropped. Treasuries climbed and the dollar fell from an 18-month high. Stock indexes had advanced earlier in the session after White House economic adviser Larry Kudlow told CNBC that the U.S and China are talking on “all levels” of government. That followed an overnight report that China’s Vice Premier Liu He will pave the way for a meeting between the leaders of the two biggest economies later this month. Caterpillar, 3M and mega cap technology shares that react to trade headlines had paced gains in major equity benchmarks.

 

Major Economic Releases for Today
Period Event GMT Forecast Previous

oct

China Retail Sales (YoY) 02:00 9.2% 9.2%

oct

China Industrial Production (YoY) 02:00 5.8% 5.8%

sep

Japan Industrial Production (YoY) 04:30   -2.9%

3Q

German Gross Domestic Product n.s.a. (YoY) 07:00 1.2% 2.3%

oct

U.K Consumer Price Index (YoY) 09:30 2.5% 2.4%

3Q

Euro-Zone Gross Domestic Product s.a. (YoY) 10:00 1.7% 1.7%

oct

U.S Consumer Price Index (YoY) 13:30 2.5% 2.3%

oct

U.S Real Avg. Hourly Earnings (YoY) 13:30   0.5%

 

U.S Fed’s Powell to Discuss Economy at Dallas Fed Event 23:00    
Dow Jones Industrial Average

The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 0.40%. The best performers of the session on the Dow Jones Industrial Average were Intel Corporation, which rose 1.59% or 0.74 points to trade at 47.39 at the close. Meanwhile, American Express Company added 1.29% or 1.37 points to end at 107.86 and Procter & Gamble Company was up 0.83% or 0.77 points to 93.47 in late trade. The worst performers of the session were Exxon Mobil Corp, which fell 2.29% or 1.83 points to trade at 78.00 at the close. Boeing Co declined 2.11% or 7.52 points to end at 349.51 and Chevron Corp was down 1.74% or 2.04 points to 115.35.

 

 

NASDAQ 100

The NASDAQ index added 0.03%. The top performers on the NASDAQ Composite were Pyxis Tankers Inc. which rose 53.89% to 2.9700, EyeGate Pharmaceuticals Inc. which was up 34.66% to settle at 0.420 and Hudson Technologies Inc. which gained 32.96% to close at 0.960. The worst performers were EverQuote Inc Class A which was down 43.49% to 6.73 in late trade, PHI Inc. which lost 25.27% to settle at 4.76 and CTI Industries Corporation which was down 24.30% to 3.02 at the close.

 

Oil

Oil prices fell for a 12th straight session yesterday, the longest streak on record, after President Donald Trump pushed back against Saudi Arabia’s plan to increase its output. Crude oil and Brent crude oil, the international benchmark, were both down by about 4.3%, at $56.36 and $65.92 a barrel. “Hopefully, Saudi Arabia and OPEC will not be cutting oil production,” Trump tweeted on Monday. “Oil prices should be much lower based on supply!” Late Sunday, Saudi Arabia’s energy minister, Khalid Al-Falih, told reporters in Abu Dhabi that the kingdom was going to reduce its oil production by about 500,000 barrels a day in December.  Oil prices have tumbled into a bear market — down at least 20% from their October peaks — amid concerns of growing stockpiles. And data released last week by the Energy Information Agency showed US oil inventories climbed by 5.8 million barrels in the week to November 2, while production hit a weekly record of 11.6 million barrels per day.

 

Precious and Base Metals

Gold shook off earlier losses yesterday to move back above the key $1,200 an ounce support level, benefiting from a slight retreat in the dollar following a rally backed by rising U.S interest rates. Spot gold edged up 0.2 percent at $1,202.90 per ounce, having fallen to its lowest since Oct. 11 at $1,195.90 earlier in the day. U.S. gold futures were steady at $1,203.70 per ounce. Bullion was also on track to snap a seven session-long losing streak, supported by limited buying on the dips by price-sensitive customers. The weaker dollar is supporting gold, and a lot of people are anxious to purchase the metal below $1,200. There is widespread liquidation in some of the markets, including energy. Investors may be shifting money around through new asset allocation by selling those positions and buying gold futures. The dollar index, which measures the U.S. unit’s performance against a basket of major currencies, eased 0.4 percent, having hit its highest since June 2017 in the previous session, making gold less expensive for holders of other currencies. The dollar has benefited over the last week from expectations for further U.S. interest rate hikes, as well as concerns over Italy’s budget and ongoing Brexit talks. There has been a bit of physical demand around the $1,200 levels. The continued weight on the gold market of late has been due to the slowly rising interest rate environment. Bullion had traded between $1,211 and $1,243 an ounce for much of the last month before slipping sharply over the last two sessions. Gold’s fall has done a lot of technical damage so the bounce we see could be short-lived. Meanwhile, holdings of the world’s largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund, SPDR Gold Trust, rose 0.90 percent to 762.00 tonnes on Monday. Holdings hit their lowest since early 2016 last month after declining over the summer. Silver rose 0.6 percent to $14.04 per ounce, having touched a more than two-month low of $13.92 earlier in the session.

 

 

 

 

Traditional Agricultures

Wheat futures were lower yesterday, retreating from a three-week high touched in the previous session, as the market’s focus remained on whether an expected pick-up in the pace of exports will materialize in the near future. Corn prices also fell yesterday.

 

 

 

Futures Settlement Price Tuesday, November 13, 2018
Instrument Contract Open High Low Settlement Net Change
DJIA DJM18 25405 25564 25180 25327 -59
S & P 500 SPM18 2731.25 2755.75 2714.5 2727 -1.5
NASDAQ 100 NDM18 6846.75 6961 6800.75 6851.5 15.5
Hang Seng HSH18 25056 25854 25002 25834 286
Nikkei 225 NKH18 21810 21820 21470 21750 -495
FTSE 100 FTH18 7044.5 7082 6993.5 7019 -8
Gold GCJ18 1201.4 1205.3 1196.4 1202.4 1.9
Silver SIK18 1397 1409 1391 1395 -21
Copper HGK18 266.8 274.8 266.3 268.2 1.35
Crude Oil CLK18 58.96 59.48 54.87 55.41 -3.57
Wheat WK18 519.25 520.25 505.75 507.5 -11.5
Soybeans SK18 882.25 890.25 876.75 878 -5
Corn CK18 369.25 370.5 365 366 -4.75

 

 

Daily Swings  (The Pivot Levels)
  Trading Range  
Contract S3 S2 S1 Pivot R1 R2 R3
DJM18 24766 24973 25150 25357 25534 25741 25918
SPM18 2667.83 2691.17 2709.08 2732.42 2750.33 2773.67 2791.58
NDM18 6620.92 6710.83 6781.17 6871.08 6941.42 7031.33 7101.67
HSH18 24421 24711 25273 25563 26125 26415 26977
NKH18 21190 21330 21540 21680 21890 22030 22240
FTH18 6892.50 6943.00 6981.00 7031.50 7069.50 7120.00 7158.00
GCJ18 1188.53 1192.47 1197.43 1201.37 1206.33 1210.27 1215.23
SIK18 1369.67 1380.33 1387.67 1398.33 1405.67 1416.33 1423.67
HGK18 256.23 261.27 264.73 269.77 273.23 278.27 281.73
CLK18 49.08 51.98 53.69 56.59 58.30 61.20 62.91
WK18 487.58 496.67 502.08 511.17 516.58 525.67 531.08
SK18 859.58 868.17 873.08 881.67 886.58 895.17 900.08
CK18 358.33 361.67 363.83 367.17 369.33 372.67 374.83

 

 Source: – News & Quotes (Courtesy:  Reuters)                                                                    

Disclaimer

This information has been prepared for information only and does not constitute an offer or commitment. This information does not constitute investment advice as defined by the rules of the FCA.

The firm or its staff members may trade on their own account and may from time to time hold or act as market makers in investments mentioned in this document. Please note that the firm makes no warranty, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions herein. All parties are advised to seek independent professional advice as to the suitability of any products and to their tax, accounting, legal or regulatory implications. City Credit Capital (UK) Ltd is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, reg 232015.