24 9月 2018

Daily Market View

   

Daily Market View

Monday, September 24, 2018
          U.S Stock Market

 

DJIA S & P 500 NASDAQ
26755 2934.00 7551.25
+0.32% -0.04% -0.51%

The S&P 500 and Dow reached record highs on Friday ahead of today’s major sector reshuffle, capping a week that largely shrugged off trade worries. Trading volume was expected to spike in anticipation of the S&P 500 sector change, when telecom will be folded into a new sector called communications services, along with heavy-hitting stocks such as Amazon.com, Facebook Inc. and Walt Disney Co. The S&P 500 and the Dow were up, with the tech-heavy NASDAQ losing ground. All three were on track to post their second consecutive weekly gains, with the blue-chip Dow on its way to its best weekly percentage gain in over two months. There could be a late spike in volume because of all these index changes occurring. Boeing Co, United States’ biggest exporter to China, led trade-sensitive industrials higher. The sector headed up gains by the S&P 500 and the Dow. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 78.46 points, or 0.29 percent, the S&P 500 gained 3.04 points, or 0.10 percent and the NASDAQ dropped 18.66 points, or 0.23 percent.

 

Major Economic Releases for Today
Period Event GMT Forecast Previous

sep

German IFO Business Climate 08:00   103.8

sep

German IFO Expectations 08:00   101.2

sep

German IFO Current Assessment 08:00   106.4

sep

Switzerland Domestic Sight Deposits CHF 08:00    

sep

U.K CBI Trends Total Orders 10:00   7

jul

Canada Wholesale Trade Sales (MoM) 12:30   -0.8%

aug

U.S Chicago Fed Nat Activity Index 12:30   0.13

sep

U.S Dallas Fed Manufacturing Activity 14:30 31 30.9

sep

BOJ Minutes of Policy Meeting 23:50    
Dow Jones Industrial Average

The Dow Jones Industrial Average added 0.32% to hit a new all-time high. The best performers of the session on the Dow Jones Industrial Average were McDonald’s Corporation, which rose 2.80% or 4.51 points to trade at 165.30 at the close. Meanwhile, Cisco Systems Inc. added 1.74% or 0.83 points to end at 48.56 and Chevron Corp was up 1.43% or 1.71 points to 121.13 in late trade. The worst performers of the session were Intel Corporation, which fell 1.14% or 0.54 points to trade at 46.66 at the close. Walt Disney Company declined 1.09% or 1.22 points to end at 110.40 and Apple Inc. was down 1.08% or 2.37 points to 217.66.

 

 

 

NASDAQ 100

The tech-heavy NASDAQ index declined 0.51%. The top performers on the NASDAQ Composite were Cool Holdings Inc. which rose 80.95% to 19.000, Astrotech Corp which was up 71.47% to settle at 5.590 and Netlist Inc. which gained 49.12% to close at 0.650. The worst performers were GTX Inc. which was down 92.27% to 1.8000 in late trade, Titan Pharmaceuticals Inc. which lost 56.67% to settle at 0.2167 and Bio Path Holdings Inc. which was down 36.46% to 0.610 at the close.

 

 

Oil

A steady rise in U.S oil output will gather pace in the next five years, OPEC said on Sunday, predicting that demand for the producer group’s crude will decline despite a growing appetite for energy fed by global economic expansion. “Declining demand for OPEC crude is a result of strong non-OPEC supply in the 2017–2023 period, most notably from U.S. tight oil,” the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries said in its long-term world oil outlook. The United States has pushed oil output to record levels in recent years on the back of a shale revolution that allowed new technology to unlock reserves previously seen as uneconomic. U.S sanctions on OPEC members Venezuela and Iran have helped pushed oil prices to their highest since 2014 at around $80 a barrel, also spurring U.S producers to ramp up output. However, high gasoline prices for U.S consumers could create a political headache for President Donald Trump, who on Thursday called again on OPEC to boost supply.

 

 

 

 

 

Precious and Base Metals

Gold prices fell more than 1 percent on Friday as the dollar firmed against the British sterling and the euro after British Prime Minister Theresa May said the European Union must supply an alternative Brexit proposal. China’s moves to boost domestic consumption also helped bolster the dollar rally driven by investor bets that the latest U.S.-China trade salvoes were unlikely to dent global growth. The dollar’s status as the chief reserve currency makes it the prime beneficiary of U.S.-China trade conflict, with the United States seen as having less to lose. A big selloff in the pound and euro sent the dollar sharply higher. And gold, being dollar-denominated, fell as a result of that. A stronger greenback makes dollar-denominated gold more expensive for holders of other currencies. Spot gold lost 0.8 percent at $1,196.86 per ounce. During the session it touched its lowest since Sept 11 at $1,191.51. However, gold headed for a 0.4 percent weekly increase. U.S gold futures for December delivery settled down $10, or 0.8 percent, at $1,201.30 per ounce. The euro and the pound fell after British Prime Minister Theresa May said the European Union must come up with an alternative to her Brexit proposals, saying talks had reached an impasse after the bloc’s leaders rejected her plans without explaining why. Investors await next week’s Federal Reserve meeting, where the U.S central bank is widely expected to raise benchmark interest rates. Higher U.S. interest rates tend to make gold less attractive since it does not pay interest and costs money to store and insure. In other precious metals, spot silver rose 0.1 percent at $14.29 an ounce, after rising to two-week highs of $14.43. The factors driving silver are much more industrial-related. Silver closed the week up about 2 percent. Platinum fell 0.4 percent at $828.70 after hitting its highest since Aug. 9 at $838.40.

 

 

 

 

Traditional Agriculture

Corn futures climbed more than one per cent on Friday to their highest in more than a week, buoyed by end-user demand and fund short-covering. Wheat and soybean futures declined but still recorded weekly advances. Corn rose for a third straight session with analysts citing a mix of technical and fundamental factors.

 

 

 

Futures Settlement Price Friday, September 21, 2018
Instrument Contract Open High Low Settlement Net Change
DJIA DJM18 26718 26816 26710 26755 30
S & P 500 SPM18 2939.5 2946.75 2932.5 2934 -5.5
NASDAQ 100 NDM18 7608.25 7637 7548.75 7551.25 -57.75
Hang Seng HSH18 27644 27977 27508 27933 481
Nikkei 225 NKH18 23685 23820 23610 23730 270
FTSE 100 FTH18 7353.5 7464 7351 7440.5 98.5
Gold GCJ18 1211.3 1215.5 1195.8 1201 -10.6
Silver SIK18 1433 1445 1417 1434.5 1
Copper HGK18 276.2 287.05 275.2 285.5 8.95
Crude Oil CLK18 70.17 71.76 69.95 70.78 0.64
Wheat WK18 522.25 523.75 514.75 521.5 -1.75
Soybeans SK18 846.5 849.25 841 847 -2
Corn CK18 353.25 357.25 352 356.75 4.75

 

 

Daily Swings  (The Pivot Levels)
  Trading Range  
Contract S3 S2 S1 Pivot R1 R2
DJM18 26599 26654 26705 26760 26811 26866 26917
SPM18 2914.50 2923.50 2928.75 2937.75 2943.00 2952.00 2957.25
NDM18 7432.75 7490.75 7521.00 7579.00 7609.25 7667.25 7697.50
HSH18 27166 27337 27635 27806 28104 28275 28573
NKH18 23410 23510 23620 23720 23830 23930 24040
FTH18 7260.00 7305.50 7373.00 7418.50 7486.00 7531.50 7599.00
GCJ18 1173.00 1184.40 1192.70 1204.10 1212.40 1223.80 1232.10
SIK18 1391.33 1404.17 1419.33 1432.17 1447.33 1460.17 1475.33
HGK18 266.27 270.73 278.12 282.58 289.97 294.43 301.82
CLK18 68.09 69.02 69.90 70.83 71.71 72.64 73.52
WK18 507.25 511.00 516.25 520.00 525.25 529.00 534.25
SK18 834.00 837.50 842.25 845.75 850.50 854.00 858.75
CK18 348.17 350.08 353.42 355.33 358.67 360.58 363.92

 

 

 Source: – News & Quotes (Courtesy:  Reuters)                                                                    

Disclaimer

This information has been prepared for information only and does not constitute an offer or commitment. This information does not constitute investment advice as defined by the rules of the FCA.

The firm or its staff members may trade on their own account and may from time to time hold or act as market makers in investments mentioned in this document. Please note that the firm makes no warranty, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions herein. All parties are advised to seek independent professional advice as to the suitability of any products and to their tax, accounting, legal or regulatory implications. City Credit Capital (UK) Ltd is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, reg 232015.

 

 

 

 

 

 

24 9月 2018

FOREX Newsletter

   

FOREX Newsletter

September 24, 2018

 

 

Pulse of the Market

·      The market is pricing in 100% chance of a quarter point U.S rate increase on September 26

·      Softer than expected Eurozone PMIs drove the euro lower

·      In one day, sterling lost all of the gains that it had built up during the week

·      All 3 commodity currencies ended the day unchanged after strong gains this week

 

 

Judging from the recent performance of USD/JPY, investors are preparing for a dovish hike. The market is pricing in 100% chance of a quarter point rate increase on September 26 and a 75% chance of tightening on December 19th but we think the risk of disappointment is greater than that. After 3 rounds of tightening, it would behoove the Fed to take a break especially given the President’s criticism, trade war uncertainty, and mixed data. Since July, there’s been the weakness in retail sales, inflation, housing, and manufacturing activity. However with strong corporate earnings, record highs in stocks and continued labor market strength, if the Fed wanted to raise interest rates again, the arguments are there. As a result, we expect the dollar to consolidate with a mild bias to the downside before the FOMC rate decision. There are a handful of other economic reports scheduled for releases such as consumer confidence, personal income, and personal spending but they will be overshadowed by FOMC flows. USD/JPY, in particular, is vulnerable to a correction back to 111.50. In one day, Sterling lost all of the gains that it had built up during the week and this shows just how sensitive the currency is to Brexit news. At the start of the month, it appeared that a deal was close but the talks broke down when Prime Minister May said they were at an impasse this week. She said they are far apart on two big issues and the UK expects respect from the EU rather than an outright refusal to accept their proposal. The biggest hangups are their post-Brexit economic relationship and the Irish border. May sees no deal as better than a bad deal, which is bad news for sterling especially as her own Eurosceptic MPs want her to abandon her Chequers plan. Stronger than expected retail sales and consumer price growth were completely forgotten as investors focused on renewed Brexit uncertainty. With no major UK economic reports on the calendar in this week, we expect further weakness in sterling. Softer than expected Eurozone PMIs drove the euro lower. Although service sector activity strengthened, growth in the manufacturing sector is slowing and we think it will affect today’s IFO report. EUR/USD hit a 2 month high this week but it is vulnerable to a correction down to 1.1650. The Swiss Franc rose to a 5 month high despite the Swiss National Bank’s growing concern about the currency. Diversification out of European currencies into the franc is the only reason that we see for the currency’s strength. All 3 commodity currencies ended the day unchanged after strong gains this week.

 

 

Time(GMT)   Economic Release IMP Actual Forecast Prior
08:00 German IFO Business Climate (SEP) Medium     103.8
08:00 German IFO Expectations (SEP) Medium     101.2
08:00 German IFO Current Assessment (SEP) Medium     106.4
10:00 U.K CBI Trends Total Orders (SEP) Low     7
10:00 U.K CBI Trends Selling Prices (SEP) Low     15
12:30 U.S Chicago Fed Nat Activity Index (AUG) Low     0.13
14:30 U.S Dallas Fed Manufacturing Activity (SEP) Low   31 30.9
23:50 SBOJ Minutes of Policy Meeting (SEP 19) Medium      

 

Euro

The single currency gains in the last week were largely driven by signs that the Italian government will fall in line with the European Union’s budgetary restraints. A surprising amount of negativity at the Brexit Salzburg summit this week knocked the British Pound lower, and dragged the Euro down alongside with it. Overall, the EUR/USD traded with a low of 1.1731 and a high of 1.1801 before closing the day around 1.1751 in the New York session.

 

Yen

The Japanese Yen was once again the worst performing currency last week, but USD/JPY only gained +0.47% percent in the process. The ongoing improvement in risk appetite across the board is helping keep the Yen down. In an environment where stocks rally, particularly in Japan and the US, the Yen should remain generally weak. Overall, the USD/JPY traded with a low of 112.41 and a high of 112.85 before closing the day around 112.56 in the U.S session.

 

British Pound

The British Pound plummeted on Friday as Theresa May admitted that the Brexit talks have reached an “impasse” and criticized the EU for its “unacceptable” rejection of her own plan in Salzburg last week. The currency dipped to $1.3092 as the Prime Minister delivered a special statement in Downing Street, down 1.3 per cent on the day. Overall, the GBP/USD traded with a low of 1.3052 and a high of 1.3274 before closing the day at 1.3081 in the New York session.

 

Canadian Dollar

The Canadian Dollar ended the session little changed against the greenback on Friday, holding near its highest in more than three months as data showing a pickup in underlying inflation boosted bets for a Bank of Canada interest rate hike next month. Canada’s annual inflation rate dipped to 2.8 per cent in August from 3.0 per cent in July. Overall, USD/CAD traded with a low of 1.2883 and a high of 1.2940 before closing the day at 1.2914 in the New York session.

 

Australian Dollar

The Australian Dollar has risen to three-week highs against its big US brother. This is perhaps surprising in an environment of terrible trade relations between Washington and Beijing. Australia has after all vast economic, political and/or security ties with both nations and can sometimes seem unfortunately sandwiched between the two. Rising tensions there don’t promise Australia any good.  Overall, AUD/USD traded with a low of 0.7289 and a high of 0.7302 before closing the day at 0.7284 in the New York session.

 

Euro-Yen

EUR/JPY is trading above 14, 50 and 100 days moving average. Fast stochastic is giving a bearish tone and MACD is issuing a bullish stance. The Relative Strength Index is above 62 and lies above the neutral zone. In general, the pair has lost 0.13%.

 

Sterling-Yen

Currently, GBP/JPY is trading above 14, 50 and below 100 days moving average. Fast stochastic is issuing a bullish tone and MACD is also indicating a bullish stance. The Relative Strength Index is above 66 reading and lies above the neutral zone. On the whole, the pair has lost 1.32%.

  

Aussie-Yen

Currently, the cross is trading above 14 and below 50, 100 days moving average. Fast stochastic is giving a bullish tone and MACD is also indicating a bullish stance. The Relative Strength Index is above 57 reading and lies above the neutral region. In general, the pair has gained 0.01%.

 

Euro-Sterling

This cross is currently trading above 14, 50 and 100 days moving average. Fast stochastic is indicating a bearish tone and MACD is also issuing a bearish signal. The Relative Strength Index is above 42 and lies below the neutral region. On the whole, the pair has gained 1.20%.

 

Sterling-Swiss

This cross is trading below 14, 50 and 100 days moving average. Fast stochastic is issuing a bullish stance and MACD is also indicating a bullish tone. The Relative Strength Index is above 54 and lies above the neutral region. In general, the pair has lost 1.51%.

 

Appendix

  

FOREX Closing Prices for September 21, 2018
Currency Open High Low Close Net Chg
EUR/USD 1.17757 1.18013 1.17314 1.17513 -0.0024
USD/JPY 112.45 112.855 112.41 112.564 0.0960
GBP/USD 1.32637 1.32748 1.30529 1.30811 -0.0187
USD/CHF 0.95871 0.95965 0.95403 0.95772 -0.0010
USD/CAD 1.29062 1.29409 1.28834 1.29148 0.0013
EUR/JPY 132.472 133.107 132.135 132.301 -0.1710
GBP/JPY 149.186 149.69 146.959 147.271 -1.9660
CHF/JPY 117.272 118.04 117.224 117.511 0.2350
AUD/JPY 81.976 82.326 81.854 81.995 0.0060
EUR/GBP 0.8877 0.89937 0.88686 0.89812 0.0106
EUR/CHF 1.12909 1.1306 1.1220 1.1256 -0.0034
GBP/CHF 1.27189 1.2726 1.24997 1.25293 -0.0192

  

 

Daily Pivot Points
  Trading Range  
Contract S3 S2 S1 Pivot R1 R2 R3
EUR/USD 1.1651 1.1691 1.1721 1.1761 1.1791 1.1831 1.1861
USD/JPY 111.92 112.16 112.36 112.61 112.81 113.05 113.25
GBP/USD 1.2776 1.2914 1.2998 1.3136 1.3220 1.3358 1.3442
USD/CHF 0.9490 0.9515 0.9546 0.9571 0.9602 0.9628 0.9659
USD/CAD 1.2828 1.2856 1.2885 1.2913 1.2943 1.2971 1.3000
EUR/JPY 130.95 131.54 131.92 132.51 132.89 133.49 133.87
GBP/JPY 143.53 145.24 146.26 147.97 148.99 150.70 151.72
CHF/JPY 116.33 116.78 117.14 117.59 117.96 118.41 118.78
AUD/JPY 81.32 81.59 81.79 82.06 82.26 82.53 82.73
EUR/GBP 0.8777 0.8823 0.8902 0.8948 0.9027 0.9073 0.9152
EUR/CHF 1.1129 1.1175 1.1215 1.1261 1.1301 1.1347 1.1387
GBP/CHF 1.2218 1.2359 1.2444 1.2585 1.2670 1.2811 1.2897

 

Sources:  News, Charts & Quotes (Courtesy: Reuters, US Department Of Treasury)

 

Disclaimer

This information has been prepared for information only and does not constitute an offer or commitment. This information does not constitute investment advice as defined by the rules of the FCA.

The firm or its staff members may trade on their own account and may from time to time hold or act as market makers in investments mentioned in this document. Please note that the firm makes no warranty, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions herein. All parties are advised to seek independent professional advice as to the suitability of any products and to their tax, accounting, legal or regulatory implications. City Credit Capital (UK) Ltd is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, reg 232015.

 

 

市场报告                     2018-09-24

 

   
Market Summary
周五(9月21日)美元指数强势反弹,晚间金融市场短线波动突然加剧。因英镑受到英国脱欧的不利消息打压,使得英镑/美元暴跌逾200点。数据方面,日内公布的美国Markit服务业和制造业PMI指数喜忧参半,9月Markit服务业PMI指数为52.9,不如前值与预期;​​​​而9月份Markit制造业PMI指数超预期,为55.6,好于前值与预期。最终美元指数收于94.21。

现货黄金周五在大幅下挫之后缩减跌幅,亚市早盘开于1206.95美元/金衡盎司后金价震荡上行。欧市金价转入盘整,之后多头再度上攻,录得日内高点1210.75美元/金衡盎司后转跌,金价震荡下行。美市金价突现直线跳水,短线急挫,录得日内低点1191.55美元/金衡盎司后反弹,缩减日内跌幅,之后再转盘整,终收于1198.70美元/金衡盎司。

国际原油周五收涨0.64美元,或0.91%,报70.80美元/桶。原先伊朗准备军演的消息一度令油价大幅上涨,但石油输出国组织(OPEC)讨论额外增产选项的消息令涨幅迅速缩减,加上美元反弹限制了油价的上行空间。

美国股市周五在工业类股领军下,道琼工业指数连续第二天创收盘新高。不过受到标准普尔500指数进行有史来最大产业分类调整,在科技股与网络股大幅受压下,标普500与纳斯达克指数则双双收跌。道琼工业指数收高86.52点,或0.32%,至26,743.50点;标准普尔500指数收低1.08点,或0.04%,至2,929.67点;纳斯达克指数下跌41.28点,或0.51%,至7,986.96点。

个股方面,美国对华最大出口商波音 BA.N 带动对贸易敏感的工业股 .SPLRCI 上涨0.31%,该板块力撑道指不失。而美国长期公债收益率小跌,因对英国脱欧有不安情绪,尽管预计下周美国联邦储备理事会(FED/美联储)升息。金融股 .SPSY 下跌0.37%,结束近期升势。此外,FAANG动能股全军覆没,Facebook、苹果 AAPL.O 、亚马逊 AMZN.O 、网飞 NFLX.O 和谷歌母公司Alphabet Inc GOOGL.O 跌幅介乎1.1-1.9%。美光 MU.O 下跌2.87%,拉低芯片股,此前该公司表示,美国对中国产品加征关税会令该公司长达一年的业绩受压。

日本股市周五收高,因对于全球贸易紧张局势的担忧消退,以及对美国经济的乐观看法,支撑大宗商品和制造业公司股价。日经225指数终场收涨0.82%或195.00点,至23,869.93点。

个股方面,在外国债券等高收益产品进行投资的保险及银行股劲升。第一生命控股跳涨3.56%,T&D控股劲升3.31%。三井住友金融集团上涨1.48%,里索那控股上涨1.70%。铁矿、有色金属及航运股劲升,因市场憧憬贸易摩擦对中国需求的冲击有限。新日铁住金上涨1.71%,JFE控股大涨3.14%,住友金属矿山涨3.80%。而Sony下挫1.98%。 Sony掌上机PS Vita将在明年停止出货、且没计划推后继机种。

 

Technical  Analysis
USDJPY

从日线图上看,美元/日元隔夜震荡收涨,最高触及112.860一线。技术指标上,MACD看涨动能柱微增,RSI指标小幅向上。后市看来,价格初步支撑位于112.200一线。上行方面,价格阻力目标进一步考验113.100一线。

 

EURUSD

从日线图上看,欧元/美元隔夜小幅回落,最低下探至1.17317一线。技术指标上,MACD看涨动能柱扩张,RSI指标下行至60。后市看来,价格支撑考验1.17200一线。上行方面,价格阻力目标指向1.18300一线。

 

GBPUSD

从日线图上看,英镑/美元隔夜大幅下跌,最低下探至1.30545一线。技术指标上,MACD看涨动能柱缩减,RSI指标拐头向下。后市看来,价格关键支撑考验1.30000一线。上行方面,价格阻力目标位于1.31200一线。

 

XAUUSD

从日线图上看,金价隔夜下跌,最低下探至1191.55一线。技术指标上,MACD看涨动能柱缩减,RSI指标拐头向下。后市来看,金价阻力目标指向1204一线。下行方面,金价初步支撑考验1190一线。

 

CL_

从日线图上看,油价隔夜震荡收涨,最高触及71.78一线。技术指标上,MACD看涨动能柱扩张,RSI指标向上延伸。后市来看,油价初步支撑位于70.00一线。上行方面,油价阻力位指向72.00一线。

 

DJ_

从日线图上看,价格隔夜延续走高,再创新高至26815一线。技术指标上,MACD看涨动能柱扩张,RSI指标小幅向上。后市来看,价格阻力目标考验27000心理关口。下行方面,价格支撑看向26650一线。

 

NK_

从日线图上看,价格隔夜小幅收涨,交投于23700一线。技术指标上,MACD看涨动能柱扩张,RSI指标超买。后市来看,价格阻力目标指向前高23900一线。下行方面,价格支撑看向23500一线。

 

 

市場報告                     2018-09-21

 

   
Market Summary
周四(9月20日)美元指数大幅下挫。因随着围绕中美贸易争端的疑虑降温,市场风险情绪改善,加上英国脱欧的最新进展令欧系货币受到提振,使得美元指数开始全线回落,并下破94.00关口下方。数据方面,美国公布的上周初请失业救济金人数为20.1万人,低于前值20.4万人和预期21.0万人,逼近20万整数关口,表明劳动力市场保持强劲。但8月的成屋销售总数年化为534万户,与前值一致略低预期535万户,因房地产市场表现不佳,楼市库存三年来首次录得增加;且美国8月咨商会领先指标为0.4%,也低于前值0.6%及预期0.5%。此外,瑞士央行公布利率决定为-0.75%,与前值相同。最终美元指数收于93.90。

现货黄金周四小幅上涨,亚市早盘开于1203.50美元/金衡盎司后金价短暂上涨后转跌,抹去日内涨幅。欧市金价加大跌幅,不断下挫,录得日内低点1201.10美元/金衡盎司后反弹,金价震荡上行,走出一段上涨行情。美市金价录得日内高点1208.10美元/金衡盎司后回落,再度转跌后又反弹,震荡走高,终收于1206.95美元/金衡盎司。

国际原油周四收跌0.78美元,或1.10%,报70.16美元/桶。因美国总统特朗普再度要求沙特等国压低油价,这令原油多头信心受挫,部分抵消了伊朗制裁带来的利多影响,不过美元走弱限制了油价的下行空间。

美国股市周四收高,市场普涨,因交易忧虑消退。标普500指数也创下纪录最高收位。其中科技、生活消费品和基础材料等上涨的板块带领股指走高。道琼工业指数收高255.96点,或0.97%,至26,661.72点;标准普尔500指数上涨24.63点,或0.85%,至2,932.58点;纳斯达克指数收涨78.19点,或0.98%,至8,028.23点。

个股方面,微软 MSFT.O 和苹果 AAPL.O 分别上升1.67%和0.76%,引领科技指数上升。 Nike Inc NKE.N 上涨1.1%,Thomson Reuters Proprietary Research对该公司在线销售数据进行分析,显示在美国国家橄榄球联盟球员Colin Kaepernick参与的广告播放以来,公司产品销售增长61%。

日本股市周四基本收平,安倍晋三在执政党领导人的角逐中获胜,这已在外界预期之中,股市基本未受此影响。而金融股续涨基本被大盘大涨几天之后的获利回吐所抵消。日经225指数终场收涨0.01%或2.41点,至23,674.93点。

个股方面,由于最近美债收益率大涨提振了美股金融类股,银行股涨势强劲。三井住友金融集团(SMFG)上涨1.43%,三菱日联金融集团(MUFG)上涨1.62%,瑞穗金融集团上涨1.26%。任天堂上涨4.8%,此前该公司周三推出付费型Nintendo Switch Online游戏平台。

 

Technical  Analysis
USDJPY

从日线图上看,美元/日元隔夜震荡收涨,一度回撤至112.000关口附近后反弹走高。技术指标上,MACD看涨动能柱微增,RSI指标小幅向上。后市看来,价格初步支撑位于111.900一线。上行方面,价格阻力目标进一步考验112.900一线。

 

EURUSD

从日线图上看,欧元/美元隔夜大幅收涨,最高探高至1.17822一线。技术指标上,MACD看涨动能柱扩张,RSI指标向上延伸。后市看来,价格支撑考验1.16700一线,。上行方面,价格阻力目标指向1.18000一线。

 

GBPUSD

从日线图上看,英镑/美元隔夜大幅收升,最高触及1.32969一线。技术指标上,MACD看涨动能柱扩张,RSI指标向上逼近超买区。后市看来,价格关键支撑依旧考验1.31600一线。上行方面,价格阻力目标位于1.34一线。

 

XAUUSD

从日线图上看,金价隔夜窄幅震荡,交投于1205一线附近。技术指标上,MACD看涨动能柱扩张,RSI指标小幅向上延伸。后市来看,金价阻力目标依旧指向1210一线。下行方面,金价初步支撑考验1200关口。

 

CL_

从日线图上看,油价隔夜小幅回落,一度触及日高至71.33一线后跳水。技术指标上,MACD看涨动能柱温和,RSI指标拐头向下。后市来看,油价初步支撑位于69.20一线。上行方面,油价阻力位指向71.40一线。

 

DJ_

从日线图上看,价格隔夜延续走高,再创新高至26730一线。技术指标上,MACD看涨动能柱扩张,RSI指标超买。后市来看,价格阻力目标考验27000心理关口。下行方面,价格支撑看向26400一线。

 

NK_

从日线图上看,价格隔夜小幅收涨,一度探低至23415一线后反弹走高。技术指标上,MACD看涨动能柱扩张,RSI指标超买。后市来看,价格阻力目标依旧指向前高23900一线。下行方面,价格支撑看向23100一线。

 

 

20 9月 2018

Daily Market View

 

 Daily Market View

 Thursday, September 20, 2018
          U.S Stock Market

 

DJIA S & P 500 NASDAQ
26433 2909.75 7497.00
+0.60% -0.04% -0.15%

U.S stocks closed mostly higher yesterday as investors took escalating trade tensions in stride to instead focus on improving economic fundamentals even as a weak technology sector hobbled the NASDAQ. The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 158.80 points, or 0.6%, leaving it less than 1% from its all-time closing high. It has been 163 trading days since the Dow’s last record, its longest such stretch since a period of 288 days that occurred between May 2015 and July 2016, according to the Dow Jones Data Group. The S&P 500 added 3.64 points, or 0.1%, within 0.3% of its record. Financials were the best-performing stocks, rallying 1.8% as the 10-year Treasury yield rose to 3.081%, its highest since May 17. The NASDAQ bucked the trend to fall 6.07 points. Trading on Wall Street has been relatively subdued now that earnings season is largely over and there have been few major economic indicators released this week. That has left an opening for markets to be driven by the latest developments on trade.

 

 

Major Economic Releases for Today
Period Event GMT Forecast Previous

sep

SNB Sight Deposit Interest Rate 07:30 -0.75% -0.75%

sep

SNB 3-Month Libor Lower Target Range 07:30 -1.25% -1.25%

sep

SNB 3-Month Libor Upper Target Range 07:30 -0.25% -0.25%

aug

U.K Retail Sales Ex Auto Fuel (YoY) 08:30 2.3% 3.7%

sep

U.S Philadelphia Fed Business Outlook 12:30 15.8 11.9

sep

U.S Initial Jobless Claims 12:30 210k 204k

 

EU Informal Meeting of Heads of State Summit Press Conference 13:15    

sep

Euro-Zone Consumer Confidence 14:00 -2.0 -1.9

aug

U.S Existing Home Sales (MoM) 14:00 0.8% -0.7%
Dow Jones Industrial Average

The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 0.61% to hit new 6-months high. The best performers of the session on the Dow Jones Industrial Average were Goldman Sachs Group Inc., which rose 2.92% or 6.69 points to trade at 235.58 at the close. Meanwhile, JPMorgan Chase & Co added 2.90% or 3.32 points to end at 117.62 and Caterpillar Inc. was up 2.48% or 3.69 points to 152.76 in late trade. The worst performers of the session were Verizon Communications Inc., which fell 1.64% or 0.89 points to trade at 53.50 at the close. Microsoft Corporation declined 1.33% or 1.51 points to end at 111.70 and Nike Inc was down 0.97% or 0.83 points to 84.43.

 

 

 

NASDAQ 100

The tech-heavy NASDAQ index declined 0.08% yesterday. The top performers on the NASDAQ Composite were Altimmune Inc. which rose 285.48% to 16.460, New Age Beverages Corp which was up 54.96% to settle at 4.37 and Molecular Templates Inc. which gained 52.44% to close at 6.2500. The worst performers were Realm Therapeutics PLC ADR which was down 21.88% to 5.00 in late trade, Vital Thera which lost 22.90% to settle at 0.33 and Ameri Holdings Inc. which was down 18.08% to 1.45 at the close.

 

 

Oil

U.S oil futures rose to a more than two-month high yesterday, bolstered by a fifth weekly crude inventory drawdown and strong domestic gasoline demand, amid ongoing supply concerns over U.S sanctions on Iran that come into force in November. Crude inventories fell 2.1 million barrels in the week to Sept. 14 to 394.1 million barrels, the lowest level since February 2015 EIA data showed. Analysts had forecast a decrease of 2.7 million barrels. U.S crude futures ended yesterday’s session up $1.27, or 1.8 percent, at $71.12, its best closing price since early July. The rise came after the U.S Energy Information Administration said crude and gasoline stockpiles fell last week. Crude inventories fell 2.1 million barrels last week to 394.1 million barrels, the lowest level since February 2015, EIA data showed. Gasoline stocks fell 1.7 million barrels versus forecasts for a 100,000-barrel drop. Gasoline consumption usually picks up in the summer.

 

 

 

Precious and Base Metals

Gold prices held steady today, after rising in the previous session, as the dollar softened amid easing Sino-U.S. trade tensions and investors wait on direction from next week’s U.S Federal Reserve meeting. Spot gold was little changed at $1,203.86, after rising 0.5 percent in the previous session. U.S. gold futures were up 0.1 percent at $1,209 an ounce. Investors are awaiting next week’s Federal Reserve meeting. The U.S. central bank is widely expected to raise benchmark interest rates and shed light on the path for future rate hikes. Higher rates dent demand for non-interest yielding gold and in turn boost the dollar in which it is priced. The dollar index was hovering near a seven-week low against a basket of major currencies. China said on Wednesday it will not stoop to the competitive devaluation of its currency, hours after it hit back with a softer punch than the one landed by the United States in their escalating tariff dispute. On Tuesday, Beijing added $60 billion of U.S. products to its import tariff list in retaliation for President Donald Trump’s planned levies on $200 billion worth of Chinese goods. The tariffs, however, were seen to be at lower levels than some had feared, easing some concerns after the months-long trade battle between the world’s leading economies threatened to dim global growth prospects. Investors have been buying the dollar in the belief the United States has less to lose from the dispute. But a spot of weakness in the dollar indicated that worries over trade tensions have eased. U.S homebuilding increased more than expected in August, a positive sign for the housing market which has underperformed the broader economy amid rising interest rates for home loans. India should not tamper with its gold import duty or impose other restrictions to support the rupee, the World Gold Council said on Wednesday, as the government considers ways to cut “non-necessary” imports to stem an outflow of dollars.

 

 

 

Traditional Agriculture

Soybean futures rose roughly two percent yesterday, rebounding a day after the most active contract fell to a 10-year low as the harvest of a likely record-large U.S crop got underway. Wheat futures climbed on technical buying and tightening global supplies.

 

 

 

Futures Settlement Price Wednesday, September 19, 2018
Instrument Contract Open High Low Settlement Net Change
DJIA DJM18 26285 26474 26236 26433 158
S & P 500 SPM18 2907.25 2913.25 2900.5 2909.75 3
NASDAQ 100 NDM18 7499.75 7516.75 7442.25 7497 1.25
Hang Seng HSH18 27215 27488 27056 27406 371
Nikkei 225 NKH18 23650 23685 23495 23525 225
FTSE 100 FTH18 7313 7344.5 7276.5 7340.5 35
Gold GCJ18 1202.3 1210.7 1202.3 1208.5 5.9
Silver SIK18 1417 1436.5 1416.5 1426 9
Copper HGK18 273.55 275.3 271.7 272.75 -1
Crude Oil CLK18 69.43 71.04 69.32 70.99 1.57
Wheat WK18 512.75 523 511.75 522 11.75
Soybeans SK18 814.5 830.25 813 829.5 16
Corn CK18 343 346.5 342.75 345.25 2.5

 

 

Daily Swings  (The Pivot Levels)
  Trading Range  
Contract S3 S2 S1 Pivot R1 R2 R3
DJM18 26050 26143 26288 26381 26526 26619 26764
SPM18 2889.67 2895.08 2902.42 2907.83 2915.17 2920.58 2927.92
NDM18 7379.42 7410.83 7453.92 7485.33 7528.42 7559.83 7602.92
HSH18 26713 26885 27145 27317 27577 27749 28009
NKH18 23262 23378 23452 23568 23642 23758 23832
FTH18 7228.50 7252.50 7296.50 7320.50 7364.50 7388.50 7432.50
GCJ18 1195.23 1198.77 1203.63 1207.17 1212.03 1215.57 1220.43
SIK18 1396.17 1406.33 1416.17 1426.33 1436.17 1446.33 1456.17
HGK18 267.60 269.65 271.20 273.25 274.80 276.85 278.40
CLK18 68.14 68.73 69.86 70.45 71.58 72.17 73.30
WK18 503.58 507.67 514.83 518.92 526.08 530.17 537.33
SK18 801.00 807.00 818.25 824.25 835.50 841.50 852.75
CK18 339.42 341.08 343.17 344.83 346.92 348.58 350.67

 

 Source: – News & Quotes (Courtesy:  Reuters)                                                                    

Disclaimer

This information has been prepared for information only and does not constitute an offer or commitment. This information does not constitute investment advice as defined by the rules of the FCA.

The firm or its staff members may trade on their own account and may from time to time hold or act as market makers in investments mentioned in this document. Please note that the firm makes no warranty, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions herein. All parties are advised to seek independent professional advice as to the suitability of any products and to their tax, accounting, legal or regulatory implications. City Credit Capital (UK) Ltd is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, reg 232015.

 

 

 

 

 

 

市场报告                     2018-09-20

 

   
Market Summary
周三(9月19日)美元指数小幅转跌,而日内公布的美国数据有喜有忧,对市场影响不明显。但于晚间全球外汇市场突然迎来剧烈波动。由于英国脱欧协议再生变量,使得英镑/美元短线急跌近百点至1.31000关口上方。数据方面,美国8月新屋开工总数年化为128.2万户,高于前值116.8万户和预期123.2万户,也表明此前因贷款利率上扬等原因而表现相对薄弱的房地产业开始出现积极发展。但商务部称,新屋开工数可能出现较大波动,也可能出现较大修正。美国8月营建许可总数为122.9万户,低于前值和预期。此外,日本央行公布利率决定为-0.1%,与前值相同。最终美元指数收于94.55。

现货黄金周三上涨后转入盘整,亚市早盘开于1197.70美元/金衡盎司后金价短暂下跌,录得日内低点1197.40美元/金衡盎司后转涨,金价震荡上行,走出一段上涨行情。欧市金价转入盘整,窄幅波动,徘徊不前。美市多头摆脱困境,积极上攻,录得日内高点1205.90美元/金衡盎司后回落,再度转入盘整,终收于1203.50美元/金衡盎司。

国际原油周三收涨1.20美元,或1.72%,报70.94美元/桶。因美国原油库存报告为油价带来了进一步的上升提振,且近期沙特官员对高油价的容忍态度以及伊朗制裁的稳步推进已经帮助油价不断走高。

美国股市周三涨跌不一,标普500和道琼工业指数上扬,因美债收益率攀升提振金融股走高,且贸易忧虑得到缓解。道琼工业指数收高158.80点,或0.61%,至26,405.76点;标准普尔500指数上涨3.64点,或0.13%,至2,907.95点;纳斯达克指数收跌6.07点,或0.08%,至7,950.04点。

个股方面,波音股价上涨0.5%,卡特彼勒上涨2.5%。鉴于它们在海外市场的巨大敞口,这两家公司都被视为全球贸易的领头羊。而亚马逊 AMZN.O 下跌0.75%,因欧盟监管机构调查公司是否利用商业数据来击退竞争。在其他被称为FAANG股票中,网飞(Netflix) NFLX.O 也微幅下跌。 Facebook Inc FB.O 上涨1.72%,苹果 AAPL.O 和谷歌母公司Alphabet Inc GOOGL.O 仅小幅上升。

日本股市周三收高,虽然贸易战的担忧仍然存在,但投资人受到美国股市的强劲表现激励,使得日经225指数开盘后随即大涨。终场收涨1.08%或252.00点,至23,686.00点。

个股方面,保险商和银行股延续涨势。第一生命控股跳升4.3%,损保控股上涨2.26%,T&D控股上涨3.47%。三菱日联金融集团(MUFG)上涨1.49%,三井住友金融集团(SMFG)上涨1.68%。出口商类股也走高。京瓷涨2.64%,东电化(TDK) 涨3.31%,本田汽车涨3.01%。

Technical  Analysis
USDJPY

从日线图上看,美元/日元隔夜小幅收跌,窄幅交投于112.300一线附近。技术指标上,MACD看涨动能柱微增,RSI指标小幅向下。后市看来,价格支撑位于111.600一线。上行方面,价格阻力目标进一步考验112.700一线。

 

EURUSD

从日线图上看,欧元/美元隔夜震荡收平,一度探高至1.17135一线后收窄。技术指标上,MACD看涨动能柱温和,RSI指标走平。后市看来,价格支撑考验1.16300一线,关键支撑位1.16一线。上行方面,价格阻力目标指向1.17200一线。

 

GBPUSD

从日线图上看,英镑/美元隔夜收阴线十字星,最高触及1.32137一线后回落收窄。技术指标上,MACD看涨动能柱微缩,RSI指标小幅向下。后市看来,价格关键支撑依旧考验1.30关口。上行方面,价格阻力目标位于1.32000一线。

 

XAUUSD

从日线图上看,金价隔夜小幅收涨,站上1200关口。技术指标上,MACD看涨动能柱扩张,RSI指标小幅向上。后市来看,金价阻力目标依旧指向1210一线。下行方面,金价初步支撑考验1190一线。

 

CL_

 

从日线图上看,油价隔夜延续收涨,温和探高至70.94一线。技术指标上,MACD看涨动能柱扩张,RSI指标向上延伸。后市来看,油价初步支撑位于69.40一线。上行方面,油价阻力位进一步指向71.70一线。

 

DJ_

从日线图上看,价格隔夜延续走高,刷新新高至26473一线。技术指标上,MACD看涨动能柱显现,RSI指标向上进入超买区。后市来看,价格阻力目标考验26600一线。下行方面,价格支撑看向26200一线。

NK_

从日线图上看,价格隔夜小幅收跌,高位交投于23600一线附近。技术指标上,MACD看涨动能柱扩张,RSI指标小幅向下。后市来看,价格阻力目标依旧指向前高23900一线。下行方面,价格支撑看向23100一线。

 

 

19 9月 2018

Daily Market View

           

Daily Market View

Wednesday, September 19, 2018
          U.S Stock Market

 

DJIA S & P 500 NASDAQ
26275 2906.75 7495.75
+0.88% +0.70% +0.97%

 

U.S stocks vaulted higher yesterday, with investors shrugging off escalating trade tensions to instead focus on an economy that remains strong by many measures. The gains were led by consumer-discretionary and technology shares, two sectors that had slumped in the previous session. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rallied 246 points, or 1%, roughly 1.2% away from its record high. The S&P 500 index advanced 21 points, or 0.8% and the NASDAQ climbed 80 points, or 1%. Stocks had declined Monday, marking the biggest one-day drop for the S&P since mid-August and the worst session for the NASDAQ since late July. President Donald Trump late Monday said he would impose new tariffs on about $200 billion in Chinese goods. He also threatened additional penalties as part of his campaign to pressure Beijing to change its commercial practices. Crude-oil prices saw strong gains and gold settled lower. The U.S. dollar index was moderately higher.

 

 

Major Economic Releases for Today
Period Event GMT Forecast Previous

sep

BOJ Rate Decision   -0.10% -0.10%

aug

U.K Consumer Price Index (YoY) 08:30 2.4% 2.5%

aug

U.K Retail Price Index (YoY) 08:30 3.2% 3.2%

jul

U.K House Price Index (YoY) 08:30 2.8% 3.0%

sep

U.S MBA Mortgage Applications 11:00    

aug

U.S Housing Starts (MoM) 12:30 5.7% 0.9%

aug

U.S Building Permits (MoM) 12:30 0.5% 1.5%

 

ECB’s Draghi speaks in Berlin 13:00    

sep

DOE U.S. Crude Oil Inventories 14:30    
Dow Jones Industrial Average

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.71% to hit a new 6-months high. The best performers of the session on the Dow Jones Industrial Average were Nike Inc., which rose 2.40% or 2.00 points to trade at 85.26 at the close. Meanwhile, Boeing Co added 2.14% or 7.62 points to end at 363.58 and Caterpillar Inc. was up 1.95% or 2.85 points to 149.07 in late trade. The worst performers of the session were DowDuPont Inc., which fell 1.15% or 0.79 points to trade at 68.03 at the close. Coca-Cola Company declined 0.84% or 0.39 points to end at 45.93 and Verizon Communications Inc. was down 0.57% or 0.31 points to 54.39.

 

 

 

NASDAQ 100

The NASDAQ index climbed 0.76%. The top performers on the NASDAQ Composite were Realm Therapeutics PLC ADR which rose 77.78% to 6.40, Viking Therapeutics Inc. which was up 87.30% to settle at 19.460 and Vital Thera which gained 70.09% to close at 0.43. The worst performers were SAExploration Holdings Inc. which was down 26.17% to 5.980 in late trade, Helios and Matheson Analytics Inc. which lost 20.00% to settle at 0.012 and China Internet Nationwide Financial Services Inc. which was down 19.64% to 9.00 at the close.

 

 

Oil

Oil futures rose more than 1 percent yesterday on signs that OPEC would not be prepared to raise output to address shrinking supplies from Iran, and as Saudi Arabia signaled an informal target near current levels. U.S. crude futures rose 94 cents to settle at $69.85 a barrel, a 1.36 percent gain. Ministers from the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and non-OPEC producers meet on Sunday to discuss compliance with output policies. OPEC sources have told Reuters no immediate action was planned and producers would discuss how to share a previously agreed output increase. Bloomberg reported on Tuesday, citing unnamed Saudi sources, that the kingdom was currently comfortable with prices above $80 per barrel, at least for the short term. Bloomberg reported that while Saudi Arabia had no desire to push prices higher than $80, it may no longer be possible to avoid it. U.S sanctions affecting Iran’s petroleum sector are due to come into force from Nov. 4.

 

 

 

Precious and Base Metals

Gold prices inched higher yesterday as the dollar eased following news that China would retaliate against a new round of U.S tariffs on its goods. U.S. President Donald Trump said he was imposing 10 percent tariffs on about $200 billion worth of imports from China, and threatened duties on about $267 billion more if China retaliated against the U.S. action. While the greenback has benefited from safe-haven flows as the China-U.S. trade conflict has escalated in recent months, investors are starting to worry about the broader impact of the tariffs on the U.S. economy. A weaker dollar generally boosts the price of dollar-denominated gold, which has been losing out on safe-haven flows to the greenback. Spot gold was 0.1 percent higher at $1,201.93 an ounce in choppy trade. U.S. gold futures were steady at $1,205.20 an ounce. Gold is reflecting the choppiness that we are seeing in the dollar. Gold prices were hovering below massive resistance between $1,205-$1,215 ranges. Gold prices have declined more than 12 percent from April, hurt by the intensifying trade dispute between the United States and China and as rising U.S. interest rates diminished demand for non-interest-bearing bullion. Investors are eyeing a meeting by the U.S. Federal Reserve next week at which interest rates are widely expected to be raised. Any comments about the 2019 monetary policy could be a new significant driver for the precious metal. Equity and base metals shrugged off signs that the trade war was ratcheting higher. Investors trimmed their net short position in Comex gold and silver in the week to Sept. 11, U.S. data showed. One of the big problems that gold is facing is that it is trying to battle a mountain of pessimism. The speculative positioning in gold is down to its lowest levels since 2001, gold is not behaving like the haven that it is supposed to be.

 

 

 

 

Traditional Agriculture

Soybean futures fell to a nearly 10-year low yesterday as the U.S Department of Agriculture said the harvest of U.S crops was rapidly advancing, pressuring market sentiment already soured amid a trade war between Washington and Beijing. The USDA said the U.S corn harvest was 9 percent complete, near an average of analyst estimates for 10 percent and ahead of the five-year average of 6 percent.

 

 

Futures Settlement Price Tuesday, September 18, 2018
Instrument Contract Open High Low Settlement Net Change
DJIA DJM18 26066 26329 25963 26275 203
S & P 500 SPM18 2890.25 2912.5 2878.25 2906.75 15.75
NASDAQ 100 NDM18 7434.5 7534.5 7393.25 7495.75 60.25
Hang Seng HSH18 26709 27165 26601 27035 148
Nikkei 225 NKH18 22920 23315 22875 23300 320
FTSE 100 FTH18 7269.5 7321 7268 7305.5 41.5
Gold GCJ18 1206 1208 1200.1 1202.6 -3.3
Silver SIK18 1420.5 1425.5 1409 1417 -3
Copper HGK18 265 273.95 258.85 273.75 8.75
Crude Oil CLK18 68.76 70.38 68.5 69.7 0.97
Wheat WK18 507.75 514 506 510.25 4.5
Soybeans SK18 821 825 812 813.5 -9.25
Corn CK18 347.5 348.25 342.25 342.75 -5

 

Daily Swings  (The Pivot Levels)
  Trading Range  
Contract S3 S2 S1 Pivot R1 R2 R3
DJM18 25683 25823 26049 26189 26415 26555 26781
SPM18 2851.58 2864.92 2885.83 2899.17 2920.08 2933.42 2954.33
NDM18 7273.25 7333.25 7414.50 7474.50 7555.75 7615.75 7697.00
HSH18 26138 26370 26702 26934 27266 27498 27830
NKH18 22572 22723 23012 23163 23452 23603 23892
FTH18 7222.33 7245.17 7275.33 7298.17 7328.33 7351.17 7381.33
GCJ18 1191.23 1195.67 1199.13 1203.57 1207.03 1211.47 1214.93
SIK18 1392.33 1400.67 1408.83 1417.17 1425.33 1433.67 1441.83
HGK18 248.65 253.75 263.75 268.85 278.85 283.95 293.95
CLK18 66.79 67.65 68.67 69.53 70.55 71.41 72.43
WK18 498.17 502.08 506.17 510.08 514.17 518.08 522.17
SK18 795.67 803.83 808.67 816.83 821.67 829.83 834.67
CK18 334.58 338.42 340.58 344.42 346.58 350.42 352.58

 

 Source: – News & Quotes (Courtesy:  Reuters)                                                                    

Disclaimer

This information has been prepared for information only and does not constitute an offer or commitment. This information does not constitute investment advice as defined by the rules of the FCA.

The firm or its staff members may trade on their own account and may from time to time hold or act as market makers in investments mentioned in this document. Please note that the firm makes no warranty, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions herein. All parties are advised to seek independent professional advice as to the suitability of any products and to their tax, accounting, legal or regulatory implications. City Credit Capital (UK) Ltd is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, reg 232015.

 

 

 

 

 

 

市场报告                     2018-09-19

 

   
Market Summary
周二(9月18日)美元指数小幅收涨,虽然中美宣布互相追加关税,但美元指数并未像往常一样因此而大幅攀升,涨幅较为适度。近日以来,包括大摩、小摩以及贝莱德在内的多家知名投行都对美元多头发出了警告。贸易局势紧张,此前资金纷纷涌入美元的景像已然不再,投资人开始担心关税举措对美国经济更广泛的影响。数据方面,美国9月NAHB房屋价格指数为67,与前值相同。美元指数终收于94.62。

现货黄金周二震荡收跌,亚市早盘开于1200.75美元/金衡盎司后金价下跌,之后小幅反弹。欧市金价再度转跌,加大跌幅,录得日内低点1195.50美元/金衡盎司后转涨,金价震荡上行。美市多头积极上攻,录得日内高点1203.25美元/金衡盎司后金价出现短线跳水,不断走低,缩减日内涨幅,终收于1197.90美元/金衡盎司。

国际原油周二收涨0.99美元,或1.44%,报69.74美元/桶。由于伊朗是OPEC第三大原油生产国,因此美国对其实施制裁,必然会令油价走高。同时美国计划在11月初实施第二轮制裁,油价上行势头有望延续。

美国股市周二反弹,市场普涨,因投资者摆脱中美贸易紧张局势不断恶化的影响。道琼工业指数收高184.84点,或0.71%,至26,246.96点;标准普尔500指数上涨15.51点,或0.54%,至2,904.31点;纳斯达克指数收涨60.31点,或0.76%,至7,956.11点。

个股方面,科技股 .SPLRCT 受苹果 AAPL.O 和健身产品制造商Fitbit FIT.N 得到关税豁免的消息提振.苹果收高0.17%,Fitbit劲涨6.4%。对贸易消息反应敏感的工业股 .SPLRCI 上涨,波音 BA.N 收高2.1%,引领涨道琼工业指数攀升。 Nike Inc NKE.N 也提振道琼工业指数,该股创下纪录收盘新高,收涨2.4%,因Telsey Advisory Group上调Nike的目标价。

日本股市周二收高,美国公债收益率上扬带动保险商股价上涨,不过电子产品供货商表现不佳,因交易商权衡美国对中国商品最新一轮加征关税措施的影响。日经225指数终场涨1.44%或332.50点,收23,434.00点。

个股方面,保险股涨幅较大,第一生命控股攀升4.08%,MS&AD保险集团控股公司跳涨4.03%。而电子产品供货商表现逊色,因苹果 AAPL.O 称特朗普的关税决定将冲击其大部分产品。村田制作所跌1.36%,阿尔卑斯电气挫低2.07%,京瓷下滑0.88%。

Technical  Analysis
USDJPY

从日线图上看,美元/日元隔夜大幅收涨,最高探至112.375一线。技术指标上,MACD看涨动能柱扩张,RSI指标向上。后市看来,价格支撑位于111.600一线。上行方面,价格阻力目标进一步考验112.700一线。

 

EURUSD

从日线图上看,欧元/美元隔夜冲高回落,一度探高至1.17230一线后跳水。技术指标上,MACD看涨动能柱温和,RSI指标小幅向下。后市看来,价格支撑考验1.16300一线,关键支撑位1.16一线。上行方面,价格阻力目标指向1.17200一线。

 

GBPUSD

从日线图上看,英镑/美元隔夜微幅收跌,震荡交投于1.31400一线附近。技术指标上,MACD看涨动能柱温和,RSI指标小幅向下。后市看来,价格关键支撑依旧考验1.30关口。上行方面,价格阻力目标位于1.32000一线。

 

XAUUSD

从日线图上看,金价隔夜微幅收跌,失守1200关口,保持横盘整理态势。技术指标上,MACD看涨动能柱缩减,RSI指标小幅向下。后市来看,金价阻力目标指向1210一线。下行方面,金价初步支撑考验1190一线。

 

CL_

从日线图上看,油价隔夜温和收涨,一度上破70关口后有所收窄。技术指标上,MACD看涨动能柱微增,RSI指标向上。后市来看,油价初步支撑位于68.80一线。上行方面,油价阻力位进一步指向71一线。

 

DJ_

从日线图上看,价格隔夜大幅收涨,最高探至26328一线。技术指标上,MACD看跌动能柱缩减,RSI指标向上。后市来看,价格阻力目标考验26500一线。下行方面,价格支撑看向26100一线。

 

 

NK_

从日线图上看,价格隔夜大幅收涨,刷新新高至23720一线。技术指标上,MACD看涨动能柱扩张,RSI指标向上延伸进入超买区。后市来看,价格阻力目标进一步指向前高23900一线。下行方面,价格支撑看向23100一线。

 

 

市场报告                     2018-09-18

 

   
Market Summary
周一(9月17日)美元指数于美市盘中下跌,尽管有消息称美国总统特朗普今日或宣布对2000亿美元中国商品追加关税,但美元指数并未像往常一样受到提振,反而持续下滑。加上日内出炉的制造业数据表现不佳,令美元进一步承压。数据方面显示,美国公布的9月纽约联储制造业指数曝出冷门,为19.0,均不如预期和前值的24.0与25.6。使得美元指数卖盘压力因此进一步加重,最终收于94.52。

现货黄金周一强势反弹,虽然亚市早盘开于1193.90美元/金衡盎司后,金价短暂下跌,但录得日内低点1192.50美元/金衡盎司后转涨,金价震荡上行。欧市金价延续涨势,但多空交锋激烈。美市多头加大上攻力度,金价现大力拉升,多方控盘,录得日内高点1204.55美元/金衡盎司后回落,金价转跌,终收于1200.75美元/金衡盎司。

国际原油周一收跌0.21美元,或0.30%,报68.75美元/桶。虽然美国对伊朗制裁已经开始显现效果,但中美贸易局势恐再度恶化,这令市场风险情绪大受打压,从而压低了投资者的买入兴趣。此外,国际能源署(IEA)最新月报显示,8月OPEC原油产量增幅超过伊朗因原油制裁可能出现的产量降幅,这令原油供应整体上升。

美国股市周一收盘下跌,科技股和非必需消费品类股领跌,投资者等待美国总统特朗普宣布对价值2,000亿美元自中国进口商品的关税决定。道琼工业指数收挫92.55点,或0.35%,至26,062.12点;标准普尔500指数收跌16.18点,或0.56%,至2,888.80点;纳斯达克指数收低114.25点,或1.43%,至7,895.79点。

个股方面,亚马逊 AMZN.O 下挫3.15%,领跌非必需性消费品类股。而苹果 AAPL.O 曾表示,关税计划可能打击其“广泛系列”产品。苹果股价下挫2.66%,对道指的拖累最大,尽管稍早有报导称,美国的新一轮关税计划将豁免部份苹果产品。梅西百货 M.N 和Kohls Corp KSS.N 在内的零售股下跌,扶助拉低标普零售股指数 .SPXRT 下降2.1%。推特 TWTR.N 跌4.2%,是标普科技指数中百分比跌幅最大的成份股,此前券商MoffettNathanson对公司支出上升表示担忧。

日本股市周一因国定假日「敬老日」休市一天。

 

Technical  Analysis
USDJPY

从日线图上看,美元/日元隔夜小幅收跌,交投于112关口附近。技术指标上,MACD看涨动能柱微缩,RSI指标小幅向下。后市看来,价格支撑位于111.400一线附近。上行方面,价格初步阻力目标考验112一线,突破则进一步指向112.300一线。

 

EURUSD

从日线图上看,欧元/美元隔夜温和收涨,一度逼近1.17000一线。技术指标上,MACD看涨动能柱扩张,RSI指标小幅向上。后市看来,价格支撑考验1.16300一线。上行方面,价格阻力目标指向1.17400一线。

 

GBPUSD

从日线图上看,英镑/美元隔夜大幅收涨,最高探至1.31636一线。技术指标上,MACD看涨动能柱微增,RSI指标小幅向上。后市看来,价格关键支撑依旧考验1.30关口。上行方面,价格阻力目标位于1.32000一线。

 

XAUUSD

从日线图上看,金价隔夜反弹收涨,尾盘收至1200关口上方,保持横盘整理态势。技术指标上,MACD看涨动能柱扩张,RSI指标小幅向上。后市来看,金价阻力目标指向1210一线。下行方面,金价初步支撑考验1190一线。

 

CL_

 

从日线图上看,油价隔夜震荡收平,最高触及69.70一线后收窄。技术指标上,MACD看涨动能柱缩减,RSI指标小幅向下。后市来看,油价初步支撑位于67.00一线。上行方面,油价阻力位指向70关口。

 

DJ_

从日线图上看,价格隔夜小幅收跌,持稳于26000关口上方。技术指标上,MACD看跌动能柱微增,RSI指标向下。后市来看,价格阻力目标考验26200一线。下行方面,价格支撑看向25870一线。

 

 

 

 

17 9月 2018

Daily Market View

   

Daily Market View

Monday, September 17, 2018
          U.S Stock Market

 

DJIA S & P 500 NASDAQ
26159 2906.50 7544.75
+0.03% +0.03% -0.05%

 

U.S stocks posted a late rally to close mostly higher for a fifth consecutive day, led by gains in the financial and energy sectors. The dollar strengthened after U.S. 10-year note yields briefly climbed past 3 percent. The S&P 500 and Dow finished just in the green after slumping midday, when Bloomberg News reported that President Donald Trump instructed aides to proceed with tariffs on about $200 billion more in Chinese products. Financial markets were whipsawed this week by conflicting reports on the status of trade relations between the world’s two largest economies. The NASDAQ closer lower though up for the week. The push for additional tariffs is despite the U.S. Treasury secretary’s attempt to restart talks with Beijing to resolve the trade war, according to four people familiar with the matter. From cooling U.S. inflation to central-bank meetings in Europe, the U.K. Turkey and Russia, it was a busy week for investors.

 

 

Major Economic Releases for Today
Period Event GMT Forecast Previous

sep

Switzerland Total Sight Deposits CHF 08:00    

aug

Euro-Zone Consumer Price Index Core (YoY) 09:00   1.0%

aug

Euro-Zone Consumer Price Index (YoY) (AUG F) 09:00   2.1%

jul

Canada International Securities Transactions (Canadian dollar) 12:30   11.55b

sep

U.S Empire Manufacturing 12:30   25.6

aug

Canada Existing Home Sales (MoM) 13:00   1.9%

 

U.S to Sell 3-Month Bills 15:30    

 

U.S to Sell 6-Month Bills 15:30    

sep

Australia ANZ Roy Morgan Weekly Consumer Confidence Index 23:30    
Dow Jones Industrial Average

The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 0.03% to hit a new 6-month high. The best performers of the session on the Dow Jones Industrial Average were United Technologies Corporation, which rose 1.68% or 2.28 points to trade at 137.80 at the close. Meanwhile, Boeing Co added 1.22% or 4.34 points to end at 359.80 and Chevron Corp was up 0.93% or 1.08 points to 117.38 in late trade. The worst performers of the session were Walt Disney Company, which fell 1.27% or 1.41 points to trade at 109.26 at the close. Apple Inc. declined 1.14% or 2.57 points to end at 223.84 and McDonald’s Corporation was down 0.96% or 1.56 points to 160.84.

 

 

 

NASDAQ 100

The tech heavy NASDAQ index fell 0.05% on Friday. The top performers on the NASDAQ Composite were My Size Inc. which rose 28.57% to 1.35, Champions Oncology Inc. which was up 24.76% to settle at 10.5800 and Kandi Technologies Group Inc. which gained 23.38% to close at 4.750. The worst performers were Altimmune Inc. which was down 27.34% to 5.450 in late trade, Vital Thera which lost 29.75% to settle at 0.35 and Agile Thrpe which was down 25.36% to 0.36 at the close.

 

 

Oil

Oil prices pulled back on Friday amid concerns additional U.S tariffs would be placed on China, trading mixed after a rally triggered by worries of more sanctions on Iran. Crude futures were on track to end the week up about 1.6 percent. Traders said a rally on Friday was sparked by reports Secretary of State Michael Pompeo was going to give a press conference on new sanctions on Iran. It increases the odds that there will be less oil coming out of there. The gains from the expected news conference were curbed after reports U.S. President Donald Trump instructed aides to proceed with tariffs on about $200 billion more of Chinese products. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) futures settled up 40 cents at $68.99 a barrel after dropping 2.5 percent on Thursday. U.S. energy companies last week added oil rigs for a second week in a row. Drillers added two oil rigs in the week bringing the total count up to 749.

 

 

 

Precious and Base Metals

Gold turned negative on Friday, as the U.S. dollar rose against the Chinese yuan after U.S. President Donald Trump reportedly told aides to proceed with tariffs on Chinese imports. Trump has directed aides to place tariffs on about $200 billion of Chinese goods, according to a person familiar with the matter. Bloomberg News first reported Trump’s action. After the latest U.S.-China tariff development, the dollar index extended earlier gains against a basket of currencies, including the yuan, while the S&P 500 declined. Spot gold lost 0.5 percent at $1,195.21 per ounce, having hit its highest since Aug. 28 at $1,212.65 on Thursday. It has risen more than 0.1 percent so far this week, on track for its first weekly gain in three. U.S. gold futures for December delivery settled down $7.10, or 0.6 percent, at $1,201.10 per ounce. The months-long trade tension between Washington and Beijing has prompted investors to buy the U.S. dollar, in the belief that the United States has less to lose from the dispute. Gold has shown a close correlation to the currency of China, the biggest gold-consuming nation, analysts say. Meanwhile, investors widely expect another U.S. interest rate increase. Higher rates make gold less attractive since it does not pay interest but cost money to store and insure. Gold prices have declined about 12 percent from a peak of $1,365.23 in April amid the intensifying global trade tensions and rising U.S. interest rates. In other precious metals, spot silver dropped 0.4 percent at $14.10 per ounce, headed for a 0.1 percent weekly increase. Palladium declined 0.4 percent at $978.30 and was poised for a 0.1 percent weekly decline. Platinum declined 0.9 percent at $793 an ounce after touching a one-month high at $812.30 on Thursday, to end the week up about 1.9 percent. We’ve seen some traders dipping their toes back in platinum, which is at a near record discount to gold.

 

 

 

 

Traditional Agriculture

Wheat futures jumped three percent on Friday, rebounding from an eight-week low on a round of technical buying and short-covering ahead of the weekend. The gains in wheat pulled corn futures slightly higher but expectations for a bumper U.S. harvest stifled rally attempts.

 

 

 

Futures Settlement Price Friday, September 14, 2018
Instrument Contract Open High Low Settlement Net Change
DJIA DJM18 26155 26234 26076 26159 2
S & P 500 SPM18 2904.5 2912.25 2896.75 2906.5 1.5
NASDAQ 100 NDM18 7563 7598.25 7515 7544.75 -19.25
Hang Seng HSH18 27228 27340 26999 27247 264
Nikkei 225 NKH18 22780 22980 22780 22980 350
FTSE 100 FTH18 7307 7323 7280 7308.5 19
Gold GCJ18 1206.5 1213.5 1197.4 1200.4 -5.8
Silver SIK18 1420 1430.5 1408 1412.5 -6
Copper HGK18 267.6 269.85 263.4 264.5 -3.05
Crude Oil CLK18 68.76 69.87 67.91 68.94 0.17
Wheat WK18 496.5 513.75 496.25 510.75 14.75
Soybeans SK18 833.75 837.5 829.25 830 -3.5
Corn CK18 350 352 349.25 351 1

 

 

Daily Swings  (The Pivot Levels)
  Trading Range  
Contract S3 S2 S1 Pivot R1 R2 R3
DJM18 25921 25998 26079 26156 26237 26314 26395
SPM18 2882.58 2889.67 2898.08 2905.17 2913.58 2920.67 2929.08
NDM18 7423.83 7469.42 7507.08 7552.67 7590.33 7635.92 7673.58
HSH18 26710 26854 27051 27195 27392 27536 27733
NKH18 22647 22713 22847 22913 23047 23113 23247
FTH18 7241.67 7260.83 7284.67 7303.83 7327.67 7346.83 7370.67
GCJ18 1177.93 1187.67 1194.03 1203.77 1210.13 1219.87 1226.23
SIK18 1381.00 1394.50 1403.50 1417.00 1426.00 1439.50 1448.50
HGK18 255.53 259.47 261.98 265.92 268.43 272.37 274.88
CLK18 65.98 66.95 67.94 68.91 69.90 70.87 71.86
WK18 482.58 489.42 500.08 506.92 517.58 524.42 535.08
SK18 818.75 824.00 827.00 832.25 835.25 840.50 843.50
CK18 346.75 348.00 349.50 350.75 352.25 353.50 355.00

 

 

 Source: – News & Quotes (Courtesy:  Reuters)                                                                    

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This information has been prepared for information only and does not constitute an offer or commitment. This information does not constitute investment advice as defined by the rules of the FCA.

The firm or its staff members may trade on their own account and may from time to time hold or act as market makers in investments mentioned in this document. Please note that the firm makes no warranty, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions herein. All parties are advised to seek independent professional advice as to the suitability of any products and to their tax, accounting, legal or regulatory implications. City Credit Capital (UK) Ltd is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, reg 232015.