02 8月 2018

       

 FOREX Newsletter

 August 02, 2018
 

 

Pulse of the Market

·      ISM manufacturing index showed a reading of 58.1 for July, missing expectations of 59.4

·      Private payrolls grew by 219,000 for July, rising from the 181,000 seen in June

·      The Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee is widely expected to raise the bank rate today

·      The Canadian Dollar strengthened to a nearly seven-week high against its U.S counterpart

The Dollar rose modestly against its rivals amid mixed U.S economic data on the labor market and manufacturing ahead of Federal Reserve’s policy decision. The U.S. dollar index, which measures the greenback against a trade-weighted basket of six major currencies, rose by 0.15% to 94.47. ISM manufacturing index showed a reading of 58.1 for July, missing expectations of 59.4. A reading above 50 in the ISM index indicates an expansion in manufacturing, which accounts for about 12% of the U.S. economy. The ISM Employment sub-index showed a reading of 56.5 for July, topping expectations of 56.0, supporting the narrative of a strong U.S. labor market as the private sector also saw strong job growth. Private payrolls grew by 219,000 for July, rising from the 181,000 seen in June, according to a report released Wednesday by ADP and Moody’s Analytics. That beat economists’ forecast of 186,000. The slew of economic data arrived just hours ahead of the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision and accompanying monetary policy statement due 2 p.m. ET. The Federal Open Market Committee is expected to vote to leave interest rates unchanged, but market participants are expected to closely parse the accompanying statement for any tweaks in language on monetary policy. According to Fed Rate Monitor Tool, 97.9% of traders expected the Federal Reserve to stand pat on interest rates. That is slightly higher than the 96.9% seen a day earlier. The dollar lost ground against the yen as the latter drew strength from a sharp uptick in Japan 10-year bond yields in the wake of the Bank of Japan’s decision Tuesday to permit long-term rates to fluctuate between zero and 0.2%, depending on economic and price developments. USD/JPY fell 0.16% Y111.68 after trading as high as Y112.15 GBP/USD fell 0.05% to $1.3117 as traders looked ahead to the Bank of England’s rate decision on Thursday. The Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee is widely expected to raise the 0.50% bank rate today’s meeting to 0.75%.

 

   

 

 

Time(GMT)   Economic Release IMP Actual Forecast Prior
01:30 Australia Trade Balance (JUN) Medium   A$900m A$827m
05:45 Switzerland SECO Consumer Confidence (JUL) Medium   2 2
07:15 Switzerland Retail Sales Real (YoY) (JUN) Medium   0.0% -0.1%
07:30 Switzerland PMI Manufacturing (JUL) Medium   60.9 61.6
08:30 Markit/CIPS UK Construction PMI (JUL) Medium   52.8 53.1
09:00 Euro-Zone Producer Price Index (YoY) (JUN) Low   3.5% 3.0%
11:00 Bank of England Bank Rate (2 AUG) High   0.75% 0.50%
11:00 BOE Asset Purchase Target (AUG) High   435b 435b
11:00 Bank of England Inflation Report High      
12:30 U.S Initial Jobless Claims (28 JUL) Medium   220k 217k
12:30 U.S Continuing Claims (21 JUL) Medium     1745k
14:00 U.S Factory Orders (JUN) Medium   0.7% 0.4%
14:00 U.S Durable Goods Orders (JUN) Medium     1.0%
23:50 BOJ Minutes of Policy Meeting (JUN) Medium      

 

Euro

The single currency struggled as fears of an escalation in the trade dispute between the United States and China boosted the dollar and a survey showing subdued euro zone manufacturing growth in July kept investors cautious. The U.S. administration plans to propose a 25 percent tariff on $200 billion in Chinese imports, up from an original 10 percent. Overall, the EUR/USD traded with a low of 1.1655 and a high of 1.1698 before closing the day around 1.1658 in the New York session.

 

Yen

The Japanese Yen fell as the Bank of Japan offers minimal tweaks to its loose monetary policy. After the Bank of Japan (BOJ) released the statement on Tuesday that it would make its policy framework more flexible for the long term, Yen took a dip. However, for now, the bank only made a few tweaks to its ultra-loose monetary policy. Overall, the USD/JPY traded with a low of 111.37 and a high of 112.13 before closing the day around 111.70 in the U.S session.

 

British Pound

The British Pound trod water as traders shunned the currency ahead of Bank of England interest rate decision, although strategists at Nordea Markets say Sterling will almost certainly be found wanting after the event and that they favor selling the currency. The Bank of England is widely expected by the market to raise UK interest rates to 0.75% on Thursday. Overall, the GBP/USD traded with a low of 1.3093 and a high of 1.3142 before closing the day at 1.3124 in the New York session.

 

Canadian Dollar

The Canadian Dollar strengthened to a nearly seven-week high against its U.S counterpart as the U.S Federal Reserve left interest rates on hold and officials signaled progress in talks to update the NAFTA trade pact. The United States and Mexico are getting close to a deal on the key issue of autos content rules at negotiations to renew the NAFTA.   Overall, USD/CAD traded with a low of 1.2972 and a high of 1.3030 before closing the day at 1.3001 in the New York session.

 

Australian Dollar

The Australian Dollar has rallied a bit during the trading session yesterday, but this is a very busy week and therefore I think it’s very unlikely that we can make a longer-term move in the next couple of days. By the end of the week, we may have some clarity, as we get the jobs number out of America. At this point though, I do believe that pullbacks are buying opportunities. Overall, AUD/USD traded with a low of 0.7388 and a high of 0.7427 before closing the day at 0.7402 in the New York session.

 

Euro-Yen

EUR/JPY is trading above 14, 50 and 100 days moving average. Fast stochastic is giving a bearish tone and MACD is also issuing a bearish stance. The Relative Strength Index is above 52 and lies above the neutral zone. In general, the pair has lost 0.40%.

 

Sterling-Yen

Currently, GBP/JPY is trading above 14, 50 and 100 days moving average. Fast stochastic is issuing a bearish tone and MACD is also indicating a bearish stance. The Relative Strength Index is above 52 reading and lies above the neutral zone. On the whole, the pair has lost 0.11%.

  

Aussie-Yen

Currently, the cross is trading above 14, 50 and 100 days moving average. Fast stochastic is giving a bearish tone and MACD is also indicating a bearish stance. The Relative Strength Index is above 51 reading and lies above the neutral region. In general, the pair has lost 0.39%.

  

Euro-Sterling

This cross is currently trading above 14, 50 and 100 days moving average. Fast stochastic is indicating a bearish tone and MACD is issuing a bullish signal. The Relative Strength Index is above 53 and lies above the neutral region. On the whole, the pair has lost 0.27%.

   

Sterling-Swiss

This cross is trading above 14, 50 and below 100 days moving average. Fast stochastic is issuing a bearish stance and MACD is indicating a bullish tone. The Relative Strength Index is above 42 and lies below the neutral region. In general, the pair has gained 0.18%.

 

Appendix

  

FOREX Closing Prices for August 01, 2018
Currency Open High Low Close Net Chg
EUR/USD 1.16918 1.16983 1.16558 1.16582 -0.0032
USD/JPY 111.811 112.133 111.371 111.702 -0.1510
GBP/USD 1.31195 1.31426 1.30933 1.31245 0.0002
USD/CHF 0.98995 0.99325 0.98976 0.99194 0.0019
USD/CAD 1.30103 1.30304 1.29729 1.30013 -0.0002
EUR/JPY 130.727 131.083 130.008 130.246 -0.5190
GBP/JPY 146.704 147.122 146.288 146.612 -0.1620
CHF/JPY 112.908 113.75 112.398 112.58 -0.3430
AUD/JPY 83.003 83.093 82.448 82.686 -0.3240
EUR/GBP 0.89092 0.89153 0.88812 0.88817 -0.0024
EUR/CHF 1.15758 1.16017 1.15621 1.15648 -0.0011
GBP/CHF 1.29895 1.30282 1.29794 1.30182 0.0023

   

Daily Pivot Points
  Trading Range  
Contract S3 S2 S1 Pivot R1 R2 R3
EUR/USD 1.1601 1.1628 1.1643 1.1671 1.1686 1.1713 1.1728
USD/JPY 110.58 110.97 111.34 111.74 112.10 112.50 112.86
GBP/USD 1.3048 1.3071 1.3098 1.3120 1.3147 1.3169 1.3196
USD/CHF 0.9866 0.9882 0.9901 0.9917 0.9935 0.9951 0.9970
USD/CAD 1.2915 1.2944 1.2973 1.3002 1.3030 1.3059 1.3088
EUR/JPY 128.73 129.37 129.81 130.45 130.88 131.52 131.96
GBP/JPY 145.39 145.84 146.23 146.67 147.06 147.51 147.89
CHF/JPY 110.72 111.56 112.07 112.91 113.42 114.26 114.77
AUD/JPY 81.75 82.10 82.39 82.74 83.04 83.39 83.68
EUR/GBP 0.8836 0.8859 0.8870 0.8893 0.8904 0.8927 0.8938
EUR/CHF 1.1511 1.1537 1.1551 1.1576 1.1590 1.1616 1.1630
GBP/CHF 1.2940 1.2960 1.2989 1.3009 1.3038 1.3057 1.3087

 

Sources:  News, Charts & Quotes (Courtesy: Reuters, US Department Of Treasury)

 

 

Disclaimer

This information has been prepared for information only and does not constitute an offer or commitment. This information does not constitute investment advice as defined by the rules of the FCA.

The firm or its staff members may trade on their own account and may from time to time hold or act as market makers in investments mentioned in this document. Please note that the firm makes no warranty, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions herein. All parties are advised to seek independent professional advice as to the suitability of any products and to their tax, accounting, legal or regulatory implications. City Credit Capital (UK) Ltd is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, reg 232015.

 

 

市场报告                     2018-08-02

     
Market Summary
周三(8月1日)美市盘中,备受关注的美联储决议如期揭开帷幕。一如市场广泛预期,委员会一致投票决定将基准利率的目标区间保持在1.75%至2.00%不变。利率决议公布之后,美元指数短线下挫10余点,最低触及94.56。日内公布的数据显示,美国ADP7月就业人数上升21.9万,高于预期17.5万,连续录得增加显示就业强劲;美国7月ISM制造业指数低于预期59.4,为58.1;美国7月Markit制造业PMI终值55.3,略低于前值55.5,数据表明美国制造业继续扩张,但越来越多的迹象显示,供应短缺、价格上涨和出口恶化等不利因素正在加剧;美国6月营建支出月率下跌1.1%,低于前值0.4%和预期0.3%,因私人和公共投资项目有所下降,但前几个月的支出被修正为大幅上涨。日内数据喜忧参半,整体对市场影响不明显。

现货黄金周三亚市早盘开于1223.80美元/金衡盎司后,金价上涨,录得日内高点1224.55美元/金衡盎司后转跌,金价震荡下行。在美联储宣布维持现有利率不变之后,短线跳涨约3美元,缩减日内跌幅,金价重返1220关口上方,但涨势未能持久再度转跌,终收于1216.00美元/金衡盎司。

国际原油周三收跌1.1美元,或1.60%,报67.85美元/桶。日内美国能源信息署(EIA)公布报告显示,美国汽油库存减少253.6万桶,连续5周录得下滑,不过美国原油库存增加380.3万桶,美国精炼油库存增加298.3万桶,同时OEPC和俄罗斯增产计划正在稳步推进,这令原油多头忧虑增加,而美元企稳反弹也加大了油价的下行压力。

美国股市标普500指数和道指周三下滑,因苹果 AAPL.O 股价上涨被能源和工业股下跌所抵消。道琼工业指数跌81.37点,或0.32%,至25,333.82点;标准普尔500指数挫2.93点,或0.10%,至2,813.36点;纳斯达克指数上涨35.50点,或0.46%,至7,707.29点。

个股方面,苹果 AAPL.O 股价创纪录新高,因智能手机需求强劲。特斯拉 TSLA.O 股价在盘后交易中走势震荡,此前发布第二季业绩。能源股 .SPNY 则因油价下跌而承压。同时有消息称,特朗普政府正考虑提高中国的商品的关税税率,对贸易敏感的股票因此受消息影响下跌,标普500工业股指数 .SPLRCI 下跌1.3%。

日本股市日经指数周三上涨,并刷新12日高点,得益于索尼和夏普等蓝筹股的业绩强劲。日经指数收盘涨0.86%至22,746.70点,盘中一度触及7月20日以来最高水准22,775.47点。

个股方面,索尼劲扬4.8%,之前公司公布第一季获利创纪录,因游戏软件销售激增。任天堂第一季营业利润跳涨88%,支撑该股大涨6.37%。夏普涨7.2%,之前其公布季度营业利润增长45%。电子元器件制造商京瓷涨5.9%,显示器生产商Nitto Denko Corp上扬8%。

Technical  Analysis
USDJPY

从日线图上看,美元/日元隔夜震荡收低,交投于111.800一线附近。技术指标上,MACD看跌动能柱缩减,RSI指标向下。后市看来,价格支撑目标指向111.400一线。上行方面,价格关键阻力位于112关口。

 

EURUSD

从日线图上看,欧元/美元隔夜小幅收跌,最低探至1.16560一线。技术指标上,MACD看涨动能柱缩减殆尽,双线于零轴下方运行,RSI指标小幅向下。后市看来,价格支撑目标考验1.16200一线。上行方面,价格关键阻力位依旧指向1.17400一线。

 

GBPUSD

从日线图上看,英镑/美元隔夜震荡收平,窄幅交投于1.31200一线附近。技术指标上,MACD看涨动能柱微增,双线黏合,RSI指标走平。后市看来,价格料维持震荡整理,支撑目标考验1.30000一线。上行方面,价格关键阻力位1.32000一线。

 

XAUUSD

从日线图上看,金价隔夜回落收跌,探低至1215.60一线。技术指标上,MACD看涨动能柱缩减,RSI指标小幅向下。后市来看,金价初步阻力考验1223.00一线。下行方面,金价目标支撑考验1210.00一线。

 

CL_

从日线图上看,油价隔夜延续回落,最低触及67.30一线后有所收窄。技术指标上,MACD看跌动能柱扩张,RSI指标向下延伸。后市来看,油价初步阻力位于69.00一线,下行方面,油价支撑目标进一步考验67.10一线。

 

DJ_

从日线图上看,价格隔夜大幅收跌,走出阴包阳形态。技术指标上,MACD看涨动能柱缩减,RSI指标向下。后市来看,价格阻力目标指向25500一线。下行方面,价格初步支撑看向25200一线,关键支撑位25000关口。

 

NK_

从日线图上看,价格隔夜小幅收涨,一度探高至22805一线后有所收窄。技术指标上,MACD看涨动能柱微增,RSI指标向上。后市来看,价格下方支撑位考验22500一线,上方阻力位看向前期高点22890一线。

 

 

 

01 8月 2018

FOREX Newsletter

     

FOREX Newsletter

August 01, 2018

 

Pulse of the Market

·      U.S personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index excluding food and energy rose 0.1%

·      Euro zone economic growth slowed further in the second quarter, preliminary data showed

·      Sterling has recuperated somewhat in recent sessions, moving away from the 10-month low

·      The Canadian dollar rose to a nearly seven-week high against its U.S. counterpart yesterday

The U.S Dollar edged higher yesterday, shrugging off mixed economic data showing inflation remained close to Federal Reserve’s target as the two-day Fed meeting kicked off. The U.S dollar index, which measures the greenback against a trade-weighted basket of six major currencies, rose by 0.16% to 94.28. The Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation measure, the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index excluding food and energy, rose 0.1%, in June in line with forecasts, but rose 1.9% in the 12 months through June, lower than economists’ estimates. The slower pace of inflation did little to alter investor rate-hike expectations, despite calls from analysts suggesting the Fed may have to consider reining in rate hikes if inflation pressures continue to come up short. The Fed can continue on its path of gradual rate hikes for now, but unless inflation pressures start to build, they may have to scale back their forecasts of how high interest rates actually need to go in this business cycle. According to Fed Rate Monitor Tool, 96.9% of traders expected the Federal Reserve to stand pat on interest rates on Wednesday, unchanged from a day earlier. The Dollar started the session on the front foot, helped by a slump in the yen after the Bank of Japan left its loose monetary policy measures mostly unchanged but said it would allow fluctuating long-term rates between zero and 0.2%, depending on economic and price developments. Japan 10-Year bond yields retreated from highs on the news, pressuring the yen, as market participants had been speculating in the run up to the BoJ announcement that the central bank could take a more aggressive stance on policy tightening. Elsewhere, GBP/USD fell 0.03% to $1.3129 as traders weighed expectations for a Bank of England rate hike on Thursday and ongoing Brexit uncertainty.
   

 

Time(GMT)   Economic Release IMP Actual Forecast Prior
01:45 Caixin China PMI Mfg (JUL) Medium 50.9 51
06:00 U.K Nationwide House Px n.s.a. (YoY) (JUL) Medium 1.8% 2.0%
07:55 Markit/BME Germany Manufacturing PMI (JUL) Low 57.3 57.3
08:00 Markit Eurozone Manufacturing PMI (JUL) Low 55.1 55.1
08:30 Markit UK PMI Manufacturing s.a. (JUL) Medium 54.2 54.4
11:00 U.S MBA Mortgage Applications (27 JUL) Medium -0.2%
12:15 U.S ADP Employment Change (JUL) Medium 185k 177k
13:45 Markit US Manufacturing PMI (JUL) Low 55.5 55.5
14:00 U.S Construction Spending (MoM) (JUN) Medium 0.3% 0.4%
14:00 U.S ISM Manufacturing (JUL) High 59.3 60.2
14:00 U.S ISM Employment (JUL) High 56
14:00 U.S ISM Prices Paid (JUL) Medium 75.5 76.8
14:30 DOE U.S. Crude Oil Inventories (27 JUL) Medium -6147k
18:00 FOMC Rate Decision (Upper Bound) (1 AUG) High 2.00% 2.00%
18:00 FOMC Rate Decision (Lower Bound) (1 AUG) High 1.75% 1.75%

 

Euro

The single currency fell as the euro zone economy grew more slowly than expected in the second quarter, preliminary data showed yesterday, but headline and core inflation accelerated with unemployment stabilizing at a lower level. Headline consumer inflation accelerated to 2.1 percent year-on-year in July from 2.0 percent in June. Overall, the EUR/USD traded with a low of 1.1682 and a high of 1.1744 before closing the day around 1.1689 in the New York session.

 

Yen

The Japanese Yen fell against the dollar and registered its biggest daily loss in nearly three weeks o after the central bank pledged to keep interest rates low and adopted a forward guidance model to strengthen its commitment for its massive policy stimulus. The BOJ pledged to maintain its short-term interest rate target at minus 0.1 percent. Overall, the USD/JPY traded with a low of 110.72 and a high of 111.93 before closing the day around 111.85 in the U.S session.

 

British Pound

The British Pound slid below $1.31 yesterday as the dollar rebounded and investors prepared for a Bank of England policy meeting this week at which markets are now pricing in a near-90 percent chance of a 25 basis points rate rise. Sterling has recuperated somewhat in recent sessions, moving away from the 10-month low it touched earlier in July. Overall, the GBP/USD traded with a low of 1.3088 and a high of 1.3171 before closing the day at 1.3122 in the New York session.

 

Canadian Dollar

The Canadian Dollar rose to a nearly seven-week high against its U.S. counterpart in yesterday’s trading session as investors weighed a possible easing of global trade tensions and after data showed stronger-than-expected growth in the domestic economy. Canada’s economy grew by 0.5 per cent in May, the biggest rise in a year.  Overall, USD/CAD traded with a low of 1.2979 and a high of 1.3094 before closing the day at 1.3003 in the New York session.

 

Australian Dollar

The Australian Dollar gained yesterday after a surprise surge in the number of new building approvals issued during June showed fears over a possible collapse of the Aussie housing market to be overdone. Australian dwelling approvals rose by 6.4% on seasonally adjusted terms during June, up from an upwardly-revised contraction of -2.5% in May. Overall, AUD/USD traded with a low of 0.7402 and a high of 0.7438 before closing the day at 0.7425 in the New York session.

 

Euro-Yen

EUR/JPY is trading above 14, 50 and 100 days moving average. Fast stochastic is giving a bearish tone and MACD is also issuing a bearish stance. The Relative Strength Index is above 56 and lies above the neutral zone. In general, the pair has gained 0.59%.

 

Sterling-Yen

Currently, GBP/JPY is trading above 14, 50 and 100 days moving average. Fast stochastic is issuing a bearish tone and MACD is also indicating a bearish stance. The Relative Strength Index is above 50 reading and lies above the neutral zone. On the whole, the pair has gained 0.63%.

  

Aussie-Yen

Currently, the cross is trading above 14, 50 and 100 days moving average. Fast stochastic is giving a bearish tone and MACD is also indicating a bearish stance. The Relative Strength Index is above 55 reading and lies above the neutral region. In general, the pair has gained 0.90%.

 

 Euro-Sterling

This cross is currently trading above 14, 50 and 100 days moving average. Fast stochastic is indicating a bearish tone and MACD is issuing a bullish signal. The Relative Strength Index is above 58 and lies above the neutral region. On the whole, the pair has lost 0.09%.

  

Sterling-Swiss

This cross is trading above 14, 50 and below 100 days moving average. Fast stochastic is issuing a bearish stance and MACD is indicating a bullish tone. The Relative Strength Index is above 39 and lies below the neutral region. In general, the pair has gained 0.11%.

 

Appendix

 

 

FOREX Closing Prices for July 31, 2018
Currency Open High Low Close Net Chg
EUR/USD 1.17043 1.17444 1.16822 1.16899 -0.0017
USD/JPY 111.028 111.939 110.724 111.853 0.7960
GBP/USD 1.31337 1.31711 1.30882 1.31225 -0.0011
USD/CHF 0.98816 0.99025 0.98655 0.99006 0.0017
USD/CAD 1.30316 1.30941 1.29794 1.30035 -0.0034
EUR/JPY 129.965 131.127 129.676 130.765 0.7610
GBP/JPY 145.836 146.985 145.349 146.774 0.9170
CHF/JPY 112.325 113.155 112.108 112.923 0.5360
AUD/JPY 82.219 83.226 82.117 83.01 0.7400
EUR/GBP 0.89085 0.8934 0.89029 0.8906 -0.0008
EUR/CHF 1.15695 1.15958 1.15586 1.15763 0.0005
GBP/CHF 1.2979 1.3053 1.29468 1.29952 0.0014

 

 

 

Daily Pivot Points
  Trading Range  
Contract S3 S2 S1 Pivot R1 R2 R3
EUR/USD 1.1604 1.1643 1.1667 1.1706 1.1729 1.1768 1.1791
USD/JPY 109.86 110.29 111.07 111.51 112.29 112.72 113.50
GBP/USD 1.3001 1.3044 1.3083 1.3127 1.3166 1.3210 1.3249
USD/CHF 0.9840 0.9853 0.9877 0.9890 0.9914 0.9926 0.9951
USD/CAD 1.2843 1.2911 1.2957 1.3026 1.3072 1.3140 1.3187
EUR/JPY 128.47 129.07 129.92 130.52 131.37 131.97 132.82
GBP/JPY 144.12 144.73 145.75 146.37 147.39 148.01 149.03
CHF/JPY 111.26 111.68 112.30 112.73 113.35 113.78 114.40
AUD/JPY 81.23 81.68 82.34 82.78 83.45 83.89 84.56
EUR/GBP 0.8864 0.8883 0.8895 0.8914 0.8926 0.8945 0.8957
EUR/CHF 1.1521 1.1540 1.1558 1.1577 1.1595 1.1614 1.1632
GBP/CHF 1.2837 1.2892 1.2944 1.2998 1.3050 1.3105 1.3156

Sources:  News, Charts & Quotes (Courtesy: Reuters, US Department Of Treasury)

 

 

Disclaimer

This information has been prepared for information only and does not constitute an offer or commitment. This information does not constitute investment advice as defined by the rules of the FCA.

The firm or its staff members may trade on their own account and may from time to time hold or act as market makers in investments mentioned in this document. Please note that the firm makes no warranty, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions herein. All parties are advised to seek independent professional advice as to the suitability of any products and to their tax, accounting, legal or regulatory implications. City Credit Capital (UK) Ltd is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, reg 232015.

 

 

市场报告                     2018-08-01

     
Market Summary
周二(7月31日)美元指数小幅上涨,日内公布的美国数据有喜有忧,美元指数也因此而震荡。数据显示,美国6月PCE核心平减指数年率增长1.9%,不及前值2.0%,数据公布后,美元指数一度跌至94.16。不过随后公布的7月消费者信心指数上升到127.4,超过了预期的126.5;美国芝加哥PMI也大幅好于预期,7月芝加哥PMI为65.5,高于前值64.1和预期63.0,美元指数因此收回跌幅,回升至94.50上方,收报94.54。

现货黄金周二亚市早盘开于1221.20美元/金衡盎司后,金价窄幅波动。随后金价录得日内低点1213.60美元/金衡盎司又迅速反弹,多头大力上攻,金价震荡上行,录得日内高点1228.25美元/金衡盎司后吐回部分涨幅,并再度陷入盘整,终收于1223.80美元/金衡盎司。

国际原油周二收跌1.37美元或近2%,报68.38美元/桶。虽然有消息称美国和中国可能重启贸易磋商,但油市大致未受该消息影响,因石油输出国组织(OPEC)7月产量增加7万桶/日,创年内高位的3,264万桶/日,投资人因此担心供应增加,同时美元反弹也令油价承压。

美国股市周二反弹,工业股领涨,之前有报导称,美国财长努钦和中国副总理正在探讨让全球最大的两个经济体之间正在酝酿的贸易战降温的方法。道琼工业指数升108.36点,或0.43%,至25,415.19点;标准普尔500指数上扬13.69点,或0.49%,至2,816.29点;纳斯达克指数涨41.79点,或0.55%,至7,671.79点。

个股方面,苹果 AAPL.O 在盘后交易中上涨2%,此前该公司公布的业绩超过华尔街预期。药商辉瑞制药 PFE.N 第二季业绩也超过预期,该股收涨3.5%。标普医疗股指数 .SPXHC在公布业绩后攀升1.0%,给三大指数带来提振。 CBS Corp CBS.N 逆转跌势,上扬2.7%,之前洛杉矶检察官拒绝对公司执行长提起性骚扰诉讼,该公司董事会决定遴选一位外部律师对性侵指控展开调查。

日本股市在周二收高,因日本央行(BOJ)会议结果出炉,宣布导入前瞻指引、容许长期利率一度程度走升,日元走贬,也激励日经指数翻红,终场小涨0.04%或8.88点,收22,553.72点。

个股方面,任天堂重挫2.08%,Panasonic上扬0.42%,银行股指数下挫2.8%,为表现最差板块之一,因日本央行宣布决议后,公债收益率下滑。迅销收涨2.1%,过去一周曾因预计日本央行的政策调整而遭到抛售。

Technical  Analysis
USDJPY

从日线图上看,美元/日元隔夜大幅收涨,逼近112关口。技术指标上,MACD看跌动能柱缩减,RSI指标向上延伸。后市看来,价格支撑目标指向111.500一线。上行方面,价格初步阻力位于112关口,突破则进一步指向前高112.900一线。

 

EURUSD

从日线图上看,欧元/美元隔夜震荡收跌,一度触及日高至1.17444一线后跳水。技术指标上,MACD看涨动能柱微增,RSI指标小幅向下。后市看来,价格支撑目标考验1.16700一线。上行方面,价格关键阻力位依旧指向1.17400一线。

 

GBPUSD

从日线图上看,英镑/美元隔夜基本收平,震荡交投于1.31300一线附近。技术指标上,MACD看涨动能柱微增,双线黏合,RSI指标走平。后市看来,价格料维持震荡整理,支撑目标考验1.30000一线。上行方面,价格关键阻力位1.32000一线。

 

XAUUSD

从日线图上看,金价隔夜小幅收涨,一度触及日低至1213.60一线后反弹。技术指标上,MACD看涨动能柱扩张,RSI指标小幅向上。后市来看,金价初步阻力考验1232.00一线。下行方面,金价目标支撑考验1210.00一线。

 

CL_

从日线图上看,油价隔夜大幅收跌,全数回吐前一日升幅,最低触及68.03一线。技术指标上,MACD看跌动能柱扩张,RSI指标向下。后市来看,油价初步阻力位于69.20一线,下行方面,油价支撑目标进一步考验67.40一线。

 

DJ_

从日线图上看,价格隔夜反弹收涨,收复前一交易日跌幅。技术指标上,MACD看涨动能柱微缩,RSI指标小幅向上。后市来看,价格阻力目标指向25600一线。下行方面,价格初步支撑看向25250一线,关键支撑位25000关口。

 

NK_

从日线图上看,价格隔夜探底回升,一度触及日低至22330一线后反弹走高。技术指标上,MACD看涨动能柱温和,RSI指标向上。后市来看,价格下方支撑位考验22400一线,上方阻力位看向前期高点22890一线。