商品 CFD 日报                   2018-06-28

市场综述
周三(6月27日)美元指数走高,因美总统特朗普27日发表声明说,他支持通过落实目前美国国会审议的《外国投资风险评估现代化法》来限制外国实体收购美国关键技术。这意味着美政府暂时不会单独出台限制外国投资的额外行政措施。消息传来之后,市场风险情绪急剧抬头,美股高开高走,不过,白宫经济顾问库德洛随后表示,政府对中国的修订方针不应被描述为“撤退”。美股随即回吐部分涨幅,美元指数则延续涨势刷新日高至95.43。

现货黄金周三持续下跌至日内低位,美市盘中最低下探至 1250.60 美元/金衡盎司,因美元指数已站上95关口,继续施压黄金。数据方面,日内公布的美国5月成屋签约销售指数月率为下跌0.5%,高于前值但低于预期,美国5月耐用品订单月率为下跌0.6%,也高于前值及预期,这是自2016年6月以来,美国耐用品订单连续两个月出现下跌。有分析师指出,尽管全球贸易紧张,早些时候的美联储加息,以及欧元区实际利率为负值等因素都应该有助于黄金,但黄金不涨反跌,让人怀疑黄金是否失去了避险的吸引力。

国际原油周三收涨2.23美元,报72.24美元/桶。因数据报告全面利好,美国原油库存减少989.1万桶至4.166亿桶,连续3周录得下滑,且创2016年9月9日当周(94周)以来最大降幅,市场预估为减少257.2万桶。美国精炼油库存增加1.5万桶,市场预估为增加77.4万桶。美国汽油库存增加115.6万桶,市场预估为增加131.3万桶。这令原油多头信心大受提振,尽管石油输出国组织(OPEC)已经明确将逐步增产,但伊朗和利比亚原油供应下降料将抵消这一利空。

芝加哥期货交易所(CBOT)大豆期货周三基本持平,虽在盘中上涨,但尾盘涨幅消失殆尽,尽管白宫宣布的对中国收购美国敏感技术的态度有所软化。CBOT 8月大豆期货合约持平于每蒲式耳8.73美元。

芝加哥期货交易所(CBOT)玉米期货周三涨跌互现,盘中走势反复,在美国农业部关键的两份作物报告发布前,交易商纠结于不同的信号。CBOT 9月玉米合约收高1/2美分,报每蒲式耳3.61-3/4美元。

芝加哥期货交易所(CBOT)小麦期货周三收高,因三日连跌令9月合约挫至一周低位后,投资者逢低吸纳。CBOT 9月软红冬麦期货收高5-1/2美分,报每蒲式耳4.88-1/2美元。

COMEX期铜周三下跌,报收于297.40美分/磅。受美元上涨的影响,加之投资者担心中美两国贸易争端愈演愈烈。此外,投资者还将密切关注本周末中国将公布的制造业采购经理人指数(PMI),从中观察面对增长的贸易问题忧虑中国经济是否依然具有韧性。

技术分析
XAUUSD

日线图显示,金价隔夜下跌,最低探至1250.60。技术指标上,MACD看跌动能柱扩张,快线与慢线趋势向下,RSI指标于超卖区23。后市来看,上行方面,金价初步阻力考验1260.00一带。下行方面,金价目标支撑考验1245.00一带。

 

 XAGUSD

日线图显示,银价隔夜大幅下跌,最低探至15.933。技术指标上,MACD看跌动能柱扩张,快线与慢线趋势向下,RSI指标下行至36。后市来看,上行方面,银价初步阻力考验16.200一带,下行方面,银价目标支撑考验15.900一带。

 

 CL_

日线图显示,油价隔夜上涨,最高探至73.02。技术指标上,MACD看涨动能柱扩张,快线与慢线趋势向上,RSI指标向上延伸。后市来看,上行方面,油价初步阻力考验73.50一带,下行方面,油价目标支撑考验71.50一带。

  

HG_

日线图显示,铜价隔夜收跌,最低探至295.95。技术指标上,MACD看跌动能柱缩减,快线与慢线趋势向下,RSI指标下行至33。后市来看,上行方面,铜价初步阻力考验301.00一带,下行方面,铜价目标支撑考验294.00一带。

 

                           2018-06-28

   
市场综述
周三(6月27日)美国总统特朗普针对中国的投资限制,其立场有所软化,因此美元震荡走高。而日内公布的数据显示,美国5月扣除运输的耐用品订单月率初值意外下降0.3%,低于预期增长0.5%,不过4月数据由0.9%向上修正为年内最高1.9%,表明需求具有弹性。与此同时,美国5月贸易帐赤字由673亿美元缩窄至648亿美元。不过美国5月关键的资本商品等数据却意外下滑,但前月数据有所上修,表明美国第二季度企业设备开支温和增长。数据公布后,美元指数刷新日高至95.05。

加元方面,加拿大央行行长波洛兹在周三表示,在一个更加不确定的世界里,金融市场为经济提供了重要信号,而这些不确定性包括美国钢铁关税和更严格的抵押贷款资格等近期动态,称经济表现将为升息提供理据,并确保将渐进升息,此番话使得美元/加元短线暴拉100点,刷新日高至1.33839。

英镑方面,因英国央行官员对英国准备加息以及退欧对经济影响的不确定性表达谨慎立场之后,英国央行总裁卡尼在周三表示,英国的银行对无序退欧的局面有充分的准备,但对央行是否会在下一次在8月政策会议上加息则三缄其口,这一鸽派言论引发英镑跳水,英镑/美元扩大跌幅,下挫至一周低点1.31061。

 

技术分析
EURUSD

从日线图上看,欧元/美元隔夜收出阴线。技术指标上,EMA(9,15,30)呈空头排列,MACD快线及慢线位于零轴下方,并交叠在一起,RSI指标位于平衡区38。后市看来,价格阻力初步考验1.16000一线。下行方面,价格关键支撑位1.15000一线。

 

USDJPY

从日线图上看,美元/日元隔夜收出阳线。技术指标上,MACD看跌动能柱微缩,快线及慢线位于零轴上方,并呈下行趋势,RSI指标位于平衡区55。后市看来,价格阻力目标依旧考验110.700一线。下行方面,价格关键支撑位109.800一线。

 

GBPUSD

从日线图上看,英镑/美元隔夜收出阴线。技术指标上,EMA(9,15,30)呈空头排列,MACD快线及慢线位于零轴下方,RSI指标位于弱势区30。后市看来,价格阻力目标依旧考验1.31700一线。下行方面,价格关键支撑位1.30400一线。

 

27 6月 2018

FOREX Newsletter

      

  FOREX Newsletter

  June 27, 2018

  Pulse of the Market

·      Markets regained composure after remarks by White House trade adviser Peter Navarro

·      The Treasury Department is due to announce restrictions on Chinese investment in the U.S by Friday

·      Incoming BOE policymaker Jonathan Haskel said that there may be slacker in the UK economy

·      Trade tensions and NAFTA tape bombs are the fastest growing risks , leaving the loonie sensitive

The U.S Dollar rose to the day’s highs against a currency basket yesterday as market sentiment recovered a day after mounting trade tensions sparked a selloff in risky assets. The U.S dollar index, which measures the greenback’s strength against a basket of six major currencies, was up 0.32% to 94.25 after ending the previous session down 0.24%. The greenback had been pressured lower as long-term U.S. Treasury yields slid amid heightened risk aversion in financial markets. Markets regained composure after remarks by White House trade adviser Peter Navarro Monday helped ease some investor concerns about U.S. trade policy. Navarro indicated that plans to bar Chinese companies from investing in U.S. technology firms won’t be as damaging to the economy as markets are anticipating. The Treasury Department is due to announce restrictions on Chinese investment in the U.S by Friday. Such a move would counter a Chinese initiative to be a global leader in technology and mark another escalation in the trade conflict between Washington and Beijing, following the threat of tit-for-tat tariffs. Besides the trade dispute with China, U.S. President Donald Trump has ratcheted up trade tensions with the European Union by threatening tariffs on cars imported from the bloc. The dollar was still a touch lower against the yen, with USD/JPY last at 109.72, having fallen to a two-week low of 109.36 on Monday. The safe haven yen is often sought by investors in times of geopolitical tensions and market turmoil. The euro fell to the day’s lows, with EUR/USD down 0.38% to 1.1658 after edging up to a two-week high. Sterling was also lower against the firmer dollar, with GBP/USD sliding 0.35%. The pound came under pressure after incoming Bank of England policymaker Jonathan Haskel said that there may be slacker in the UK economy, which would weaken the case for interest rate hikes. He added that the central bank has scope to cut rates slightly lower in case of an economic downturn. The Canadian Dollar is on the verge of another leg down that could see it reach fresh multi-year lows against the US Dollar in the weeks ahead.

 

  
Time(GMT)   Economic Release IMP Actual Forecast Prior
01:00 New Zealand ANZ Activity Outlook (JUN) Medium     13.6
08:30 BOE’s Carney Speaks About Financial Stability Report High      
11:00 U.S MBA Mortgage Applications (JUN 22) Medium     5.1%
12:30 U.S Wholesale Inventories (MoM) (MAY) Medium   0.2% 0.1%
12:30 U.S Advance Goods Trade Balance (MAY) High   -$69.0b -$68.2b
12:30 U.S Durable Goods Orders (MAY) High   -0.9% -1.6%
12:30 U.S Durables Ex Transportation (MAY) Medium   0.5% 0.9%
14:00 U.S Pending Home Sales (YoY) (MAY) Medium     0.4%
14:30 DOE U.S. Crude Oil Inventories (JUN 22) Medium     -5914k
16:15 U.S Fed’s Rosengren Speaks on Ethics and Economics Low      
19:00 Bank of Canada Governor Stephen Poloz Gives Speech in Victoria High      
21:00 RBNZ Official Cash Rate (JUN 28) High   1.75% 1.75%

 

Euro

The single currency ended yesterday’s trading session lower. EU summit that was supposed to be dominated by unity on a common problem has instead turned into discord. As of a month ago, this week’s gathering of EU heads of government in Brussels was set to focus on Brexit. The UK was expected to finally present its plans for the future relationship. Overall, the EUR/USD traded with a low of 1.1633 and a high of 1.1719 before closing the day around 1.1646 in the New York session.

 

Yen

The Japanese Yen pair built on its intraday recovery from two-week lows and is now looking to build on its momentum back above the key 110.00 psychological mark. Against the backdrop of a goodish pickup in the US Dollar demand, a positive opening across the US equity markets weighed on the Japanese Yen’s safe-haven appeal. Overall, the USD/JPY traded with a low of 109.35 and a high of 110.19 before closing the day around 110.01 in the U.S session.

 

British Pound

The British Pound fell after comments by John Haskel, an incoming member of the Monetary Policy Committee of the Bank of England. Haskel was a relatively unknown voice until now, and his dovish commentary and the concerns he voiced for the possible impact on the British economy after the Brexit resulted in a swift sell off for the Pound. Overall, the GBP/USD traded with a low of 1.3190 and a high of 1.3290 before closing the day at 1.3221 in the New York session.

 

Canadian Dollar

The Canadian Dollar continues to have a quiet week. Yesterday North American session, USD/CAD is traded up 0.19% on the day. On the release front, there were no Canadian events until Thursday, so U.S indicators will have an added impact on the movement of USD/CAD. The Bank of Canada has dropped hints that it is ready to raise rates in the second half of 2018. Overall, USD/CAD traded with a low of 1.3278 and a high of 1.3327 before closing the day at 1.3304 in the New York session.

 

Australian Dollar

The Australian Dollar continued to struggle through yesterday as a lack of any meaningful data for release to start of the week hindered any chance of movements higher. The Aussie dollar was dragged down once again by ongoing trade tensions and a drop-in equity prices. Aussie was one of the worst performing currencies of the day. Overall, AUD/USD traded with a low of 0.7378 and a high of 0.7421 before closing the day at 0.7388 in the New York session.

 

 

Euro-Yen

EUR/JPY is trading below 14, 50 and 100 days moving average. Fast stochastic is giving a bearish tone and MACD is also issuing a bearish stance. The Relative Strength Index is above 42 and lies below the neutral zone. In general, the pair has lost 0.28%.

 

 Sterling-Yen

Currently, GBP/JPY is trading below 14, 50 and 100 days moving average. Fast stochastic is issuing a bearish tone and MACD is also indicating a bearish stance. The Relative Strength Index is above 41 reading and lies below the neutral zone. On the whole, the pair has lost 0.18%.

  

Aussie-Yen

 

 

Currently, the cross is trading below 14, 50 and 100 days moving average. Fast stochastic is giving a bearish tone and MACD is indicating a bullish stance. The Relative Strength Index is above 40 reading and lies below the neutral region. In general, the pair has lost 0.08%.

 

 Euro-Sterling

 

 

This cross is currently trading above 14, 50 and 100 days moving average. Fast stochastic is indicating a bullish tone and MACD is also issuing a bullish signal. The Relative Strength Index is above 53 and lies above the neutral region. On the whole, the pair has lost 0.07%.

 

 Sterling-Swiss

This cross is trading below 14, 50 and 100 days moving average. Fast stochastic is issuing a bearish stance and MACD is indicating a bullish tone. The Relative Strength Index is above 37 and lies below the neutral region. In general, the pair has lost 0.06%.

 

 

Appendix

 

FOREX Closing Prices for June 26, 2018
Currency Open High Low Close Net Chg
EUR/USD 1.17018 1.1719 1.16335 1.16461 -0.0059
USD/JPY 109.751 110.197 109.35 110.016 0.2420
GBP/USD 1.32777 1.32901 1.31906 1.32211 -0.0060
USD/CHF 0.98675 0.99213 0.98565 0.99047 0.0034
USD/CAD 1.32925 1.3327 1.32785 1.33048 0.0006
EUR/JPY 128.46 128.481 127.777 128.158 -0.3550
GBP/JPY 145.752 145.778 144.948 145.503 -0.2690
CHF/JPY 111.182 111.231 110.74 111.018 -0.2230
AUD/JPY 81.339 81.425 80.935 81.337 -0.0650
EUR/GBP 0.88103 0.88207 0.87965 0.88073 -0.0006
EUR/CHF 1.15515 1.15626 1.15226 1.15365 -0.0017
GBP/CHF 1.31045 1.31266 1.30648 1.31014 -0.0008

  

 

Daily Pivot Points
  Trading Range  
Contract S3 S2 S1 Pivot R1 R2 R3
EUR/USD 1.1528 1.1581 1.1613 1.1666 1.1699 1.1752 1.1784
USD/JPY 108.66 109.01 109.51 109.85 110.36 110.70 111.21
GBP/USD 1.3078 1.3134 1.3178 1.3234 1.3277 1.3333 1.3377
USD/CHF 0.9802 0.9829 0.9867 0.9894 0.9932 0.9959 0.9997
USD/CAD 1.3231 1.3255 1.3280 1.3303 1.3328 1.3352 1.3377
EUR/JPY 127.09 127.43 127.80 128.14 128.50 128.84 129.20
GBP/JPY 144.21 144.58 145.04 145.41 145.87 146.24 146.70
CHF/JPY 110.27 110.51 110.76 111.00 111.25 111.49 111.74
AUD/JPY 80.55 80.74 81.04 81.23 81.53 81.72 82.02
EUR/GBP 0.8771 0.8784 0.8796 0.8808 0.8820 0.8832 0.8844
EUR/CHF 1.1479 1.1501 1.1519 1.1541 1.1559 1.1581 1.1599
GBP/CHF 1.3007 1.3036 1.3069 1.3098 1.3130 1.3159 1.3192

Sources:  News, Charts & Quotes (Courtesy: Reuters, US Department Of Treasury)

 

Disclaimer

This information has been prepared for information only and does not constitute an offer or commitment. This information does not constitute investment advice as defined by the rules of the FCA.

The firm or its staff members may trade on their own account and may from time to time hold or act as market makers in investments mentioned in this document. Please note that the firm makes no warranty, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions herein. All parties are advised to seek independent professional advice as to the suitability of any products and to their tax, accounting, legal or regulatory implications. City Credit Capital (UK) Ltd is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, reg 232015.

 

 

证券 CFD 亚洲                2018-06-27

 

 
市场综述
日本股市周三(6月27日)收低,此前油价上涨损及橡胶产品制造商、航空公司和船运商,与此同时多家公司将进行除息,加重了大盘的疲势。不过日股脱离早前触及的低点,交易员怀疑这与日本央行买入上市交易基金(ETF)有关。截至收盘,日经225指数收低0.3%至22,271.77点。东证股价指数微幅收高0.02%,报1,731.45点。

周三除息的日经指数成份股有日本烟草(JT) 、佳能、普利司通,股价分别下挫3.9%、3.0%及3.0%。投资人仍对美国与其贸易伙伴的贸易紧张局势保持警惕,这在过去一周令市场受到打压。出光兴产和昭和壳牌石油逆市上扬,此前日本经济新闻报导称,出光兴产的创始家族同意了与昭和壳牌石油合并的计划。

港股方面,美国禁止各国进口伊朗石油,再加上原油库存减少,原油期货价格飙升。人民币兑美元汇率连日大跌,离岸人民币(CNH)昨跌逾500点子,跌穿6.59,逼近6.6关,连跌9天。今日早盘,恒指高开低走,盘中转跌,午后恒指跌幅进一步扩大,不仅跌超1%,更是接近跌2%。截至收盘,恒指跌1.82%,报28356.26点;国企指数跌2.16%,报10879.17点;红筹指数涨1.99%,报4251.18点。大市成交1212.97亿港元。

个股方面,地产股继续下挫行情,其中,中国恒大跌7.43%,融创跌8.66%,万科企业跌5.23%,碧桂园跌7.41%。昨日有市场传闻称,国开行总行棚改项目合同签订审批权回收总行,过去执行的货币化拆迁安置方式,将改为实物安置为主。简单的说,政策会大幅度收紧,只有总行有权利批钱,流入房地产的国开行资金会大幅减少。科网股集体走低,华虹半导体跌10.76%,中芯国际跌9.22%,比亚迪电子跌7.85%,瑞声科技跌7.31%。

技术分析
NK_

观察SGX日本225股指期货CFD4H图,日内价格回落走低,回吐前一交易日升幅。技术指标上,MACD看跌动能柱微增,RSI指标向下。后市来看,价格关键阻力目标22500一线。下行方面,价格初步支撑考验22000一线。

 

HS_

产品 开盘价 最高价 最低价 收盘价
HS_ 28995 29043 28272 28371

观察香港50股指期货CFD日线图,价格日内再创新低,最低探至28272一线。技术指标上,MACD看跌动能柱扩张,RSI指标向下延伸。后市来看,价格初步阻力指向29000关口。下行方面,价格支撑目标考验28100一线。

 

                        2018-06-27

 

 
市场综述
周三(6月27日)亚市盘中,美元指数震荡走低,最低至94.52。分析师指出,美国众议院周二以压倒性优势通过一项收紧外国投资规定的议案,两党议员对中国收购美国先进技术的担忧推动了这项议案,让贸易战的情绪再度升温。美盘时段,投资者还需关注美国耐用品订单以及成屋签约销售数据。

英镑方面,英镑/美元周三亚市盘中震荡交投于1.32整数关上方附近,最低至1.32005。分析师指出,美元指数的下跌并没有让英镑/美元上涨,在英国央行行长卡尼讲话之前,英镑整体仍然倾向承压。周三北京时间16:30,英国央行行长卡尼将就金融稳定报告发表讲话。投资者需关注英国央行行长看你的讲话,英国央行将于北京时间16:30公布最新的金融稳定性报告。

欧元方面,欧元/美元周三亚市盘中震荡,最低至1.16383。随着欧盟峰会将于周四召开,有关欧盟内部在移民等问题上的分歧能否得到妥善处置将受到关注,因谈判结果可能会影响到日后欧元区的稳定性。分析师表示,本周四至周五的欧盟峰会可能是本周最重要的事情,因为欧盟领导人将开会讨论许多有争议的问题,如移民、贸易战、英国脱欧以及欧盟的长期预算。数据方面,周五将是个“大通胀日”,因欧元区和美国核心物价指数都会公布。预计欧元区核心通胀率不会出现任何加速,而美国的通胀率仍将接近目标水平。

技术分析
EURUSD

从4小时图上看,欧元/美元日内震荡。技术指标上,MACD看跌动能柱扩张,RSI指标位于平衡区50下方。后市来看,价位短期将持续震荡,汇价支撑目标指向 1.15800一线。上行方面,汇价初步阻力考验1.17000一线。

 

USDJPY

从4小时图上看,美元/日元日内震荡走低。技术指标上,MACD看涨动能柱紧缩,RSI指标位于平衡区50下方。后市来看,价位将上涨,汇价阻力位考验110.500。下行方面,汇价支撑看向109.200一线。

 

 

   证券 CFD 欧美                   2018-06-27

 

产品 开盘价 最高价 最低价 收盘价
DJ_ 24268 24372 24215 24300
SP_ 2721.50 2735.00 2714.75 2728.50
ND_ 7066.50 7129.50 7040.00 7104.00
FT_ 7460.0 7516.5 7447.0 7501.0
市场综述
美国股市周二收盘小幅走高,因能源股从上一交易日的大幅下跌中反弹,但特朗普政府关于贸易的喜忧参半的信息抑制了股市上涨。道琼斯工业平均指数上涨30.31点,收于24283.11点,苹果和雪佛龙均上涨1.2%。标普500指数上涨0.2%,收于2723.06点。纳斯达克综合指数上涨0.4%,至7561.63点。

个股方面,能源股在标普500指数各类股中涨幅最大,上扬1.4%,因美国政府敦促盟国暂停从伊朗进口原油,油价应声大涨逾2%。科技股走高,苹果结束三连跌,收涨1.2%。 FANG股票有三家上涨,推升标普500指数。脸书涨1.4%,亚马逊涨1.7%,Netflix涨3.9%,仅字母收跌0.6%。

英国股市周二报收于7537.92点,比前一交易日上涨28.08点,涨幅为0.37%。欧洲三大股指当天涨跌不一,其他两大主要股指方面,法国巴黎股市指数报收于5281.29点,跌幅为0.05%;德国法兰克福股市指数报收于12234.34点,跌幅为0.29%。

个股方面,当天伦敦股市成分股中资源类个股领涨,位于涨幅前五位的个股分别为:邮轮公司嘉年华公司股价上涨3.13%,必和必拓股价上涨2.51%,服装零售商Next股价上涨2.42%,包装企业戴维·所罗门·史密斯公司股价上涨2.23%,伦敦证交所集团股价上涨2.11%。而成分股中消费类个股则领跌,位于跌幅前五位的个股分别为:国际联合航空集团股价下跌3.53%,餐饮服务公司金巴斯集团股价下跌2.26%,软件和信息服务商微聚国际股价下跌2.24%,森宝利超市集团股价下跌2.21%,餐饮及酒店集团惠特布雷德股价下跌1.69%。

 

技术分析
DJ_

从DJ_日线图上看,价格隔夜震荡收涨,最高探至24372一线。技术指标上,MACD看跌动能柱扩张,快线与慢线趋势向下,RSI指标上行。后市来看,价格初步阻力目标指向24550一线。下行方面,价格初步支撑看向24050一线。

 

 

 SP_

从SP_日线图上看,价格隔夜上涨,最高探至2735.00一线。技术指标上,MACD看跌动能柱扩张,快线与慢线趋势向下,RSI指标上行至45。后市来看,价格初步阻力目标指向2750.00一线。下行方面,价格初步支撑看向2710.00一线。

 

 

 ND_

从ND_日线图上看,价格隔夜上涨,最高探至7129.50一线。技术指标上,MACD看跌动能柱扩张,快线与慢线趋势向下,RSI指标上行至49。后市来看,价格阻力目标指向7170.00一线。下行方面,价格初步支撑看向7030.00一线。

 

 FT_

从FT_日线图上看,价格隔夜上涨,最高探至7516.5一线。技术指标上,MACD看跌动能柱缩减,快线与慢线趋势向下,RSI指标上行至43。后市来看,价格阻力目标指向7580.0一线。下行方面,价格初步支撑看向7430.0一线。

 

                      商品 CFD 日报                   2018-06-27

市场综述
周二(6月26日)尽管美国与盟国的贸易纷争持续发酵,但美元指数仍终止跌势反弹走强,报收于94.69。因全球贸易紧张局势持续,促使交易员抛弃大多数高收益率货币,投资者聚焦美国联邦储备理事会(FED/美联储)继续升息预期。

现货黄金周二持续下挫,跌破1260.00关口,并处于6个月的低位,美市盘中最低下探至 1254.50 美元/金衡盎司。尽管世界贸易大战即将来临,但市场并未看到强烈的避险情绪,至少不足以提振避险金属。相反,如果美国和世界其他主要经济体之间爆发全面的贸易战,黄金和白银的原材料商品价格走低,因为担心原料商品的世界贸易减少。数据方面,日内公布的4月S&P/CS房价指数年率为6.56%,不如前值的6.79%,增幅创2011年来新低,多数大城市的房价增幅仍明显超过民众收入增长;美国6月咨商会消费者信心指数为126.4,也低于前值的128。

国际原油周二收涨2.45美元,报70.75美元/桶。因利比亚国家石油公司的重要出口终端再次被武装组织控制,这令该国出口水平存在较大的不确定性。加上加拿大最大的油砂设施出现生产问题,这帮助油价带来强劲支撑。此外,日内美国国务院命令各公司将从伊朗进口的所有进口产品从11月起降至零,也使油价受到提振大幅上涨。据外媒报导,美国国务院官员表示,要求同盟国在11月4日之前将从伊朗进口原油的​​数量降至零。如果在11月4日之后依旧购买伊朗的原油,企业将面临二级制裁。

芝加哥期货交易所(CBOT)大豆期货周二下跌,交易商表示,因美国作物评级良好,提振收成前景,加上担忧美中贸易紧张关系。CBOT 8月大豆期货合约收低7美分,报每蒲式耳8.73美元。

芝加哥期货交易所(CBOT)玉米期货周二收高,交易商解释称,因市场在震荡交投后出现低吸买盘,交易商在本周晚些时候关键的美国农业部(USDA)种植面积和库存报告出炉前调整头寸。CBOT 9月玉米合约收高1-3/4美分,结算价报每蒲式耳3.61-1/4美元。

芝加哥期货交易所(CBOT)小麦期货周二触及两个月低位,因基金驱动多头结清头寸,以及南部大平原收割带来的压力。CBOT 9月软红冬麦期货收跌7-1/2美分,结算价报每蒲式耳4.83美元。

COMEX期铜周二收涨,报收于299.25美分/磅。因贸易紧张局势升级再次打压基本金属市场,而市场的进一步压力来自美元强劲,限制了铜价涨幅。

技术分析
XAUUSD

日线图显示,金价隔夜下跌,最低探至1254.50。技术指标上,MACD看跌动能柱扩张,快线与慢线趋势向下,RSI指标于超卖区。后市来看,上行方面,金价初步阻力考验1264.00一带。下行方面,金价目标支撑考验1248.00一带。

  

XAGUSD

日线图显示,银价隔夜震荡收跌,最低探至16.123。技术指标上,MACD看跌动能柱扩张,快线与慢线趋势向下,RSI指标下行至42。后市来看,上行方面,银价初步阻力考验16.400一带,下行方面,银价目标支撑考验16.100一带。

 

 CL_

日线图显示,油价隔夜大幅上涨,最高探至70.87。技术指标上,MACD看涨动能柱扩张,快线与慢线趋势向上,RSI指标上行至64。后市来看,上行方面,油价初步阻力考验72.00一带,下行方面,油价目标支撑考验69.50一带。

 

 HG_

日线图显示,铜价隔夜收涨,最高探至299.70。技术指标上,MACD看跌动能柱缩减,快线与慢线趋势向下,RSI指标上行。后市来看,上行方面,铜价初步阻力考验304.00一带,下行方面,铜价目标支撑考验297.00一带。

 

                           2018-06-27

   
市场综述
周二(6月26日)在爆出将对中国投资设限后,白宫贸易顾问纳瓦罗表示,限制中国公司投资美国公司的计划不会像市场预期的那样损害美国经济,美元因此受到些许提振,最高升至94.67。

欧元方面,盘初欧元/美元测试了1.17200一带,不过美国日内公布的数据总体上表现积极,标普S&P/CS20座大城市房价指数是衡量美国房价的主要指标,略低于预期的6.8%,但仍显示出上升趋势。里奇蒙联储制造业指数6月升至20,5月为16,在三个分项指数中,发货量、新订单和就业均有所增加。美元从可靠的本地数据中获得了一些动力,因此欧元/美元随后回落至1.16400水平附近。而周三将公布一些更有趣的数据,其中包括美国耐用品订单。

英镑方面,有消息称,英国央行货币政策委员会委员麦卡弗蒂将被不那么鹰派的哈克尔取代,而哈克尔教授被任命为英国央行的外部成员,任期三年9月开始,虽然他支持当前央行的路径,但他表示,“当前阶段,我只会说,鉴于目前的条件和当前的经济数据,我同意大方向上的路径,”市场急于消化新官员的不那么激进的姿态。他还在议员面前提到了英国退欧,称这可能会导致“经济暂时停滞”。此番话推动英镑/美元跌至日低1.31911,并收于1.32213。

 

技术分析
EURUSD

从日线图上看,欧元/美元隔夜收出阴线。技术指标上,EMA(9,15,30)呈空头排列,MACD快线及慢线位于零轴下方,并呈上行趋势,RSI指标位于平衡区44。后市看来,价格阻力初步考验1.17000一线。下行方面,价格关键支撑位1.16000一线。

 

USDJPY

从日线图上看,美元/日元隔夜收出阳线。技术指标上,MACD快线及慢线位于零轴上方,并呈下行趋势,RSI指标位于平衡区52。后市看来,价格阻力目标依旧考验110.500一线。下行方面,价格关键支撑位109.500一线。

 

GBPUSD

从日线图上看,英镑/美元隔夜收出阴线。技术指标上,EMA(9,15,30)呈空头排列,MACD快线及慢线位于零轴下方,RSI指标位于弱势区36。后市看来,价格阻力目标依旧考验1.32800一线。下行方面,价格关键支撑位1.31500一线。

 

26 6月 2018

Daily  Market View

    Daily Market View

  Tuesday, June 26, 2018

 

          U.S Stock Market

 

DJIA S & P 500 NASDAQ
24281 2722.25 7073.00
-1.33% -1.37% -2.09%

U.S stocks plummeted yesterday, with major indexes seeing their biggest one-day drop in months and the Dow set to close below a closely watched level as fresh threats from President Donald Trump against the U.S.’s trading partners undercut investor sentiment. The day’s losses were widespread, with 26 of the Dow’s 30 components trading lower, along with nine of the 11 primary S&P 500 sectors. Tech was the biggest decliner of the day, however, dropping 3% in its biggest one-day decline since March. The Dow Jones Industrial Average tumbled 420 points, or 1.7%. The blue-chip average was on track for its biggest one-day drop since April 6, and the day’s decline put it on track to at its lowest level since May 3. The Dow is also set to end below its 200-day moving average for the first time in about two years. The moving average is a closely watched gauge of an asset’s long-term momentum trends, and while the Dow has dipped below it on an intraday basis two other times in 2018, it rebounded above it both times. Finishing below it could be a sign that more selling is in store.

 

 

Major Economic Releases for Today
Period Event GMT Forecast Previous

may

U.K BBA Loans for House Purchase 08:30 38250 38049

jun

U.K CBI Reported Sales 10:00 11 11

 

ECB Vice President De Guindos Speaks in Frankfurt 12:00

apr

S&P CoreLogic CS 20-City (MoM) SA 13:00 0.4% 0.53%

apr

S&P/Case-Shiller Composite-20 (YoY) 13:00 6.8% 6.79%

apr

S&P/Case-Shiller US Home Price Index (YoY) 13:00 6.53%

jun

U.S Richmond Fed Manufact. Index 14:00 15 16

jun

U.S Consumer Confidence Index 14:00 128 128

jun

U.S Conf. Board Present Situation 14:00 161.7
Dow Jones Industrial Average

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1.33% to hit a new 1-month low yesterday. The best performers of the session on the Dow Jones Industrial Average were Walmart Inc., which rose 1.95% or 1.65 points to trade at 86.47 at the close. Meanwhile, American Express Company added 1.35% or 1.31 points to end at 98.54 and Coca-Cola Company was up 0.76% or 0.33 points to 43.58 in late trade. The worst performers of the session were Intel Corporation, which fell 3.41% or 1.79 points to trade at 50.71 at the close. Visa Inc. declined 3.25% or 4.40 points to end at 130.93 and McDonald’s Corporation was down 2.88% or 4.74 points to 159.81.

 

NASDAQ 100

The NASDAQ index lost 2.09% yesterday. The top performers on the NASDAQ were Xenetic Biosciences Inc. which rose 103.90% to 5.750, Ability Inc. which was up 98.41% to settle at 10.00 and Innovate Biopharmaceuticals Inc. which gained 39.48% to close at 18.76. The worst performers were Merrimack Pharmaceuticals Inc. which was down 43.83% to 5.140 in late trade, Sophiris Bio Inc. which lost 40.27% to settle at 2.240 and Erytech Pharma SA ADR which was down 28.97% to 12.75 at the close.

Oil

Oil fell yesterday as investors prepared for an extra 1 million barrels per day (bpd) of oil to hit the markets after OPEC agreed to raise production and as U.S equity markets slipped on trade war fears. U.S. light crude retreated after an early rise to trade down 41 cents to $68.17 a barrel. Losses in U.S. crude prices were limited by the likelihood that an outage at Syncrude Canada’s 360,000 barrel per day oil sands facility would last through July. The outage is expected to limit crude arriving at Cushing, Oklahoma, delivery point of the U.S. futures contract.  This helped further shrink U.S. crude’s discount to global benchmark Brent to as small as $4.78. The spread had widened to as much as $11.57 on June 1, but had been contracting ahead of OPEC’s expected supply increase, analysts said. The slide on Wall Street pressured oil, analysts said. All three major stock indexes were down on escalating U.S.-China trade tensions.

Precious and Base Metals

Gold hovered near last week’s six-month low yesterday as investors flocked to U.S Treasuries rather than bullion, amid concerns over a global trade war ratcheting higher after a report said the United States plans to bar Chinese companies from investing in its technology firms. Spot gold was down 0.2 percent at $1,266.29 per ounce. U.S. gold futures for August delivery settled down $1.80, or 0.1 percent, at $1,268.90 per ounce. The U.S. Treasury Department is crafting rules that would block firms with at least 25 percent Chinese ownership from buying U.S. companies involved in “industrially significant technology,” The Wall Street Journal reported on Sunday. Gold, which is traditionally seen as a safe haven in times of geopolitical uncertainty, has failed to benefit as investors poured into U.S. Treasury debt. Right now, the flight-to-quality money is going into the bonds. Commodities on a whole are being pulled back with the threat of tariffs. The U.S. Treasury yield curve flattened to its lowest level in over 10 years as concerns about trade wars and divisions within the euro zone boosted demand for longer-dated, safe-haven debt. Higher U.S. bond yields make gold a less attractive investment since it does not bear interest. But some analysts say the standoff between the world’s two largest economies, which threatens to limit global economic growth, could eventually benefit gold. Today on a relative basis, gold is performing better than commodities and equities. Global shares fell on escalating trade tensions and the dollar index turned softer against a basket of currencies. The fundamental dynamics suggest gold will remain under pressure until there is a discernible reversal in dollar sentiment. We are seeing some support lining up at the $1,265 level, with upward momentum capped at the $1,278 area. Meanwhile, silver fell 0.8 percent at $16.31 an ounce. Copper prices fell to the lowest close in almost three months as tension between the U.S. and China continued to unsettle investors.

 

 

Wheat, Corn, and Soybeans

Wheat slid 2 percent yesterday as rain expected in parched growing belts in Australia tempered concerns about global supply risks and shifted attention to broader worries about trade tensions.

 

 

 

 

Futures Settlement Price Monday, June 25, 2018
Instrument Contract Open High Low Settlement Net Change
DJIA DJM18 24595 24612 24075 24281 -326
S & P 500 SPM18 2756.75 2757.75 2700.5 2722.25 -37.75
NASDAQ 100 NDM18 7222 7222.25 6995.25 7073 -151
Hang Seng HSH18 29410 29447 28860 28958 -388
Nikkei 225 NKH18 22475 22520 22260 22325 -145
FTSE 100 FTH18 7576 7599.5 7420 7432 -172
Gold GCJ18 1272.2 1273.2 1265.6 1267.5 -3.5
Silver SIK18 1640.5 1643 1627.5 1634 -14
Copper HGK18 303.55 304.45 296.8 298.85 -4.3
Crude Oil CLK18 68.62 69.4 67.75 68.28 -0.37
Wheat WK18 486.75 487.75 473.25 477.5 -14
Soybeans SK18 894.5 896 871.25 875 -20
Corn CK18 357.75 358.5 349.25 351.25 -6.75

 

 

 

 

                                              Daily Swings  (The Pivot Levels)
  Trading Range  
Contract S3 S2 S1 Pivot R1 R2 R3

 

DJM18 23496 23786 24033 24323 24570 24860 25107
SPM18 2638.67 2669.58 2695.92 2726.83 2753.17 2784.08 2810.42
NDM18 6744.42 6869.83 6971.42 7096.83 7198.42 7323.83 7425.42
HSH18 28143 28501 28730 29088 29317 29675 29904
NKH18 21957 22108 22217 22368 22477 22628 22737
FTH18 7188.67 7304.33 7368.17 7483.83 7547.67 7663.33 7727.17
GCJ18 1256.73 1261.17 1264.33 1268.77 1271.93 1276.37 1279.53
SIK18 1611.17 1619.33 1626.67 1634.83 1642.17 1650.33 1657.67
HGK18 287.97 292.38 295.62 300.03 303.27 307.68 310.92
CLK18 65.90 66.83 67.55 68.48 69.20 70.13 70.85
WK18 456.75 465.00 471.25 479.50 485.75 494.00 500.25
SK18 840.75 856.00 865.50 880.75 890.25 905.50 915.00
CK18 338.25 343.75 347.50 353.00 356.75 362.25 366.00

 

  Source: – News & Quotes (Courtesy:  Reuters)                                                                    

Disclaimer

This information has been prepared for information only and does not constitute an offer or commitment. This information does not constitute investment advice as defined by the rules of the FCA.

The firm or its staff members may trade on their own account and may from time to time hold or act as market makers in investments mentioned in this document. Please note that the firm makes no warranty, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions herein. All parties are advised to seek independent professional advice as to the suitability of any products and to their tax, accounting, legal or regulatory implications. City Credit Capital (UK) Ltd is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, reg 232015.

 

 

 

 

 

 

证券 CFD 亚洲                2018-06-26

 

 
市场综述
日本股市周二(6月26日)跌至三周半低点后回升,空头回补操作推动近期受打压的股票上涨,尽管围绕全球贸易紧张局势存在担忧。截至收盘,日经225指数收平报22,342.00点,早盘跌1%至22,104.12点,为6月1日以来最低。东证股价指数上涨0.2%至1,731.07点。

个股方面,银行和船运股上涨,三菱日联金融集团(MUFG)涨1.0%,三井住友金融集团涨0.9%。近期有所下滑的船运股回升。商船三井大涨2.4%,川崎汽船上涨1.0%。东京电子(东京威力科创)保持在八个月低点附近,爱德万测试(Advantest)保持在两个月低点左右,与此同时美国芯片设备厂商应用材料(Applied Materials)则徘徊在逾四个月低点附近。

港股方面,周一美国三大股指集体下跌,道指收跌逾320点或1.33%,报24252.80点,为近两年来首次收于200日均线下方,全球贸易冲突持续升级。今日早盘,恒指低开低走,一度跌超1%,此后跌幅收窄。午后恒指一度翻红。截至收盘,恒生指数跌0.28%,报28881.4点;国企指数跌开0.8%,报11118.89点;红筹指数跌0.68%,报4337.39点。大市成交1247.72亿港元。

个股方面,内房股遭遇重挫,其中,碧桂园大跌超6.65%,融创中国跌4.81%,富力地产跌3.41%。昨日有市场传闻称,国开行总行棚改项目合同签订审批权回收总行,过去执行的货币化拆迁安置方式,将改为实物安置为主。简单的说,政策会大幅度收紧,只有总行有权利批钱,流入房地产的国开行资金会大幅减少。人民币不断贬值,离岸人民币跌破6.56关口,刷新半年新低。今日航空股继续受挫,其中,南方航空跌4.14%,国际航空跌2.85%,东方航空跌0.53%。

技术分析
NK_

观察SGX日本225股指期货CFD4H图,日内价格小幅反弹,触及22050一线后走高。技术指标上,MACD看跌动能柱缩减,RSI指标小幅向上。后市来看,价格关键阻力目标22500一线。下行方面,价格支撑考验22000一线。

 

HS_

产品 开盘价 最高价 最低价 收盘价
HS_ 28890 29029 28473 28940

观察香港50股指期货CFD日线图,价格日内探底回升,一度失守29000关口。技术指标上,MACD看跌动能柱扩张,RSI指标小幅向下。后市来看,价格初步阻力指向29800一线。下行方面,价格支撑目标考验28400一线。