DXY refreshes 3-year lows below 91.
USD/JPY records biggest weekly drop since April.
Inflation data fails to stop the USD’s bleeding.

After rising to a daily high at 111.70 during the early trading hours of the American session, the USD/JPY pair lost more than 70 pips and broke below the 11 mark to refresh its lowest level since late November at 110.91. As of writing, the pair was trading at 110.95, losing 30 pips, or 0.27%, on the day.

Earlier this week, the BoJ’s announcement of a reduction in bond-buying allowed the JPY to gather strength against the USD and other major currencies as well. In fact, despite the Euro Index’s strong performance this week, the EUR/JPY pair is looking to close the week lower. 

On the other hand, following the technical correction witnessed during the first half of the week, the US Dollar Index, once again, reversed course and broke below the critical 91 mark to renew its lowest level since January 2015 at 90.71. Despite a slightly higher-than-expected core-CPI reading from the U.S. on Friday, the DXY failed to make a meaningful recovery as investors remained focused on the euro, which rose to its strongest level against the buck in more than three years.

On a weekly basis, the pair is losing more than 200 pips, its largest loss since the first week of April. However, with technical indicators showing oversold conditions on various time frames and the odds of the Fed making at least three more rate hikes in 2018, the pair could have a difficult time pushing lower in the near-term.

Technical outlook

The pair could encounter the first technical support at 110.80 (Nov. 27 low) ahead of 110 (psychological level) and 109.55 (Sep. 14 low). On the upside, resistances could be seen at 111.75 (200-DMA), 112.75 (100-DMA) and 113.20 (Jan. 9 high).

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