19 Nov 2018

Daily Market View

Daily Market View

Monday, November 19, 2018
          U.S Stock Market


25444 2742.00 6839.75
+0.49% +0.22% -0.15%

U.S stocks closed mostly higher Friday after comments from President Donald Trump once again sparked hopes that a trade dispute with China could be resolved in the near term. But the NASDAQ bucked the trend to finish lower as a decline in chip maker shares, led by Nvidia Corp., dented sentiment in the technology sector. The Dow Jones climbed 123.95 points, or 0.5% and the S&P 500 index rose 6.07 points, or 0.2%. The NASDAQ shed 11.16 points, or 0.2%. For the week, the Dow fell 2.2%, the S&P 500 dropped 1.6%, while the NASDAQ declined 2.2%. Trump expressed guarded optimism over U.S.-China trade ties, telling reporters that it may not be necessary to add new tariffs or raise existing ones on Chinese imports, and that he doesn’t want to “put China in a bad position.” Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping are scheduled to meet at the sidelines of the G-20 summit in Buenos Aires later this month. Uncertainties around tariff spats have taken center stage this week and the vacillating narratives around progress in negotiations continue to whipsaw equity benchmarks.



Major Economic Releases for Today
Period Event GMT Forecast Previous


U.K Rightmove House Prices (YoY) 00:01   0.9%


BOJ Outright Bond Purchase 1~3 Years 01:10    


BOJ Kuroda speaks at EuroPlus in Tokyo 03:30    


Euro-Zone Current Account s.a. (euros) 09:00   23.9b


Switzerland Domestic Sight Deposits 09:00   475.6b


Euro-Zone Construction Output w.d.a. (YoY) 10:00   2.5%


U.S NAHB Housing Market Index 15:00 67 68


U.S Fed’s Williams Speaks in Moderated Q&A in the Bronx 15:45    


ANZ Roy Morgan Weekly Consumer Confidence Index 22:30   119.8

Dow Jones Industrial Average

The Dow Jones Industrial Average added 0.49%. The best performers of the session on the Dow Jones were The Travelers Companies Inc., which rose 2.53% or 3.18 points to trade at 128.77 at the close. Meanwhile, UnitedHealth Group Incorporated added 2.33% or 6.17 points to end at 271.11 and McDonald’s Corporation was up 2.20% or 4.03 points to 187.59 in late trade. The worst performers of the session were Walmart Inc., which fell 1.86% or 1.85 points to trade at 97.69 at the close. Boeing Co declined 1.65% or 5.62 points to end at 335.95 and Visa Inc. was down 1.17% or 1.66 points to 140.18.





The tech heavy NASDAQ index declined 0.15%. The top performers on the NASDAQ Composite were TESARO Inc. which rose 31.48% to 34.96, EMC Insurance Group Inc. which was up 30.26% to settle at 31.25 and The Dixie Group Inc. which gained 15.98% to close at 0.980. The worst performers were Rewalk Robotics Ltd which was down 45.45% to 0.24 in late trade, Limbach Holdings Inc. which lost 27.46% to settle at 6.05 and Euroseas Ltd which was down 25.45% to 1.230 at the close.




Oil ended slightly firmer after volatile trading on Friday, supported by expectations that the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries would agree to cut output next month, though prices fell for the sixth straight week amid global oversupply concerns. OPEC kingpin Saudi Arabia is keen for the major producers to cut output by about 1.4 million barrels per day, around 1.5 percent of global supply, to support the market, sources told Reuters this week. But other producers, including Russia, have been reluctant to agree to a cut. U.S. crude settled unchanged at $56.46 a barrel after trading between $55.89 and $57.96. The contract, which had its steepest one-day loss in more than three years on Tuesday, fell 5.6 percent in the week, also its sixth straight weekly decline.  After Tuesday’s sharp fall, the market was due for a slight correction, and was now stabilizing. OPEC ministers meet on Dec. 6 in Vienna to decide on production policy for the next six months amid a growing surplus in world markets.




Precious and Base Metals

Gold rose as much as 1 percent on Friday as the dollar fell after U.S Federal Reserve officials made cautions comments that fed doubt about the outlook for interest rate hikes, while palladium hit a record high driven by worries about short supplies. Spot gold rose 0.7 percent to $1,221.04 an ounce. The session high was the highest since Nov. 8 at $1,225.29. Gold was on track to gain about 1 percent this week. U.S gold futures gained 0.5 percent to $1,221.50. Two Fed officials cautioned that global economic growth was slowing and the dollar fell to one-week lows against a basket of major currencies, making bullion cheaper for buyers using other currencies. When you get people talking about the economy slowing down, they may not raise rates so quickly or as aggressively and that is bearish for the dollar. Further support for gold came from weaker global stock markets and lower U.S. Treasury yields. A weaker dollar and lower yields are pretty much tailor made to benefit gold. Palladium climbed 1.7 percent to $1,176.70 an ounce, up more than 5 percnt since the start of the week. The metal hit a record high of $1,185.40 during the session, within a whisker of parity with gold for the first time in 16 years. The market is in a big deficit. There is a lot of funds interest in palladium because the funds like to buy something when it’s moving, but the supply is of concern now. Used mainly in emissions-reducing auto catalysts for vehicles, palladium, the only precious metal on track for an annual gain, was also helped by speculation Beijing may provide a stimulus to Chinese auto markets. Car dealers in the world’s biggest car market have been pushing for Beijing to support the sector. Silver rose 0.3 percent at $14.33 an ounce, on course for a weekly gain of over 1 percent. Copper was set to end the week 2.5 percent higher as signs of supply tightness supported prices, but worries about the outcome of the U.S.-China trade dispute limited gains.





Traditional Agricultures

Soybean futures ended higher on Friday after rebounding on President Donald Trump’s comments that his administration may not have to impose further tariffs on China, the world’s biggest soybean buyer. Wheat added to early advances on Friday.




Futures Settlement Price Friday, November 16, 2018
Instrument Contract Open High Low Settlement Net Change
DJIA DJM18 25313 25502 25093 25444 131
S & P 500 SPM18 2731.75 2748.75 2708.5 2742 6.5
NASDAQ 100 NDM18 6876 6912 6805.75 6893.75 -22.25
Hang Seng HSH18 26119 26187 25784 26111 72
Nikkei 225 NKH18 21860 21870 21630 21635 -170
FTSE 100 FTH18 7061.5 7087.5 6961 7023 -67
Gold GCJ18 1213.6 1225.7 1213.4 1222.9 9.3
Silver SIK18 1425.5 1438.5 1421 1436.5 11
Copper HGK18 274.35 280.25 273.3 280.2 5.7
Crude Oil CLK18 56.75 58.13 56.08 56.66 -0.09
Wheat WK18 505 508.25 502.5 506.5 2
Soybeans SK18 889.25 894.5 881.25 891.5 2.5
Corn CK18 367 368.5 363 364.5 -2.5



Daily Swings  (The Pivot Levels)
  Trading Range  
Contract S3 S2 S1 Pivot R1 R2
DJM18 24782 24937 25191 25346 25600 25755 26009
SPM18 2677.17 2692.83 2717.42 2733.08 2757.67 2773.33 2797.92
NDM18 6722.75 6764.25 6829.00 6870.50 6935.25 6976.75 7041.50
HSH18 25465 25624 25868 26027 26271 26430 26674
NKH18 21313 21472 21553 21712 21793 21952 22033
FTH18 6833.67 6897.33 6960.17 7023.83 7086.67 7150.33 7213.17
GCJ18 1203.33 1208.37 1215.63 1220.67 1227.93 1232.97 1240.23
SIK18 1408.00 1414.50 1425.50 1432.00 1443.00 1449.50 1460.50
HGK18 268.63 270.97 275.58 277.92 282.53 284.87 289.48
CLK18 53.73 54.91 55.78 56.96 57.83 59.01 59.88
WK18 497.50 500.00 503.25 505.75 509.00 511.50 514.75
SK18 870.42 875.83 883.67 889.08 896.92 902.33 910.17
CK18 356.67 359.83 362.17 365.33 367.67 370.83 373.17



 Source: – News & Quotes (Courtesy:  Reuters)                                                                    


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